美联储降息周期
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金晟富:4.23黄金延续跌势能否再创新低?晚间黄金行情分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 08:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles suggests that the recent fluctuations in the gold market are influenced by various factors, including President Trump's comments and the overall economic environment, rather than solely relying on Trump's actions [1][2][3] - The gold price has experienced significant volatility, recently dropping to around $3,315 per ounce after reaching a record high of $3,500, indicating a potential correction phase in the market [2][3] - The underlying logic for the bullish trend in gold remains intact, driven by concerns over U.S. debt repayment capabilities, challenges to the dollar's dominance, and persistent fiscal deficits [1][2] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that the recent downward trend in gold prices is expected to continue, with key support levels identified at $3,285 and $3,245 [4][6] - Current trading strategies suggest a focus on short positions, with recommendations to sell on rebounds around $3,320 to $3,325, while considering buying opportunities near $3,245 to $3,250 [7][8] - The market is closely monitoring upcoming economic data, particularly the U.S. PMI figures, which could influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and subsequently impact gold prices [3][4]
金价冲上3100美元,2025年初以来累计上涨超18%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 03:48
Core Insights - The global gold market experienced a historic moment on March 31, with London spot gold prices breaking through the key psychological level of $3100 per ounce, reaching a peak of $3101.51 per ounce, marking a new all-time high [1] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical instability, escalating trade tensions, and expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, prompting investors to shift funds towards gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - Since the beginning of 2025, gold prices have cumulatively increased by over 18%, reinforcing gold's position in the global financial market [1] Market Dynamics - The continuous rise in gold prices is supported by its unique attributes as a safe-haven asset and is closely linked to expectations of loose global monetary policies [1] - The potential for a weakening U.S. dollar due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is expected to further enhance gold's attractiveness [1] - Central banks globally are predicted to increase their gold purchases to approximately 1300 tons per year, providing strong support for the gold market [1] Future Outlook - The market sentiment towards future gold price trends is generally optimistic, with many institutions and analysts believing that gold prices will continue to rise due to sustained risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policies [1] - Some institutions even predict that the central price of gold could surpass $3800 per ounce [1]