人民银行降准降息，加大对科创企业金融 支持 2025 年 5 月 7 日 宏观经济 事件点评 ——5 月 7 日人民银行、金融监管总局、证监会发布会点评 | | | 事件： 人民银行、金融监管总局，证监会发布会，人民银行降准 50bp，降政策利率 10bp，降结构性贷款和住房贷款利率 25bp。 主要观点： 一行一局一会领导肯定了一季度经济表现和资本市场的应对表现，同时没有回避当前关税对全球和国内经济和金融体系的影 响。央行表示将坚定维护中国的汇市、债市、股市等金融市场平稳运行；证监会表示将努力在市场运行上体现"稳"，同时 在激发市场活力、强化市场功能上体现"进"。政策总体向企业端倾斜。 货币政策保持货币宽松，降低资金成本，释放长期流动性资金，以及扩大定向贷款额度。降准降息符合市场预期。此外, 定 向对汽车金融、金融租赁公司存准率阶段性降至 0。定向贷款方向符合政治局会议的政策方向，包括"两新"、服务和养老消 费、小微企业以及科技企业。 对科技企业的金融支持愈加具体。一体现在扩大两新贷款额度 3000 亿。二体现在一行一局一会对科技企业融资方面的全方 位支持。从证监会大力发展科技创新债券，优化发行注册流程，到 ...

5月7日，国新办举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽、中国证券 监督管理委员会主席吴清出席会议，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况，并答记者问。 来源：国新网 会上，潘功胜表示，降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点，预计向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿。同时，下调政策利 率0.1个百分点，即公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1.5%调降至1.4%，预计将带动贷款市场报价利率 （LPR）同步下行约0.1个百分点。 此外，潘功胜还表示，降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点，五年期以上首套房利率从2.85%降至 2.6%，其他期限的利率同步调整。 监管机构负责人集体亮相，此次"一揽子金融政策"有何看点？将如何提振市场信心？后续市场又将如何发展？ 各大机构先后给出分析。 三大类型共10项具体政策 机构：释放强烈宏观调控信号，增加市场长期流动性 据潘功胜介绍，本次央行推出10项具体政策，主要分为数量型政策、价格型政策和结构型政策，包括降准释 放长期流动性、下调各类利率、创设并加力实施结构性货币政策工具等，支持科技创新、消费、外贸等领域 发展。 中泰证券分析师何佳烨表示，与去年 ...

聚丙烯产业日报 2025-05-07 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7029 | 34 1月合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 6952 | 53 | | | 5月合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7115 | 10 9月合约收盘价:聚丙烯(日,元/吨) | 7029 | 34 | | | 成交量聚丙烯(PP)(日,手) | 321988 | 48956 持仓量聚丙烯(PP)(日,手) | 429904 | -14290 | | | 前20名持仓:买单量:聚丙烯(日,手) | 308467 | -6432 前20名持仓:卖单量:聚丙烯(日,手) | 331941 | -4501 | | | 前20名持仓:净买单量:聚丙烯(日,手) | -23474 | -1931 仓单数量:聚丙烯PP(日,手) | 3946 | -423 | | 现货市场 | PP(纤维/注塑):CFR东南亚:中间价(日,美 | 924 | PP ...

Group 1 - The central bank has introduced 10 policies, while the financial regulatory bureau will launch 8 incremental policies, and the securities regulatory commission has announced four significant measures to promote long-term capital into the market [1][10] - A reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut of 0.5 percentage points will provide 1 trillion yuan in liquidity [1] - The RRR for auto finance companies and financial leasing companies will be reduced from 5% to 0% [2] Group 2 - The 7-day OMO rate has been lowered by 0.1 percentage points, which is expected to lead to a similar decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [3] - Structural monetary policy tool rates have been cut by 0.25 percentage points, and the personal housing provident fund loan rate has also been reduced by 0.25 percentage points [4] Group 3 - The quota for re-lending for technological innovation and technological transformation has been expanded from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan [5] - A new 500 billion yuan re-lending facility for service consumption and elderly care has been established [6] - The re-lending quota for supporting agriculture and small enterprises has been increased by 300 billion yuan [7] Group 4 - The total quota for securities, funds, and insurance companies' swap convenience and stock repurchase increase re-lending has been merged to 800 billion yuan [7] - A risk-sharing tool for technological innovation bonds has been created [8] - The pilot scope for long-term investment by insurance funds will be further expanded, with an additional 60 billion yuan planned for approval [9] Group 5 - The policies announced are mostly in line with or slightly exceed expectations, as mentioned in the April Politburo meeting [10] - Despite the positive policies, the A-share market experienced a high open but low close, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.80% [11] Group 6 - The market's high open and low close can be attributed to three main reasons: policies meeting or slightly exceeding expectations, a different market environment compared to September 2024, and the current index level being higher than in September 2023 [12] - The Shanghai Composite Index shows a divergence in technical patterns, indicating potential upward movement if certain conditions are met [13] Group 7 - The military-related sectors, such as aerospace and shipbuilding, are leading the market, with a noted low allocation of active funds in these sectors during Q1 [15] - The military industry is expected to be resilient against "reciprocal tariffs" and is projected to see continued growth amid uncertain international conditions [15] Group 8 - The banking, insurance, oil, and large-cap stocks have performed well due to policy benefits [18] - The focus should be on blue-chip stocks if the island reversal pattern is confirmed, or on technology stocks if the market does not correct [18]

研究员: 蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任 自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任 何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引 用、删节和修改。 | | | 热轧卷板产业链日报 2025/5/7 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 环比 数据指标 | | | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | HC 主力合约收盘价(元/吨) | 3,217 | +21↑ HC 主力合约持仓量(手) | 1328944 | +2733↑ | | | HC 合约前20名净持仓(手) | 135,762 | +6481↑ HC10-1合约价差(元/吨) | -22 | +6↑ | | | HC 上期所 ...

| | | | 金融行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 银行：超配（维持） | | | 降准降息，股票投资的风险因子进一步调降 10% | | 保险：超配（维持） | | | 金融行业事件点评 | | 2025 年 5 7 日 | 月 | 分析师：吴晓彤（SAC | 执业证书编号：S0340524070001） | | | | 电话：0769-22119302 邮箱 | wuxiaotong@dgzq.com.cn | 事件： 5 月 7 日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情 况，央行表示将推出降准降息等十项货币政策措施，金融监管总局近期将推出 8 项增量政策。 点评： 外围扰动下，国内政策加码必要性增强。随着各项政策继续发力显效，我国一季度在经济增长、就业、 物价以及国际收支四大方面实现平稳起步、良好开局。但同时也要看到，国内有效需求增长动力不足， 经济持续回升向好的基础仍需进一步巩固，特别是目前外部环境更趋复杂严峻，美国滥施关税带来诸 多不确定性，国内经济持续回升任务比较繁重。为加强逆周期调节，稳定经济大盘，国内政策保障仍 需进一步 ...

Core Points - The central theme of the news is the recent monetary policy adjustments by the central bank, including a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut, interest rate reduction, and a decrease in housing provident fund loan rates aimed at stimulating economic growth and easing market liquidity pressures [1] Monetary Policy Adjustments - RRR cut of 0.5% effective from May 15, 2025, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [1] - Interest rate reduction of 0.1% on the 7-day reverse repurchase operations, lowering the rate from 1.5% to 1.4%, which is anticipated to lead to a similar decrease in the loan market quotation rate (LPR) [1] - Reduction of 0.25 percentage points in the housing provident fund loan rate for first-time homebuyers, with the 5-year and above rate dropping from 2.85% to 2.6% [1] Market Reactions - Following the RRR announcement, the 10-year government bond yield initially dropped but then experienced fluctuations, indicating market volatility and mixed reactions to the policy changes [1][3] - As of 11:30 AM, short-term interest rates on government bonds rose while long-term rates fell, with the 10-year government bond yield reaching 1.64% [3] Economic and Market Outlook - The bond market is influenced by both policy adjustments and economic data, with potential for increased volatility due to prior market expectations being overly optimistic [8] - Long-term pressures on the bond market are anticipated, with a need for balanced investment strategies between stocks and bonds [8][9] - In the credit bond sector, there is potential value in mid-to-high-grade urban investment bonds and perpetual bonds from commercial banks, but attention to credit risk is essential [10]

Group 1 - The market has been anticipating a "rate cut and reserve requirement ratio reduction," and recent statements from the central bank have fueled these expectations [1] - Following the news of a press conference by the State Council, the FTSE China A50 index futures opened significantly higher, indicating strong market sentiment [1] - On the opening day of May, the Shanghai Composite Index opened at 3354 points, up 38 points from the previous close, reflecting positive market momentum [5] Group 2 - The three major indices showed slight increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.64%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.19%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.4% [5][6] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 965.8 billion, an increase of 116.5 billion compared to the previous trading day, indicating heightened market activity [5] - Various sectors experienced rapid rotation, with military stocks seeing significant gains, while the film industry faced corrections [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai Composite Index successfully broke through the downward gap left on April 3, indicating strong bullish momentum in the market [7] - Despite a slight bearish appearance, the market showed active trading and significant capital inflow towards the end of the trading day, suggesting ongoing investor interest [7][9] - Future market performance will be crucial, with expectations for continued positive developments in the A-share market throughout May [9]

大型科技股集体转跌，小米跌近3%，阿里巴巴跌超2%，网易、腾讯跌超1%，快手、京东、百度飘绿。 （原标题：港股收评：恒指微涨0.13%，大金融、军工股集体走强，弘业期货飙涨34%） 5月7日，一揽子金融政策重磅推出，涉及降准降息、股市、楼市等。港股三大指数走出高开低走行情，恒生科技指数最终收跌0.75%，国企指数 跌0.23%；恒生指数勉强维持涨势，收盘涨幅缩窄至0.13%。 盘面上，大型科技股集体转跌，小米跌近3%，阿里巴巴跌2%，网易、腾讯跌超1%，快手、京东、百度飘绿；受降准降息利好影响，大金融股总 体活跃，弘业期货大涨超34%表现最为抢眼；印巴冲突继续升级，军工板块避险或迎估值重估，中船防务盘中涨超14%；濠赌股、石油股、煤炭 股、海运股齐涨。另一方面，特朗普欲征药品关税，生物医药股全天表现低迷，百济神州跌近8%；机器人概念股、半导体股普遍下跌。 具体来看： 半导体股普遍下跌，华虹半导体跌超3%，中芯国际、上海复旦跌超1%。 军工股集体大涨，中航科工涨6.35%，中船防务涨5.97%，大陆航空科技控股、航天控股涨超1%。 汽车经销商股走强，中升控股涨4.8%，永达汽车、和谐汽车涨超1%。消息面上，央行 ...

[Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 ◼ 2025 年 5 月 7 日，在国新办举行的"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预 期"新闻发布会上，央行行长潘功胜宣布三大类共十项货币政策措施， 其中总量型政策包括降低存款准备金率 0.5 个百分点，以及下调政策利 率 0.1 个百分点。 观点 证券分析师 李勇 执业证书：S0600519040001 010-66573671 liyong@dwzq.com.cn 证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20250507 双降之后，债券市场怎么走？ 2025 年 05 月 07 日 证券分析师 徐沐阳 执业证书：S0600523060003 xumy@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《绿色债券周度数据跟踪（20250428- 20250502）》 2025-05-05 《二级资本债周度数据跟踪 （20250438-20250502）》 2025-05-05 东吴证券研究所 1 / 4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 降准是货币与财政配合的重要手段：降准为银行提供了无期限的零成本 的资金，降准 50bp 可以为金融市场提供约 1 万亿元的流 ...