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银行业5月月报:多重利好政策叠加-20250612
Minmetals Securities· 2025-06-12 07:12
资料来源:Wind [Table_DocReport] 相关研究 投资建议:以险资为代表的中长期资金持续入市,高股息策略逻辑仍然可延 续。公募基金投资风格调整,可能会选择配置主要宽基指数中权重较大且配 置不足的银行股。关注国有大行以及指数权重股。 | [Table_Invest] | | | --- | --- | | 银行 | | | 评级: | 看好 | | 日期: | 2025.06.12 | [Table_Author] 分析师 尤春野 登记编码:S0950523100001 [Table_PicQuote] 行业表现 2025/6/11 -11% -3% 5% 13% 21% 29% 2024/6 2024/9 2024/1 2 2025/3 银行 沪深300 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 银行业 5 月月报:多重利好政策叠加 报告要点 5 月,中证银行指数表现强劲,单月涨幅达到 6.05%,跑赢上证指数 3.96pct, 跑赢沪深 300 指数 4.20pct。 5 月银行板块表现结构性分化明显,农商行领涨。国有大行表现稳健,股份 制银行、城商行、农商行涨跌幅高于国有大行。估值层面看,个股情况分化 ...
5178点十周年,这只指数竟然翻倍!
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-12 03:25
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant returns achieved by investors in high-dividend assets over the past decade, despite the Shanghai Composite Index remaining below its peak level from ten years ago [1][5]. Group 1: Investment Performance - Even if investors had bought at the peak of 5178 points ten years ago, the Bank AH Total Return Index has achieved over 100% cumulative returns, while the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility Total Return Index has risen by 88% [3]. - Investors focusing on high-dividend assets have quietly reaped substantial rewards over time, showcasing the power of compounding returns [5]. Group 2: Institutional Investment Trends - Insurance companies, as long-term investors, are increasingly favoring high-dividend sectors like banking. For instance, China Ping An has continuously increased its stake in Agricultural Bank of China H-shares, reaching a holding of 15.15% [4][6]. - The trend of insurance companies acquiring stakes in banks is driven by the need for stable cash returns in a low-interest-rate environment, with significant investments made in high-dividend stocks [6]. Group 3: Southbound Capital Flows - Southbound capital has shown a strong preference for high-dividend assets, with net purchases in the banking sector leading among 30 sectors, totaling 209.9 billion yuan over the past year [7][8]. - As of the end of May, southbound funds held 685.8 billion yuan in 14 Hong Kong bank stocks, with a year-to-date increase of 174 billion shares, reflecting a market value increase of over 182 billion yuan [7]. Group 4: ETF Performance - The Bank ETF Preferred (517900) has outperformed the market, tracking the Bank AH Total Return Index with a nearly 20% increase since the beginning of the year, compared to a 12% rise in the China Securities Bank Total Return Index [9]. - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550) has announced a monthly dividend of 0.004 yuan, with a yield of 0.37% based on its net asset value [12][13]. - The China Securities Dividend ETF (515080) has consistently provided dividends above 5%, making it attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [14].
3400点或仍有拉锯,把握结构性机会,高抛低吸或是占优策略
British Securities· 2025-06-12 02:43
3400 点或仍有拉锯,把握结构性机会,高抛低吸或是占优策略 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周二午后 A 股突然跳水,周三沪深三大指数高开高走全线走强,成功实现了 对周二下跌的反包,沪指收盘在 3400 点上方。不过,周三量能明显萎缩,这或 许反应出市场的几个主要矛盾:一是信心修复但追高意愿不足;二是利好刺激边 际效应递减。虽有积极消息推动高开,但指数未能借势放量上攻,显示利好对市 场整体做多动能的提振作用有限;三是缩量反包更倾向于对周二下跌的技术性修 复。 英大证券研究所证券研究报告 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 6 月 12 日 考虑到海外压力犹存、国内经济修复不强及政策预期的博弈窗口,因此,虽 然周三反包形态确实缓和了市场悲观情绪,显示出下方承接力量的存在,使得回 撤风险有所减弱。但由于量能不足,反弹根基并不牢固,同时,在缺乏显著放量 以及强有力的新驱动因素的情况下,市场难以形成一致的单边预期,短期内难以 期待指数出现流畅、大幅的拉升,3400 点附近或仍有拉锯,预计短期 A 股市场将 呈现震荡或震荡上行的概率较大,把握结构性机会。 操作上,避免盲目追涨杀跌,高抛低吸或是占优策略。对前期涨幅较大 ...
险资银行板块配置研究:风格匹配,正当其时
Ping An Securities· 2025-06-12 02:25
银行 2025 年 6 月 12 日 行业深度报告 险资银行板块配置研究:风格匹配,正当其时 强于大市(维持) 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业年度策略报告*银行*盈利磨底, 固本培元*强于大市 20241213 证券分析师 | 袁喆奇 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520080003 | | | YUANZHEQI052@pingan.com.cn | | 许淼 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060525020001 | | | XUMIAO533@pingan.com.cn | 研究助理 李灵琇 一般证券从业资格编号 S1060124070021 LILINGXIU785@pingan.com.cn 平安观点: 行 业 报 告 行 业 深 度 报 告 证 券 研 究 报 告 请通过合法途径获取本公司研究报告,如经由未经许可的渠道获得研究报告,请慎重使用并注意阅读研究报告尾页的声明内容。 险资投资银行股复盘:温故知新,高股息投资趋势正当时。纵观险资投资 银行股脉络,历史上总共有 2015 年、2020 年和 2024 年开始的三次险资 举牌潮,驱动 ...
A股分红密集落地,高股息ETF频现溢价交易,机构看好高股息板块持续配置价值
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-12 01:59
Group 1 - The three major indices opened lower on June 12, with sectors such as energy equipment, precious metals, and cultural media showing gains [1] - The high dividend ETF (563180) experienced a slight decline of 0.19%, with a premium rate of 0.03%, and several constituent stocks, including Huaron Co. (603855), Xiamen Xiangyu (600057), and Changjiang Media (600757), rising over 1% [1] - Recent data indicates significant net inflows into the high dividend ETF, with 9 out of the last 10 trading days seeing net inflows, totaling over 38 million yuan [1] Group 2 - According to Caixin Securities, the A-share high dividend sector is expected to maintain its value for continued allocation due to low-risk yield fluctuations and increased institutional investment [2] - The upward trend in the high dividend sector has not been reversed, with recommendations to focus on banks, coal, public utilities, and transportation [2] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) suggests increasing asset allocation resilience and stability, recommending an increase in holdings of gold, high dividends, and medium-term bonds while waiting for opportunities to invest in growth stocks representing new technology trends [2]
第13次分红“如约而至”!中证红利ETF(515080)本季度分红约1%,6月16日权益登记
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 01:42
【4个重要的分红节点】 收益分配基准日:5月30日,这个是用于确定可供分配利润的关键日期,也是计算当次分红比例的重要 数据。 6月12日,招商基金旗下中证红利ETF(515080)发布今年第二次分红公告,值得注意的是这已经是中 证红利ETF上市以来第13次分红。 【2025年第二次分红:分红比例0.99%】 根据分红公告,中证红利ETF(515080)二季度每十份分红0.15元,基准日基金净值为1.5225元,本次 分红比例0.99%。 此次分红实施之后,中证红利ETF(515080)自上市以来每十份基金份额累计分红金额达到3.5元。 | | | [利ETF(515080) 上市以来分 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 一分红 (元) | 分红比例(%) | | | 2025/5/30 | 0.015 | 0.99 | / | | 2025/3/4 | 0.015 | 1.01 | 1 | | 2024/11/15 | 0.020 | 1.32 | | | 2024/9/2 | 0.015 | 1.06 | | | 2024/6/14 | 0.020 | 1.29 | | | ...
南向资金流入规模创历史新高,恒指年内累计上涨超20% 资金配置呈现明显偏好特征
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-11 06:47
今年以来,港股市场展现出强劲的增长势头。截至6月10日收盘,恒生指数年内累计上涨20.45%,在全 球重要指数中表现突出,由此有观点认为,港股市场或正式迈入技术性牛市区间。本一轮上涨行情背 后,南向资金的持续流入发挥了关键性作用。 截至6月10日,今年以来南向资金净流入金额已达到6320.32亿元。这一数字相比去年全年的7440.31亿 元,仅相差1100多亿元。今年第一季度,南向资金净买入金额达到4113.25亿元,创下互联互通机制开 通以来单季度最高净买入纪录。南向资金在配置呈现明显偏好特征:截至6月9日,有116只港股通标的 股年内获加仓超1亿股。这一数量约占全部港股通标的14%。中国银行、建设银行、工商银行、农业银 行4只国有银行H股获加仓数量位居前列,均超过20亿股。 有分析认为,在利率下行的大环境下,低估值高股息的银行H股是中长期资金配置的佳选。对于追求稳 定现金流的长期个人投资者来说,也可以考虑做此类配置。不过,对于个人投资者来说,为了尽量分散 风险,可以考虑指数投资工具,通过诸如港股通金融ETF、港股央企红利ETF(513910)等低估值高股 息的工具类产品来实现类似效果。前者是港股市场上,银 ...
港股红利资产表现强劲!港股通红利ETF(513530)发布分红公告
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-11 03:03
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations on June 10, with high dividend assets performing well amid a low interest rate environment, attracting capital attention [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (513530) has seen continuous net inflows for 30 trading days since April 24, 2025, reaching new highs in both share and scale since its establishment on April 8, 2022, with shares at 1.318 billion and scale at 2.133 billion yuan as of June 10, 2025 [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (513530) announced a dividend of 0.20 yuan per 10 fund shares, with the record date on June 13, ex-dividend date on June 16, and cash distribution date on June 19 [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (513530) is the first ETF to invest in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index through the QDII model, offering a more favorable tax structure compared to traditional Hong Kong Stock Connect channels, potentially reducing dividend tax costs for long-term holders [2] - The fund aims to assist investors in allocating quality Hong Kong dividend assets, backed by Huatai-PB Fund's over 18 years of experience in index investment and early strategic layout in the dividend-themed ETF sector [2] - The two largest dividend-themed ETFs in the A-share market, with scales exceeding 15 billion yuan, are the Dividend ETF (510880) and the Low Volatility Dividend ETF (512890), with respective scales of 19.864 billion yuan and 17.751 billion yuan as of June 10, 2025 [2]
A股万亿“红包雨”即将到账!月月分红好CP又分红了
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-11 02:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the upcoming dividend distributions from major ETFs, indicating a significant cash flow for investors in the coming months [1][2][3] - The Red Chip ETF (510720) announced a dividend of 0.35% on June 10, with the record date on June 12 and payment date on June 18 [1] - The Cash Flow ETF (159399) declared a dividend of 0.20% on June 11, with the record date on June 13 and payment date on June 18 [1] Group 2 - A total of 5,411 A-share companies are expected to disclose their annual reports for 2024, with approximately 3,750 companies planning cash dividends, representing about 70% of the total [3] - The total annual dividend amount is projected to reach 2.39 trillion yuan [3] Group 3 - In a low-interest-rate environment, the value of high-dividend asset allocation is becoming more prominent, with the dividend yield of the Red Chip Index nearing 7%, significantly higher than current bank deposit rates [5] - Various indices have reported dividend yields, with the Shanghai State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index at 6.74% and the CSI Dividend Index at 6.34% [6] Group 4 - During market fluctuations, dividend strategies tend to outperform, providing a buffer against market downturns [8] - The FTSE Cash Flow Index has shown strong long-term performance, with an annualized return exceeding 18% since its base date, significantly outperforming the CSI Dividend Index and the CSI 300 Index [11] Group 5 - Recent policies encourage dividends, with new regulations aimed at enhancing cash dividend supervision for listed companies, promoting multiple distributions within a year starting January 1, 2025 [14] - The combination of large-cap stocks, state-owned enterprises, and ample cash flow is expected to become a key investment theme in the future [14]
A股“红包雨”要来了?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-11 01:19
Group 1 - Ping An Asset Management invested HKD 312 million to increase its stake in Agricultural Bank of China H-shares to 15.09% [1] - In 2023, Ping An Asset Management has been actively increasing its holdings in bank stocks in the Hong Kong market, including a 5% stake in Postal Savings Bank and a 5.01% stake in China Merchants Bank [1] - As of the end of May, insurance funds have issued 15 announcements regarding stake increases, with bank stocks being favored for their high dividend yields [1] Group 2 - The upcoming annual dividend season in June and July is expected to enhance the appeal of dividend-paying assets, particularly for central enterprises [2] - New policies encouraging listed companies to distribute dividends are anticipated to stabilize investor returns and support valuation recovery for state-owned enterprises [2] - The Dividend National Enterprise ETF (510720) announced its 14th consecutive monthly dividend, with a distribution of CNY 0.034 per 10 fund shares [2]