Core Viewpoint - The report from Galaxy Securities predicts a fluctuating upward trend in the A-share market for June, suggesting a mixed strategy for investment focusing on three main lines: consumption, technology, and dividends [1] Investment Strategy - Galaxy Securities recommends a balanced investment approach, emphasizing the importance of growth sectors such as technology, which are expected to benefit from policy support and industrial development [1] - The report highlights the consumer sector, which is anticipated to gain from domestic consumption policies and the expected appreciation of the Renminbi [1] - Banks are noted for their earnings certainty, low valuations, and high dividends, making them valuable during market fluctuations [1] Sector Focus - The report suggests focusing on value stocks within the technology and consumer sectors for investment opportunities in June [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The transportation sector experienced significant growth during the May Day holiday, with rail, road, waterway, and civil aviation passenger traffic increasing by 10.63%, 6.52%, 23.96%, and 13.48% year-on-year respectively [1][5] - Daily average passenger volume for civil aviation reached 2.27 million, exceeding expectations, with oil ticket prices slightly higher than the same period last year [1][6] Key Insights and Arguments - **Air Travel Demand**: The number of first-time flyers increased, particularly among the 19-22 age group, while the silver economy also showed strong performance [1][6] - **Catalysts for Airline Stocks**: Recent catalysts for airline stocks include better-than-expected May Day data and a continuous decline in oil prices. The aviation fuel surcharge price decreased by 18.85% year-on-year [1][8] - **Investment Focus**: The main investment themes in the aviation sector for 2025 are performance certainty and price elasticity. The ranking for performance certainty is Huaxia Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines, while the ranking for price elasticity is Air China, China Southern Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines [1][9] Company-Specific Highlights - **Huaxia Airlines**: Expected to turn profitable in 2024, with a year-on-year performance increase in Q1 2025, benefiting from increased subsidies for regional airlines [1][10] - **Spring Airlines**: Despite a slight decline in post-tax profit in Q1 2025 due to tax expenses, the company remains one of the most profitable airlines in the industry [1][11] - **Juneyao Airlines**: Implemented a dual-brand, dual-hub strategy to cover the entire market, showing significant growth in international routes [1][12] Financial Performance and Projections - **Huaxia Airlines**: Projected net profits of 700 million, 1.1 billion, and 1.3 billion for 2025 to 2027 [1][10] - **Spring Airlines**: Expected net profits of 2.7 billion, 3.2 billion, and 4 billion for 2025 to 2027 [1][11] - **Juneyao Airlines**: Projected net profits of 1.887 billion, 2.526 billion, and 2.704 billion for 2025 to 2027 [1][15] Market Expectations Post-Holiday - Post-holiday, the demand for air travel is expected to exceed market expectations, with ticket prices likely to remain stable or slightly higher than last year [1][17] - Two main catalysts for stock price increases include strong demand data and declining oil prices [1][17] Recommendations - Recommended stocks with strong performance certainty include Huaxia Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines. For price elasticity, the recommendations are Air China, China Southern Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines, contingent on continued price improvements [1][18]

以下文章来源于申万宏源证券上海分公司 ，作者司伟杰 申万宏源证券上海分公司 . 申万宏源证券上海分公司官微，能为您提供账户开立、软件下载、研究所及投顾资讯等综合服务，为您的财富保驾护航。 ----------------- 本周市场概况 本周创业板强于上证指数，随着沪深 300ETF 净买入有所减缓，市场自发性力量开始接手。上周末的机器人半程马拉松比赛并未降低行业 发展的预期，叠加特斯拉机器人可能来中国建厂的传闻，机器人产业链热度回升，本周表现强势。本周电池大厂的新技术发布会带动了钠 离子电池以及其他新能源产业链的估值修复，氢能受部分省份的《氢能产业中长期发展规划》等涨幅居前，电力、银行等防守方向偶有表 现，贵金属、半导体等板块则面临回调压力。 整体看，本周板块轮动较快，市场窄幅震荡，成交量环比变化不大，缺乏明确的市场机会和操作空间，并且，随着五一长假的临近，下周 三个交易日预计还会延续此状态。 四月的超额收益在哪？ 四月份如果问哪个因素最容易获取超额收益？那么答案一定是业绩。近几周业绩超预期公司，普遍收益较好。首先， 去年四季度和一季度 营收、扣非净利润双增的公司，大概率公司经营良好，并且有望延续，毕竟对未 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a shrinking fluctuation on April 2, with a trading volume of 992.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 160.1 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking the second-lowest trading volume of the year [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, and North China 50 Index rose by 0.05%, 0.09%, 0.13%, and 0.52% respectively, while the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index fell by 0.16% [1] Sector Performance - Active sectors included humanoid robots, industrial mother machines, CRO, jewelry, and diversified finance, with the textile and apparel, beauty care, and communication sectors leading gains at 1.45%, 1.01%, and 0.97% respectively [2] - The humanoid robot sector saw significant gains, with companies like Saimo Intelligent rising over 11%, Jizhi Co. nearly 10%, and Qinchuan Machine Tool over 8% [2] Capital Flow - On April 2, the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets saw a net outflow of 9.692 billion yuan, marking the 13th consecutive trading day of net outflows [3] - Among the 22 sectors with net outflows, the pharmaceutical, electronics, and defense industries experienced the largest outflows of 3.076 billion yuan, 1.838 billion yuan, and 1.274 billion yuan respectively [3] Investment Sentiment - Investor risk appetite has decreased, leading to a cautious capital environment, as indicated by the significant net outflows from major sectors [2][3] - Analysts suggest that the upcoming "reciprocal tariffs" may cause short-term volatility in the A-share market, but the long-term outlook remains resilient due to domestic policy support and valuation advantages [4] Earnings Focus - The rolling price-to-earnings ratio for the entire A-share market was 18.56 times, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index was at 12.44 times, indicating that A-shares still offer value compared to other major global markets [3] - Analysts recommend focusing on companies with positive earnings expectations as the market pricing is expected to return to fundamentals in April [4]

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to experience low trading volume with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up by 0.05% and the A500 Index ETF (159351) remaining flat, indicating a cautious market sentiment as it enters the earnings reporting period [1] - The A500 Index ETF (159351) recorded a trading volume of 3.031 billion yuan, ranking third among similar products in the market, with a turnover rate of 18.59%, highlighting its strong liquidity and investor demand [1] - Institutional investors believe that earnings certainty will be the main driver for excess returns in April, with a shift in focus towards fundamental performance as the expected growth rate of net profit for the CSI A500 Index in 2025 is projected at 12.8%, surpassing that of the CSI 300 Index (9.64%) and the Shanghai Composite Index (9.93%) [1] Group 2 - The A500 Index ETF (159351) tracks the CSI A500 Index, which consists of 500 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, providing a balanced industry distribution and serving as a tool for investors to access representative A-share companies [2] - Investors can also access the A500 Index through the A500 Index ETF linked funds (Class A 022453; Class C 022454) to capitalize on the upward potential of core A-share assets [2]

Group 1 - A50ETF Huabao (159596) experienced a volume increase with a rise of 0.09% and a transaction amount of 87.56 million yuan as of March 25 [1] - The Shenyin Wanguo strategy team believes that the A-share market will favor defensive thinking in Q2, focusing on high-dividend assets that provide both absolute and relative returns [1] - The market is expected to see a reconstruction of valuations due to the transition of the domestic economy and the implementation of various policies, leading to gradual improvement in the economic fundamentals [1][2] Group 2 - Short-term market strategies suggest avoiding high-leverage and high-valuation small-cap tech stocks while focusing on safe assets like non-ferrous metals, military, and nuclear power due to increased macroeconomic uncertainties [2] - The current earnings disclosure period is critical, with potential investment opportunities in sectors showing strong performance or new catalysts, particularly in technology and consumer sectors [2][3] - The real estate sector shows signs of stabilization, which, along with other domestic demand components, could drive the next upward movement in the market [3] Group 3 - Investors are encouraged to consider A50ETF Huabao (159596) and its off-market linked funds for investment opportunities [4] - The formation of a MACD golden cross signal indicates positive momentum in certain stocks [5]