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贝莱德发现越来越多客户寻求削减美国资产敞口以加大配置多元化
news flash· 2025-07-02 11:42
Group 1 - BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, has observed an increasing interest among its global clients in reallocating assets from the U.S. to other markets [1] - A recent survey conducted by BlackRock revealed that over 20% of clients are considering reducing their exposure to the U.S. market and the dollar [1] - Elaine Wu, Head of Investment and Portfolio Solutions for Asia Pacific at BlackRock, noted that a significant number of clients are focusing on Asian equity allocations [1] Group 2 - Despite the shift in interest, some clients still maintain their interest in the U.S. market [1] - Clients who are currently reducing their U.S. asset allocations may potentially return in the future [1]
跑赢A股8倍,黄金还能涨吗?
He Xun Wang· 2025-07-02 10:29
Group 1 - Gold has emerged as the best-performing asset in the first half of 2025, with a year-to-date increase of over 25%, despite a recent decline to around $3,300 per ounce [1] - In contrast, major U.S. stock indices like the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have shown less than 5% growth, while A-shares have increased by less than 3% [1] - Recent geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Iran conflict, have not significantly boosted gold prices, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards gold [2] Group 2 - Global gold demand reached 1,206 tons in Q1 2025, a 1% year-on-year increase, marking the highest level for the same period since 2016 [3] - Gold ETF inflows surged by 170% year-on-year, totaling 552 tons, while central bank purchases decreased by 21% to 244 tons [3] - Despite a 7% quarter-on-quarter decline in gold demand, the total monetary value of gold demand nearly matched the historical record of $111 billion due to rising prices [3] Group 3 - Central banks are expected to continue purchasing gold, driven by factors such as the weakening of the dollar's credibility and the need for diversified foreign exchange reserves [4] - In Q1 2025, Poland, Azerbaijan, and China were the top three countries increasing their gold reserves, with purchases of 48.58 tons, 19 tons, and 12.75 tons, respectively [4] - The Chinese central bank is likely to continue increasing its gold reserves in June 2025 due to ongoing geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties [4] Group 4 - Citibank has revised its outlook on gold prices, predicting a decline to below $3,000 in the coming quarters, with a potential range of $2,500 to $2,700 by mid-2026 [6] - Despite an 80% increase in gold prices since 2023, the core logic driving gold prices remains unchanged, supported by policy uncertainties and the long-term credit adjustment of the dollar [6] - Short-term fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by geopolitical risks and trade tensions, with potential for price adjustments to be viewed as buying opportunities [6][7] Group 5 - Long-term analysis suggests that ongoing policy uncertainties and geopolitical risks will sustain market demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [7] - The U.S. fiscal deficit is expected to continue growing, exacerbating dollar credit risks and prompting central banks to strengthen their gold reserves [7] - Inflationary pressures from tariff policies are anticipated to support gold prices, reinforcing its anti-inflation properties [7]
用DeepSeek做投研有多爽?最会用AI做研究的首席王开教你"新套路"
华尔街见闻· 2025-07-02 10:27
Core Insights - The emergence of DeepSeek in 2025 is set to revolutionize the financial industry by enhancing market prediction models through dynamic self-correction and advanced data mining capabilities [1][11] - Traditional market prediction models often suffer from fixed weight configurations, leading to distorted judgment results, which DeepSeek aims to address [1][11] Group 1: Impact on Investment Strategies - After integrating DeepSeek, simulated trading performance showed an annualized return increase of 0.27% and a Sharpe ratio improvement of 1.08 times [2] - The course titled "DeepSeek Reconstructing Strategy Investment New Paradigm" aims to educate investors on effectively utilizing AI for investment decision-making [2][8] - The course will cover how to ask AI the right questions to maximize its computational power and algorithmic capabilities [2][6] Group 2: Course Content and Structure - The course will consist of eleven parts, focusing on optimizing multi-asset allocation frameworks and utilizing DeepSeek for market timing and sector rotation [6][13] - Key topics include understanding risk parity strategies, replicating classic investment portfolios, and analyzing policy semantics from the US and China [6][13] - The course aims to help participants build their own investment frameworks using insights from top-tier research institutions [8][13] Group 3: Instructor Background - Wang Kai, the chief strategy analyst at Guosen Securities, has a solid academic background and has published over 40 articles in professional journals [5][15] - Wang has gained recognition in the industry for his expertise in utilizing DeepSeek for research and investment strategies [5][16]
跑赢A股8倍,黄金还能涨吗
和讯· 2025-07-02 10:22
7月1日,站在2025年年中节点上,回顾上半年全球各类资产表现,黄金作为受到各路资金关注的热 门品种,牢牢地坐在了"最佳涨幅"的宝座上。 文/曹萌 需要注意的是,虽然2025年一季度的黄金需求在数量上较2024年四季度环比下降7%,但由于金价 在今年年初的明显上涨,使得今年一季度黄金需求总金额几乎追平了去年四季度1110亿美元的历史 纪录。 通过上述数据,不难发现,作为过去几年黄金最大买家的央行,在2025年一季度的购买力度出现下 降。 不过,根据世界黄金协会2025年6月公布的最新调查问卷显示,全球央行继续保持了对黄金储 备良好的购金意愿。其中,72%的央行预计未来5年内,全球央行将增持黄金储备。相较之下, 73%的央行预计全球央行将减持美元储备,而这一数据高于2024年统计的62%。 南华期货贵金属新能源研究组负责人夏莹莹表示,未来全球央行仍将继续保持购金方角色,尽管金价 的快速上涨可能阶段性抑制央行购金幅度。但央行购金是在美元信誉减弱、全球去美元化、经济贸易 逆全球化以及地缘政局复杂性等趋势的背景下发生的,各国对外汇储备多元化配置的需求上升,以应 对全球货币体系变革、增加金融体系稳定性、促进外汇储备保值 ...
“分析师转行做教培”刷屏!券商行业上半年“瘦身”超7000人
券商中国· 2025-07-02 09:45
"分析师转行做教培"刷屏 近日,中泰证券研究所前员工周寒阳的离职感言及去向引发行业热议。在感谢公司栽培并告别同事后,他透 露:"我已转行从事高中科创教培(涵盖实验设计、数据获取、科研报告写作及自主招生面试辅导等全流程服 务)。江湖路远,愿各自珍重。" 值得一提的是,由于该分析师离职前研究的是电新行业,也有一些市场言论认为,"电新分析师转行做教培"是 电新板块底部的信号。不过,记者了解到,该人士转行主要是个人选择。 记者注意到,近年来,不少券商发力研究业务,在研究团队方面对于总量、人工智能、计算机、传媒、金工等 行业的配置较多。一位分析师告诉记者,近几年机构持仓大头是科技,因此各个研究所对人工智能、机械等科 技行业的人员增配较多。 "没有冷门的行业,只有不会策划的分析师。"一家中型券商研究所所长告诉券商中国记者,一般来说强势行业 确实会进行超配,但每个行业都有自身的周期,研究所也习惯了这种周期波动,一般不会刻意因此对各个行业 的研究力量进行调整。 "再见领导同事,我要转战教培行业了!"近日,一位中泰证券研究所前员工的离职感言在业内刷屏。 券商中国记者注意到,证券行业从业人数在2023年见顶后进入持续减员通道。最 ...
【晨星焦点基金系列】低利率时代下应如何布局?聪明的投资者都在关注这个方向
Morningstar晨星· 2025-07-02 09:40
进入晨星小程序,轻松掌握更多基金信息! | 基金代码: | 002651 | | --- | --- | | 基金类型: | 积极债券 | | 基准指数: | 中国积极债券基准指数 | | 成立日期: | 2016-06-13 | | --- | --- | | 基金规模(亿元): | 29.03 | | 基金规模日期: | 2025-03-31 | | 晨星三年评级: | | | 晨星五年评级: | | | 基金经理: | 孔令超 | | 股票投资风格箱: | | 东方红汇利债券基金由投研经验丰富的基金经理孔令超掌舵,以纯债打底,叠加灵活配置可转债和股票增厚收益,力求为投资者在长期创造稳健的投资回报。股票方面,基金 经理首先筛选出估值较低、在行业中具有竞争优势的个股,然后自上而下确定行业配置比例。可转债方面,基金经理倾向于在转债估值较低时增加配置,以偏债型和平衡型为 主。纯债部分以中短久期的高等级信用债个券配置为主,利率债的配置比例一般在 30% 以内,杠杆策略整体稳健。截至 2025 年 6 月底,该基金在基金经理的管理期内获得了 4.42% 的年化回报率,在同类积极债券基金中排名前 27% 。该基金年度 ...
冷热交织下的西安珠宝市场,如何实现“嫽得很”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 08:58
Core Viewpoint - The gold and jewelry market is undergoing significant changes due to persistently high gold prices, leading to shifts in consumer behavior and market dynamics [4][6][12]. Group 1: Market Trends - The market is witnessing a trend towards lower-priced products, with a notable decline in the sales of heavier gold items, while lighter gold bars (10g to 30g) are gaining popularity among consumers [6][11]. - Retailers are adjusting their product offerings, emphasizing lighter and higher-value items, such as silver, pearls, jade, and platinum, which were previously considered secondary products [6][10]. - The introduction of innovative products, like the collaboration between brands and local cultural elements, reflects the industry's shift towards lightweight and high-value offerings [6][10]. Group 2: Channel Restructuring - The industry is experiencing a phenomenon of store closures, particularly in rural areas, as consumer spending power diminishes in smaller towns [7][10]. - The emergence of small-scale "goldsmith" shops caters to consumers seeking unique, handcrafted items, indicating a deeper market segmentation [10][11]. - The market is evolving with a demand for low-cost models, necessitating regulatory oversight to ensure compliance and product quality [10][11]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Trust - High gold prices have altered consumer perceptions, leading to a cautious approach towards purchasing, with a decline in demand for larger gold items [11][12]. - The introduction of gold-plated silver products has raised concerns about industry integrity, prompting discussions on ensuring accurate metal content and maintaining consumer trust [11][12]. - There is a generational divide in purchasing preferences, with younger consumers more open to paying for design and craftsmanship, while older consumers prioritize the intrinsic value of gold [11][12]. Group 4: Brand Strategies - The industry is undergoing structural adjustments, with some brands focusing on high-end offerings while others seek differentiation and refined operations [12][14]. - Brands are encouraged to adopt rational store opening strategies, emphasizing quality over quantity in their market presence [14]. - The market's evolution necessitates brands to embrace innovation, uphold integrity, and accurately position their value to thrive in a challenging environment [14].
上海医保政策利好,非集采冠脉支架产品入院通道开启
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by the Shanghai Medical Insurance Bureau regarding the adjustment of coronary stent reimbursement standards is expected to provide new ideas for diversified payment methods in the industry [1][5]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The new reimbursement rules categorize coronary stents into three payment categories: full reimbursement for selected products, a reduced maximum payment for non-selected products, and a percentage payment for products outside the selection [1][5]. - The policy aims to create a competitive environment for high-value innovative devices alongside selected products, potentially increasing their market presence [1][5]. Group 2: Market Impact - The shift in policy is seen as beneficial for non-selected products, allowing hospitals more freedom to use them after fulfilling procurement obligations for selected products [2][5]. - The coronary stent market has experienced significant price reductions due to centralized procurement, with average prices dropping from approximately 13,000 yuan to around 700 yuan [3][4]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The coronary intervention medical device sector is highly competitive, with domestic and international companies vying for market share through technological advancements and product offerings [6][7]. - Companies like Sientra have reported substantial growth in sales of their stent products, indicating a positive response to the new procurement policies [6][7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to focus on innovation and international expansion as key strategies for growth, with companies exploring new business models and enhancing product lines [7][8]. - The global medical device market is substantial, with opportunities for Chinese companies to expand their presence internationally, driven by policy adjustments and technological advancements [8].
和林微纳拟发H股 A股上市4年共募10.5亿扣非连亏2年
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-07-02 06:55
Core Viewpoint - The company, Helin Micro-Nano (688661.SH), is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global brand recognition, competitiveness, and capital structure [1] Group 1: H-Share Listing Plans - The company is in discussions with intermediaries regarding the specifics of the H-share listing, which is still in the planning stage and subject to board and shareholder approval, as well as regulatory review [1][2] - The H-share listing is aimed at optimizing capital structure and expanding financing channels while maintaining the current control structure of the company [1] Group 2: Previous Fundraising Activities - Helin Micro-Nano was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on March 29, 2021, with an issuance of 20 million shares at a price of 17.71 yuan per share, raising a total of 354 million yuan [2] - The company raised a net amount of 312 million yuan after deducting issuance costs, which was 15.3 million yuan less than the planned amount [2] - The funds raised were allocated to various projects, including 141 million yuan for MEMS precision electronic components expansion and 110 million yuan for R&D center construction [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 569 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 99.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -8.71 million yuan, an improvement from -20.94 million yuan the previous year [4] - The company also reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 14.05 million yuan, compared to -11.06 million yuan in the previous year [4]
中国品牌力指数排名发布 金龙鱼“霸榜”食用油品牌排行榜
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Yihai Kerry Group's brand, Jinlongyu, has maintained its leading position in the edible oil market for fifteen consecutive years, achieving a score of 698.5 in the 2025 China Brand Power Index (C-BPI) [1][2] - Jinlongyu also ranked first in the flour and rice categories, showcasing the company's strong positioning across the entire grain and oil industry chain [1] - The report highlights the strong brand matrix of Yihai Kerry Group, with its sub-brands, Hu Jihua and Xiang Manyuan, also performing well in the edible oil category, indicating a synergistic effect within the brand portfolio [1] Group 2 - Yihai Kerry Group ranked 32nd in the 2025 China Listed Companies Brand Value List, with a brand value of 153.608 billion yuan, reflecting its strong brand influence [2] - The company has successfully maintained its leadership in the edible oil sector while making new breakthroughs in the flour and rice markets through brand focus and product innovation [2] - The resilience of the brand and diversified layout is expected to create greater market opportunities for the company amid the trend of consumer upgrades [2]