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第一创业晨会纪要-20250627
First Capital Securities· 2025-06-27 03:38
证券研究报告 点评报告 2025 年 6 月 27 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_:Summary] 一、产业综合组: 昨晚小米 YU7 正式公布售价并接受预定,3 分钟大定突破 20 万台,其中锁单超 过 10 万台。一小时大定达到 28.9 万台,虽然预售数据没有超过小米第一款车 SU7,但远好于其他公司新车发布的预售数据。小米 YU7 的售价和特斯拉 Model Y 相比,便宜了 1 万,另外两个版本相比特斯拉 Model Y 均便宜了 3 万,考虑特斯 拉目前的五年免息按 2 万元优惠算,也 YU7 都便宜 1 万元。受良好销售数据推动, 小米美国 ADR 涨 9.8%,预计今日港股小米,国内配套智能座舱的华阳集团、德 赛西威,提供车载充电机的富特科技、提供散热的思泉新材等会受益较大。 路透社昨日报道,美国白宫有官员表示,美国已与中国达成加快对美出口稀土的 谅解。中国驻美大使馆没有立即回应置评请求。此前美国总统特朗普表示,美国 周三与中国签署了一项与贸易相关的协议,但并未说明具体内容。从前几天中国 管制芬太尼原料,到昨日有报道称美国商务部周三发出许可函,允许向中国目的 地船只装载乙烷,但在未获额 ...
奥迪躺回舒适区
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-26 09:33
Core Viewpoint - Audi has retracted its plan to stop selling internal combustion engine vehicles by 2033, opting for a parallel development of fuel, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicles over the next decade, indicating a shift from its previously aggressive electrification strategy [1][19]. Group 1: Electrification Strategy - Audi's CEO, Markus Duesmann, initially aimed to transform Audi into a fully electric brand by 2033, with a target for zero emissions by 2050 [3]. - The company planned to launch approximately 20 new models by 2025, with over 10 being fully electric [4]. - Despite ambitious plans, Audi's electric vehicle sales have not translated into significant profits, with fuel vehicles still being the primary revenue source [1][16]. Group 2: Market Performance - Audi's global sales from 2020 to 2022 were 1.69 million, 1.68 million, and 1.61 million vehicles, while competitors like BMW and Mercedes maintained sales above 2 million [5]. - In China, Audi's sales have declined from 726,000 in 2021 to 643,000 in 2023 [6]. - For 2024, Audi's global sales are projected to drop by 11.8% to 1.67 million vehicles, with electric models accounting for only 9.8% of total sales [9]. Group 3: Operational Adjustments - Audi has announced plans to cut costs and increase efficiency, including the closure of its Brussels plant and a workforce reduction of 7,500 employees by 2029 [9]. - The company is shifting focus back to fuel vehicles, with new models like the Audi A5, A6, and Q7 set to launch in 2025 and 2026 [16]. - Audi aims to maintain the appeal of fuel vehicles until the end of their product lifecycle while gradually transitioning to electric models [19]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Investments - Audi has established a new brand, AUDI, in collaboration with SAIC to target younger, tech-savvy consumers in China [1]. - The company is investing approximately 35 billion yuan in a new plant in Changchun for electric vehicle production, with an annual capacity of 150,000 units [10]. - Audi's software subsidiary, CARIAD, is expanding its presence in China, establishing a local development team to enhance its software capabilities [12].
GNEV2025上海|王静:通用汽车要保持全球领先,必须充分参与中国市场竞争
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-06-26 08:49
Core Viewpoint - General Motors is committed to deepening its presence in China, focusing on its core joint venture business to enhance product competitiveness in the Chinese market [1][3]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In 2023, General Motors experienced a reversal in sales, with the U.S. becoming its largest single market again. Global sales in 2024 are projected to exceed 6 million units, with approximately 2.7 million units sold in the U.S. and around 1.8 million units in China [3]. - The market share and profitability of General Motors in China have improved, with a successful turnaround in the fourth quarter of the previous year after facing losses in the first three quarters [3][4]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - The company is transitioning from a strategy of "in China, for China" to "in China, for the world," indicating a broader global strategy that leverages its operations in China [4][5]. - General Motors aims to enhance its competitiveness globally by fully participating in the Chinese market, which is seen as a core element of its global competitiveness [4]. Group 3: Export and Growth - In 2024, General Motors plans to utilize a differentiated strategy to enhance its export competitiveness, with the Wuling brand expected to export 225,000 units, a 6.4% increase year-on-year, including over 40,000 units of electric vehicles, marking a 72% increase [5]. - The company acknowledges the competitive pressures faced by foreign automakers in China due to geopolitical, trade, and economic factors but remains committed to deepening its engagement in the market [5].
谁能接过复兴雷诺的接力棒?
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2025-06-26 01:24
Core Points - Luca de Meo, CEO of Renault Group, announced his resignation after five years to seek new challenges outside the automotive industry [2][6] - His departure introduces uncertainty regarding Renault's future revival efforts, including electric transformation and the restructuring of the Alpine brand [2][7] - Renault Group is in the process of searching for a new CEO, considering both internal promotions and external hires [2][10] Group 1: Background and Achievements - Under de Meo's leadership, Renault Group transitioned from a period of crisis to recovery, restoring a healthy growth foundation and impressive product lineup [3][4] - De Meo was appointed CEO in July 2020 during a time when Renault faced significant challenges, including a €1.41 billion loss in 2019 and a net loss of €8 billion in 2020 [3][4] - He launched the "Renaulution" five-year strategic plan in January 2021, shifting the focus from sales volume to value creation [4][5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Renault Group's financial performance improved significantly, with a net loss reduced to €354 million in 2022 and a net profit of €2.198 billion in 2023 [5] - By the end of 2024, the automotive net financial position reached €7.1 billion, nearly doubling from the previous year, driven by the performance of Renault, Dacia, and Alpine brands [5] Group 3: Future Challenges - De Meo's departure raises concerns about the continuity of Renault's strategic initiatives, particularly in electric vehicle development and partnerships in China [7][9] - The new CEO will face challenges in maintaining the momentum of the "Renaulution" strategy and managing the relationship with Nissan, which has seen improvements under de Meo [8][9] - Potential candidates for the CEO position include internal executive Denis Le Vot and external candidate Carlos Tavares from Stellantis [10][11]
纯电15.4%vs混动43.3%,欧盟电动车市场颠覆式反转
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-06-25 11:05
此外,2025年5月的同比数据显示,纯电动汽车(BEV)增长了25%,混合动力汽车(HEV)增长了 16%,而插电式混合动力汽车(PHEV)连续第三个月强劲增长,增长了46.9%。 凤凰网科技讯 6月25日,欧洲汽车制造商协会发布最新数据显示,截至2025年5月欧盟汽车市场呈现"冰 火两重天"格局:电池电动汽车(BEV)市场份额仅15.4%,而混动汽车(含HEV、PHEV)占比高达 43.3%,牢牢占据主导地位。 分国别来看,2025年前五个月BEV市场表现分化显著:德国、比利时、荷兰分别以43.2%、26.7%、 6.7%的增速领跑,但法国却下滑7.1%。 混动车型则全面开花,法国、西班牙、意大利、德国四大市场分别实现38.3%、34.9%、13.8%、12.1% 的增长。 整体市场规模方面,2025年前五月欧盟新车注册量同比微降0.6%,但5月单月凭借1.6%的逆势增长实现 回暖,反映出车企促销策略与供应链改善初见成效。 然而,亮眼数据背后暗藏隐忧。尽管新能源车型整体增速迅猛,仍不足以填补传统燃油车萎缩的缺口。 当前BEV市场渗透率与欧盟2035年新车零排放目标存在巨大鸿沟,充电基建滞后与电池成本高企成核 ...
当奥迪、奔驰开始“倒车”
和讯· 2025-06-25 10:17
以下文章来源于和讯商业 ,作者徐帅 和讯商业 . 商业世界的故事、逻辑、认知。由"和讯商业"团队出品。 仅仅四年时间,奥迪就亲手推翻了自己当初立下的电动化 "军令状"。 而促使这一转变的关键推手,很可能正是中国汽车产业的强势崛起。 近日,奥迪首席执行官高德诺公开宣布,公司决定放弃原定于 2033 年停售内燃机车型的计划。同时,此前关于 2026 年前停止研发 新一代内燃机的想法也一并被搁置。 选择重回燃油车赛道的,远不止奥迪一家。 在奥迪表态后不久,曾誓言 "力争 2030 年实现全面电动化"的梅赛德斯 - 奔驰,也表达了相似的立场。加上去年就已悄然松动电动 化目标的沃尔沃,以及一直主张"多元动力共存"的宝马——这些 跨国汽车巨头们,不约而同地集体推迟了与燃油时代告别的时刻。 传统豪华车企曾集体高调集体宣布 "拥抱电动化"是在 2021 年。当时,欧盟环保法规步步紧逼,中国则迎来了"新能源汽车爆发元 年",市场渗透率首次突破被视为关键的 10% 大关,油电变革的大幕即将拉开。彼时的 BBA 们,心情或许颇为复杂,但无论主动还 是被动,它们都站在聚光灯下,许下了雄心勃勃的电动化承诺。 然而短短四年后,风向已然改 ...
豪掷千金 美最大车企要“更美国”
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2025-06-25 01:31
近日,美国最大汽车制造商通用汽车宣布,计划在未来两年内向位于密歇根州、堪萨斯州和田纳西州的3家美 国工厂投资约40亿美元,以扩大旗下畅销车型在本土市场的生产规模。分析师指出,通用汽车的最新计划反映了 近来一些跨国车企试图在美国增加投资,以规避美国汽车关税的趋势。 "我们坚信,未来的交通变革将由美国的创新精神与制造实力所驱动。今天的声明再次表明,我们将继续坚持在美 国本土制造汽车,为美国工人就业提供支持。我们的目标是为消费者提供更多选择,打造美国人真正喜爱的多元 化产品阵容。"通用汽车首席执行官玛丽·博拉如是说。 40亿美元加码本土生产 尽管多年来通用汽车一直是美国最大的汽车制造商,但谈到在美国的本土化率,通用汽车远不及特斯拉、 Rivian、福特等其他美国本土汽车制造商,甚至连本田、丰田等日系车企都比不上。 数据显示,2024年通用汽车在美国共售出268.93万辆汽车,同比增长4.3%,继续保持美国车市销量冠军地位。相 比之下,通用汽车在美国的本土化率仅处于行业中游水平。2024年,通用汽车在美国销售的汽车中约有52%是在 本土组装的,另外30%在加拿大和墨西哥组装,剩下18%是从其他国家进口,例如韩国、中国 ...
奥迪,撑不住了
商业洞察· 2025-06-23 09:04
以下文章来源于中国企业家杂志 ,作者任娅斐 中国企业家杂志 . 讲好企业家故事,弘扬企业家精神 除了奥迪,奔驰、宝马也调整了全面电动化计划。去年8月,宝马集团董事长齐普策在财报电话 会上称,宝马希望能够根据客户偏好、地区差异,快速作出必要的反应。他认为"完全禁止内燃 机是错误的"。奔驰则称,一直到2030年之后,奔驰都将为满足不同客户做好准备,无论他们需 要的是纯电车型还是内燃机车型。也就是说,BBA三大德系豪华车企均发生了集体转向。 在杰富瑞分析师菲利普 ·霍乔斯看来, 像奥迪这样的德国高端品牌正面临进退两难的境地 —— 他们既要努力捍卫其高利润的传统业务,又要同时投入巨额资金去追赶电动化。"这次放缓就等 于承认,他们无法同时做好两件事。" ---------------------------------- 作者: 任娅斐 来源:中国企业家杂志 奥迪发起电动化大反攻的第四年,现任 CEO 推翻了前任 CEO 的决策。 据外媒 Autocar 报道,奥迪正式撤回其 2033 年全面电动化的目标,不再设定燃油车的终止时 间。 按照奥迪前 C EO 的计划,奥迪将在 2026 年后不再推出新款燃油车型,并在 2 ...
中国汽车市场一周行业信息快报——2025年6月第3期
Zhong Guo Zhi Liang Xin Wen Wang· 2025-06-23 08:04
回顾上周,国内汽车市场有哪些重点事件值得关注?又有哪些新车迎来上市? 里程碑时刻 零跑汽车累计交付量突破80万台 6月18日,零跑汽车宣布累计交付量突破80万台。2025年,该品牌持续保持高增速,5月交付再创新高达45067台,1-5月累计交付173658台,其中出口超 17200台。按照目前的销售态势来看,零跑有望在年内解锁百万交付的成就。 这一成绩的取得,得益于零跑全域自研技术赋能下的产品竞争力。目前,该品牌旗下共有T03、C01、C10、C11、C16以及B01等多款车型,其中C16、 C11等具有性价比的SUV车型是销量担当。 值得一提的是,2026款零跑C16已于6月18日上市,新车针对家庭用户对于高品质与灵活拓展的更多需求,推出了全新5座版本。后排座椅支持一键电动 下沉前移,放倒后可形成2米纯平大床。配备的后备厢观影模式,在户外露营后排成床时,可利用床垫、撑杆,并搭配15.6英寸后排屏与21扬声器PSS豪华音 响组合,打造沉浸式家庭影院。除了五座版本外,六座版车型进行了70余项升级,在智能、续航和舒适方面实现突破。 大定超5000台尊界S800批量投产 6月18日,尊界S800在肥西的尊界超级工厂 ...
汽车零部件巨头马瑞利在美申请破产保护,以重组长期债务
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-22 10:27
近日,作为世界500强意大利菲亚特汽车集团(FIAT GROUP)成员之一、具有90多年的历史的汽车零部件供应商马瑞利 (Marelli)近期在美国特拉华州破产法院启动了《破产法》第11章程序,试图通过债务重组来挽救其濒临崩溃的财务状况。 马瑞利主要经营汽车照明、电驱动、空调、仪表盘等系统及部件,是日产与Stellantis的核心供应商,在全球拥有约45000名员 工,运营超过150个分支机构。 据悉,合并后的马瑞利发展并不顺利,其营收逐年下滑,2020年跌至104亿欧元,且连年亏损,集团负债也长期处于高位。在全 球汽车零部件供应商百强榜上,马瑞利的排名从2021年的第18位掉落至2024年的23位。2024年马瑞利自由现金流骤降67%,债 务股本比攀升至185%。 行业分析指出,马瑞利的危机并非偶然,而是多重因素交织的结果。2019年,由美国私募巨头KKR主导的"世纪并购"将日本康 奈可与菲亚特克莱斯勒旗下的玛涅蒂·马瑞利合并,本意是打造一个年营收超140亿欧元的全球前五零部件集团。然而,这场看似 强强联合的并购却因文化冲突、技术路线割裂以及过度依赖单一客户等问题沦为一场灾难。这不仅是企业自身战略失误的结 ...