（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 临近岁末春季行情，资金抢筹A股核心资产热情高涨，近5个交易日，同类最活跃A500ETF基金 （512050）累计吸金5.5亿元，近10个交易日，该ETF获得超24亿元资金净申购。 中信证券A股市场2026年投资策略表示，展望2026年，从大势研判来看，A股全球营收敞口企业已不局 限于少数公司，而是足以推动整个A股的行情，未来A股的基本面要放在全球市场需求去看，而不是单 看本土需求。在此框架下，中美格局决定了行情的节奏和顺畅程度，两个节点（中美签署贸易协议、美 国中期选举）可能将2026年的行情划为三段，中美签署协议后到美国中期选举前，中美格局相对最稳 定，这个阶段是做多权益市场的黄金期。 11月11日，A股主要指数高开后回落，沪指在4000点上方震荡蓄力，盘面上培育钻石、电池、光伏等概 念走强，截至10：16，A500ETF基金（512050）跌0.34%，盘中成交额快速突破9.6亿元位居同类第一。 持仓股中，华侨城A、三星医疗、方大炭素涨停，迈为股份、鹏辉能源、兴森科技等表现活跃。 ...

Core Insights - The company is a global leader in solar energy storage systems, with over 20 years of experience in the photovoltaic sector and has expanded into energy storage since 2018 [1][2] - The energy storage business accounted for over 20% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, with gross profit contribution exceeding 50% [1][2] - The company maintains a profit-first approach in its photovoltaic business, optimizing shipment schedules and focusing on high-margin overseas orders, making it one of the few companies expected to achieve positive gross margins in its solar business by mid-2025 [1][2] - The company is actively expanding its global production capacity to mitigate trade barriers amid escalating international trade tensions [1][2] Energy Storage Business - The company has made significant strides in its energy storage business since its first delivery in 2018, achieving over 10GWh of large-scale energy storage system shipments by the end of 2024 [2] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company shipped 5.8GWh of energy storage systems, with a record high of 2.7GWh in Q3 [2] - The profitability of the energy storage business has improved significantly, with revenue contribution nearing 20% and gross profit contribution exceeding 50% in the first half of 2025 [2] Photovoltaic Business - The company is recognized as a top-tier supplier in the global photovoltaic market, consistently ranking high in shipment volumes [2] - The company focuses on maintaining stable operations while optimizing shipment schedules to prioritize profitability [2] - The company leverages its international channel capabilities and brand advantages to explore high-margin orders globally [2] Global Production Strategy - The company is responding to increasing trade barriers by developing a global production strategy, establishing a supply chain across China, Thailand, and the United States [2] - This strategy aims to address the uncertainties posed by international geopolitical factors [2] Market Demand - There is a strong demand for energy storage in overseas markets, particularly in the U.S., where significant investments in data centers are expected to create new applications for energy storage [3] - The estimated demand for energy storage from data centers in the U.S. could reach between 122GWh and 245GWh by 2030 [3] - Non-U.S. markets, such as Europe and Australia, are also experiencing significant growth in energy storage demand, driven by large-scale auctions [3]

Group 1: Economic Indicators - In October, China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year and month-on-month, with the core CPI rising by 1.2%, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for October saw a year-on-year decline of 2.1%, but the rate of decline narrowed compared to the previous month, indicating a potential recovery trend [2][3] - The increase in CPI was influenced by seasonal factors, including higher service prices and rising prices for fresh vegetables and fruits due to weather conditions [2] Group 2: Import Expo - The eighth China International Import Expo concluded with a record intention transaction amount of $83.49 billion, a 4.4% increase from the previous year [4] - The Shanghai trading group led with an intention transaction amount of $10.62 billion, showing a 5.14% year-on-year growth [4] - The expo attracted over 4,100 foreign enterprises, including 290 Fortune 500 companies, highlighting China's market appeal amid global economic uncertainties [4] Group 3: Semiconductor Industry - NAND flash memory prices surged by up to 50% due to rising demand driven by AI infrastructure investments, causing disruptions in the storage supply chain [5] - DRAM prices increased significantly, with a year-on-year rise of 171.8% reported in Q3 2025 [5][6] - The storage products market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, leading to widespread price increases across various storage products [6] Group 4: Real Estate Market - Banks are increasingly selling properties directly, known as "bank direct supply houses," primarily sourced from non-performing loans, with significant price advantages compared to traditional market listings [7][8] - The introduction of a housing ticket mechanism in Shanghai aims to facilitate property acquisition for residents affected by land expropriation, enhancing the attractiveness of the housing market [9][10] Group 5: Gold Market - China's gold consumption in the first three quarters of the year was 682.73 tons, a decrease of 7.95% year-on-year, with a notable drop in jewelry consumption [11] - The demand for gold ETFs surged, with a 164.03% increase in holdings compared to the previous year, reflecting a shift towards investment-grade gold products [11][12] Group 6: Bond Market - The bond fund market experienced a significant contraction, with a quarterly decrease of nearly 170 billion yuan, driven by policy changes and a shift in investor preference towards equity markets [13][14] - The introduction of taxes on bond interest income has led to increased redemption pressures on bond funds, particularly affecting pure bond funds [14] Group 7: Stock Market Performance - On November 10, the stock market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.53% amid increased trading volume and a recovery in consumer sectors [15] - The positive CPI data contributed to a rebound in consumer stocks, while technology and semiconductor sectors also showed signs of recovery [15]

Macro Dynamics - The State Council issued measures to guide private capital's orderly participation in low-altitude economy infrastructure construction, optimizing satellite communication business access policies and supporting capable private enterprises in major national technology tasks [2] Pharmaceutical Innovations - Shanghai Hepu Pharmaceutical's innovative hepatitis B drug Hepulapta achieved breakthrough results in a Phase II clinical trial, showing the ability to reverse drug resistance in chronic hepatitis B patients and achieve sterilizing cure [3] Automotive Market - In October, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.282 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%, while the cumulative sales from January to October reached 10.151 million units, growing by 21.9% [4][5] Oil Price Adjustments - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 125 and 120 yuan per ton respectively starting from November 10, with an average increase of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [6] Monetary Policy - The Bank of Japan's October meeting minutes suggest a possible interest rate hike in December, aligning with market expectations for an increase in borrowing costs by early next year [7] Financial Institutions - Zhejiang Securities announced the retirement of Chairman Wu Chenggen and the appointment of Qian Wenhai as the new chairman and president [9] Market Data - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.53% on November 10, with significant gains in the consumer goods sector, particularly in food and beverage stocks [11] - The total margin financing balance decreased by 50.19 billion yuan as of November 7, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange reporting a balance of 12,567.49 billion yuan [12] Company Developments - Purun Co. announced a share transfer at 106.66 yuan per share, which is a 38% discount compared to the closing price [14] - Zhongji Xuchuang plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [15] - Mindray Medical submitted an application for H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [16] - Shandong Gold's subsidiary needs to pay 738 million yuan in taxes, which is expected to impact the company's net profit for 2025 by 230 million yuan [17] - Lingzhi Software plans to acquire 100% of Kaimiride's equity, with stock resuming trading on November 11 [18] - *ST Yuancheng's stock will be suspended from trading due to falling below the mandatory delisting threshold [19]

Market Overview - A total of 71 stocks hit the daily limit, while 43 stocks faced a limit down, resulting in a sealing rate of 62% [1] - The market showed signs of recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.53% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.18%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.92% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.17 trillion yuan, an increase of 175.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The consumer sectors, including liquor, tourism, and duty-free shops, performed well, while sectors such as gas, wind power equipment, and robotics saw declines [1] - The core CPI rose by 1.2% year-on-year in October, marking the sixth consecutive month of increase, which positively impacted the consumer sector [5] - The duty-free shopping amount in Hainan province increased by 34.86% year-on-year during the first week of November [5] Stock Highlights - Moen Electric achieved a five-day limit up streak, while Hongxing Co. and Qing Shui Yuan recorded four consecutive limit ups [1][3] - Yingxin Development has seen 11 limit ups in 16 days, driven by mergers and acquisitions and storage chip developments [10] - The lithium battery sector remains strong, with lithium hexafluorophosphate prices rising by 99% over the past month, and phosphate iron lithium battery installations increasing by 62.7% year-on-year [6] Investment Themes - The storage chip sector is experiencing a bullish trend, with major companies like SanDisk raising NAND flash contract prices by 50% [7][17] - The photovoltaic sector continues to show strength, with companies like Hongyuan Green Energy and Jincheng Co. achieving limit ups due to favorable policies and market conditions [6][21] - The chemical sector is expected to recover as the organic silicon product sales prices are projected to rise gradually due to no new capacity additions in the industry [27] Future Outlook - The market is showing signs of a bottoming out, with the Shanghai Composite Index recovering above the 4000-point mark, indicating a potential slow upward trend [8] - The small-cap stocks are gaining traction, with nearly 3400 stocks in the green and around 90 stocks rising over 10% [8] - The overall sentiment in the lithium battery materials sector may face challenges if the price increase momentum slows down [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved significant profit growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 66.402 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.95%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.881 billion yuan, up 56.3% year-on-year, and the gross margin was 34.88%, an increase of 3.56 percentage points year-on-year [5][8] - The company's storage business saw a 70% increase in shipments, with the proportion of overseas high-margin orders rising from 63% to 83% year-on-year. The global storage market is expected to maintain a high growth rate of 40%-50% [6][8] - The photovoltaic inverter business grew steadily, with a 6% year-on-year increase in revenue, and the company launched innovative products that lead industry development [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 22.869 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.83%, and a net profit of 4.147 billion yuan, up 57.04% year-on-year. The gross margin for the quarter reached 35.87%, marking a new high for the year [5][6] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 15.45 billion, 18.34 billion, and 20.60 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27, 23, and 20 times [8][11] Business Segments - The storage system business is projected to ship 40-50 GWh in 2025, with a strong outlook for growth in both domestic and international markets [6][8] - The company is expanding into the AIDC market, leveraging its technology in power conversion, with plans for product delivery in 2026 [7][8] Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the global storage market will continue to grow at a high rate, with significant opportunities in Europe and the U.S. driven by increasing electricity demand and evolving market dynamics [6][8]

Core Insights - On November 10, the A-share market saw a total of 92 stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating strong market activity and investor interest [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The lithium battery stock, Furui Co., Ltd., achieved a three-day limit up streak, reflecting positive sentiment in the lithium sector [1] - The phosphorus chemical stock, Qingshuiyuan, also recorded a three-day limit up, highlighting investor confidence in the phosphorus industry [1] Group 2: Notable Stocks and Concepts - ST Zhongdi led with 17 consecutive limit up days in the real estate sector [1] - *ST Dongyi followed with 9 days in the smart home segment [1] - Other notable stocks include Moen Electric with 5 days in the power grid equipment sector, and Yangmi Clothing with 4 days in cross-border e-commerce [1] - Stocks with 3 consecutive limit up days include Qingshuiyuan (phosphorus chemical), Furui Co., Ltd. (lithium battery), and Chengxing Co. (chemical industry) [1]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the ongoing U.S. government "shutdown" is causing liquidity concerns and economic data shortages, leading to downward pressure on dollar assets, with declines observed in U.S. stocks, the dollar, gold, and oil prices. Specifically, the MSCI global index fell by 1.48%, while major U.S. indices such as the Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 dropped by 3.0%, 1.6%, 1.2%, and 1.9% respectively [2][11][21] - The report highlights a mild rebound in U.S. employment data, with October ADP employment figures showing an increase of 42,000 jobs, surpassing expectations of 30,000, following two months of declines. Key sectors driving this growth include trade, transportation, utilities, education, and healthcare services [3][5][6] - The report notes a mixed performance in the service and manufacturing sectors, with service sector indicators (ISM and Markit PMIs) showing improvement, while manufacturing indicators displayed divergence [6][21] Market Overview - The report outlines that the U.S. stock market is experiencing increased volatility due to liquidity concerns stemming from the government shutdown, alongside a lack of economic data to catalyze market movements. High valuations in the tech sector are also raising concerns, contributing to the market's downward trend [21][22] - In the Hong Kong market, stocks are in a state of fluctuation as investors await earnings reports from technology companies. The Hang Seng Index and other indices showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.3% while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.2% [31][37] - The report suggests that the market is likely to remain in a state of fluctuation until new catalysts emerge, particularly in the tech sector, which is expected to continue its positive trajectory if high industry growth rates are confirmed [2][31][37] Sector Performance - The report identifies three main investment themes: 1) Growth sectors with improving prospects such as AI, internet, and semiconductors; 2) Sectors expected to see improved conditions like new energy, building materials, and traditional cyclical industries; 3) New consumption areas benefiting from domestic policy support and changes in consumer spending patterns [2][37] - In the U.S. market, the energy sector led gains with a 1.5% increase, while technology-related sectors faced significant declines, with information technology down by 4.2% [26][29] - The report also highlights that the Hong Kong market is seeing a shift in capital flows, with increased inflows from southbound funds while foreign capital is turning to outflows [43][44]

Group 1: Market Performance - The New Energy ETF has a turnover rate of 6.88% during trading, with a transaction volume of 106 million yuan [3] - The latest scale of the New Energy ETF reached 1.534 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception [3] - In the past three months, the New Energy ETF has seen an increase of 246 million shares, indicating significant growth [3] - Over the last five trading days, the New Energy ETF has attracted a total of 62.2153 million yuan in inflows [3] Group 2: Fund Performance - As of November 7, the New Energy ETF's net value has increased by 72.23% over the past six months, ranking 91 out of 3859 in index equity funds, placing it in the top 2.36% [3] - Since its inception, the New Energy ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 25.07%, with the longest streak of consecutive monthly gains being six months and the highest cumulative increase being 67.53% [3] - The average return during the months of increase is 8.57% [3] Group 3: Industry Insights - According to Everbright Securities, the demand for energy storage batteries is expected to grow rapidly by 2026, while the growth of power batteries remains stable [3] - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to be the most important investment theme in the photovoltaic industry in 2026, with the silicon material segment expected to achieve capacity clearing and profit recovery first [3] - Companies with differentiated photovoltaic technologies and leading advantages are likely to gain excess profits during industry cycle fluctuations [3] Group 4: Stock Performance - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities New Energy Index include: Sunshine Power, CATL, Longi Green Energy, Eve Energy, TBEA, Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, China Nuclear Power, Tongwei Co., and Lead Intelligent, collectively accounting for 46.1% of the index [6]

Core Insights - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.3% and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.36%, with strong performance in lithium batteries and photovoltaic concepts, while innovative drugs, new energy vehicles, and robotics showed weakness [1] - Since the beginning of 2024, the Hong Kong stock tech sector has exhibited a "leading stocks driving the market" trend, becoming one of the most prominent themes in the market [1] - Foreign institutions, including JPMorgan and Aberdeen Investment, have expressed a bullish outlook on Chinese assets, highlighting the growth potential of the tech industry and the valuation advantages of the Hong Kong market [1] Industry Summary - The tech sector in Hong Kong is experiencing a positive cycle of "rising prices - capital inflow - performance," attracting more funds and expanding investment opportunities across the entire sector [1] - Foreign institutions expect the tech-driven market rally in Hong Kong to continue, with a focus on two types of opportunities: leading companies in high-end manufacturing such as AI and semiconductors, and growth companies with reasonable valuations and competitive advantages [1] - The dual drivers of "technological innovation + valuation recovery" are anticipated to continue generating excess returns for investors in the Hong Kong tech sector [1] Related ETFs - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101) covers the entire tech industry chain [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) focuses on leading internet companies [2]