消息面上，高盛研报指出，该行昨日(8日)邀请了老铺黄金参加其亚太区消费与休闲企业日，老铺黄金 的管理层提出几个要点，包括集团管理层未见10月黄金产品涨价后带来销售压力，并注意到多个城市在 节日期间出现排长队情况。在元旦假期期间，老店及公司层面销售额录得高双位数、三位数的按年增 长；又认为品牌知名度、渠道扩张、升级及营运能力提升将支撑内地春节旺季的销售，且公司在库存、 营运方面比去年准备更充分。 花旗发布研报称，据该行在元旦假期内留意到的需求复苏及毛利率改善，对老铺今年展望更具信心。花 旗料消费者已消化产品提价，受行业广泛调整价格及去年12月起金价反弹所支持。报告称，长假期内的 推广亦刺激需求复苏。该行料强劲需求将持续至春节假期。花旗称老铺自去年11月底起毛利率已复苏至 40%以上，春节后有望进一步提价，料盈利能力高企状况可于今年延续。 老铺黄金 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 659.00 34.50 5.52% 7.21% 4.80% 2.40% 0.00% 2.40% 4.80% 7.21% 579.50 594.50 609.50 624.50 639.50 654.50 669.50 09:30 10 ...

花旗发布研报称，对老铺黄金(06181)展开30日正面催化剂观察，维持"买入"评级，目标价1,119港元。 据该行在元旦假期内留意到的需求复苏及毛利率改善，对老铺今年展望更具信心。花旗料消费者已消化 产品提价，受行业广泛调整价格及去年12月起金价反弹所支持。 报告称，长假期内的推广亦刺激需求复苏，该行料强劲需求将持续至春节假期。花旗称老铺自去年11月 底起毛利率已复苏至40%以上，春节后有望进一步提价，料盈利能力高企状况可于今年延续。该行料老 铺2025及26年收入同比升224%及36%至分别276亿及375亿元人民币，纯利同比分别升224%及47%至各 48亿及70亿元人民币。 ...

花旗发布研报称，据该行在元旦假期内留意到的需求复苏及毛利率改善，对老铺今年展望更具信心。花 旗料消费者已消化产品提价，受行业广泛调整价格及去年12月起金价反弹所支持。报告称，长假期内的 推广亦刺激需求复苏。该行料强劲需求将持续至春节假期。花旗称老铺自去年11月底起毛利率已复苏至 40%以上，春节后有望进一步提价，料盈利能力高企状况可于今年延续。 智通财经APP获悉，老铺黄金(06181)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.12%，报656.5港元，成交额10.03亿港 元。 消息面上，高盛研报指出，该行昨日(8日)邀请了老铺黄金参加其亚太区消费与休闲企业日，老铺黄金 的管理层提出几个要点，包括集团管理层未见10月黄金产品涨价后带来销售压力，并注意到多个城市在 节日期间出现排长队情况。在元旦假期期间，老店及公司层面销售额录得高双位数、三位数的按年增 长；又认为品牌知名度、渠道扩张、升级及营运能力提升将支撑内地春节旺季的销售，且公司在库存、 营运方面比去年准备更充分。 ...

花旗发表报告，对老铺黄金展开30日正面催化剂观察，维持"买入"评级，目标价1119港元。据该行在元 旦假期内留意到的需求复苏及毛利率改善，对老铺今年展望更具信心。花旗预计消费者已消化产品提 价，受行业广泛调整价格及去年12月起金价反弹所支持。老铺自去年11月底起毛利率已复苏至40%以 上，春节后有望进一步提价，预计盈利能力高企状况可于今年延续。该行预计老铺2025及26年收入分别 按年升224%及36%，至276亿及375亿元，纯利按年分别升224%及47%，至48亿及70亿元。 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究（有⾊每⽇报告） 2025-12-23 静待消费跟进，基本金属震荡整固 有⾊观点：静待消费跟进，基本⾦属震荡整固 交易逻辑：11月美国CPI低于市场预期提振降息预期，但美联储新一任候 选人还处于遴选中；12月10-11日中央经济工作会议召开，定调较为积 极，继续"国补"，国内消费预期有望改善，整体上看，宏观面偏正面。 原料端延续偏紧局面，并逐步往冶炼端传导，供应端收缩风险仍然存在。 终端略偏弱，12月初汽车销售延续放缓，12月空调排产降幅扩大，2026年 1-2月排产预计改善，基本金属现实供需偏宽松，但预期偏紧。整体来 看，中短期，供应扰动担忧继续支撑价格，但高价对消费抑制对价格进一 步涨势构成约束，可继续关注铜铝低吸做多机会，锡近期涨幅较大且累库 加快，多头适当减仓为宜；长期，国内潜在增量刺激政策预期仍在，并且 铜铝锡供应扰动问题仍在，供需仍有趋紧预期，看好铜铝锡价格走势。 铜观点：铜矿⻓单加⼯费落地，铜价⾼位震荡。 氧化铝观点：过剩状态未有明显改善，氧化铝价继续承压。 铝观点：库存有所累积，铝价⾼位震荡。 铝合⾦观点：关注需求变化，盘⾯⾼位震荡。 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 沥青期货早报 2025年12月5日 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 供给端来看，根据隆众，2025年12月份沥青总计划排产量为215.8万吨，环比降幅3.24%。本周国内 石油沥青样本产能利用率为29.4823%，环比增加3.056个百分点，全国样本企业出货26.21万吨，环 比增加6.74%,样本企业产量为49.2万吨，环比增加11.56%,样本企业装置检修量预估为86.6万吨， 环比减少9.60%,本周炼厂有所增产，提升供应压力。下周或将增加供给压力。 需求端来看，重交沥青开工率为27.8%，环比增加0.12个百分点，低于历史平均水平；建筑沥青开工 率为6.6%，环比持平，低于历史平均水平；改性沥青开工率为10.5658 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment strategy for both the pig and egg industries is cautiously bearish [3][5] 2. Core Viewpoints - In the pig industry, the decline in pig prices has led to an accumulation of frozen - product inventory, affecting the growth of slaughter volume. End - of - year demand may have limited impact on pig prices, and the current large supply pressure has a more prominent suppressing effect on short - term pig prices [2] - In the egg industry, although capacity reduction has started, the inventory of laying hens remains high, and the short - term supply pressure cannot be substantially alleviated. The demand side has limited ability to boost egg prices, and the price increase space is expected to be relatively limited [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Pig Market Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the live pig 2601 contract yesterday was 11,490 yuan/ton, a change of +35.00 yuan/ton (+0.31%) from the previous trading day [1] - Spot: In Henan, the price of external ternary live pigs was 11.18 yuan/kg, a change of - 0.05 yuan/kg; in Jiangsu, it was 11.37 yuan/kg, a change of - 0.12 yuan/kg; in Sichuan, it was 11.33 yuan/kg, a change of - 0.17 yuan/kg [1] - Agricultural product prices: On December 2, the "Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index" rose 0.29 points, and the "Vegetable Basket" product wholesale price index rose 0.34 points. The average wholesale price of pork was 17.59 yuan/kg, a decrease of 1.2%; beef was 66.88 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.5%; mutton was 63.22 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.3%; eggs were 7.44 yuan/kg, an increase of 1.5%; and white - striped chickens were 17.61 yuan/kg, a decrease of 1.6% [1] Market Analysis - Pig price decline has led to the accumulation of frozen - product inventory, affecting the growth of slaughter volume. End - of - year pickling demand is slightly lower than expected, and the demand at the end of the year may have limited ability to boost pig prices. The subsequent demand recovery strength remains to be seen, and the current large supply pressure has a more prominent suppressing effect on short - term pig prices [2] Strategy - Cautiously bearish [3] Egg Market Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the egg 2601 contract yesterday was 3138 yuan/500 kilograms, a change of - 64.00 yuan (-2.00%) from the previous trading day [3] - Spot: In Liaoning, the egg spot price was 2.96 yuan/jin, with no change; in Shandong, it was 3.20 yuan/jin, with no change; in Hebei, it was 2.64 yuan/jin, a change of - 0.03 yuan [3] - Inventory: On December 3, 2025, the national production - link inventory was 0.97 days, an increase of 0.05 days (5.43%); the circulation - link inventory was 1.21 days, an increase of 0.02 days (1.68%) [3] Market Analysis - Although capacity reduction has started, the inventory of laying hens remains high, and the short - term supply pressure cannot be substantially alleviated. Against the background of high supply, the demand side has limited ability to boost egg prices, and the current price increase space is expected to be relatively limited [4] Strategy - Cautiously bearish [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Tin Considering the strong fundamentals, maintain a bullish view on tin prices. Hold existing long positions and consider adding long positions on price pullbacks. Monitor macro and supply - side changes [1]. Aluminum Oxide The oversupply situation continues to suppress prices, which are expected to fluctuate at the bottom. The reference range for the main contract is lowered to 2600 - 2800 yuan/ton. Observe actual production cuts and inventory inflection points [3]. Aluminum Short - term aluminum prices are expected to remain strong, with the reference range for the SHFE main contract this week being 21500 - 22200 yuan/ton. Focus on the latest Fed monetary policy and domestic inventory depletion sustainability [3]. Aluminum Alloy The casting aluminum alloy market is supported by cost and demand. Short - term prices are expected to remain firm, with the main contract reference range at 20700 - 21400 yuan/ton. Monitor scrap aluminum supply improvement and inventory depletion [5]. Polysilicon In December, there is an oversupply situation, and each link is expected to accumulate inventory. The trading strategy is to wait and see [7]. Industrial Silicon The industrial silicon market in December remains in a weak supply - demand situation. Prices are expected to fluctuate at a low level, with the main price range at 8500 - 9500 yuan/ton [8]. Zinc The zinc price is expected to fluctuate. The supply pressure is relieved, but the fundamentals provide limited upward momentum. The main contract reference range is 22200 - 23000 yuan/ton [11]. Copper The medium - to - long - term supply - demand contradiction supports the upward shift of the copper price bottom. The main contract support range is 88500 - 89500 yuan/ton. Monitor overseas interest rate cut expectations and smelting production cuts [13]. Lithium Carbonate The short - term disk is expected to fluctuate widely, with the main contract reference range at 92000 - 95000 yuan/ton [16]. Nickel The short - term disk is expected to fluctuate within a range, with the main contract reference range at 116000 - 120000 yuan/ton. Monitor macro expectations and Indonesian industrial policy news [19]. Stainless Steel The short - term disk is expected to remain weakly volatile, with the main contract reference range at 12300 - 12700 yuan/ton. Monitor steel mills' production cut implementation and ferro - nickel prices [20]. 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs Tin - **Price and Spread**: SMM 1 tin and Yangtze 1 tin prices rose 1.51%, LME 0 - 3 spread dropped 38.67%. Import loss decreased 13.91%, and some monthly spreads changed significantly [1]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, tin ore imports, SMM refined tin production, and average开工率 increased, while refined tin imports, exports, and SMM solder开工率 decreased [1]. - **Inventory**: SHEF, social, and LME inventories increased, while SHEF warehouse receipts decreased slightly [1]. Aluminum Oxide - **Price and Spread**: SMM A00 aluminum prices rose 0.41%, and most alumina prices remained unchanged. Aluminum import loss decreased, and monthly spreads were stable [3]. - **Fundamentals**: In November, alumina and electrolytic aluminum production decreased, while alumina开工率 and some downstream开工率 increased [3]. - **Inventory**: Chinese electrolytic aluminum and aluminum rod social inventories decreased, while electrolytic aluminum plant alumina inventory increased [3]. Aluminum Alloy - **Price and Spread**: SMM ADC12 alloy prices were stable, and some scrap - to - refined aluminum price spreads increased [5]. - **Fundamentals**: In November, recycled and primary aluminum alloy ingot production increased, while unforged aluminum alloy ingot imports decreased and exports increased [5]. - **Inventory**: Recycled aluminum alloy social inventory decreased slightly, and some daily inventories changed [5]. Polysilicon - **Price and Spread**: Polysilicon spot prices were stable, futures prices rose, and silicon wafer and component prices fell. Some monthly spreads changed significantly [7]. - **Fundamentals**: In November and December, polysilicon and silicon wafer production decreased, imports and exports changed, and demand decreased [7]. - **Inventory**: Polysilicon and silicon wafer inventories increased [7]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Spread**: East China oxygen - passing SI5530 industrial silicon spot prices fell slightly, and futures prices declined. Some monthly spreads changed [8]. - **Fundamentals**: In November, national industrial silicon production decreased, and some regional production and开工率 changed. Organic silicon production increased [8]. - **Inventory**: Some regional factory inventories and social inventories increased slightly [8]. Zinc - **Price and Spread**: SMM 0 zinc ingot prices rose slightly, and import loss decreased. Some monthly spreads changed [11]. - **Fundamentals**: In November, refined zinc production decreased, imports decreased, and exports increased. Downstream开工率 was relatively stable [11]. - **Inventory**: Chinese zinc ingot social inventory decreased, and LME inventory increased [11]. Copper - **Price and Spread**: SMM 1 electrolytic copper prices rose, and some spreads changed. Import loss increased slightly [13]. - **Fundamentals**: In November, electrolytic copper production increased, and imports decreased. Some processing开工率 decreased [13]. - **Inventory**: Domestic social and SHFE inventories decreased, while bonded and LME inventories increased [13]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Spread**: SMM battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices decreased slightly, and some monthly spreads changed [16]. - **Fundamentals**: In November, lithium carbonate production and demand increased, imports and exports increased, and开工率 increased [16]. - **Inventory**: Lithium carbonate total, downstream, and smelter inventories decreased [16]. Nickel - **Price and Spread**: SMM 1 electrolytic nickel prices rose slightly, and some spreads and costs changed [19]. - **Fundamentals**: Chinese refined nickel production and imports decreased, and some inventories increased or decreased [19]. - **Inventory**: SHFE and social inventories increased, while LME and bonded area inventories decreased [19]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Spread**: 304/2B stainless steel prices were stable, and some monthly spreads changed [20]. - **Fundamentals**: Chinese and Indonesian 300 - series stainless steel production changed, imports increased, and exports decreased [20]. - **Inventory**: 300 - series social and cold - rolled social inventories increased, and SHFE warehouse receipts decreased slightly [20].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic futures market for soda ash is experiencing a slight increase, with the main contract rising by 1.28% to 1183.00 CNY/ton, despite a generally weak demand environment and high inventory levels [1][2]. Supply Side - Soda ash enterprises are making minor adjustments to their operations, with little change in production levels and few upcoming maintenance plans. New production capacity is expected to come online, maintaining overall output at relatively high levels [2]. - Manufacturers are primarily focused on fulfilling previous orders, with new orders being limited. Although short-term inventory levels are decreasing, the absolute inventory remains high [2]. Demand Side - The demand for soda ash is weak, particularly in the float glass industry, which is facing a dual weakness in supply and demand. The recovery in demand is hindered by a lack of improvement in the real estate market, which is the main downstream sector for float glass [2]. - Additionally, the anticipated demand from the photovoltaic sector for dense soda ash has not materialized, further limiting overall demand growth [2]. Inventory Levels - As of December 1, 2025, the total inventory of soda ash manufacturers in China is 1.5699 million tons, a decrease of 17,500 tons (1.10%) from the previous week. This includes 734,500 tons of light soda ash (down 6,100 tons) and 835,400 tons of dense soda ash (down 11,400 tons) [2]. Market Outlook - The futures market shows clear bottom characteristics, but there is a lack of new driving forces. The market is expected to experience strong oscillation around the bottom, with future trends requiring more catalysts to materialize. Key factors to monitor include soda ash production levels, product release schedules from Alashan, downstream purchasing rhythms, and trends in the macroeconomic and commodity markets [2].

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 沥青期货早报 2025年11月28日 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点 | | | 供给端来看 根据隆众 ， | 2025年11月份地炼沥青总计划排产量为131 2万吨 环比增 ， . ， | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 幅18 2% 同比降幅6 . , | 5% 本周国内石油沥青样本产能利用率为26 4262% 环比减少 . 。 . ， | | | | | | | | | | 4 37个百分点 ， . | 全国样本企业出货24 555万吨 环比增加15 28% 样本企业产量为 ， . . , | ...