Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - A-shares are experiencing a volatile rebound with the technology sector leading. After a significant increase, A-shares may enter a high-level volatile pattern. The direction of monetary policy in the second half of September is crucial for the equity market. [3] - The bond market sentiment is weak, with continued capital convergence and falling bond futures. There is a possibility of over - selling in the bond market, and the 10 - year bond yield may continue to rise. [3] - Precious metals are in a high - level volatile state after digesting geopolitical events and interest - rate cut expectations. [3] - Various commodities have different trends and trading suggestions based on their supply - demand fundamentals, cost factors, and market sentiment. 3. Summary by Categories Financial - **Equity Index Futures**: The basis rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM's main contracts are 0.29%, - 0.06%, - 0.99%, and - 1.10% respectively. A-shares are in a volatile rebound, and after a large increase, they may enter a high - level volatile pattern. Wait for volatility to converge before entering the market. [3] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market sentiment is weak, and the 10 - year bond yield has not stabilized at 1.8%. T2512 has broken through the previous low. Suggest investors to wait and see, and pay attention to changes in the capital market, equity market, and fundamentals in the short term. [3] - **Precious Metals**: Gold can be bought cautiously at low levels, or short - sell out - of - the - money options to capture volatility decline. Silver can be traded in the range of $40 - 42, and also sell out - of - the - money options. [3] - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: The main contract of EC is weakly volatile. Consider 12 - 10 spread arbitrage. [3] Black Metals - **Steel**: Steel prices remain weak. Pay attention to the support levels of 3100 for rebar and 3300 for hot - rolled coils. Long positions should exit and wait. [3] - **Iron Ore**: Shipments have dropped significantly from the high level, arrivals have decreased, and port clearance has slightly declined. The iron ore price is running strongly. Buy the 2601 contract at low levels in the range of 780 - 830, and reduce the long - iron - ore short - coking - coal arbitrage position. [3] - **Coking Coal**: Spot prices are weakly volatile, coal mines are resuming production and destocking. Short positions should take profit in the range of 1070 - 1170, and reduce the long - iron - ore short - coking - coal arbitrage position. [3] - **Coke**: The first round of coke price cuts has been implemented, compressing coking profits with more room for cuts. Short positions should take profit in the range of 1550 - 1650, and reduce the long - iron - ore short - coke arbitrage position. [3] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Weak US PPI boosts interest - rate cut expectations. Pay attention to Thursday's inflation data. The main contract reference range is 79000 - 81000. [3] - **Alumina**: The futures price is close to the mainstream cost range, and the short - term downward space is limited. It is weakly volatile, with the main contract reference range of 2900 - 3200. [3] - **Aluminum**: The weekly start - up rate of processed products is continuously recovering. Pay attention to the fulfillment of peak - season demand. The main contract reference range is 20400 - 21000. [3] - **Other Non - ferrous Metals**: Each metal has its own reference price range and trading suggestions based on their fundamentals and market sentiment. [3] Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical risk premiums support the oil price rebound, but the loose supply - demand fundamentals limit the upside. It is recommended to wait and see. For options, wait for volatility to increase for spread - widening opportunities. [3] - **Other Chemicals**: Each chemical product has different supply - demand expectations, and corresponding trading suggestions are provided, such as range trading, short - selling, or waiting and seeing. [3] Agricultural Products - **Grains and Oils**: There is a bearish outlook for palm oil due to inventory growth and weak exports. Pay attention to the support levels of various agricultural products such as soybeans, corn, and sugar. [3] - **Livestock and Poultry**: The pig market has limited supply - demand contradictions. The corn market has limited upward potential in the short term. [3] Special Commodities - **Glass**: News about production lines in Shahe has driven up the futures price. Pay attention to the actual progress. [3] - **Rubber**: After the macro - sentiment fades, the rubber price is falling in a volatile manner. Wait and see. [3] New Energy - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: Pay attention to the Silicon Industry Conference. Due to news - related disturbances, the futures prices are falling. The main price fluctuation range is expected to be 8000 - 9500 yuan/ton. Wait and see. [3] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Driven by news, the sentiment in the market has weakened significantly, but the fundamentals remain in a tight - balance state. Wait and see, and pay attention to the performance around 72,000. [3]

Group 1 - The listing of egg, corn starch, and live pig options has provided more refined and flexible risk management tools for related industry chain enterprises, aiding in stable production and operation [2][3] - Sichuan Green Science Poultry Co., Ltd. utilizes options to lock in profits and reduce costs, demonstrating the unique value of options in volatile markets [2] - Zhu Cheng Xingmao Corn Development Co., Ltd. employs various hedging strategies using corn starch options to manage inventory costs and mitigate risks associated with unexecuted orders [2] Group 2 - Sichuan Dekang Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Food Group highlights that live pig options help in hedging price risks and enhancing operational flexibility, making options a necessary tool for many enterprises facing market uncertainties [3] - The options market has shown a robust participation trend, with the three listed options forming a good market engagement atmosphere, providing diversified risk management tools for enterprises [3] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange plans to optimize option contract rules and enhance training and promotion activities to improve industry client participation and support stable operations [3]

Core Insights - The introduction of egg, corn starch, and live pig options on the Dalian Commodity Exchange has led to significant changes in the related industry chain over the past year [1][5] - Options provide holders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price within a certain timeframe, offering a flexible risk management tool [2][5] Performance of Options - Egg options have seen rapid market activity, with recent trading volumes surpassing 170,000 contracts, and the main options trading volume reaching 65% of the main futures volume [5] - Live pig options trading volume increased from 2,700 contracts at launch to approximately 13,000 contracts, with the ratio of main options volume to main futures volume rising from 7% to 45% [5] - Corn starch options trading volume grew from 5,000 contracts to a peak of 45,000 contracts, maintaining a volatility level of 10% to 15%, consistent with the price fluctuations in the spot market [5] Industry Adoption - Various industry players have begun to actively utilize options for risk management, enhancing their operational stability [5][6] - Companies like Sichuan Green Science Poultry Industry and Zhu Cheng Xingmao Corn Development have adopted strategies such as selling call options to generate income and using options to hedge against extreme market conditions [6][7] - The introduction of options has become a "necessity" for many companies facing uncertainties in the agricultural market, allowing for tailored risk management strategies [7] Market Development - The Dalian Commodity Exchange has reported a positive market participation trend for the three options, providing more refined and diversified risk management tools for related enterprises [7] - The exchange plans to continue optimizing option contract rules and enhance training and promotional activities to improve industry participation and support stable market development [7]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of egg, corn starch, and live pig options on the Dalian Commodity Exchange has provided the related industry chain with refined and flexible risk management tools, enhancing stable production and operation for enterprises [1][7][10]. Group 1: Option Market Performance - The trading volume of egg options has rapidly increased, surpassing 170,000 contracts, with the main option trading volume reaching 65% of the main futures trading volume [7]. - The trading volume of live pig options has grown from 2,700 contracts at the beginning to approximately 13,000 contracts, with the ratio of main option trading volume to main futures trading volume rising from 7% to 45% [7]. - The trading volume of corn starch options has increased from 5,000 contracts to a peak of 45,000 contracts, maintaining a volatility level of 10% to 15%, consistent with the price fluctuation of the spot market [7]. Group 2: Industry Adoption and Strategies - Some industry chain enterprises are actively utilizing options to lock in profits, reduce costs, and enhance returns, demonstrating the unique value of options in volatile markets [8][9]. - Sichuan Lvkex Poultry Industry Co., Ltd. employs strategies such as selling call options to generate income and purchasing corresponding options to hedge against extreme market conditions, ensuring low-risk operations while generating returns [8]. - Zhu Cheng Xingmao Corn Development Co., Ltd. utilizes corn starch options to create various hedging strategies, including selling call options to reduce inventory costs and selling put options to hedge against risks from unexecuted locked-price orders [8]. Group 3: Importance of Options in Risk Management - For many related enterprises, options have become a necessary tool for hedging against uncertainties in the agricultural product market [10]. - The Dalian Commodity Exchange aims to continuously optimize option contract rules and enhance industry client participation through training and promotional activities, fostering a stable and healthy development of the options market [10].

Group 1: Report Summary - The report provides investment analysis and operation suggestions for various commodities on August 13, 2025 [2][3] Group 2: Core Views - The Sino-US second - round trade talks extended the tariff exemption clause, and the central political bureau meeting's policy tone was consistent with the previous one, affecting the financial and commodity markets [3] - The inflation in the US remained moderate, boosting the expectation of interest rate cuts, and the US dollar declined, which had an impact on the prices of gold, silver and other commodities [3] Group 3: Variety Analysis and Operation Suggestions Equity Index - The Sino - US joint statement on extending tariff exemptions led to a continued upward trend in the equity index. There was a short - term expectation difference in the market. It was advisable to sell the MO2509 put option with an exercise price around 6400 at high prices and maintain a moderately bullish view [3] Treasury Bonds - The current stage of bond futures was suppressed by the strong performance of equities, and the overall sentiment was weak. Unilateral strategies suggested short - term waiting and focusing on financial data and new bond issuance pricing. Curve strategies could appropriately bet on a steeper yield curve [3] Precious Metals - The macro news increased the volatility of gold prices, but there was still a possibility of a pulse - like rise. A bull spread portfolio could be constructed through gold call options at low prices after the price correction. The silver price was expected to maintain a range - bound shock and still had upward space. A bull spread strategy could be constructed using silver put options at relatively low prices to earn premium income [3] Shipping Index (European Line) - The EC main contract oscillated weakly. It was expected to oscillate weakly, and the idea of shorting at high prices should be maintained [3] Steel and Iron Ore - Steel mills' inventory accumulation was not significant, providing support for steel prices. It was advisable to try to go long on dips. The iron ore shipments decreased and the port inventory and clearance increased, following the steel price fluctuations. It was advisable to go long on dips and short iron ore while going long on coking coal [3] Coking Coal and Coke - The coking coal futures rebounded, and the spot auction was strong. The large - mine long - term agreement price increased. It was advisable to go long on dips. The sixth round of price increases for mainstream coking plants was launched, and there was still an expectation of further increases. It was advisable to go long on dips [3] Non - ferrous Metals - The expectation of interest rate cuts improved, and the copper price strengthened slightly. The main contract reference range was 78,000 - 80,000. The market priced in a higher probability of interest rate cuts in September due to the slowdown of US inflation. The zinc price main contract reference range was 22,000 - 23,000. For tin, it was necessary to pay attention to the import situation from Myanmar and maintain a wait - and - see attitude [3] Energy and Chemicals - The oil price was mainly oscillating in the short term. It was advisable to wait and see unilaterally and expand the spread between October - November/December. For PX, it was treated as an oscillation in the range of 6600 - 6900 and expand the PX - SC spread at low levels. For PTA, it was oscillating in the short term in the range of 4600 - 4800. For short - fiber, it was oscillating in the range of 6300 - 6500 [3] Agricultural Products - The US soybean export expectation improved. It was advisable to hold long positions in RM509. The palm oil was expected to have a large - amplitude shock after a strong upward rush, and the main contract might hit 9500. The overseas sugar supply outlook was relatively loose, and it was advisable to reduce the previous high - level short positions [3] Special Commodities - The glass industry was in a negative feedback process, and it was advisable to hold short positions. The rubber raw material price strengthened due to more rainfall in Thailand, and it was necessary to pay attention to the raw material supply during the peak season and maintain a wait - and - see attitude [3] New Energy Commodities - The polysilicon was oscillating downward with the increase of warehouse receipts. The lithium carbonate was affected by more news disturbances, and it was advisable to be cautious and wait and see [3]

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1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The weekly market declined to varying degrees, with all three option underlying assets dropping by over 1%. The changes in the position PCR ratios showed divergence, with the position PCR of 50ETF and 300ETF continuing to fall, while the put contract position ratio of 500ETF increased. Considering the changes in the implied volatility curve structure, with the curve of 500ETF shifting to the left, indicating some cautious sentiment, it is believed that the current market risk preference level has decreased, and a cautious attitude towards small-cap growth stocks is recommended. This is relatively favorable for large-cap blue-chip underlying assets such as 50ETF and 300ETF [5][43]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Periodic and Spot Market Review 3.1.1 Underlying Asset Market - From July 28 to August 1, the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated during the week, closing at 3559.95, with lower trading volume compared to the previous week. The Shenzhen Component Index fluctuated and declined during the week, with a decline of 1.58% compared to the previous week, closing at 10991.32, and lower trading volume compared to the previous week [2][8]. - 50ETF opened at 2.917 at the beginning of the week and closed at 2.876 at the end of the week, down 0.040 or 1.37% from the previous week, with a trading volume of 10.865 billion yuan. Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF opened at 4.203 at the beginning of the week and closed at 4.133 at the end of the week, down 0.070 or 1.67% from the previous week, with a trading volume of 17.173 billion yuan. Southern CSI 500ETF opened at 6.365 at the beginning of the week and closed at 6.287 at the end of the week, down 0.078 or 1.23% from the previous week, with a trading volume of 6.109 billion yuan [3][8]. 3.1.2 Futures Index Market - From July 28 to August 1, all contracts of the stock index futures IH closed down. Among them, contract IH2508 declined by -1.42%. All contracts of the stock index futures IF closed down. Among them, contract IF2508 declined by -1.93%. All contracts of the stock index futures IC closed down. Among them, contract IC2508 declined by -1.43% [9]. 3.2 Option Market Review 3.2.1 Trading and Position Holding Situation - From July 28 to August 1, the average daily trading volume of 50ETF options decreased compared to the previous week, while the total position increased. The average daily trading volume of 50ETF options for the week was 1,249,242 contracts, a decrease of 123,739 contracts from the previous week's average daily trading volume. The total position was 1,443,444 contracts, an increase of 202,752 contracts from the end of the previous week. The total position PCR was 0.84, a decrease of 0.14 from the end of the previous week [13]. - The average daily trading volume of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF options decreased compared to the previous week, while the total position increased. The average daily trading volume of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF options for the week was 1,165,780 contracts, a decrease of 219,482 contracts from the previous week's average daily trading volume. The total position was 1,284,104 contracts, an increase of 107,929 contracts from the end of the previous week. The total position PCR was 0.89, a decrease of 0.14 from the end of the previous week [15]. - The average daily trading volume of Southern CSI 500ETF options decreased compared to the previous week, while the total position increased. The average daily trading volume of Southern CSI 500ETF options for the week was 1,352,948 contracts, a decrease of 102,102 contracts from the previous week's average daily trading volume. The total position was 1,249,009 contracts, an increase of 165,492 contracts from the end of the previous week. The total position PCR was 1.07, an increase of 0.06 from the end of the previous week [19]. 3.2.2 Volatility Situation - **Historical Volatility**: As of August 1, the 5-day historical rolling volatility of 50ETF rose to 13.05%, near the 50th percentile of the five-year historical level. Currently, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 40-day historical volatilities are 13.05%, 10.97%, 9.09%, and 9.07% respectively [22]. - The 5-day historical rolling volatility of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF rose to 14.26%, near the 50th percentile of the five-year historical level. Currently, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 40-day historical volatilities are 14.26%, 12.76%, 10.26%, and 9.74% respectively [25]. - The 5-day historical rolling volatility of Southern CSI 500ETF rose to 12.99%, near the 25th percentile of the five-year historical level. Currently, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 40-day historical volatilities are 12.99%, 13.83%, 11.63%, and 11.80% respectively [26]. - **Implied Volatility**: On August 1, the implied volatility near the at-the-money level decreased, and the overall implied volatility level declined. For 50ETF and 300ETF, the slopes on both sides of the curve increased, indicating an increased market expectation of future volatility. For 500ETF, the curve shifted to the left, showing some cautious sentiment [29]. - **Comparison of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Trends**: In terms of volatility, short-term volatility increased slightly, and monthly volatility followed suit. Implied volatility declined continuously during the week, and the volatility difference narrowed significantly. It is expected that historical volatility will continue to rise in the future, and the volatility difference will further narrow [36]. 3.3 Investment Recommendations - Given the market decline, the divergence in position PCR ratios, and the changes in the implied volatility curve structure, a cautious attitude towards small-cap growth stocks is recommended, and large-cap blue-chip underlying assets such as 50ETF and 300ETF are relatively favored [5][43].

Group 1 - The event "Capital Assistance, Lu Power Forward - 'Yujian Options' Training Class (Jinan)" was held to enhance the understanding and application of options knowledge among futures practitioners in Shandong [2][3] - The training aimed to address the increasing demand for refined risk management by enterprises due to heightened global economic uncertainty and commodity price volatility [2][3] - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) has made significant progress in supporting high-quality development of the real economy through various initiatives in options business, including the launch of new options products and the introduction of innovative margin policies [3] Group 2 - The training covered a wide range of topics, including market operation, trading rules, options pricing principles, strategy application, and enterprise risk management [4] - Experts from various institutions provided insights into options strategies, market analysis indicators, and practical applications of options in enterprise risk management [4] - Participants reported that the training effectively combined theoretical knowledge with practical needs, enhancing their professional level in utilizing options tools for the real economy [6] Group 3 - The association plans to continue collaborating with ZCE and other futures exchanges to conduct multi-level and diverse training activities, strengthening the talent pool in the industry [6]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an agricultural product daily report released on July 10, 2024, focusing on cotton and cotton yarn markets [2] Group 2: Market Information Futures Market - CF01 closed at 13810 with a 25-point increase, CF05 at 13790 (20-point increase), CF09 at 13865 (35-point increase), CY01 at 19980 (25-point increase), CY05 at 19915 (no change), and CY09 at 20030 (45-point increase) [3] - Trading volumes and open interest of various contracts showed different changes [3] Spot Market - CCIndex3128B was priced at 15196 yuan/ton with a 3-yuan increase, and Cot A was 78.15 cents/pound with a 0.60-cent decrease [3] - Price changes were also observed in other spot prices such as CY IndexC32S, FCY IndexC33S, etc [3] Price Spreads - Cotton and cotton yarn inter - period spreads and cross - variety spreads had different changes, e.g., the 1 - 5 spread of cotton was 20 with a 5 - point increase [3] Group 3: Market News and Views Cotton Market - As of June 23, 2025, the cotton planting area in India was 5.466 million hectares, 0.531 million hectares lower than the previous year, with a target of 12.95 million hectares [6] - During July 3 - 9, 2025, the weekly rainfall in Indian cotton - growing areas was 85.4mm, higher than normal and last year [6] - As of July 6, 2025, the weekly cotton listing volume in India was 13,000 tons, a 59% year - on - year decline, and the cumulative listing volume for 2024/25 was 4.9356 million tons, a 5% decline [7] - The current cotton commercial inventory and imports are at low levels, but the potential issuance of sliding - scale duty quotas and trade uncertainties may limit the upward space of Zhengzhou cotton [8] Trading Strategies for Cotton - Unilateral: US cotton is expected to be slightly bullish in a range, and Zhengzhou cotton is expected to be slightly bullish in the short term [9] - Arbitrage: Hold a wait - and - see attitude [11] - Options: Sell put options [11] Cotton Yarn Industry - The cotton yarn market is still sluggish with insufficient orders, and prices are expected to remain stable or slightly bullish [10] - The all - cotton grey fabric market is also quiet, with low production willingness of weaving factories [13] Group 4: Options - The 30 - day HV of cotton increased slightly today, and the implied volatilities of different options were 9.1%, 9.7%, and 13.8% respectively [15] - The PCR of the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton showed that the bearish sentiment in the market increased [16] - Option strategy: Sell put options [17] Group 5: Related Attachments - The report includes charts such as the price spread of domestic and foreign cotton under 1% tariff, cotton basis for different months, and spreads between cotton yarn and cotton contracts [18][19][20]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the spot gold market is currently exhibiting a weak trend, with prices retreating to the low point area from the previous night [1] - The price of gold is approaching a significant support level at 3307, which is identified as the strongest support zone based on multiple Bollinger Bands and important options reference points [1] - There is a need to monitor whether gold prices can stabilize at this support level; if it fails to hold, the next support is further away and weaker than the current support zone [1]