市场避险情绪和美联储降息预期助力 金价延续涨势 金十数据7月11日讯，黄金价格延续涨势，因市场对特朗普最新关税声明的担忧情绪升温，促使投资者 转向这一避险资产。黄金期货本周有望实现0.7%的周涨幅。三菱日联分析师Soojin Kim表示，特朗普本 周的广泛政策提议，包括对加拿大、巴西以及铜进口加征新关税，加剧了8月1日前的市场不确定性，从 而提升了避险资产的吸引力。与此同时，市场对于美联储将采取更加鸽派立场的预期也在支撑投资者对 黄金的需求。美联储6月会议纪要显示，只有少数官员预计今年不会降息。 ...

Core Insights - Spot silver prices increased by 2.76%, reaching $38 per ounce, marking the highest level since September 2011 [1] Group 1 - The surge in silver prices indicates a growing interest in precious metals as a hedge against economic uncertainty [1] - The current market trend suggests a potential shift towards silver futures as a preferred investment vehicle for risk-averse investors [1]

特朗普关税声明通告，市场避险情绪再启！黄金日内逼近关键阻力，短线是否再度反转？立即观看超V 推荐官Jason的分析，马上进入直播间>>> 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. plans to impose comprehensive tariffs, leading to a resurgence of risk-averse sentiment, which may drive gold prices to potentially reach 3350 [1] Group 1 - The announcement of comprehensive tariffs by the U.S. government is expected to impact market dynamics significantly [1] - Increased risk-averse sentiment among investors is likely to result from the tariff plans, influencing asset allocation strategies [1] - Analysts suggest that gold could see a price surge, with projections indicating a potential rise to 3350 [1]

【消息速递】 周四（7月11日），一则来自白宫的爆炸性消息席卷国际金融市场——美国总统特朗普宣布将于8月1日 起对巴西全面征收50%惩罚性关税，这一数字远超本周针对其他21国的关税幅度。 摘要周五（7月11日）欧盘时段，伦敦金价格徘徊在3340美元附近，稍早现货黄金短线拉升站上3340美 元关口，尽管美元整体走强，但不断升级的贸易紧张局势仍为金价提供支撑，市场对美联储降息预期降 温，可能限制现货黄金多头进一步建仓。 周五（7月11日）欧盘时段，伦敦金价格徘徊在3340美元附近，稍早现货黄金短线拉升站上3340美元关 口，尽管美元整体走强，但不断升级的贸易紧张局势仍为金价提供支撑，市场对美联储降息预期降温， 可能限制现货黄金多头进一步建仓。 特朗普政府本周内连续发布超20项关税通知，其中包括对加拿大商品征收35%关税、对铜征收50%关 税。市场对全球贸易前景的担忧迅速升温，避险资产——尤其是黄金，重新受到关注。 "我们看到避险资金持续流入黄金市场，特别是在风险资产波动明显上升的背景下。"——据市场调查显 示，纽约商品研究所分析师Mikael Rennan指出 尤其值得注意的是，本轮贸易政策升级波及传统盟友，进一 ...

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is currently influenced by a combination of strong U.S. labor market data and uncertainties surrounding Federal Reserve interest rate policies, leading to a high volatility environment for silver prices [3]. Group 1: Silver Price Movement - As of July 11, 2025, the spot silver price is trading at $37.43 per ounce, with a daily range between $36.87 and $37.48 [1][2]. - The opening price for silver today was $36.99 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent U.S. non-farm payroll data has shown strong performance, with initial jobless claims dropping to 227,000, indicating a robust labor market [3]. - The expectation for an immediate interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has decreased significantly due to these labor market indicators [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Silver is currently experiencing dual influences: inflows of safe-haven funds and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, which are limiting bullish positions in silver [3]. - Trade tensions, particularly Trump's new tariff threats, including a 50% tariff on copper starting August 1, are adding to economic uncertainty and potential inflation concerns [3]. Group 4: Trading Strategy - A bullish trading strategy is suggested, with a focus on maintaining long positions if silver stabilizes around the $36.8 level and breaks above $37.2, targeting $37.5 [4].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have been on the rise for three consecutive days, with expectations for a weekly gain, driven by renewed trade war concerns following President Trump's announcement of new tariffs [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices are experiencing upward momentum, with traders closely monitoring trade developments amid a quiet U.S. economic calendar [2]. - Safe-haven investments have resurfaced in the Asian trading session due to President Trump's tariff statements, leading to a cautious market sentiment [3]. - Trump's threats to impose a 35% tariff on goods imported from Canada, effective August 1, have dampened optimism regarding trade negotiations between Washington and Europe [4]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - The instability of Trump's trade policies has weakened investor confidence, reigniting demand for both the U.S. dollar and gold as safe-haven assets [5]. - Despite the dollar's rebound, gold buyers remain undeterred, with anxiety surrounding the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which may provide insights into the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [5]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Gold prices are rebounding from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $3,297, reclaiming the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3,325 [9]. - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has surpassed the midline, currently near 50.50, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment towards precious metals [10]. - A daily close above the 50-day SMA at $3,323 is necessary for buyers to challenge the 21-day SMA at $3,344, with potential resistance at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $3,377 [11].

文 | 和君咨询，作者 | 王旭 老铺黄金的故宫联名金锁二手溢价率远超普通金饰，泡泡玛特Labubu隐藏款拍出108万元天价，小米YU7催生黄牛代抢产业链……从溢价黄金到天价潮 玩，再到可炒作的汽车订单，人们一方面无法抑制消费的欲望，一方面又被"理性"左右着购买抉择。 01 现象透视：三大 " 理财化 " 消费样本 这股浪潮并非单一现象，而是在不同消费品类中展现出多元的"理财化"路径。我们选取了近期三个代表性的样本进行剖析。 老铺黄金：工艺加持的"避险资产" 老铺黄金的非遗手工金饰，在金价普涨18%的背景下，硬生生冲出了42%的溢价，41.2%毛利率相较周大福、周生生等都高出了10%以上。"黄金硬通货打 底，故宫IP加持，非遗工艺点睛"，这套组合拳让它在二手市场备受欢迎，如"敦煌飞天"限量款产品转售溢价率超30%，甚至出现"期货炒卖"现象（预定周 期6个月，转手利润达2万元）。众多购买者坦言：买它就是图个"抗通胀"——具备金价跌了当首饰戴，金价涨了当理财卖的双重属性。 这绝非孤例，当居民储蓄率达到约45%的历史高位，而同期银行理财平均收益却滑向2.5%的洼地，矛盾便催生了"消费避险化"趋势。国家统计局的数据佐 ...

关税升级刺激避险！黄金反弹能否延续？订单流给出什么进场信号？顺姐正在实时分析中，点击观看 订阅期货大宗商品趋势 +订阅 相关链接 实时黄金订单流分析 ...

美元反弹未破阻力，黄金反弹再回落，未站上心理关口？现在看涨风险是否过高？点击查看详细分析！ 相关链接 黄金支撑减弱，避险行情再启？ ...