Group 1: Gold Price Trends - The current price of gold T+D has surged to 752 RMB per gram, with an increase of 0.56%, while international gold futures in New York have reached 3228.5 USD per ounce, up by 1.30% [2] - Compared to last year, gold prices have risen significantly from around 480 RMB per gram to 645 RMB per gram, marking a remarkable increase of 25% [2] Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Gold prices reflect international geopolitical tensions, with increased conflicts and upcoming elections in Europe and the US heightening market risk aversion, leading to a surge in demand for gold as a safe haven [3] - The relationship between the US dollar and gold is highlighted, where a strong dollar typically weakens gold prices, while a weaker dollar creates favorable conditions for gold price increases [3] Group 3: Young Consumers in the Gold Market - Young consumers aged 25 to 34 account for 55% of gold jewelry purchases, with those under 25 seeing a nearly ninefold increase in transaction volume [4] - Popular shopping destinations for young buyers include Beijing and Shenzhen, where social media has popularized gold buying as a trendy experience [4] Group 4: Investment Strategies in Gold - For conservative investors, bank gold bar products, such as ICBC's gold bars priced at 493 RMB per gram for 20 grams, are considered stable investment options [5] - Young consumers are increasingly drawn to unique gold products, including collaborations with popular IPs, which, despite limited investment value, thrive in the emotional consumption market [5]

说完实物黄金价格，我们再来讲讲国际金价情况： 5月19日国内金价快报：国内品牌金店金价在周六的短暂下跌后，再次出现上涨，不过对比上周五的价 格还是稍微低了点。其中，周生生黄金上涨13元/克，报价988元/克，仍是最高价金店。上海中国黄金 不涨不跌，报价943元/克，继续保持最低价金店的身份。今日金店黄金价差45元/克，价差稍稍缩小。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： | 今日金店黄金价格一览（2025年5月19日） | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 982 | 元/克 | 10 | 涨 | | 六福黄金价格 | 986 | 元/克 | 10 | 涨 | | 周大福黄金价格 | 986 | 元/克 | 10 | 涨 | | 周六福黄金价格 | 986 | 元/克 | 10 | 涨 | | 金至尊黄金价格 | 986 | 元/克 | 10 | 涨 | | 老凤祥黄金价格 | 983 | 元/克 | 12 | 涨 | | 潮宏基黄金价格 | 986 | 元/克 | 10 | 涨 ...

期货市场交易指引 2025 年 05 月 19 日 | 宏观金融 | | | --- | --- | | ◆股指： | 防守观望 | | ◆国债： | 震荡上行 | | 黑色建材 | | | ◆螺纹钢： | 暂时观望 | | ◆铁矿石： | 震荡偏弱 | | ◆双焦： | 震荡运行 | | 有色金属 | | | ◆铜： | 区间谨慎交易 | | ◆铝： | 建议观望 | | ◆镍： 建议观望或逢高做空 | | | ◆锡： | 区间交易 | | ◆黄金： 待价格充分回调后，逢低建仓 | | | ◆白银： | 区间交易 | | 能源化工 | | | ◆PVC： | 震荡 | | ◆纯碱： | 观望。 | | ◆烧碱： | 震荡 | | ◆橡胶： | 震荡偏弱。 | | ◆尿素： | 震荡运行 | | ◆甲醇： | 震荡运行 | | ◆塑料： | 震荡运行 | | 棉纺产业链 | | | ◆棉花棉纱： | 震荡反弹 | | ◆苹果： | 震荡运行 | | ◆PTA： | 震荡偏弱 | | 农业畜牧 | | | ◆生猪： | 震荡偏弱 | | ◆鸡蛋： | 走势偏弱 | | ◆玉米： | 震荡偏强 | | ◆豆粕： ...

上周五，美国失去了最后一个AAA主权信用评级，穆迪评级以"巨额财政赤字和利息成本攀升"为由下 调了美国政府信用评级。 周一早盘，金价因市场对美国财政赤字的担忧而上扬，SGE9999突破750元/克，COMEX黄金突破3240 美元/盎司，机构表示市场对于美国政策信用的担忧通常会增加黄金的避险吸引力。 另外，5月15日，美联储主席鲍威尔在启动美联储货币政策框架五年评估的演讲中提到，美国可能正步 入"供应冲击更频繁、通胀更不稳定的新阶段"，强调美联储需加强政策透明度。鲍威尔重申维持2%通 胀预期的核心地位，可能一定程度上提振市场对于后续降息的预期，对于金价构成一定利好。 近期金价高位回调，主因或为避险情绪的回落。5月12日，中美贸易缓和使得风险溢价回落，金价回 调。 此外，地缘政治冲突的平息趋势可能使得金价进一步承压，这两方面因素可能是近期金价回落的原因。 但是特朗普政府政策反复，不确定性仍然较高。中长期"美联储开启降息周期+海外宏观政策不确定性 加剧+全球去美元化趋势"对于金价依然构成一定支撑。 长期看，货币超发及财政赤字货币化背景下，美元信用体系受到挑战；加上全球地缘动荡频发推动资产 储备多元化，黄金作为安全 ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 仅供机构投资者使用 [Table_Date] 2025 年 5 月 17 日 [Table_Title] 中美贸易战取得实质性进展，宏观情绪缓和，基 本金属整体受益 [Table_Title2] 有色-基本金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: ►贵金属：中美关税下调，宏观情绪回暖，黄金本周 回调 本周 COMEX 黄金下跌 3.72%至 3,205.30 美元/盎司， COMEX 白银下跌 1.37%至 32.43 美元/盎司。SHFE 黄金下跌 4.64%至 751.80 元/克，SHFE 白银下跌 0.82%至 8,101.00 元/千 克。 本周金银比下跌 2.38%至 98.84。本周 SPDR 黄金 ETF 持 仓减少 617,575.37 金衡盎 司，SLV 白银 ETF 持仓 减少 1,591,307.50 盎司。 周二，美国 4 月 NFIB 小型企业信心指数 95.8，预期 94.3，前值 97.4。美国 4 月季调后 CPI 月率 0.2%，预期 0.30%，前值-0.10%。美国 4 月季调后核心 CPI 月率 0.2%，预 期 0.30% ...

Group 1 - The recent performance of gold has been disappointing due to rising optimism in trade, leading investors to withdraw from the gold market, with prices hitting a near one-month low on May 15 [1] - Some investors are taking advantage of the lower prices to gradually increase their positions, while those who entered at higher prices are experiencing negative returns [2][3] - Despite the decline in gold prices, many jewelry stores are still seeing a lack of customer activity, indicating a mixed sentiment in the market [3] Group 2 - The underlying logic supporting gold's rise remains intact, with several institutions maintaining a positive long-term outlook for gold despite short-term fluctuations [5] - The decrease in risk aversion has weakened support for gold prices, but the ongoing purchases of gold by central banks in emerging markets and unresolved issues with U.S. debt continue to provide a foundation for gold's value [5] - Analysts suggest that the current adjustment in gold prices could be viewed as a necessary correction following a significant rise from December 2019 to April 2020, and this adjustment may take several weeks to conclude [5]

Group 1 - International gold prices fell over 1.2% on the 16th, with a cumulative decline of nearly 4.7% for the week, marking the worst weekly performance in six months [1] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to the positive progress in US-China trade talks and a decrease in investor risk aversion, as well as profit-taking by investors after recent highs [2] - In the oil market, international oil prices rose on the 16th, with a weekly increase of over 2%, driven by easing concerns over potential increases in oil supply amid ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations [1] Group 2 - The main contract prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil futures saw increases of approximately 1.4% on the 16th, with WTI futures up 2.41% and Brent futures up 2.35% for the week [1] - The easing of global trade tensions is expected to boost oil demand, contributing to the upward trend in oil prices [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant decline in gold prices, with spot gold dropping by $20 to below $3160 per ounce, marking a 2.56% decrease on May 16 [1] - On the same day, the price of gold jewelry fell below 1000 yuan per gram, reflecting a broader trend in the gold market [2] - Factors contributing to the decline in gold prices include progress in US-China tariff negotiations, a decrease in geopolitical tensions, and a failure to maintain the psychological support level of $3200 per ounce, leading to increased technical selling pressure [4] Group 2 - The US April CPI data showed moderate performance, which cooled market expectations for significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, resulting in a stronger dollar that further pressured gold prices [5] - Citigroup has revised its gold price outlook, lowering the three-month target from $3500 to $3150 per ounce, a reduction of 10%, citing easing tariff concerns as a key reason for the price adjustment [5] - Citigroup's analysts predict that gold prices will oscillate between $3000 and $3300 per ounce in the near term, indicating a more rational volatility in the current complex market environment [5]

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 行判断本我告中的任何意见或建议是否符合,某掠宠状况，据此报资，责任自负。本报告仅向棕定客户推进，未经国贸联货授双许可，任何引用、转载以及句第三方传播的行为均构成对國贸联货的景观， 司将视情况追究法律责任。 期市有风险,入市需谨慎。 ll C 国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 国贸期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 D7 70 - 服 热线线 官 方 网 站 400-8888-598 www.itf.com.cn ITG国贸期货 贵金属数据日报 | | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0013700 | | | 2025/5/16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 宏观金融研究中心 白素娜 | | 人业资格号:F3023916 | | | | | 内外盘金 | 日期 | 伦敦金现 | | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | COMEX白银 | AU2508 | AG2508 | AU (T+D) | AG (T+D) ...

近期，国内金饰价格影响重回"9字头"，周大福、老凤祥等品牌足金价格跌破1000元/克，深圳水贝市场单日金 条销量达10公斤。 此外，消费者转向高性价比渠道，如旧金饰改造（工费15-40元/克），武汉某打金店单日订单激增120%. 如此波动主要受国际金价影响，2025年5月以来，现货黄金市场经历剧烈震荡，上演了一轮"暴涨暴跌"的极端 行情。 一、金价"史诗级波动"：从3500美元狂飙到跌破3200关口 5月6日，受中东局势紧张及美联储降息预期推动，金价一度突破3360美元/盎司，创下3380.10美元的高点，单 日涨幅达2.76%. 至5月14日，转机乍现，因中美经贸谈判取得突破性进展，市场避险情绪骤降，金价暴跌至3180美元/盎司，较4 月22日的历史高点3509.9美元，回调超8%. 此次过山车行情，主要诱因为地缘政治降温、美联储政策预期转向、技术性抛售与资本博弈： 而机构对于未来金价的预期分歧加剧：高盛、瑞银坚持看涨至3800美元，强调央行购金（一季度全球净购金 243.7吨）及滞胀风险支撑；中信证券则警示短期或下探3150美元；巨象金业资深黄金分析师金缠认为，年内受 避险变化及美联储降息预期影响，金价多 ...