Key TakeawaysWall Street is aggressively selling off software stocks as investors fear that advanced AI tools, such as Anthropic’s Claude, will disrupt traditional SaaS business models and erode profit margins.China’s ChiNext Index surged 2%, leading a broader rally in Chinese growth stocks as domestic sentiment improves despite volatility in neighboring Hong Kong markets.The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) climbed above 0.5950, capitalising on a weakening US Dollar driven by renewed uncertainty over President Tru ...

On February 19, Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel Prize-winning economist and ‘The Road to Freedom’ author, joined CNBC’s ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the state of the economy and argued that conditions are poor and likely to deteriorate. Challenging more optimistic views, Stiglitz addressed the debate over why tariffs have not sparked an immediate inflationary explosion. He explained that economists must consider the counterfactual: what inflation would have been without the tariffs. He noted that while inflation was ...

【中信策略】代码膨胀，实物稀缺 1）CodingAgent的爆发使大家对全球代码规模的扩张及传统软件应用被颠覆产生了极大的焦虑，大量工作流将快 速被AI替代。 短期内能源的增长远低于代码和token消耗总量的增长。 支付能力短期跟不上产品扩张和算力消耗，我们大概率会经历一个全社会代码膨胀、执行力过剩、竞争加剧和资 本投入回报受损的过程。 2）我们根 【中信策略】代码膨胀，实物稀缺 1）CodingAgent的爆发使大家对全球代码规模的扩张及传统软件应用被颠覆产生了极大的焦虑，大量工作流将快 速被AI替代。 2026年以来美股两组合的累计收益差距扩大了64个百分点，而A股两者分化尚不明显。 随着全球市场的联动以及流动性溢价的消散，我们认为中国资产最终也会反映"实物稀缺"和"代码膨胀"的分化。 短期内能源的增长远低于代码和token消耗总量的增长。 支付能力短期跟不上产品扩张和算力消耗，我们大概率会经历一个全社会代码膨胀、执行力过剩、竞争加剧和资 本投入回报受损的过程。 2）我们根据不同行业物理依赖度和监管/情感壁垒，划分为受损区（低依赖、低壁垒）、重塑区（低依赖、高壁 垒）、堡垒区（高依赖、高壁垒）、受益区（高 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 海外模型大厂融资落地，算力链条迎来新动 力 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 02 月 24 日 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -10% -4% 2% 8% 14% 20% 26% 32% 38% 44% 2025/2/24 2025/6/22 2025/10/18 2026/2/13 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《地产链有望继续震荡向上》 2026-02-08 《建筑、建材 2025Q4 公募基金持仓 低位回升，持仓集中度有所下降》 2026-02-08 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2026.2.7–2026.2.13，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 2.86%，同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数涨跌幅分别为 0.36%、1.11%，超 额收益分别为 2.50%、1.74%。 ◼ 大宗建材基本面与高频数据：（1）水泥：本周全国高标水泥市场价格为 ...

2025年，我国造船业三大指标继续领跑全球——全球船东看向中国 数据来源：中国船舶工业行业协会 2025年，中国造船业再次交出了一份亮眼的成绩单：造船业三大指标继续领跑全球，连续16年保持世界 第一。 工业和信息化部近日发布的数据显示，2025年，中国全年造船完工量5369万载重吨，占世界总量的 56.1%；新接订单量10782万载重吨，占世界总量的69.0%；手持订单量27442万载重吨，占世界总量的 66.8%，再创新高。这不仅是一组亮眼的贸易数据，更是中国制造业深度融入全球产业分工、服务世界 经济的生动写照。从"造船大国"到"服务全球"，中国造船业正以开放的姿态，为全球航运业提供着不可 或缺的"中国动力"。 近九成船舶出口 2025年，从欧洲到东南亚，从北美到中东，国际船东纷纷将订单投向中国船厂。 中船集团广船国际为新加坡EPS建造的11.1万吨大型液化天然气（LNG）双燃料原油/成品油船首制 船"ATLANTIC PEARL"号签字交船；山船重工为希腊Dynacom公司建造的11.5万吨冰区加强型成品油轮 与为Arcadia公司建造的首艘11.5万吨原油轮近日同步开工；希腊船东Danaos和德国船东A ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the impact of AI on the economy and employment, highlighting a potential crisis in global intelligence by 2028 [1] - The term "ghost GDP" is introduced, referring to economic output that does not circulate in the real economy, indicating a disconnect between reported economic growth and actual consumer activity [1] Core Insights and Arguments - AI capabilities are improving, leading to increased layoffs in white-collar jobs, which in turn reduces consumer spending and puts pressure on corporate profits [1] - Companies are responding to profit pressures by investing further in AI, creating a cycle of continuous AI capability enhancement [1] - Nominal GDP is experiencing mid to high single-digit growth, driven by AI agents that do not require breaks, sick leave, or insurance, thus pushing productivity to new highs [2] - There is a growing wealth disparity, as those who hold computational power are becoming richer while real wage growth is collapsing [3] Additional Important Content - The initial wave of layoffs began in early 2026, as human jobs were replaced by AI, leading to expanded profit margins and unexpectedly high corporate earnings, which subsequently drove stock prices up [1] - The S&P 500 approached 8000 and the Nasdaq surpassed 30000 in October 2026, indicating significant market performance during this period [1]

招商电新】AIDC观点更新20260223 近两天复盘了一些春节期间发生的变化，感叹一句：Everything is stillallabout AI. 春节期间发生的几大事件如下： 1）新模型轮番登场、openclaw等应用场景带动tokens的使用量暴增，AI资本开支正循环逻辑强化。 2）AI需求爆发，带着上游原材料库存见底，各类产品涨价（存储、mlc 其他：美国储能OBBB法案细化等 ➡投资方面的思考： 近两天复盘了一些春节期间发生的变化，感叹一句：Everything is stillallabout AI. 春节期间发生的几大事件如下： 1）新模型轮番登场、openclaw等应用场景带动tokens的使用量暴增，AI资本开支正循环逻辑强化。 2）AI需求爆发，带着上游原材料库存见底，各类产品涨价（存储、mlcc、光纤等） 3）cybercab量产落地，无人驾驶时代进一步接近 4）机器人春晚表现亮眼，正如海外报告指出的：硬件能力惊艳、AI能力待验证 5）春节前GEV、VRT等财报表现亮眼，缺电液冷等逻辑经财报再一次强化 招商电新】AIDC观点更新20260223 第一，国内链要重视：相较于前期我们关注 ...

招商传媒 谢笑妍&顾佳团队】游戏行业推荐：AI及新科技助力行业发展，关注后续年报一季报行情 1、 各个重点公司均有亮点。 【世纪华通】1月全球手游出海排行榜Whiteout Survival排名第二、Kingshot排名第三，TTM排名第十，Truck star排名 29。 招商传媒 谢笑妍&顾佳团队】游戏行业推荐：AI及新科技助力行业发展，关注后续年报一季报行情 1、 各个重点公司均有亮点。 【世纪华通】1月全球手游出海排行榜Whiteout Survival排名第二、Kingshot排名第三，TTM排名第十，Truck star排名 29。 公司游戏海外占比高，新游戏TTM和Truck star于12月、1月增速较高；【巨人网络】长青游戏超自然行动组有望在 根据伽马数据，2024年女性向游戏的市场规模达到80亿元，增长率达到124.1%，增速远超整体市场。 政策方面，2025年国产版号单月超140款，版号发放常态化，政策从转向产业支持，鼓励游戏出海及游戏作为新兴 消费促内需。 3、 AI应用及其他科技对于游戏行业的影响仍值得我们期待。 自23年AI应用逐步渗透入游戏公司后，现如今已经在产品制作及广告投放方 ...

2026年春节假期前后，游戏板块不论是港美股上市公司如腾讯控股、虎牙、金山软件，A股上市公司如 世纪华通、巨人网络，非上市公司如鹰角网络等旗下游戏运营数据均有较好表现或突破，彰显当前宏观 经济环境下游戏板块的韧性以及前期强调的2026年游戏产品大年逻辑的持续兑现。 浙商证券认为，A股方面，世纪华通休闲类游戏布局收获初现，《异环》预约数破2500万。巨人网络旗 下《超自然行动组》2月2日宣布DAU突破1000万。《超自然行动组》具备"搜打撤"和Party Game概念， 同时用户画像以学生为主，寒假叠加春节是其优势档期，春节期间DAU有望创新高，后期应重视其大 DAU单品带来的业绩弹性。 游戏板块具备AI、内容、商业化模式变革多点催化，游戏ETF（159869）跟踪中证动漫游戏指数，AI应 用含量全市场领先，精准覆盖A股动漫游戏产业的整体表现，当前游戏板块正受到政策利好+产品周期 +AI赋能的多重催化热潮，或可聚焦游戏赛道布局窗口。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses macroeconomic narratives impacting various sectors, particularly focusing on demand recovery, currency dynamics, interest rate expectations, geopolitical risks, and the implications of artificial intelligence (AI) on market performance. Key Points Demand Recovery Narrative - Demand expectations are stable, with no signs of a turning point anticipated until 2026; if a turning point were to be identified, it would be considered to have occurred in 2022 or 2023 [1][2] Dollar Credit Loss - The dollar is entering an observation period, with no other currency currently presenting a strong appreciation narrative; the narrative surrounding the dollar's depreciation is expected to weaken in its influence on other assets [1][2] Interest Rate Narrative - The market has not priced in any interest rate cuts for January, with expectations indicating that no cuts will occur in March; future developments will depend on the testimony of Waller, who has previously expressed hawkish views during the Obama administration and dovish views during the Trump administration; if Waller does not exhibit hawkish tendencies in his upcoming testimony, the market may begin to price in the possibility of interest rate cuts [1][2] Geopolitical Narrative - There have been no fundamental changes in geopolitical risks; oil and precious metals continue to be supported by ongoing tensions, particularly regarding Trump's potential actions towards Iran [2][3] AI Narrative - There is a belief that 2023 will be a year for validating AI performance; if AI companies fail to meet market expectations, they may face significant pressure; however, proponents of AI believe the narrative surrounding AI is substantial and transformative [3]