Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum highlights the latest developments in the biofuel market, focusing on policy trends, production patterns, and innovations in trading tools, as well as key advancements in shipping decarbonization [1] Group 1: Biofuel Market Developments - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group has established a comprehensive derivatives system covering the entire biofuel industry chain to meet the rapidly growing market demand [1] - The raw material side includes futures and options products for corn, soybean oil, and European rapeseed oil, while the fuel product side encompasses futures for RBOB gasoline, ultra-low sulfur diesel, ethanol, and biodiesel [1] Group 2: Strategic Goals and Innovations - The development of the biofuel market requires a balance between policy compliance, raw material sustainability, and cost control [1] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group aims to continuously improve its derivatives toolbox to provide risk management solutions, supporting global energy transition and low-carbon goals [1] - Innovations in the biofuel industry chain are providing strong momentum for green shipping and transportation decarbonization amid accelerating global climate action [1]

Core Viewpoint - The demand side continues to support Chicago soybean futures prices, while domestic soybean meal prices are expected to be boosted by rising raw material prices, despite weak domestic demand [1][3]. Group 1: Soybean Market Dynamics - As of mid-August, the excellent rate of U.S. soybeans remains high at 68%, although it has decreased for three consecutive weeks, the market's reaction has been muted [3]. - The USDA's August supply and demand report has lowered the forecast for soybean production and inventory, which has contributed to the rise in soybean futures prices [3]. - The July soybean crush volume was reported at 195.699 million bushels, exceeding market expectations of 191.59 million bushels and significantly higher than June's 185.709 million bushels, indicating strong domestic demand for U.S. soybeans [1]. Group 2: Domestic Soybean Meal Market - Domestic soybean meal prices are expected to fluctuate between 3,100 to 3,200 yuan per ton until the end of August due to weak demand, despite the support from rising soybean prices [1][3]. - The daily demand for domestic soybean meal reached a yearly high at the beginning of August, primarily driven by forward contracts for next year, with spot demand showing no significant improvement [3]. - As of August 15, the daily transaction volume of soybean meal was 275,000 tons, but excluding the peak on August 5, the daily volume was only 124,000 tons, reflecting cautious purchasing attitudes [3]. Group 3: U.S. Soy Oil Demand - The increase in U.S. soybean oil demand has been a key driver for the unexpected rise in soybean demand, with July soybean oil production reported at 2.348 billion pounds, showing growth month-on-month [4]. - The rising demand for biofuels is the main factor contributing to the increase in soybean oil production, which is expected to provide long-term support for soybean futures prices [4].

【公司层面】卓越新能是国内第一家专业从事废油脂制取生物柴油技术研发生产的企业，也是国内酯基 生物柴油生产龙头企业。我们认为当下时点公司具备投资价值，主要有3 点原因：1）业绩表现长期行 业领先，并且在极端关税政策背景下仍保持盈利：基于公司优秀的成本管控能力、上游供应商管理和下 游销售渠道拓展能力，公司盈利能力和抗风险能力均优于同行，在2023-2024 年欧盟反倾销调查最为严 峻的时刻，公司仍然未出现亏损。且在产能扩张计划下，未来业绩增长潜力较大。2）海内外产能持续 扩张：目前公司拥有酯基产能近50 万吨，我们预计生物柴油能够扩产到近130 万吨（包括酯基国内近50 万吨+新加坡20 万吨+泰国30 万吨，烃基国内20 万吨+泰国10 万吨），为公司收入和利润增长带来显著 贡献。3）外部负面影响落地且逐步削弱：公司受欧盟反倾销税的负面影响好于预期，公司通过荷兰子 公司直销保障生物柴油销售量和价格稳定，且通过保税形式能较大程度规避负面影响。长期看，公司受 外部负面影响正在削弱，新加坡、泰国以及中东等海外生物柴油基地建设和国内生物航煤产线将为公司 提供更大基数的非税销售来源。 股价催化剂：海内外新产能投产；原料油 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - Internationally, the good-to-excellent rate of US soybeans decreased by 1% from the previous week. Driven by short-covering, CBOT soybean futures rebounded slightly but remained weak overall. The estimated inventory of Malaysian palm oil at the end of July reached a two-year high, but the market expected the export data at the beginning of August to improve, leading to a resonant rebound of Malaysian palm oil futures and domestic oils. Domestically, the soybean oil inventory continued to rise, but the increase in domestic exports alleviated the inventory pressure to some extent. Recently, the South American soybean premium has been rising continuously, combined with trade risk premiums, soybean oil continued to strengthen. The palm oil inventory changed from increasing to decreasing, continuing the pattern of weak supply and demand. Driven by the rebound of import costs, Dalian palm oil rebounded strongly. Regarding rapeseed oil, the domestic inventory continued to decline, and the uncertainty of China-Canada trade policies supported the rapeseed oil price, with rapeseed oil fluctuating strongly [6]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Macro and Industry News - As of the week ending August 1st, the commercial inventory of the three major oils was 2.36 million tons, basically flat week-on-week, up 110,000 tons month-on-month, and up 200,000 tons year-on-year. Among them, the soybean oil inventory was 1.13 million tons, up 30,000 tons week-on-week, up 110,000 tons month-on-month, and flat year-on-year; the rapeseed oil inventory was 660,000 tons, basically flat week-on-week, down 40,000 tons month-on-month, and up 230,000 tons year-on-year; the palm oil inventory was 570,000 tons, down 30,000 tons week-on-week, up 40,000 tons month-on-month, and down 30,000 tons year-on-year [2]. - As of the week ending August 3rd, the good-to-excellent rate of US soybeans was 69%, in line with the market expectation of 69%, down from 70% in the previous week and up from 68% in the same period last year. The soybean flowering rate was 85%, up from 76% in the previous week, the same as 85% in the same period last year, and the five-year average was 86% [2]. - Brokerage StoneX predicted that Brazil's soybean production in the 2025/26 season would be 178.2 million tons, a 5.6% increase from the previous season due to increased planting area and crop yield. StoneX also expected the US soybean production in 2025 to reach 4.425 billion bushels, with an average yield of 53.6 bushels per acre [2]. - Reuters survey showed that Malaysia's palm oil inventory in July 2025 was expected to be 2.25 million tons, an increase of 10.8% from June; the production was expected to be 1.83 million tons, an increase of 8% from June; the export volume was expected to be 1.3 million tons, an increase of 3.2% from June [3]. - Brazil officially implemented a new biofuel blending standard on August 1st, increasing the ethanol blending ratio in gasoline from 27% to 30% (E30) and the biodiesel blending ratio in diesel from 14% to 15% (B15) [4]. 2. Fundamental Data Charts - Not provided 3. Views and Strategies - Internationally, the good-to-excellent rate of US soybeans decreased, and CBOT soybean futures rebounded slightly but remained weak. The estimated high inventory of Malaysian palm oil at the end of July was expected to improve in export data at the beginning of August, leading to a resonant rebound with domestic oils. Domestically, soybean oil inventory rose but was alleviated by exports, and soybean oil strengthened due to rising premiums and risk premiums. Palm oil inventory decreased, and Dalian palm oil rebounded strongly due to rising import costs. Rapeseed oil inventory declined, and the uncertainty of China-Canada trade policies supported the price, with rapeseed oil fluctuating strongly [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Andersons, Inc. has invested approximately $425 million to acquire the remaining stake in its joint venture with Marathon Petroleum, significantly increasing its investment in the biofuel ethanol sector and doubling its renewable fuel assets [1][2][3] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition includes four ethanol plants located in the Midwest, allowing The Andersons to achieve full control over its supply chain from corn procurement to ethanol processing and export logistics [2][3] - This move is part of The Andersons' broader expansion strategy, which also includes plans to build a new large trading port in Houston [1][2] Group 2: Market Context and Implications - The acquisition aligns with the U.S. government's increased biofuel blending mandates and the potential restrictions on ethanol imports, positioning The Andersons to meet rising demand [2][3] - The company aims to leverage its integrated operations to optimize the grain-fuel-feed loop, enhancing its ability to manage raw material volatility and improve profitability [2][3] Group 3: Future Growth Opportunities - The transaction is expected to open new growth avenues in carbon credit trading, overseas exports, and policy incentives, transforming The Andersons from a traditional grain trader into a comprehensive renewable energy agricultural giant [3] - The company has signed a long-term lease at the Houston port to expand its grain and biofuel shipping capabilities, targeting an export volume exceeding 2 million tons [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The Andersons, Inc. has acquired the remaining stake in its joint venture with Marathon Petroleum for approximately $425 million, significantly increasing its investment in the biofuel sector and doubling its renewable fuel assets [1][2][3] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition includes four ethanol plants in the Midwest, allowing The Andersons to achieve full integration from grain procurement to ethanol processing and export logistics [2][3] - This move is part of the company's broader expansion strategy, which includes plans to build a new large trading port in Houston [1][2] Group 2: Market Context and Implications - The joint venture was established in 2019 amid a surplus of grain supply due to trade disputes affecting U.S. agricultural exports [1] - The U.S. government, under Trump's administration, has increased the biofuel blending quotas, which is expected to drive additional demand for biofuels [2][3] - The Andersons aims to leverage its grain sourcing capabilities to reduce raw material volatility and optimize the grain-fuel-feed supply chain [2][3] Group 3: Future Growth Opportunities - The acquisition positions The Andersons to capitalize on carbon credit opportunities, overseas exports, and policy incentives in the renewable fuel sector [2] - The company has signed a long-term lease at the Houston port to expand its grain and biofuel shipping capabilities, targeting over 2 million tons in exports [2][3] - The transaction is seen as a critical step in transforming The Andersons from a traditional grain merchant into a comprehensive renewable energy agricultural giant [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Andersons, Inc. has acquired the remaining stake in its joint venture with Marathon Petroleum for approximately $425 million, significantly increasing its investment in the biofuel sector and doubling its renewable fuel assets [1][2][3] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition includes four ethanol plants in the Midwest, allowing The Andersons to achieve vertical integration from corn procurement to ethanol processing and export logistics [2][3] - This move is part of The Andersons' expansion strategy, which also includes plans to build a new large trading port in Houston [1][2] Group 2: Market Context and Implications - The acquisition aligns with the U.S. government's increased biofuel blending quotas under the Trump administration, which aims to enhance domestic biofuel production despite new tariff policies threatening agricultural exports [1][2] - The Andersons is positioned to optimize its supply chain by directly supplying its own grain to the plants, reducing raw material volatility, and enabling one-stop sales of by-products to global customers [2][3] Group 3: Future Growth Opportunities - The company has signed a long-term lease at the Houston port to expand its grain and biofuel shipping capabilities, targeting an export volume exceeding 2 million tons [2] - The acquisition is expected to facilitate The Andersons' entry into the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supply network, capitalizing on the growing demand for low-carbon fuels [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the latest information on the oilseeds and oils market including US soybean export sales, soybean crushing volume, usage of soybean oil in biofuel production, palm oil export volumes from Malaysia, and trade agreements related to Indonesian palm oil [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - From July 11 - 18, US 2024/2025 market - year soybean export sales net increase was 34.92 million tons, up significantly from the previous week and 4% higher than the four - week average, with market expectation of 10 - 30 million tons. US 2025/2026 market - year soybean export sales net increase was 42.95 million tons, within the market expectation of 10 - 60 million tons. US soybean export shipments were 49.96 million tons, up 65% from the previous week and 63% from the four - week average [1] - Before the USDA monthly crushing report, analysts estimated that US soybean crushing volume in June would be 196.6 million bushels, a 3.5% decrease from May and the lowest since February but a 7.2% increase from June 2024 and the largest June crushing volume in history. The estimated daily average crushing volume was 6.554 million bushels, the slowest daily progress since last September. The estimated US soybean oil inventory as of June 30 was 1.863 billion pounds, down 0.7% from the end of May and 12.3% from June 2024 [1] - The US Energy Information Administration reported that the usage of soybean oil in biofuel production in May increased to 1.025 billion pounds, up from 829 million pounds in April [1] - ITS data showed that Malaysia's palm oil product exports in July were 1,289,727 tons, a 6.7% decrease from June. AmSpec data showed a 9.6% decrease to 1,163,216 tons from June. AmSpec also revised Malaysia's July 1 - 25 palm oil exports to 914,924 tons [1] - An Indonesian minister said that the EU would give zero - tariff treatment to an annual export quota of 1 million tons of Indonesian crude palm oil when the free - trade agreement is approved. If the exports exceed 1 million tons, a 3% tariff will be imposed. The EU and Indonesia are expected to sign the agreement in September and get approval from their legislative bodies next year. The EU will later set an export quota for Indonesian palm kernel oil based on the previous year's shipments [1] - The Indian Vegetable Oil Producers Association and the Indonesian Palm Oil Association signed a three - year memorandum of understanding to strengthen bilateral cooperation in the palm oil industry, including technology exchange, R & D, sustainable development, policy coordination, food security, and market information sharing [1] Spot Prices - Spot prices of various oilseeds and oils such as soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from July 25 - 31, 2025 are presented, showing price fluctuations during this period [2] Other Information - Information on precipitation in major producing countries, import soybean crushing profit on the futures market, and oil import profit are mentioned but no specific data is provided [1] - Information on oil basis, oilseeds and oils price spreads on the futures market, and protein meal basis are mentioned but no specific data is provided [3][4]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The rapeseed meal market continues to oscillate weakly, with short - term participation recommended due to large market fluctuations recently. The rapeseed oil market has intensified short - term fluctuations, and recently it has performed weaker than soybean and palm oils [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - Futures closing prices: Rapeseed oil was 9406 yuan/ton (down 51 yuan), rapeseed meal was 2660 yuan/ton (down 15 yuan), ICE rapeseed was 699.9 Canadian dollars/ton (up 2.6 Canadian dollars), and domestic rapeseed was 5197 yuan/ton (up 60 yuan) [2] - Month - to - month spreads: Rapeseed oil (9 - 1) was 49 yuan/ton (down 7 yuan), rapeseed meal (9 - 1) was 267 yuan/ton (down 3 yuan) [2] - Main contract positions: Rapeseed oil was 201338 lots (down 9445 lots), rapeseed meal was 468326 lots (down 15182 lots) [2] - Net long positions of the top 20 futures holders: Rapeseed oil was 15749 lots (up 2973 lots), rapeseed meal was 24840 lots (up 1665 lots) [2] - Warehouse receipt quantities: Rapeseed oil was 3487 sheets (unchanged), rapeseed meal was 0 sheets (unchanged) [2] Spot Market - Spot prices: Rapeseed oil in Jiangsu was 9570 yuan/ton (unchanged), rapeseed meal in Nantong was 2560 yuan/ton (down 20 yuan), rapeseed in Yancheng, Jiangsu was 6000 yuan/ton (unchanged) [2] - Average price: Rapeseed oil was 9610 yuan/ton (unchanged) [2] - Import cost of rapeseed: 4981.37 yuan/ton (up 20.15 yuan) [2] - Basis: Rapeseed oil main contract basis was 113 yuan/ton (up 35 yuan), rapeseed meal main contract basis was - 100 yuan/ton (down 5 yuan) [2] Substitute Spot Prices - Spot prices: Fourth - grade soybean oil in Nanjing was 8320 yuan/ton (down 30 yuan), 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 8970 yuan/ton (down 30 yuan), soybean meal in Zhangjiagang was 2850 yuan/ton (down 10 yuan) [2] - Spot price differences: Rapeseed - soybean oil was 1220 yuan/ton (down 20 yuan), rapeseed - palm oil was 570 yuan/ton (up 50 yuan), soybean - rapeseed meal was 290 yuan/ton (up 10 yuan) [2] Upstream Situation - Global rapeseed production forecast: 89.77 million tons (up 0.21 million tons), annual forecast value of rapeseed production was 12378 thousand tons (unchanged) [2] - Rapeseed import volume: 18.45 tons (down 15.1 tons) [2] - Imported rapeseed crushing profit: 232 yuan/ton [2] - Rapeseed inventory in oil mills: 20 tons (up 5 tons) [2] - Imported rapeseed weekly operating rate: 14.93% (down 0.79%) [2] Industry Situation - Import volume of rapeseed oil and mustard oil: 34 tons (up 10 tons), import volume of rapeseed meal: 28.79 tons (up 4.13 tons) [2] - Coastal rapeseed oil inventory: 9.55 tons (up 0.3 tons), coastal rapeseed meal inventory: 1.9 tons [2] - East China rapeseed oil inventory: 56.27 tons (down 2.18 tons), East China rapeseed meal inventory: 35.13 tons (down 2.91 tons) [2] - Guangxi rapeseed oil inventory: 5.55 tons (down 0.05 tons), South China rapeseed meal inventory: 27 tons (down 1.2 tons) [2] - Weekly rapeseed oil pick - up volume: 2.91 tons (down 0.38 tons), weekly rapeseed meal pick - up volume: 2.32 tons (down 0.14 tons) [2] Downstream Situation - Feed production: 2762.1 tons (up 98.1 tons) [2] - Retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry: 4707.6 billion yuan (up 129.4 billion yuan) [2] - Edible vegetable oil production: 440.4 tons (down 87 tons) [2] Option Market - Implied volatility of at - the - money call options for rapeseed meal: 23.87% (down 0.09%), implied volatility of at - the - money put options for rapeseed meal: 23.87% (down 0.09%) [2] - Historical volatility of rapeseed meal: 20 - day was 15.85% (up 0.2%), 60 - day was 16.72% [2] - Implied volatility of at - the - money call options for rapeseed oil: 16.52% (up 0.71%), implied volatility of at - the - money put options for rapeseed oil: 16.52% (up 0.76%) [2] - Historical volatility of rapeseed oil: 20 - day was 10.9% (unchanged), 60 - day was 12.14% (up 0.03%) [2] Industry News - On July 25 (Friday), ICE rapeseed futures rose. The market was caught between bullish biofuel factors and bearish good crop conditions. The most actively traded November rapeseed futures closed up 5.10 Canadian dollars at 700.80 Canadian dollars per ton [2] - As of the week ending July 20, 2025, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans was 68%, lower than analysts' expectations of 71%, but still at a high level in the same period [2] Rapeseed Meal View Summary - The domestic oil mill operating rate is relatively high, soybean meal continues to accumulate inventory, and the future pig inventory is expected to decline. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the reduction and substitution of soybean meal, reducing demand expectations. However, the uncertainty of fourth - quarter ship purchases supports the forward market. Near - month rapeseed arrivals are low, and the aquaculture peak season increases the seasonal demand for rapeseed meal. But the substitution advantage of soybean meal weakens the demand expectation for rapeseed meal. The rapeseed meal market continues to oscillate weakly [2] Rapeseed Oil View Summary - High - frequency data shows that from July 1 - 20, Malaysian palm oil production increased while exports declined, which restricts palm oil prices. But the large increase in Indonesian exports and positive news in the US and Indonesian biodiesel sectors boost the oil market. In China, it is the off - season for oil consumption, and the supply of vegetable oil is relatively loose. The inventory pressure of rapeseed oil mills is high, but the reduction in the operating rate of oil mills weakens the output pressure of rapeseed oil. The reduction in third - quarter rapeseed purchases eases the supply - side pressure [2] Key Points to Watch - The rapeseed operating rate and rapeseed oil and meal inventory in various regions announced by Myagric on Monday, and the development of China - Canada and Canada - US trade disputes [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the protein meal market, international soybean prices rebounded after a decline this week. Domestic soybean meal followed the upward trend of US soybeans, showing a strong and volatile pattern. In the short - term, domestic soybean meal is expected to continue its strong and volatile performance, with the M2509 contract facing resistance at the previous high of 3089. - In the oil market, international oils rose significantly this week. Domestic oils followed the international trend, with palm oil leading the increase. In the future, international palm oil may continue to rise if Indonesian production is lower than expected, and US soybean oil remains bullish. Domestic oils are likely to have a rotation effect, and there may be a catch - up increase in soybean oil and rapeseed oil [65][131]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Part 1: Protein Meal Market Analysis 1. Market Review - This week, CBOT soybeans first declined and then rebounded. USDA report was bearish at the beginning, but later factors such as higher - than - expected June crushing data, increased exports, and rising soybean oil prices drove the rebound. Domestic soybean meal fluctuated upwards, with the main contract breaking through key integer levels [6]. 2. US Market Information - As of July 10, 2025, the weekly US soybean export inspection volume was 147,045 tons. From 2024/25 to date, the total US soybean export inspection volume reached 46,411,264 tons, a year - on - year increase of 10.4%. As of July 13, the US soybean good - to - excellent rate was 70%, higher than expected, with a flowering rate of 47% and a pod - setting rate of 15% [10][18]. 3. North American Weather - In the US, some areas in Texas had continuous heavy rain, while the western part was dry. In Canada, the prairie region was affected by drought, which had an impact on crop growth [22][29]. 4. Domestic and International Oilseed Markets - US soybean crushing capacity has increased, but the oversupply of soybean meal restricts full utilization. In June 2025, China imported 12.26 million tons of soybeans, a year - on - year increase of 10.35%. Brazil was the main supplier. Various institutions adjusted their forecasts for global soybean production, consumption, and trade [31]. 5. Global Trade Pattern Changes - The US and Indonesia reached a trade agreement, including Indonesia's purchase of US agricultural products, energy products, and aircraft, which may affect the global trade pattern [36]. 6. Domestic Market Indicators - Domestic spot and futures crushing margins improved. As of the end of the week, port soybean inventory was about 6.5215 million tons, and the theoretical crushable days were 19 days. The soybean oil mill opening rate was high, and the soybean meal inventory increased [42][48]. Part 2: Oil Market Analysis 1. Market Review - International oils rose significantly this week. US soybean oil and Malaysian palm oil reached new highs. Domestic oils followed the international trend, with palm oil leading the increase [65]. 2. International Oil Information - In June, India's palm oil imports reached an 11 - month high. In June 2025, China imported 696,000 tons of edible vegetable oils, a month - on - month increase of 50.65%. From July 1 - 15, Malaysian palm oil exports decreased. US soybean oil inventory at the end of June was lower than expected. Malaysia raised the export tax rate for August palm oil. Indonesia's biodiesel policy had a positive impact on the market [69][70]. 3. Southeast Asian Weather - Thailand and surrounding areas had seasonal monsoon rainfall, and Malaysia and Indonesia also had beneficial rainfall [77]. 4. Domestic Market Indicators - As of the 28th week of 2025, the total inventory of three major domestic edible oils increased. The inventory of soybean oil increased, palm oil increased slightly, and rapeseed oil decreased [87]. Part 3: Market Outlook 1. Seasonal Analysis - Seasonal index charts of various products such as US soybeans, soybean meal, and domestic oils were provided, but no specific analysis content was given. 2. Next - Week Market Outlook - **Technical Level**: For soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil, different short - term, medium - term, and long - term indicators showed different trends [130]. - **Fundamentals** - **Protein Meal**: Internationally, US soybeans may be affected by weather and tariff policies, and are expected to fluctuate between 1000 - 1100. Domestically, soybean meal inventory is increasing, and short - term soybean meal is expected to be strong and volatile. - **Oils**: Internationally, Malaysian palm oil may continue to rise if Indonesian production is lower than expected, and US soybean oil remains bullish. Domestically, oils follow the international trend, and there may be a catch - up increase in soybean oil and rapeseed oil [131].