Group 1: Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies are as follows: US 4.181%, UK 4.558%, France 3.445%, Germany 2.842%, Italy 3.468%, Spain 3.221%, Switzerland 0.244%, Greece 3.450%, Japan 2.231%, Brazil 6.180%, China 1.810%, Australia 4.857%, New Zealand 4.535% [3] - The latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies are: US 3.452%, UK 3.653%, Germany 2.090%, Japan 1.280%, Italy 2.243%, China (1Y yield) 1.318%, Australia 4.286% [3] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies are: Brazil 5.272, South Africa zar 16.309, Korean won 1463.600, Thai baht 31.802, Malaysian ringgit 3.948 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the RMB are: on - shore RMB 6.938, off - shore RMB 6.941, RMB central parity rate 6.957, RMB 12 - month NDF 6.806 [3] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices are: S&P 500 6798.400, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48908.720, Nasdaq 22540.590, Mexican stock index 68858.280, UK stock index 10309.220, France CAC 8238.170, Germany DAX 24491.060, Spanish stock index 17746.300, Russian stock index (not available), Nikkei 53818.040, Hang Seng Index 26885.240, Shanghai Composite Index 4075.917, Taiwan stock index 31801.270, South Korean stock index 5163.570, Indian stock index 8103.879, Thai stock index 1346.230, Malaysian stock index 1731.020, Australian stock index 9154.855, emerging - economy stock index 1507.530 [3] - The latest values of credit - bond indices are: US investment - grade credit - bond index 3561.790, euro - zone investment - grade credit - bond index 267.919, emerging - economy investment - grade credit - bond index 291.120, US high - yield credit - bond index 2927.790, euro - zone high - yield credit - bond index 413.450, emerging - economy high - yield credit - bond index 1846.721 [3] Group 2: Stock Index Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 are 4075.92, 4670.42, 3059.01, 3260.28, and 8146.11 respectively, with percentage changes of - 0.64%, - 0.60%, - 0.33%, - 1.55%, and - 1.84% [4] - The PE (TTM) values of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and Germany DAX are 14.08, 11.64, 36.92, 27.25, and 19.00 respectively, with环比 changes of - 0.05, - 0.02, - 0.68, - 0.24, and - 0.09 [4] - The risk premium (1/PE - 10 - year interest rate) of S&P 500 is - 0.51 with a环比 change of 0.13, and that of Germany DAX is 2.42 with a环比 change of 0.04 [4] - The latest fund - flow values for A - shares, the main board, the SME board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 are - 909.73, - 607.84, (not available), - 237.79, and - 34.01 respectively, and the 5 - day average values are - 447.20, - 349.02, (not available), - 69.06, and - 76.03 [4] Group 3: Other Trading Data - The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, the SME board, and ChiNext are 21762.20, 5504.33, 1479.97, 4377.19, and 5522.89 respectively, with环比 changes of - 3047.51, - 855.86, - 218.85, - 414.09, and - 1233.00 [5] - The basis and basis percentage of IF, IH, and IC are - 5.22 (- 0.11%), 2.39 (0.08%), and - 25.91 (- 0.32%) respectively [5] - The closing prices of T2303, TF2303, T2306, and TF2306 in treasury - bond futures are 108.32, 105.91, 108.33, and 105.94 respectively, with percentage changes of 0.07%, 0.06%, 0.08%, and 0.04% [5] - The current R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M in the money market are 1.3926%, 1.5522%, and 1.5805% respectively, with daily changes of - 17.00 BP, - 1.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [5]

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 118.5 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40%, with a total bid amount of 118.5 billion yuan and a successful bid amount of 118.5 billion yuan [1] - Additionally, a 14-day reverse repurchase operation of 300 billion yuan was conducted using a fixed quantity and multi-price bidding method [1] - On the same day, 354 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net injection of 64.5 billion yuan, or a net withdrawal of 235.5 billion yuan if excluding the 14-day operation [1] Group 2: Market Liquidity - The interbank market liquidity remains stable but slightly loose, with the weighted average rate of DR001 staying around 1.32% [3] - Overnight quotes in the anonymous click (X-repo) system are around 1.3%, indicating ample supply; non-bank institutions are borrowing overnight against credit bonds at rates around 1.5% or slightly lower [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is reported at 3.69% [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.60%, showing a slight decline from the previous day [6] Group 4: Bond Market Overview - Major interest rate bonds in the interbank market have generally seen a decline in yields [8] - The closing prices for government bond futures indicate a rise, with the 30-year main contract up by 0.38%, the 10-year main contract up by 0.08%, the 5-year main contract up by 0.07%, and the 2-year main contract up by 0.04% [14] Group 5: Recent News and Developments - The Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration jointly issued a notice regarding tax exemptions for residents of Hainan Free Trade Port on imported goods within specified limits [12] - The U.S. has officially formed a critical minerals alliance, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a stable and secure global supply chain for critical minerals [12] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant noted continued significant inflows of foreign capital into U.S. Treasury bonds and the stock market [15]

新华财经北京2月5日电债市周四（2月5日）小幅回暖，国债期货主力全线收涨，银行间现券收益率多数 回落，曲线中段下行1BP左右；公开市场单日净投放645亿元，短期资金利率有所回升。 机构认为，上日晚间公布的央行1月国债净买入量虽然增加，但绝对规模并不算大，对债券的支撑意义 相对有限。目前交投依然缺少明确的方向，重新回到观望状态，春节假期将至，节前料将维持震荡格 局。 中证转债指数收盘下跌0.84%，报516.89，成交金额701.18亿元。双良转债、欧通转债、华辰转债、金 05转债、海优转债跌幅居前，分别跌16.86%、7.61%、6.70%、6.48%、6.40%。尚太转债、泰坦转债、 东时转债涨幅居前，分别涨57.30%、11.60%、6.80%。 【行情跟踪】 【海外债市】 北美市场方面，当地时间2月4日，美债收益率涨跌不一，2年期美债收益率跌0.61BP报3.555%，3年期 美债收益率跌0.56BP报3.632%，5年期美债收益率跌0.17BP报3.830%，10年期美债收益率涨0.8BP报 4.274%，30年期美债收益率涨2.38BPs报4.918%。 亚洲市场方面，日债收益率"短升长降"，5年期 ...

2026年初，银行同业负债端出现明显收缩迹象。Wind数据显示，国有大行和股份制银行同业存单净融 资规模已连续三个月为负，且负值逐月扩大；与此同时，同业存单发行利率持续下行，1月底已降至 1.59%附近。 多位业内人士指出，在存款端改善、央行持续呵护流动性以及信贷投放节奏偏缓等多重因 素共同作用下，银行对同业负债的边际依赖度明显下降，银行体系呈现出"钱多不紧"的运行状态，并对 债券市场与理财产品收益形成一系列连锁影响。 ...

多位业内人士指出，在存款端改善、央行持续呵护流动性以及信贷投放节奏偏缓等多重因素共同作用 下，银行对同业负债的边际依赖度明显下降，银行体系呈现出"钱多不紧"的运行状态，并对债券市场与 理财产品收益形成一系列连锁影响。 同业存单净融资持续为负 价格层面，同业存单票面利率同步走低。Wind数据显示，进入2026年1月后，国股行同业存单发行利率 持续下行，一年期品种1月底已降至1.59%左右，而去年11月仍维持在2.03%的水平。 同业存单净融资持续为负且利率下行，推动债市走强但压制理财产品收益。 2026年初，银行同业负债端出现明显收缩迹象。Wind数据显示，国有大行和股份制银行同业存单净融 资规模已连续三个月为负，且负值逐月扩大；与此同时，同业存单发行利率持续下行，1月底已降至 1.59%附近。 从量的角度看，银行同业存单市场出现明显"减负"迹象。Wind数据显示，2025年11月、12月及2026年1 月，国有大行和股份制银行同业存单净融资额分别为-5111.90亿元、-5775.50亿元和-6229.50亿元，负值 规模逐月扩大。 净融资为负，意味着当月到期量高于新发行规模，银行更多是在压降存量，而非通过同 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In December, the year-on-year growth rate of industrial enterprise profits rebounded significantly by 18.4 percentage points to 5.3%, pulling the cumulative year-on-year growth rate for the whole year to 0.6%, but the profit margin remains at a historical low. [1] - In January, the manufacturing PMI fell back into the contraction range. The input price was stronger than the finished product price, and the trend of squeezing enterprise profits still exists. Recently, the rotation of commodity prices is mainly driven by the cost side rather than overheated demand, which has limited suppression on the bond market. [1] - The economic data is weak. The long Spring Festival holiday in February may hinder credit issuance. Coupled with the recent stock market fluctuations and commodity price adjustments, short - term favorable factors are concentrated. Considering that it is the beginning of the "15th Five - Year Plan" and the PPI is in the cycle of turning positive, if the interest rate continues to decline, it is recommended to be cautious about chasing the long - end interest rate in the short term. [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Domestic Market News - **Diplomatic Event**: The British Prime Minister visited China again after an 8 - year interval. During the visit, China and the UK reached a series of positive results, including promoting the development of a long - term and stable comprehensive strategic partnership, holding a new round of strategic dialogue, economic and financial dialogue, and other mechanism - based dialogues, and establishing a China - UK financial working group. China is also considering implementing a unilateral visa - free policy for British citizens and reducing the import tariff rate of whisky from 10% to 5%. [2][9] - **Industrial Policy**: China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation plans to promote the development of new fields such as space tourism during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, including accelerating the iteration of sub - orbital and orbital space tourism aircraft products, and conducting related flight verifications. It will also carry out the demonstration of the "Tianguangkaiwu" major project. [2][9] - **Real Estate Policy**: Many real estate enterprises are no longer required by regulatory authorities to report the "Three Red Lines" indicators monthly. However, some troubled real estate enterprises are required to regularly report financial indicators such as asset - liability ratio to the special team in the city where their headquarters are located. [2][10] - **Consumption Policy**: The General Office of the State Council issued the "Work Plan for Accelerating the Cultivation of New Growth Points in Service Consumption", proposing 12 policy measures in three aspects: stimulating the development vitality of key fields, cultivating the development momentum of potential fields, and strengthening support and guarantee. [2][10] - **Data Security Policy**: The Cyberspace Administration of China solicited opinions on the classification and grading rules for financial information service data. The "Guidelines for the Classification and Grading of Financial Information Service Data (Draft for Comment)" classifies financial information service data into three primary categories: business data, user data, and enterprise data, with further subdivisions. [2][10] - **Financial Data**: By the end of 2025, the cumulative installed power generation capacity in China increased by 16.1% year - on - year, with solar power generation and wind power generation having significant growth. The profit of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 0.6% year - on - year in 2025, reversing the three - year decline trend. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the balance of RMB real estate loans was 51.95 trillion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.6%, with a reduction of 963.6 billion yuan for the whole year. The manufacturing PMI in January 2026 was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. [2][11][13] Overseas Key Data and Events - **Federal Reserve Decision**: The Federal Reserve's interest - rate meeting decided to keep the interest rate unchanged with a 10 - to - 2 vote. Two members opposed and advocated a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut. [2][14] - **US Government Issue**: The US government appropriation bill failed to pass the Senate, and the US federal government faces the risk of partial "shutdown" again. [2][14] - **Exchange Rate Observation**: The US Treasury Department included 10 economies such as China, Japan, and South Korea in the exchange - rate observation list, claiming that the RMB was significantly undervalued. [2][14] - **Canada's Action**: Canadian Prime Minister Carney said that a formal review of the US - Mexico - Canada Agreement would be launched in a few weeks. [2][14] - **South Korea's Semiconductor**: South Korea's semiconductor exports were strong in January, with the total export amount reaching $20.5 billion, a year - on - year increase of more than 102%. [2][15] - **Precious Metal Market**: US President Trump's nomination of Wash as the Federal Reserve Chairman triggered a sharp sell - off in the precious metal market. Spot gold had an intraday decline of nearly 13%, and spot silver plunged by more than 35%. [2][15] Market Performance - **Stock and Bond Market**: This week, the stock market fluctuated. The yields of most 3 - to 10 - year treasury bonds declined, with the yield of the 10 - year ChinaBond treasury bond falling to 1.8112%. The yield of the 30 - year ChinaBond treasury bond rose slightly to 2.289%, and the term spread between the 10 - year and 30 - year bonds widened again. [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of cash management public funds in the past six months, highlighting the top-performing products and their annualized returns [1][5] - As of January 29, 2026, there are a total of 6,575 cash management products, with 6,541 in RMB and 33 in USD, showing a diverse range of offerings in the market [8] - The average annualized return for RMB cash management products over the past six months is 1.310%, with nearly 90% of products yielding between 1% and 1.5% [8] Group 2 - The top three cash management products include "启源现金4号N" by 苏银理财 with a return of 2.839%, "启源货币3号G" by 示银理财 with 2.733%, and "招赢日日金96号" by 招银理财 with 2.128% [2][3][9] - The "招赢日日金96号" product primarily invests in interbank certificates of deposit, interbank deposits, and short-duration high-grade credit bonds, with a significant holding in "21中信银行永续债" at 6.48% [9] - Starting February 1, 2026, the management fee for "招赢日日金96号" will be reduced from 0.3% to 0.02%, representing a decrease of over 90% [10]

具体看，一是投放更精准、直达非银的流动性机制以及更窄更有效的利率走廊本身就是央行货币政策体系改革的一部分，并 且之前央行已经进行过预期引导。二是即便消息证实，大概率使DR001更加稳定以及在流动性紧张的窗口期银行与非银的利 差中枢收窄，并不意味着向市场提供流动性。 1月28日，有消息称央行正在探索并可能推出新的货币政策工具，债市情绪偏乐观推动价格上行。但笔者分析认为，新工具的 影响整体偏中性，权益、商品等大类资产在宏观层面的预期共振反而可能成为期债价格上行的推动力。 图为最近一周长债市场走势 国内方面，最新公布的PMI数据整体低于市场预期，结合2025年12月供需出现"劈叉"的情况看，随着市场关注点回归基本面， 宏观预期可能再度为债市提供支撑。从历史经验看，受冬季开工率回落以及工人返乡过节等因素影响，春节前1个月的制造业 PMI数据往往较前值有所回落。通过对历史数据的分析，笔者认为，本次制造业分项数据的回落符合季节性，但非制造业数 据的表现较弱，与此前发布的宏观数据可以相互印证。 而且，随着货币政策工具的精细化，数量型投放工具在政策信号方面的作用逐渐削弱。以国债买卖为例，1月中旬央行在国新 办新闻发布会上提到 ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing slight declines, with specific movements in various government bond ETFs and futures contracts, indicating a mixed sentiment in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of 10:00 AM, the 30-year government bond ETF (511090) fell by 0.27%, while the 30-year government bond futures contract (TL2603) decreased by 0.35% to a price of 111.72 yuan, with a trading volume of 26,516 contracts and a total open interest of 130,320 contracts [1] - Other government bond futures showed varied performance: the 10-year bond (T2603) fell by 0.06%, the 5-year bond (TF2603) remained unchanged, and the 2-year bond (TS2603) increased by 0.01% [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 105.5 billion yuan at a stable bidding rate of 1.40% [1] - As of 4:30 PM the previous day, the yield on the 10-year government bond (active bond 250016) rose by 0.2 basis points to 1.812%, while the yield on the 30-year government bond (active bond 2500006) fell by 0.9 basis points to 2.251%, and the yield on the 10-year government development bond (active bond 250220) decreased by 0.5 basis points to 1.978% [1] Group 3: Bond Market Insights - The bond market has continued the trend of low yields and high volatility from 2025 into 2026, influenced by risk aversion and strong interest rate cut expectations, leading to a rapid increase in bond prices [1] - Investment institutions suggest that the bond market in 2026 will face both pressures and structural opportunities, with traditional demand from banks and insurance companies weakening, and stock market performance diverting investments [1] - Despite challenges, there are potential positive factors, such as a significant amount of bank fixed deposits maturing, which may shift into the bond market through "fixed income plus" funds [1] - The risk of a significant unilateral decline in the bond market appears relatively limited from a macro perspective, indicating potential structural opportunities in 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Beijing Financial Assets Exchange (北金所) has maintained a stable issuance scale in its centralized bookkeeping and filing system in January 2026, with an active bond trading environment indicating continued institutional interest in standardized bond issuance and trading platforms [1]. Issuance Data - In January 2026, the centralized bookkeeping system completed 967 issuances, totaling 8,726.03 billion yuan, providing a smooth channel for corporate debt financing at the beginning of the year [1][2]. - Breakdown of issuance by bond type includes: - SCP: 342 issuances, 4,385.12 billion yuan - CP: 46 issuances, 308.20 billion yuan - MTN: 377 issuances, 3,183.20 billion yuan - PPNCP: 21 issuances, 97.78 billion yuan - PPNMTN: 72 issuances, 457.44 billion yuan - ABN: 109 issuances, 294.30 billion yuan [2]. Trading Activity - In January, there were 21 trading days, with a total of 3,922 quotes made in the bond trading system, averaging about 187 quotes per day, showing an increase compared to December 2025 [3]. - The average yield levels for bonds in January showed a slight decrease compared to December, with specific bonds having notable yields, such as: - Medium-term notes with a buy yield of 1.58% and a sell yield of 2.11% - Short-term financing bonds with a buy yield of 1.31% and a sell yield of 2.22% [4]. Transaction Summary - In January 2026, a total of 15 bond transactions were completed, with cumulative transactions since November 2014 reaching 1,027, totaling 341.36 billion yuan [5]. - The breakdown of transactions includes: - 731 purchases and 296 sales by non-financial institutional qualified investors - 932 different bonds traded, including 15 short-term financing bonds and 569 medium-term notes [5]. - The data reflects a stable willingness among institutions to engage in bond issuance and trading through standardized platforms, with particular interest in certain types of credit assets [5].