Group 1: Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China announced a series of monetary policy measures including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, which is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [3][4] - The central bank also lowered the 7-day reverse repurchase rate by 0.1 percentage points from 1.5% to 1.4%, which will lead to a corresponding decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [3][4] Group 2: Economic Growth and Demand Expansion - The measures aim to address external shocks, expand domestic demand, and reduce the cost of bank liabilities, especially in light of ongoing global trade tensions and low domestic inflation [4][5] - The central bank is also focusing on boosting consumer spending and investment by lowering the reserve requirement ratio for auto finance and leasing companies to 0% and establishing a 500 billion yuan "service consumption and pension re-loan" to support financial institutions in these sectors [6][8] Group 3: Support for Enterprises and Foreign Trade - Increased financing support for small and micro enterprises is a priority, with an additional 300 billion yuan allocated for agricultural and small enterprise re-loans, bringing the total to 3 trillion yuan [8][9] - The financial regulatory authority plans to implement a series of policies to stabilize foreign trade, including enhancing export credit insurance and providing tailored financial services for affected enterprises [9][10] Group 4: Real Estate Market Stability - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization after a prolonged adjustment, with first-tier cities experiencing a rebound in second-hand housing prices [12][13] - Measures include lowering mortgage rates and public housing loan rates to alleviate the financial burden on homebuyers and stimulate demand [13][14] Group 5: Capital Market Stability - The China Securities Regulatory Commission expressed confidence in stabilizing the stock market, with the Shanghai Composite Index recovering from previous lows and showing an 8.91% increase [17][18] - Future policies will focus on internal stability, institutional reforms, and external openness to enhance market resilience [17][22] Group 6: Technological Innovation Financing - The government aims to establish a comprehensive financial system to support technological innovation through various financing channels, including loans, equity financing, and bond issuance [23][24] - Specific measures include promoting the issuance of technology innovation bonds and enhancing insurance coverage for technology enterprises [26][29]

证券研究报告 固收视角 双降落地，曲线走陡 华泰研究 2025 年 5 月 07 日│中国内地 张继强 研究员 SAC No. S0570518110002 SFC No. AMB145 zhangjiqiang@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 吴宇航 研究员 SAC No. S0570521090004 wuyuhang@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 仇文竹 研究员 SAC No. S0570521050002 qiuwenzhu@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 其次对市场而言，择机或适时降准降息早有预告，本次降准时间和力度基本符合预期。在我们 4 月 18 日开展的问卷调 查中，89%的投资者认为未来三个月会降准。我们也认为降准时机基本成熟。一是当前银行超储率水位不高，中长期 流动性缺口有待补充；二是降准时间间隔已接近历史平均规律，上一次降准是 2024 年 9 月，根据历史规律降准间隔平 均为 4-8 月；三是政府债进入发行高峰，特别国债启动发行，降准有助于稳定资金面。 降息时间略早于预判，但并不意外，幅度为 10BP，低于去年 ...

不过从去年924行情启动以来，军工板块的股性是比较差的，而且市场的溢价并不是很高。啊今天市场 整体冲高回落的背景下，军工的很多的股票也是出现了冲高回落的现象。不过从中长期的角度去分析的 话，啊再结合巴以冲突啊是吧？一些国际局势，还有我们国家飞机、军舰等军事装备领域展现出的强大 的实力来说的话，军工板块我觉得长期逻辑还是向好的，但是操作的话需要把握住节奏，才能够更好地 获取收益。我们通俗点来说，军工这个板块后面可能还会反复的炒作，关键在于催化剂。我们总结一下 啊昨天单边上涨之后，今天降准降息高开低走，资金发生了分歧，但是指数站稳了3327的这个支撑位， 随后在2:30开始反弹，我们明天重点去观察一下3327这个位置能不能够站稳。如果说明天3327这个位置 能够站稳的话，我们就可以动手低吸了，但是如果说站不稳的话，我们可能还要观察一下，啊交易上面 我们还是5成仓位，等待市场确定性的机会。 5月7日，和讯投顾邓攀在盘后时表示，指数因为降准降息高开，但是市场资金产生了分歧，导致了高开 低走，不过好消息是支撑位守住了，3327这个位置守住了，但是明天可能还要去考验一下这个位置的支 撑力度。今天整个市场3293家上涨，1 ...

交银国际研究 宏观策略 2025 年 5 月 7 日 中国宏观 一揽子金融政策简评：三大金融部门联手稳预期、提信心 2025 年 5 月 7 日，"五一"假期后，国务院新闻办公室宣布一揽子重磅金融政 策，中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证监会负责人出席会议，并 介绍具体措施。本次金融政策支持举措的落地也是今年 4 月中央政治局会议精 神的传达和落实（参见此前报告），会议提出适时降准降息、创设新的结构性 货币政策工具，以及一系列稳预期、提信心的具体举措均实现了快速的落实。 本次金融政策组合拳覆盖货币政策、资本市场、房地产市场以及实体经济等多 个领域。从政策内容看，既有短期纾困举措，也有长期制度安排；既有总量政 策，也有结构性工具，形成了全方位、多层次的政策支持体系。预计本次政策 组合将对稳定市场预期、提振市场信心、支持实体经济发展产生积极影响。同 时，中美经贸关系出现积极转变，双方重启谈判渠道，利好提振市场风险情 绪，为港股市场带来正面催化。具体来看： 中国人民银行：降准、降息，精准宽松 中国人民银行行长潘功胜宣布全面降准、降息组合拳。此次降准 0.5 个百分点 释放长期流动性约 1 万亿元人民币（下同 ...

2025 年 5 月 7 日 5 月 7 日一揽子金融政策点评 乘风好去 证券分析师 事项： 2025 年 5 月 7 日国新办举行新闻发布会，一行两局介绍"一揽子金融政策支持 稳市场稳预期"有关情况。 平安观点： 宏 观 报 告 宏 观 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 平安证券研究所投资评级： 股票投资评级: 强烈推荐 （预计 6 个月内，股价表现强于市场表现 20%以上） 推 荐 （预计 6 个月内，股价表现强于市场表现 10%至 20%之间） 中 性 （预计 6 个月内，股价表现相对市场表现在±10%之间） 回 避 （预计 6 个月内，股价表现弱于市场表现 10%以上） 行业投资评级: 强于大市 （预计 6 个月内，行业指数表现强于市场表现 5%以上） 中 性 （预计 6 个月内，行业指数表现相对市场表现在±5%之间） 弱于大市 （预计 6 个月内，行业指数表现弱于市场表现 5%以上） 张璐 投资咨询资格编号 S1060522100001 ZHANGLU150@pingan.com.cn 常艺馨 投资咨询资格编号 S1060522080003 CHANGYIXIN050@pingan.com.cn 一、 ...

【导读】知名私募解读"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"相关内容 5月7日，中国人民银行、国家金融监管总局、中国证监会召开新闻发布会，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持 稳市场稳预期"有关情况，受到市场关注。 会后，中国基金报记者采访了多家知名私募机构，私募人士对相关内容进行解读并表示，此次政策力度 超预期，提振了市场信心。央行宣布降准又降息，对于金融市场和实体经济均有重要意义；还有对外贸 企业和科技创新的定向支持，创设科技创新债券风险分担工具，保险公司调降股票投资风险因子，为稳 经济和稳资本市场提供了有力支持。 "发布会上各新增政策务实且积极，整体力度超出市场预期，一定程度上增强了市场关于政策连续性和 落地及时性的信心，对国内资本市场情绪也有明显支撑。"星石投资副总经理、基金经理方磊说。 方磊进一步表示，政策稳市场稳预期的目标较为明确：第一，调降股票投资风险因子等各项政策发力， 推动长钱长投，促进增量资金入市；第二，动态完善应对各类外部风险冲击的工作预案，全力支持中央 汇金公司发挥类平准基金作用；第三，积极回应关税冲击，虽然上市公司经营会受到影响，但A股上市 公司近九成收入来自国内，超大规模的内需和潜在的需求为A股市场 ...

地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层（100020） 总机：010-8535 6666 冠通每日交易策略 制作日期：2025 年 5 月 07 日 热点品种 尿素： 尿素今日小幅高开，日内保持上行趋势。工厂价格延续上行，开启限量收单模式， 期货盘面连续上涨刺激市场需求好转。基本面情况来看，供应端，上游工厂节后 有小部分检修减产，今日日产环比小幅下降，后续联盟及刘化有检修情况，以窄 幅波动为主。需求端来看，农业备肥偏谨慎，工厂收高价成交情况一般，工业需 求仍未刚需，复合肥工厂方面，终端走货不畅，场内成品库存继续高位攀升，原 料端尿素价格上行，利润空间有所压缩，开工率连续八周下降，下游接货情绪受 盘面影响，今日上涨趋缓，关注后续动能。本周库存转为去化，除供应小幅下降 外，需求情况表现为有所增加，对盘面提供支撑力度。今日宏观一览政策发布， 基本面数据有所改善，盘面相对高位运行，出现增仓上行状态，受出口传言影响， 市场预期偏高，但目前暂时无官方消息证实，仍需等待跟踪后续情况，注意盘面 风险。 碳酸锂： 碳酸锂连续六日下降后，今日开盘后迅速走低，再创历史新低，午后窄幅震荡， 收盘价 646 ...

Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a series of monetary policy measures including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and a 0.1 percentage point cut in policy interest rates to support economic recovery and stabilize market expectations [2][3] - The RRR cut is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market, effective from May 15 [3][4] - The policy interest rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase operation will decrease from 1.5% to 1.4%, which is anticipated to lead to a similar decline in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [4][5] Structural Policy Tools - The PBOC also lowered the interest rates on structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points, enhancing the effectiveness of these tools in supporting key sectors such as technology innovation and consumer services [6][7] - A new 500 billion yuan service consumption and pension re-loan program was established to guide banks in increasing credit support for these areas [6][7] Housing Market Support - The interest rate for personal housing provident fund loans was reduced by 0.25 percentage points, with the five-year and above first home loan rate decreasing from 2.85% to 2.6%, potentially saving residents over 20 billion yuan in interest annually [5][6] - For a 1 million yuan, 30-year loan, monthly payments will decrease by approximately 133 yuan, resulting in a total interest savings of about 47,600 yuan [5] Long-term Investment Policies - The National Financial Regulatory Administration announced eight new policies aimed at increasing long-term investments, including adjustments to insurance company stock investment risk factors, which could lead to an estimated increase of over 130 billion yuan in incremental capital [8][9] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is working on reforms to enhance the capital market's resilience and support for technology innovation bonds, aiming to improve the overall investment environment [9][10] Market Stability Measures - The CSRC is focused on stabilizing the market by enhancing monitoring and risk assessment, while also promoting reforms in the STAR Market and GEM to improve adaptability and inclusiveness [9][10] - The introduction of a public fund reform plan aims to shift the focus from scale to returns, optimizing the fee structure for active equity funds [10]

Market Overview - The overall market index showed a slight increase in trading volume, with a turnover of approximately 1.5 trillion [1] - The market experienced a high followed by a pullback, indicating a tendency for profit-taking among investors [1] - Sector performance was characterized by rotation, with initial gains in the financial and real estate sectors driven by expectations of interest rate cuts, but these gains could not be sustained [1] Sector Analysis - The military industry sector emerged as the main focus of the day, driven by specific events that catalyzed its rise [2] - The recent increase in military stocks is viewed as a short-term behavior, with a strong foundation for long-term growth due to the need to fulfill 40% of the remaining orders from the previous five-year plan [2] - Despite the positive long-term outlook, many military stocks also experienced a pullback during the overall market decline, indicating volatility [2] Investment Opportunities - The robotics technology sector attracted significant capital flow, particularly in the afternoon, indicating investor interest [1] - Chemical stocks, exemplified by Hongbaoli, received attention due to their strong capital gathering attributes, leading to localized profit-making effects [1] - The military sector's potential for growth is supported by international dynamics, such as the Israel-Palestine conflict, and China's advancements in military equipment [2]

先下后上。 节后第二天，市场期待已久的降准降息同时落地。5月7日上午，国新办举行的新闻发布会上，央行行长 潘功胜宣布了一揽子共10项货币政策措施，成为继去年"924"新政后又一政策"大礼包"。 从当天市场表现来看，早盘股市受相关消息提振集体大涨，多个板块掀起涨停潮，之后三大股指纷纷回 落，尾盘则再度拉升全部收涨。相比之下，债市短端利率有所下行，长债利率却是不降反升，反应略 显"平淡"。 一揽子金融政策对债市影响几何？受访人士认为，降准降息同时落地超出市场预期，但降幅低于预期， 市场看多者众，但做多情绪不足。随着利好落地，后续进入政策效果观察阶段，市场目光将进一步聚焦 经济数据表现、关税谈判进展及影响，以及资金面变化。 7日上午出台的一揽子货币政策举措中，关于降准，潘功胜宣布降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点，预计将 向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元；完善存款准备金制度，阶段性将汽车金融公司、金融租赁公司的存 款准备金率，从目前的5%调降至0%。 关于降息，潘功胜宣布下调政策利率0.1个百分点，即公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1.5%调降 至1.4%，预计将带动贷款市场报价利率（LPR）同步下行约0.1个百分点 ...