Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is set to hold a press conference on August 1 to discuss the current economic situation and work plans, indicating a proactive approach to economic management [1]. Economic Performance Summary - In the first half of the year, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% when calculated at constant prices [4]. - By industry, the value added in the primary sector was 3,117.2 billion yuan, growing by 3.7%; the secondary sector's value added was 23,905.0 billion yuan, with a growth of 5.3%; and the tertiary sector's value added was 39,031.4 billion yuan, increasing by 5.5% [4]. - Quarterly analysis shows that GDP growth was 5.4% in Q1 and 5.2% in Q2, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.1% in Q2 [4]. Policy Implications - The NDRC emphasizes that the macroeconomic policies have been effective, leading to a stable and positive economic development trend, showcasing resilience and vitality [4]. - However, it also highlights the presence of external uncertainties and insufficient domestic demand, indicating that the foundation for economic recovery needs further strengthening [4]. - The next steps involve adhering to Xi Jinping's thoughts on socialism with Chinese characteristics, maintaining a stable yet progressive work tone, and accelerating the establishment of a new development pattern to enhance domestic circulation and ensure high-quality development in response to external uncertainties [4].

就当前经济形势和下半年经济工作 中共中央召开党外人士座谈会 习近平主持并发表重要讲话 习近平强调，当前我国经济运行依然面临不少风险挑战，要正确把握形势，增强忧患意识，坚持底线思 维，用好发展机遇、潜力和优势，巩固拓展经济回升向好势头。下半年，要在宏观政策上持续发力、适 时加力，重点做好全方位扩大内需、坚定不移深化改革扩大开放、推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合发 展、持续防范化解重点领域风险、多措并举保障改善民生等工作。 习近平指出，上半年，各民主党派中央、全国工商联和无党派人士紧扣中共中央重大决策部署，聚焦经 济社会发展中的一些重点难点问题深入调研、建言献策，积极开展民主监督，体现了在中国共产党领导 下团结合作的政治担当和实干精神。他代表中共中央向大家表示衷心感谢。 习近平对各民主党派、全国工商联和无党派人士提出两点希望。一是统一思想认识，凝聚广泛共识。深 刻理解把握中共中央关于当前经济形势的分析判断和经济工作的指导思想、大政方针、重要部署，多做 宣传政策、解疑释惑、理顺情绪、凝聚共识的工作，汇聚起团结奋斗的强大正能量。二是立足自身优 势，推动高质量发展。结合履职选准调研题目，统筹用好各类资源和专业智库，提出更 ...

Core Insights - In June, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 715.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%, with the decline narrowing by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [1] - The manufacturing sector showed significant improvement, with profits shifting from a 4.1% decline in May to a 1.4% increase in June [1] - Cumulatively, in the first half of the year, the operating income of industrial enterprises grew by 2.5%, while profits fell by 1.8% [1] Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Performance - In June, the operating income of industrial enterprises increased by 1.0% year-on-year, maintaining the same growth rate as in May, which supports the recovery of corporate profits [1] - The profit decline for industrial enterprises narrowed in June, with the equipment manufacturing sector showing rapid profit growth [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector's operating income grew by 7.0% year-on-year, and profits shifted from a 2.9% decline in May to a 9.6% increase in June, contributing significantly to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [1] Group 2: High-end and Green Manufacturing - Profits in high-end manufacturing sectors such as electronic materials, aircraft manufacturing, and marine engineering equipment grew by 68.1%, 19.0%, and 17.8% respectively [2] - The production of smart and automated products accelerated, leading to profit increases in related industries, with smart consumer devices and measuring instruments seeing profits rise by 40.9% and 12.5% respectively [2] - Green production and lifestyle trends positively impacted profits in sectors like lithium-ion battery manufacturing, biomass energy generation, and environmental monitoring instruments, with profit growth rates of 72.8%, 24.5%, and 22.2% respectively [2] Group 3: Policy Impact on Profit Growth - The expansion of "two new" policies and subsidies has significantly improved profits in related industries, with medical equipment manufacturing, specialized printing equipment, and general parts manufacturing seeing profit increases of 12.1%, 10.5%, and 9.5% respectively [3] - The "replace old with new" policy for consumer goods has shown continued effectiveness, with profits in sectors like smart drones, computer manufacturing, and air conditioning equipment rising by 160.0%, 97.2%, and 21.0% respectively [3] - Related industries such as optoelectronic devices and computer components also experienced profit growth of 29.6% and 16.9% respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting of the Central Political Bureau emphasizes the importance of economic work in the second half of the year to achieve the goals set for the "14th Five-Year Plan" and focuses on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [1] Macro Policy - Macro policies need to continue to exert force and be adjusted as necessary, with a focus on maintaining policy continuity and stability while enhancing flexibility and foresight [2] - The meeting reiterates the need for a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy to fully unleash policy effects [2][3] Fiscal Policy - The meeting calls for accelerating the issuance and utilization of government bonds to improve fund efficiency and ensure the "three guarantees" at the grassroots level [3] - As of the end of June, the budget for special bonds has reached 658.3 billion yuan, indicating a strong push for fiscal policy [3] Monetary Policy - Monetary policy should maintain ample liquidity and promote a decline in overall financing costs [4] - The meeting does not mention new structural monetary policy tools but emphasizes the effective use of existing ones to support small and micro enterprises, consumption, and foreign trade [4][5] Domestic Demand - The meeting highlights the need to effectively release domestic demand potential, with domestic demand contributing 68.8% to GDP growth in the first half of the year [6] - Measures to boost consumption include implementing special actions to stimulate consumption and expanding service consumption [6][7] Investment - The meeting stresses the importance of high-quality investment in infrastructure and stimulating private investment through reduced market access barriers and financial support [7] Technological Innovation - The meeting emphasizes the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation as a core strategy for high-quality development [8] - Focus areas include strategic emerging industries and future industries, with a goal of fostering new supply to create new demand [8][9] Foreign Trade and Investment - The meeting underscores the need to stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment, with policies to support affected foreign trade enterprises [10][11] - The foreign trade sector showed resilience, with imports and exports maintaining a scale of over 20 trillion yuan in the first half of the year [11] Capital Market - The meeting calls for enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market to consolidate the positive momentum [12] - Reforms should focus on market-oriented, rule-of-law, and internationalization to improve capital allocation efficiency [12] Unified National Market - The meeting proposes deepening the construction of a unified national market to optimize market competition order and address current market pain points [13][14] Urban Renewal - The meeting emphasizes high-quality urban renewal as a means to ensure stable economic development, with a focus on transforming old urban areas and improving existing housing stock [15][16] - Urban renewal is seen as a key driver to stimulate housing demand and mitigate risks in the real estate sector [16]

今日摘要 中共中央政治局召开会议，决定召开二十届四中全会，分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作。中共中央总 书记习近平主持会议。 就当前经济形势和下半年经济工作，中共中央召开党外人士座谈会。习近平主持并发表重要讲话。李强 通报有关情况，王沪宁、蔡奇、丁薛祥出席。 《习近平谈治国理政》第五卷中英文版出版发行。 "十四五"时期，我国成为世界上口岸通关效率最高效的国家之一。 各地各部门扎实做好救灾抢险和恢复重建工作。 俄罗斯堪察加半岛附近海域发生8.7级强震，多国发布海啸预警。 内容速览 中共中央政治局召开会议 决定召开二十届四中全会 分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作 中共中央总书记 习近平主持会议 中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议，决定今年10月在北京召开中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全 体会议，主要议程是，中共中央政治局向中央委员会报告工作，研究关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十 五个五年规划的建议。会议分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作。中共中央总书记习近平主持 会议。 就当前经济形势和下半年经济工作 中共中央召开党外人士座谈会 习近平主持并发表重要讲话 当地时间7月28日至29日，中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副 ...

7月23日，中共中央在中南海召开党外人士座谈会，就当前经济形势和下半年经济工作听取各民主党派 中央、全国工商联负责人和无党派人士代表的意见建议。中共中央总书记习近平主持座谈会并发表重要 讲话强调，做好下半年经济工作，要坚持稳中求进工作总基调，完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，加快构 建新发展格局，保持政策连续性稳定性，增强灵活性预见性，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期， 有力提振消费、破除"内卷"，畅通国内大循环，促进国内国际双循环，努力完成全年经济社会发展目标 任务，实现"十四五"圆满收官。 中共中央政治局常委李强、王沪宁、蔡奇、丁薛祥出席座谈会。李强受中共中央委托通报了上半年经济 工作有关情况，介绍了关于下半年经济工作有关考虑。 座谈会上，民革中央主席郑建邦、民盟中央主席丁仲礼、民建中央主席郝明金、民进中央主席蔡达峰、 农工党中央主席何维、致公党中央主席蒋作君、九三学社中央主席武维华、台盟中央主席苏辉、全国工 商联主席高云龙、无党派人士代表孙其信先后发言。他们完全赞同中共中央对当前经济形势的分析判断 和下半年经济工作的考虑，并就推动科技创新和产业创新跨区域协同、促进文体旅商融合发展、促进服 务业消费、超前布局 ...

市委副书记、市长、中国国际进口博览会城市服务保障领导小组组长龚正主持会议。 记者 张骏 中国国际进口博览会城市服务保障领导小组昨天上午举行扩大会议。市委书记、中国国际进口博览 会城市服务保障领导小组组长陈吉宁出席会议并强调，要深入学习贯彻习近平总书记关于办好进博会的 重要指示精神，切实增强使命感和责任感，进一步优化服务保障、提升工作质效，强化统筹联动、放大 溢出效应，全力确保进博会常办常新、越办越好。 陈吉宁指出，举办进博会，是习近平总书记亲自谋划、亲自部署、亲自推动的重大开放举措。办好 进博会，对于坚定不移办好自己的事、坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放，提高开放型经济能级和水平意义 重大，有利于更好发挥我国超大规模市场优势，进一步做强国内大循环、畅通国内国际双循环，巩固经 济持续回升向好势头，对于上海做好稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期各项工作，推动贸易转型、提升 消费能级、加快培育发展新质生产力具有特殊重要性。要进一步深化思想认识、提高政治站位，按 照"越办越好"总要求，提高办展办会质量和城市服务保障水平，确保第八届进博会圆满成功举行。 陈吉宁指出，要更好服务办展办会。重大活动要全力支持配合、高质量做好组织保障。 ...

Economic Growth - President Xi Jinping emphasized seven key tasks for urban development, including optimizing modern urban systems and promoting high-quality urban renewal[9] - Premier Li Qiang highlighted the importance of strengthening domestic circulation and enhancing consumer demand through diversified supply[9] Infrastructure and Industry - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has commenced with a total investment of approximately CNY 1.2 trillion[10] - 16 central enterprises signed investment agreements for 75 industrial projects in Tibet, amounting to CNY 317.5 billion[10] Consumer Policy - The National Development and Reform Commission revised the Price Law for the first time in 27 years, addressing issues related to irrational price wars and unfair pricing practices[14] - Regulatory bodies have urged major platforms like Ele.me, Meituan, and JD.com to standardize promotional activities and engage in rational competition[14] Financial Regulation - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is pushing for listed companies to enhance investment value and implement major asset restructuring management[16] - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange proposed a unified currency pool policy framework[16] Trade Relations - New high-level economic talks between China and the U.S. are set to begin, focusing on mutual economic concerns[18] - The Hainan Free Trade Port will implement zero-tariff policies for certain goods starting December 18, 2025[19] Risk Warning - There is a persistent divergence in domestic and foreign monetary policies, with domestic policy execution falling short of expectations[25]

Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes that advocating frugality and encouraging consumption are not contradictory but mutually reinforcing, aimed at better meeting the people's aspirations for a better life [1][2] - Frugality is a traditional virtue in Chinese culture, and the government promotes it to ensure resources are used efficiently, allowing savings to be redirected to social welfare [1][2] - Consumption is a crucial driver of China's economic growth, contributing 68.8% to GDP growth in the first half of the year, with final consumption expenditure accounting for 52% [2] Group 2 - The government is actively implementing measures to boost consumption, such as issuing consumption vouchers and promoting trade-in programs, to address barriers to consumer spending [2] - Encouraging consumption is essential for expanding domestic demand and enhancing the domestic economic cycle, which in turn supports production, industry upgrades, and job creation [2][3] - The relationship between frugality and consumption is framed as a means to allow citizens to obtain higher quality goods and services at lower costs while contributing to sustainable development [3]

Group 1 - In June, the manufacturing sector showed significant improvement, with profits shifting from a decline of 4.1% in May to a growth of 1.4% [1] - For the first half of the year, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 34,365.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [1] - In June, the total profit of industrial enterprises was 7,155.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.3%, but the decline narrowed by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [1] Group 2 - State-owned enterprises reported a total profit of 11,091.2 billion yuan, down 7.6%, while private enterprises saw a profit of 9,389.7 billion yuan, up 1.7% [3] - The mining industry experienced a profit drop of 30.3%, while the manufacturing sector's profit increased by 4.5% to 25,900.6 billion yuan [3] - The equipment manufacturing sector's revenue grew by 7.0% in June, with profits rebounding from a decline of 2.9% in May to a growth of 9.6% [3] Group 3 - High-end, intelligent, and green industries within manufacturing saw rapid profit growth, with electronic special materials manufacturing profits increasing by 68.1% [4] - The production of smart and automated products contributed to profit increases in related sectors, with smart consumer device manufacturing profits rising by 40.9% [4] - Green production initiatives led to significant profit growth in sectors like lithium-ion battery manufacturing, which saw a profit increase of 72.8% [5] Group 4 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology indicated that while external uncertainties have increased, supportive policies are being implemented to ensure stable industrial growth [6] - The upcoming plans for key industries such as steel and non-ferrous metals aim to stabilize growth in the second half of the year [6] - Analysts expect that the "Two New" policies will continue to support profit growth in the equipment manufacturing and high-tech sectors, leading to a broader recovery in industrial profits [6]