Core Points - The White House announced that President Trump signed an executive order to implement the US-Japan trade agreement [2] - The agreement includes a 15% baseline tariff on nearly all Japanese imports to the US, with specific treatments for certain industries [2] - Japan will provide significant market access for US manufacturers in key sectors, including agriculture and aerospace, and will increase purchases of US agricultural products to $8 billion annually [2] Group 1 - The US will impose a 15% tariff on almost all Japanese imports, with adjustments for previously lower tariff products [2] - Specific industries such as automotive, aerospace, and non-patented pharmaceuticals will receive tailored treatment under the agreement [2] - Japan aims to increase its procurement of US rice by 75% and will also purchase other agricultural products, totaling $8 billion annually [2] Group 2 - Japan will allow the sale of US-manufactured passenger cars that have received US safety certification without additional testing [2] - The Japanese government will purchase US-made commercial aircraft and defense equipment [2] - Japan has committed to invest $550 billion in the US [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the U.S. and Japan have reached a significant trade agreement, which includes a reduction in tariffs and increased investment from Japan into the U.S. [2][3] - The U.S. will lower the reciprocal tariff rate from 25% to 15%, and Japan is expected to invest $550 billion into the U.S. market [2] - Japan is committed to increasing its procurement of U.S. rice by 75%, which is part of the trade agreement [1] Group 2 - The agreement is seen as a result of Japan's strong negotiation efforts, as stated by Japanese government officials [3] - The deal is anticipated to create hundreds of thousands of jobs in the U.S. and is described by Trump as potentially the largest trade agreement in history [2] - Japan's market will be opened for trade in various sectors, including automobiles, trucks, and agricultural products [2]

Group 1 - The US and Japan are in the final negotiation stage to implement a reduction in Japanese auto import tariffs, with a key presidential executive order expected to be issued within the next 10 to 14 days [1][4] - The new tariff rate is anticipated to drop from the current 27.5% to 15%, significantly benefiting Japanese automakers who have been awaiting the agreement [4][5] - The executive order will clarify that the new 15% tariff will not be subject to additional higher tariffs and will standardize the tariff rate for Japanese imports previously below 15% [5] Group 2 - The agreement is part of a broader trade arrangement between the US and Japan, which includes Japan's commitments to increase imports of US rice and procure more US-manufactured aircraft [5] - Japan has agreed to a substantial investment plan of up to $550 billion in the US, which will be implemented through equity, loans, and guarantees via government-backed banks [5] - A joint statement and a memorandum outlining the rules for the investment plan are expected to be released alongside the presidential executive order [5]

Group 1: Market Performance - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results with the Nasdaq rising by 1.02% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.51%, while the Dow Jones fell by 0.05% [1] - Major tech stocks had varied performances, with Google up over 9%, Apple up over 3%, and Tesla up over 1%, while Nvidia, Intel, and AMD saw slight declines [1] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.19%, with mixed results among popular Chinese stocks [1] Group 2: Trade Policy Uncertainty - President Trump indicated that if U.S. courts rule his global tariff policy illegal, trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea may be nullified [2] - Trump emphasized that these agreements provided the U.S. with leverage to impose tariffs without retaliation, claiming they could lead to significant wealth for the country [2] - The legal uncertainty surrounding the tariff agenda could impact trillions of dollars in global trade, raising questions about Trump's authority to negotiate tariffs without these measures [3] Group 3: Economic Conditions - The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book report indicated that economic activity across most regions of the U.S. remained unchanged in recent weeks [4] - The report highlighted that consumer spending was flat or declining due to wages not keeping pace with rising prices, with most districts reporting price increases [5] - Businesses have begun to raise prices to offset rising costs due to tariffs, while the labor market showed little net change in employment levels across most districts [6]

Group 1 - Canada will no longer impose retaliatory tariffs on most U.S. imports starting September 1, affecting approximately $21 billion in U.S. exports, including products like orange juice, peanut butter, and motorcycles [1] - Canada remains firm on tariffs related to the automotive, steel, and aluminum industries, which are critical to the manufacturing employment landscape in Mexico and Canada [1][3] - The Canadian government is under pressure due to domestic inflation and currency impacts from retaliatory tariffs, with GDP declining by 0.4% in Q2 2023 after a 0.5% growth in Q1 [3][4] Group 2 - Canadian exports of passenger cars and light trucks fell by 24.7%, while industrial machinery and equipment exports dropped by 18.5% in Q2 2023, indicating significant economic strain [4] - The Canadian government is discussing five strategic areas for cooperation with the U.S., including steel, aluminum, and automotive sectors, amidst ongoing tariff disputes [5] - The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on non-compliant Canadian automotive products and has increased duties on Canadian softwood lumber to 35.19%, affecting construction costs in the U.S. [5][6] Group 3 - The uncertainty surrounding negotiations has led to a decrease in foreign investment in Canada, with expectations that the U.S. may push for higher localization ratios in the automotive sector and align labor wages with U.S. standards [6] - The upcoming review of the USMCA may introduce changes that could affect trade dynamics, with potential shifts towards more protectionist policies in North America [6]

Core Insights - Some analysts believe that the July non-farm data and revisions indicate a softening U.S. economy [1] - The focus will quickly shift from comparing August data with July's initial values to further revisions of June and July data [1] - Uncertainty from Trump's tariff statements and extended deadlines has led U.S. businesses to refrain from making significant employment or investment decisions in Q2 [1] - With the potential for trade agreements and clarity on tariff levels, these economic figures may rebound quickly in Q3 and Q4 [1]

Group 1 - The EU has drafted a proposal to eliminate tariffs on all US industrial goods and provide preferential treatment for certain US agricultural and seafood products, following a request from President Trump [1] - The proposal aims to pave the way for the US to reduce tariffs on European cars and parts from 27.5% to 15%, with the lower tariffs expected to be retroactively implemented from August 1 [1] - The EU Commission plans to expedite the proposal by skipping the usual impact assessment process, although it still requires approval from the European Parliament and member states [1] Group 2 - Despite the trade arrangement, Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on countries that tax online services, although he has not specified which countries would be affected [2] - The EU has indicated that measures against US tech giants are not part of the current negotiations, and any threats from Trump could lead to a reassessment of the trade arrangement [2] - EU Industrial Chief Stephane Sejourne emphasized that if Trump's threats materialize, the terms of the agreement would need to be reconsidered [2]

Group 1 - The EU is rapidly legislating to eliminate all tariffs on US industrial goods in exchange for the US reducing tariffs on EU automobiles [1][3] - The EU Commission acknowledges that the trade agreement favors the US but provides necessary stability and predictability for businesses [1][3] - EU Commission President von der Leyen defends the agreement as a thoughtful choice to avoid escalation and confrontation with the US [1][3] Group 2 - The EU is under pressure to complete legislation by the end of the month to meet US demands, which could significantly impact the EU automotive industry [3][4] - A survey by the German Chamber of Commerce indicates that 55% of industrial companies believe the trade agreement imposes a heavy burden on the European economy [4] - The German Mechanical Engineering Industry Association warns that 30% of machinery exported to the US faces 50% tariffs, urging the EU to negotiate for tariff exemptions [4] Group 3 - President Trump threatens high tariffs on countries that impose digital taxes targeting US tech companies, indicating potential trade tensions with the EU [5][6] - French President Macron suggests the EU should consider retaliatory measures against the US tech industry due to significant trade imbalances [5][6] - Despite calls for a stronger stance, EU member states show reluctance to engage in a full-scale trade war, limiting the EU's response options [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Gold and silver prices show different trends today, with gold strong and silver weak. The short - term trade agreements are reached in batches, leading to a decline in risk - aversion demand. The risk of stagflation in the US economy increases, employment weakens, inflation is moderate, and the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut rebounds. It is expected that precious metals will be oscillating strongly in the short - term, oscillating at a high level in the medium - term, and rising step - by - step in the long - term [1]. - The gold price trend is the anchor of the silver price. In terms of capital, CFTC silver net long positions and iShare silver ETF have slightly reduced their positions. In terms of inventory, the recent explicit inventory of silver has slightly increased [6]. Summary by Directory Gold - **Price Performance**: Comex gold and London gold have risen, while domestic gold prices such as the closing price of the Shanghai Gold Exchange's main contract and gold T + D have also shown different degrees of increase. The basis and spreads, and ratios have also changed [2]. - **Position and Inventory**: Comex gold and Shanghai Gold Exchange's main contract positions have decreased, while gold T + D positions have increased. LBMA inventory remains unchanged, Comex gold inventory has decreased, and Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold inventory has increased [2]. - **Strategy**: Conservative investors are advised to wait and see, while aggressive investors can buy low and sell high. Good position management and strict stop - loss and take - profit are recommended [3]. - **Net Position Ranking**: The top 10 net long and net short positions of futures companies' members in the Shanghai Gold Exchange have different changes in net positions and daily ratios [4]. Silver - **Price Performance**: The closing price of the Comex silver main contract has risen, while the London silver price has fallen. Domestic silver prices such as the closing price of the Shanghai Silver Exchange's main contract and silver T + D have decreased [7]. - **Position and Inventory**: Comex silver positions have increased, while Shanghai Silver Exchange's main contract positions have decreased, and silver T + D positions have increased. Silver inventories in different places have different changes, and the total explicit inventory has slightly decreased [7]. - **Strategy**: Conservative investors are advised to wait and see, while aggressive investors can buy low and sell high. Good position management and strict stop - loss and take - profit are recommended [7]. - **Net Position Ranking**: The top 10 net long and net short positions of futures companies' members in the Shanghai Silver Exchange have different changes in net positions and daily ratios [8]. Fundamental Key Data - **Fed - related Data**: The upper limit of the federal funds target rate, the discount rate, and the reserve balance interest rate have all decreased by 0.25. The Fed's total assets have decreased slightly, and M2 has increased year - on - year [9]. - **Other Key Indicators**: The ten - year US Treasury real yield, the US dollar index, and the US Treasury yield spreads have all changed. US inflation, economic growth, labor market, real estate market, consumption, industry, trade, and economic survey data have also shown different trends. Central bank gold reserves in different countries and regions have different changes, and some currency - related ratios have also changed [9][11][13]. - **Fed Interest Rate Expectation**: According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut in different meeting dates from September 2025 to December 2026 is different [14].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that former President Trump is vocally opposing foreign digital regulations that he perceives as discriminatory against American tech companies while favoring Chinese firms [1][2] - Trump threatens to impose high tariffs and export controls on countries that enact digital taxes and regulations targeting U.S. tech companies [2][5] - The European Union (EU) has introduced the Digital Markets Act and Digital Services Act since 2022 to regulate the digital market and limit unfair competition from tech giants [5][12] Group 2 - EU officials have denied accusations that their regulations target any specific country, asserting that their laws apply equally to all companies operating within the EU [6][12] - The EU emphasizes that its regulatory measures are non-discriminatory and are based on democratic values, not subject to negotiation with other countries [6][12] - There is increasing pressure within the EU to activate the "anti-coercion" mechanism in response to Trump's threats, with some member states expressing support for this action [12][13]