双循环

Search documents
中国增购250万吨俄罗斯石油:能源合作背后的战略博弈与俄方让步
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 23:11
Group 1: Core Agreement - Russia will increase annual oil supply to China by 2.5 million tons, raising the supply cap from 10 million tons to 12.5 million tons, with the contract extended until 2034 [2] Group 2: Price Discounts - The additional 2.5 million tons of oil will be priced $12 per barrel lower than the international market, representing a discount of approximately 15%, which is higher than the previous average discount of about 10% [3] - This price concession reflects Russia's deep reliance on the Chinese market amid Western sanctions, with 78% of Russia's oil exports directed to Asia, over 50% of which goes to China [3] Group 3: Transportation Routes - The new oil supply will primarily be transported through Kazakhstan's pipeline network, marking a strategic shift to diversify transportation routes [5][6] - Russia's concessions include the transfer of some pipeline operational rights to Kazakhstan, reducing its control over transportation [8] - The agreement also allows for risk-sharing by reducing dependence on a single route, providing a "dual insurance" mechanism for energy security [8] Group 4: Settlement Mechanism - The transaction will utilize a settlement mechanism in Renminbi and Ruble, bypassing the SWIFT system, which has significant strategic implications [9][11] - This arrangement helps Russia avoid sanctions risks and allows for a closed-loop system of oil-for-goods trade with China, eliminating dependence on the US dollar [11] - The shift to Renminbi settlement is expected to lower transaction costs, saving approximately $525,000 annually based on the new oil supply [11] Group 5: Long-term Commitment - The extension of the supply contract until 2034 provides stability for Chinese refineries, allowing for necessary upgrades and reducing investment risks [12][14] - This long-term agreement intertwines the energy interests of both countries, reinforcing strategic cooperation in international affairs [12][14] Group 6: Geopolitical Implications - Russia's support for China's stance on Taiwan and its tacit approval of China's energy influence in Central Asia reflect a geopolitical compromise [15] - The agreement indirectly endorses China's Belt and Road Initiative by allowing greater energy control through Kazakhstan, crucial for China's dual circulation strategy [15] Group 7: Strategic Evolution - The 2.5 million tons oil purchase agreement signifies a shift from "resource complementarity" to "strategic symbiosis" in Sino-Russian energy cooperation [17] - Russia's concessions across various dimensions highlight its survival strategy under Western sanctions and recognition of China's market position [17]
中国为什么还需要外资?(读者点题·共同关注)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-05-21 22:00
我关注到今年又出台了稳外资行动方案,改革开放40多年,国内市场经营主体已茁壮成长,我们为什么 还需要外资? 第三组,外资企业贡献了中国1/3的进出口,外资准入负面清单从最早190项缩减到现在的全国版29项和 自贸试验区版27项,制造业领域已实现"清零"。 加快构建新发展格局,外资是联通国内国际双循环的桥梁纽带。一方面,促进要素流动型开放,通过供 应链带动技术、产品、服务等跨境流动,让我国深度参与全球产业分工与合作;另一方面,助力制度型 开放,推动经济、科技、生态等多方面体制机制改革。 "实践证明,外资企业是中国式现代化的重要参与者,是中国改革开放和创新创造的重要参与者,是中 国联通世界、融入经济全球化的重要参与者。" ——人民网网友 这名网友的疑问有一定代表性。 先看3组数据。 第一组,截至目前,外商在华投资累计设立企业124万家,投资额近3万亿美元。 外资企业早已是中国高质量发展不可分割的组成部分,贡献了中国1/4的工业增加值、1/7的税收,创造 了3000多万个就业岗位,为中国经济增长作出了积极贡献。 第二组,外商在华投资已覆盖20个行业门类、115个行业大类;在制造业领域,31个大类和548个小类都 有 ...
特朗普开始乱出拳!收拾不了中国,美国想出了新招,一个都不放过!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 03:47
Group 1 - The U.S. plans to unilaterally impose new tariffs on certain countries due to the inability to negotiate with 150 nations simultaneously, as stated by President Trump [1] - The U.S.-China trade conflict has reached a temporary pause, but tariffs on China remain, indicating a complex negotiation landscape ahead [1][3] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary and Commerce Secretary will inform trade partners about the new tariff rates, emphasizing the importance of maintaining trade relations with the U.S. [5] Group 2 - The European Union has responded strongly to U.S. tariffs by implementing countermeasures targeting approximately €210 billion worth of U.S. goods, with a focus on politically sensitive products [5] - India has taken a significant step by filing a complaint with the WTO against U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, marking a notable shift in its trade strategy [7] - The ongoing trade tensions highlight the evolving dynamics of global trade relationships, with countries like India and the EU adopting more assertive stances against U.S. policies [5][7]
(经济观察)中国精准“出牌”稳外贸
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-18 05:19
据海关总署最新数据,前4个月中国进出口总值同比增长2.4%,其中出口同比增长7.5%。此间学者认 为,这一积极表现得益于官方接连出台政策、企业灵活调整战略等多方面因素,但因外部风险仍存,不 能掉以轻心。 最大的挑战源自贸易保护主义。中国银行研究院研究员刘佩忠指出,未来美关税政策不确定性仍较大, 将从贸易投资、金融市场、信心预期等多方面对全球造成冲击,叠加上年同期基数走高,短期内中国出 口增长将承压。 精准"出牌"稳外贸,是中国应对不确定性的关键。分析认为,从近期官方释放信息看,中国稳外贸着眼 从三方面发力。 其一,进一步扩大开放。 中新社北京5月18日电 (尹倩芸)应对外部不确定性,中国近期打出多张"政策牌",以期为外贸解忧。 商务部部长王文涛此前调研指出,面对复杂性、严峻性、不确定性上升的外部环境,国内市场是外贸企 业的坚强后盾,要更好发挥超大国内市场优势,以国内大循环的稳定性和确定性,助力企业应对外部冲 击。 数据显示,自商务部4月启动"外贸优品中华行"活动以来,截至5月初,已累计达成采购意向逾167亿元 (人民币,下同),吸引2400多家外贸企业和6500多家采购商参加。京东、美团等电商平台也以流量扶 ...
华夏时评:当国内大循环成为战略立足点
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-17 09:22
当地时间5月10日至11日,中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部长贝 森特和贸易代表格里尔在瑞士日内瓦举行中美经贸高层会谈。当地时间5月12日上午9:00,双方发布 《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》。 以一种确定性,应对另一种不确定性,现在成为一个基本思路。 最大的不确定性,中美之间的贸易谈判,在一个月胶着较量之后,在中方给出具备实力的反制措施之 后,中美双方开启的第一次谈判突如其来,而让市场意外的谈判成果也突如其来。 美方取消对中国商品加征的共计91%的关税,修改对中国商品加征的34%的对等关税,其中24%的关税 暂停加征90天,保留剩余10%的关税。相应地,中方取消对美国商品加征的共计91%的反制关税;针对 美对等关税的34%反制关税,相应暂停其中24%的关税90天,其余10%的关税予以保留。中方还相应暂 停或取消对美国的相关非关税反制措施。 在此形势下,一股"抢出口"的航运行情出现了。采购商订单增加的预期之下,货船是否够用成为新的问 题,热闹的景象之下,90天的期限,对于国内的生产制造商来说到底是积极清库存,还是积极加大未来 的生产计划,这些又都是不确定的。 责任编辑:徐芸茜 主 ...
瞭望·治国理政纪事|积极打造高能级开放平台
Xin Hua She· 2025-05-17 01:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of expanding both domestic and international openness in Shaanxi, aiming to create a highland for reform and opening-up in the inland region, and actively participating in the Belt and Road Initiative [1][2][4] - In 2024, Shaanxi's high-tech product exports reached 177.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, with electric vehicle exports reaching 150,000 units, valued at 19.87 billion yuan, marking a growth of over 1,200 times in quantity and 863 times in trade value [2][24] - The region has seen a significant increase in the operation of the China-Europe Railway Express, with the annual operating volume rising from over 100 trains initially to 4,985 trains in 2024, with local cargo value accounting for over 40% [7][8] Group 2 - The establishment of the China (Shaanxi) Free Trade Zone has led to innovative measures that enhance customs efficiency by 50% and save logistics costs by 30 million yuan, contributing significantly to the province's trade [14][15] - Shaanxi has actively engaged in international cooperation, establishing cross-border e-commerce pilot zones and enhancing logistics capabilities, which has resulted in a total import and export value of 454.07 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 12.3% [3][6] - The province's exports to countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 263.98 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%, with trade with South Korea and ASEAN countries also showing significant growth [23][24] Group 3 - Shaanxi's logistics network has been optimized through the integration of various transport modes, including rail, air, and sea, enhancing the efficiency of international trade and logistics operations [9][12] - The province has implemented a "cross-border transportation corridor" that reduces transport time to Azerbaijan to 11 days, facilitating the efficient flow of bulk commodities [9][10] - The establishment of the "Shaanxi International Port" has attracted goods from various regions, enhancing the province's role as a logistics hub [8][22] Group 4 - The province's focus on technology and innovation has led to the establishment of a "green low-carbon development system," promoting the growth of high-tech and emerging industries [16][17] - Shaanxi has developed a collaborative mechanism for industries to "go global," with significant investments in overseas projects, such as a cement project in Uzbekistan [24][26] - The province's financial institutions have enhanced support for foreign trade, with private enterprises accounting for nearly 40% of the total trade volume in 2024 [25][26]
中国供应链发展全景视图与趋势展望
China Securities· 2025-05-16 07:20
Policy Framework - China has established a comprehensive supply chain security policy system since 2012, covering both macro and industry-specific levels[2] - The government emphasizes self-control and efficiency in supply chains, with significant tax incentives for high-tech enterprises and support for digital transformation of SMEs[2] Economic Impact - In 2024, China's total import and export volume is projected to reach $6.16 trillion, maintaining its position as the world's largest trading nation[3] - China's manufacturing output accounts for 31.6% of global production, significantly surpassing the combined output of the second to fifth largest manufacturing countries[45] Supply Chain Dynamics - China's reliance on Europe and the U.S. has decreased, while deepening cooperation with Japan and South Korea, and forming a mutual dependency with ASEAN[3] - High-value industries still exhibit a pattern of strong assembly capabilities but weak core technologies, indicating a need for further development in high-end sectors[3] Strategic Initiatives - Short-term strategies focus on cost control, technological innovation, and market diversification to mitigate external shocks[3] - Long-term goals include building overseas supply chain networks and optimizing global industrial layouts to enhance resilience[3] Financial Support - The government has implemented various financial policies to support supply chain financing, including tailored financing strategies for SMEs[22] - In 2025, the central government's science and technology expenditure is planned to increase by 10% to approximately $63.5 billion, focusing on foundational research and strategic technology tasks[21]
勾勒深港“科技+金融”双循环新范式 这场火爆的研讨会破解科技创新企业扬帆国际“密码”丨“潮起香江 聚势共赢——深港资本市场融合发展与赴港上市专题研讨会”圆满举行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 06:57
Group 1 - The integration of Shenzhen's technological innovation and Hong Kong's financial capabilities is crucial for the development of a dual circulation economy in China [1][2] - The seminar held on May 15-16, 2025, aimed to address challenges faced by Shenzhen companies in listing in Hong Kong and to explore new paradigms for capital markets serving the real economy [1][2] - Shenzhen is recognized as a hub for strategic emerging industries, while Hong Kong serves as a significant international capital resource, creating a strong foundation for economic collaboration [2][3] Group 2 - The Hong Kong stock market has undergone reforms to create a diverse and inclusive investment ecosystem, making it a key platform for mainland companies to access international markets [3][4] - A survey conducted prior to the seminar identified major challenges for companies preparing to list in Hong Kong, including unfamiliarity with listing rules and differences in accounting standards [4][6] - The seminar featured insights from various financial institutions and experts, emphasizing the importance of understanding the complexities of the Hong Kong capital market for successful internationalization [6][7] Group 3 - SF Express shared its experience as the first logistics company to list in Hong Kong, highlighting the importance of presenting a relatable investment narrative to international investors [5][6] - The seminar included discussions on the regulatory and operational aspects of listing in Hong Kong, with contributions from legal and financial professionals [7] - The event also marked the launch of an evaluation initiative aimed at enhancing the quality and investment value of Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong [7]
经济日报金观平:因势利导优化经济布局
news flash· 2025-05-15 23:30
文章指出,当前,我国正处于"十四五"收官在即、"十五五"谋篇蓄势的关键时期。同时,经济全球化遭 遇逆流,单边主义、保护主义严重冲击国际规则和国际秩序。在此背景下,有必要战略性前瞻性优化经 济布局,进一步夯实我国构建现代化产业体系的基础,巩固提升国家发展安全水平。要立足内需主导, 强化"双循环"战略支点。要突破行政壁垒,实现生产要素高效配置。要强化双轮驱动,推动创新发展与 绿色转型并进。 ...
因势利导优化经济布局
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-15 22:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of scientifically formulating and effectively implementing national development plans as a key experience in governance and a political advantage of socialism with Chinese characteristics, crucial for maintaining strategic continuity and stability [1] - The current period is critical as China approaches the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and prepares for the "15th Five-Year Plan," necessitating a strategic optimization of the economic layout to strengthen the modern industrial system and enhance national development security [1] - The adjustment and optimization of the economic layout are seen as essential responses to complex external environments and domestic development contradictions, serving as strategic support for constructing a new development pattern [1] Group 2 - The focus on domestic demand as the main driver and the reinforcement of the "dual circulation" strategy is highlighted, with an emphasis on the increasing role of consumption in economic growth and the need to enhance manufacturing advantages [2] - The need to break down administrative barriers for efficient allocation of production factors is discussed, advocating for a unified national market and better cross-regional flow of resources such as land, labor, capital, and data [2] - The importance of regional economic optimization through differentiated positioning and complementary advantages is emphasized, aiming to enhance overall competitiveness [2] Group 3 - The dual-driven approach to promote innovation development and green transformation is underscored, with a focus on integrating industrial upgrades with ecological benefits under the "dual carbon" goals [3] - The necessity to seize opportunities in the digital economy and accelerate the digital transformation of traditional industries is highlighted, aiming to reshape industrial competitiveness through collaborative innovation [3] - A systematic approach and bottom-line thinking are recommended for adjusting and optimizing the economic layout, emphasizing the importance of development and security coordination [3]