6月首个交易日，A股迎来"开门红"，个股普涨，交投活跃。 保险加仓践行"长钱长投" 6月首个交易日，银行板块再度崛起，特别是中小银行指数，上涨超2%。其中，部分城商行上涨超 5%，对指数助力明显。银行股的走强与大型金融机构加仓，特别是保险资金举牌有关。今年以来，保 险公司举牌的银行包括邮储银行、招商银行、农业银行、杭州银行、中信银行等。据统计，截至5月 底，7家保险公司年内累计举牌15次，银行股被举牌次数最多，此外还涉及公用事业、能源、交通运输 等行业，这不仅超过前年全年的举牌量，也超过去年前9个月的举牌量。在利率下行的环境下，保险资 金通过投资高股息股票来获取稳定现金收益，增加长期股权投资则有助于获得稳定投资收益。 综上所述，在消息面稳定的背景下，投资者信心进一步增强，无论是事件驱动带动的热点题材，还 是"长钱长投"下的趋势性板块，都为市场注入了活力，股指有望保持稳中有涨格局。（作者单位：银河 期货） 政策也鼓励保险资金充分发挥耐心资本、长期资本的优势，加大入市稳市力度。2023年10月，保险资金 长期投资改革试点启动，之后连续三批扩大保险资金长期投资试点范围，试点规模累计达2220亿元，为 市场不断注入增 ...

2025 年 06 月 03 日 推荐(维持) 投资要点 ▌ 磷矿石、草甘膦等涨幅居前，丁苯橡胶、苯胺等跌幅较大 磷矿石、草甘膦等涨幅居前，建议关注进口替 代、纯内需、高股息等方向 分析师：张伟保 S1050523110001 zhangwb@cfsc.com.cn 联系人：高铭谦 S1050124080006 gaomq@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 基础化工(申万) 2.7 -0.2 3.8 沪深 300 2.2 -0.9 7.3 市场表现 相关研究 1、《基础化工行业周报：丁二烯、 煤焦油等涨幅居前，建议关注进口 替代、纯内需、高股息等方向》 2025-05-26 2、《基础化工行业周报：丁二烯、 苯乙烯等涨幅居前，建议关注进口 替代、纯内需、高股息等方向》 2025-05-19 3、《基础化工行业周报：天然气、 二甲苯等涨幅居前，建议关注进口 替代、纯内需、高股息等方向》 2025-05-13 本周涨幅较大的产品：磷矿石（摩洛哥-印度 CFR（70- 72BPL ）合同价， 10.00% ），草甘膦（浙江新安化工， 6.79%），二氯甲烷（华东地区，4.64%），甲苯 ...

n 本文推荐理由和目标价仅供参考，并不构成买卖建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 投资主题 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （25/5/31） | | | 600036 | 招商银行 | 43.43 | 高股息 | | 601899 | 紫金矿业 | 17.73 | 主营金属量价齐升 | | 603379 | 三美股份 | 47.33 | 制冷剂 | | 600600 | 青岛啤酒 | 74.17 | 关注旺季表现 | | 600276 | 恒瑞医药 | 54.74 | 创新药 | | 002311 | 海大集团 | 60.61 | 饲料龙头推进国际化 | | 600027 | 华电国际 | 5.85 | 煤电 | | 300476 | 胜宏科技 | 86.48 | PCB | | 601728 | 中国电信 | 8.03 | 算力与红利 | | 600536 | 中国软件 | 44.01 | 国产基础软件龙头，受益信创产业回暖 | 东莞证券 2025 年 6 月股票组合 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The acceleration of insurance capital entering the market is highlighted by the establishment of new private equity funds, indicating a significant shift towards long-term equity investments by insurance companies in response to regulatory encouragement [2][3][6]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Market Entry - Ping An Asset Management has received approval to establish Hengyi Chiying (Shenzhen) Private Fund Management Co., marking the third insurance private equity manager licensed in China [2][3]. - The total scale of the insurance capital long-term investment reform pilot will increase to 222 billion yuan, with 50 billion yuan already invested and an additional 172 billion yuan in preparation for market entry [3][4]. - The new "National Ten Articles" policy released in September 2024 aims to expand the pilot program, allowing more insurance institutions to establish private equity funds [3][4]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Focus - Hengyi Chiying will focus on long-term and value investments, targeting high-quality listed companies that align with policy directions and insurance capital needs [3][6]. - Insurance companies are increasingly favoring large-cap, liquid stocks with stable dividends, as seen in the investment strategies of various funds like Honghu Fund [9][10]. - The investment landscape includes a diverse range of sectors, with significant holdings in electronics, pharmaceuticals, machinery, and power equipment, among others [8][10]. Group 3: Regulatory Support and Market Dynamics - Regulatory measures have been implemented to encourage long-term investments, including raising the upper limit for equity asset allocation and adjusting risk factors for stock investments [6][11]. - The establishment of new private equity funds has surged, with several insurance companies launching their funds in May 2025, indicating a robust response to regulatory incentives [6][7]. - The shift towards equity investments is seen as a strategic move for insurance companies to optimize asset allocation, reduce risks, and enhance long-term returns [11][12].

轻工制造 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 造 TMT 系列之三十一暨空间智能系列之 一》 2025/03/21 《从乐舒适招股书看非洲个护市场星辰大 海——个护行业深度》 2025/03/12 《供需格局延续改善，中长期盈利向上- 2025 年春季造纸行业投资策略》 2025/03/10 证券分析师 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 黄莎 A0230522010002 huangsha@swsresearch.com 张海涛 A0230524080003 zhanght@swsresearch.com 张文静 A0230524120005 zhangwj@swsresearch.com 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 联系人 魏雨辰 (8621)23297818× weiyc@swsresearch.com 2025 年 06 月 03 日 持续关注电子烟、宠物用品、AI 眼 镜等新消费赛道及高股息品种 看好 ——造纸轻工周报 2025 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The growth rate of financial institutions' loans has slightly decreased, primarily influenced by accelerated government bond issuance, leading to a structural tilt towards corporate loans [2] - The overall loan balance of financial institutions reached 265.41 trillion yuan at the end of Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%, and an increase of 9.78 trillion yuan in the first quarter [1] - The growth rate of corporate loans remains the main focus, with medium to long-term loans in the industrial sector growing by 11.2% year-on-year, and infrastructure loans increasing by 8.0% [2] - The growth rate of inclusive small and micro loans is stable, with a year-on-year increase of 12.2%, which is 4.8 percentage points higher than the overall loan growth rate [2] - The decline in mortgage loans has slowed, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.8%, influenced by a reduction in the decline of commercial housing sales area [2] Summary by Sections Loan Growth Overview - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total RMB loan balance was 265.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.4% and an increase of 9.78 trillion yuan in Q1 [1] Corporate Loans - Corporate loans continue to receive the majority of resource allocation, with industrial medium to long-term loans growing by 11.2% year-on-year, and infrastructure loans increasing by 8.0% [2] Inclusive Finance - Inclusive small and micro loans showed a year-on-year growth of 12.2%, indicating a stable growth trend, while agricultural loans also maintained a high growth rate of 8.4% [2] Mortgage Loans - Mortgage loans experienced a year-on-year decline of 0.8%, but the rate of decline has narrowed, suggesting potential recovery in the future [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "pro-cyclical + high dividend" investment strategy, highlighting the attractiveness of dividend yields in the current market environment, with an average dividend yield of 4.19% [2]

（三）技术面与资金动态：关键支撑位面临考验 上证指数近期一直在 3347 点附近反复试探，3300 点关口作为重要的牛熊分界线，一旦失守，很可能触 发程序化止损盘。节前融资余额出现下降（单周净流出 483 亿），北向资金的分歧也在不断加大，明日 盈信量化（首源投资）：明日，A 股市场将踏入关键的博弈阶段。结合当下最新的政策信号、复杂的海 外变量以及微妙的技术面特征来看，行情的波动极有可能进一步加剧。以下是对关键趋势的深度推演以 及对应的操作策略。 一、明日市场关键影响因素分析 （一）政策环境：宽松托底但节奏存疑 在 2025 年的工作会议上，央行两次着重强调 "择机降准降息"，并且已经创设了互换便利（550 亿已成 功落地）以及大股东回购再贷款工具（首期高达 3000 亿），这一系列举措释放出了极为强烈的流动性 宽松信号。不过，政策真正落地的具体时点仍然尚未明确，市场对于 6 月 MLF 利率是否会进行调整也 存在较大分歧。一旦降息预期未能实现，很可能会引发市场的短期抛压。此前，央行在类似政策表述 后，政策落地时间间隔存在较大差异，这无疑增加了市场预测的难度。就像在 2024 年，市场对降准降 息预期多次反复 ...

Group 1 - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that concerns over tariffs have resurfaced, potentially suppressing market sentiment in the short term, but the market is gradually becoming desensitized to tariff issues [1] - In April, industrial enterprise profits improved, driven by the effective implementation of "new" consumption incentive policies, which boosted downstream consumption and supported the midstream equipment manufacturing sector [1][2] - The manufacturing PMI showed overall recovery in May, with a rebound in export orders, highlighting the resilience of China's economic fundamentals, which will provide bottom support for the market [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. has issued renewed tariff threats, with recent announcements indicating an increase in steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50%, suggesting the Trump administration is preparing a "Plan B" for tariffs [1] - Despite the tariff challenges, new momentum industries are experiencing accelerated profit growth, significantly contributing to the economy [2] - June is a critical month for A-share dividends, with a focus on tracking capital flows and changes in industry prosperity to identify high-dividend investment opportunities [2] Group 3 - The emphasis on internal circulation is crucial, with a focus on service consumption and new consumption as important new drivers of economic growth [3] - External uncertainties are accelerating the internal circulation, with policies aimed at expanding and enhancing consumption quality [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (600690.SH) with a current price of 25.04 CNY and a target price of 35.54 CNY [1] Core Insights - The air conditioning business is significantly improving, and digital transformation is accelerating [1] - The company has seen substantial growth in both domestic and international markets, with a notable increase in retail sales and market share in the air conditioning sector [5][6] - The digital marketing and inventory reforms have enhanced operational efficiency and brand recognition [6] - The company continues to implement a high dividend policy, with a cash dividend ratio of 48.0% for 2024, expected to remain above 50% in the coming years [7] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Haier Smart Home has appointed a new board and executive team, with key positions filled to enhance operational focus across various regions and product lines [5][11] Financial Performance - The company reported a significant increase in air conditioning retail sales, outperforming the industry average [5] - The expected net profit for 2025 is projected at 21.5 billion CNY, with a consistent growth trajectory in subsequent years [7][10] Digital Transformation - The launch of AI data cloud has improved customer interaction and product offerings, leading to successful new product launches [6] - The digital inventory model has reduced operational costs for clients, resulting in a substantial increase in retail sales through new channels [6] Dividend Policy - The company maintains a high dividend payout, with a projected dividend yield of 4.8% for 2025, supported by a robust cash flow [7][10] Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [7][10][14]

举牌涉及这些股票 从险资举牌标的来看，保险公司今年举牌的股票包括北京控股、电投产融、东方物流，中国儒意、中国水务、 大唐新能源、中国神华、杭州银行以及邮储银行、招商银行、农业银行、中信银行等银行H股，其中9只股票 为H股。 险资持续举牌上市公司，引发市场广泛关注。 据券商中国记者统计，截至5月31日，7家保险公司共实施15次举牌，超过2023年全年举牌量，并接近2024年全 年举牌数。这场从2024年启动的举牌潮已经持续一年多，且丝毫没有减弱趋势，去年至今险资举牌已超30次。 第三次举牌潮持续 5月19日，平安人寿发布举牌公告，平安资管受托该公司资金投资农业银行H股股票，5月12日达到农业银行H 股股本的10%。 这是平安人寿今年第5次举牌。其他举牌保险公司还包括中国人寿，新华保险、阳光人寿、长城人寿、瑞众人 寿、中邮人寿等。 险资投资上市公司股票并不鲜见，但只有达到一定规模才能称得上"举牌"。根据相关规定，保险公司举牌上市 公司股票，是指保险公司持有或者与其关联方及一致行动人共同持有一家上市公司已发行股份的5%，以及之 后每增持达到5%时，按照相关法律法规规定，在3日内通知该上市公司并予以公告的行为。 近1 ...