Core Viewpoint - The market is currently in a phase of bottoming out and recovery, with caution advised regarding risks after breaking through the 3888 high point [1] Group 1 - The investment strategy should focus on selling at high points [1] - Short-term fluctuations are aimed at shaking out weak hands, indicating no immediate concerns [1]

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Core Views - The report indicates that the A-share market is experiencing fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high before a slight pullback, suggesting a self-regulating behavior within the market [2][9] - There is a need to monitor market trading volume closely; maintaining above 2 trillion yuan indicates a strong market, while a drop below this threshold could signal a potential adjustment [3][4] - The overall medium-term trend remains positive, supported by macroeconomic recovery and favorable policies, although short-term volatility may increase [10] Market Overview - On the observed day, the A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3727.29 points, down 0.02%, and total trading volume reaching 25,884 billion yuan [5][11] - Key sectors that performed well included alcoholic beverages, pharmaceuticals, and real estate services, while sectors like insurance and electronic chemicals faced declines [5][6] Sector Analysis - The report highlights the growth in consumer stocks, particularly in the alcohol and healthcare sectors, driven by domestic consumption recovery and supportive policies [6][7] - The robotics sector, particularly actuator and humanoid robot concepts, has seen significant gains since early January, with a noted increase of over 60% in related stocks [7][8] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to adopt varied strategies based on stock performance; those with strong fundamentals should be held, while those with excessive recent gains should have positions controlled to mitigate risk [10][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of rational investment behavior, especially in a "slow bull" market where volatility is expected [3][10]

Group 1 - The index showed a fluctuating trend on August 5, with the main board performing strongly, and the Shanghai Composite Index once again surpassing the 3600-point mark, raising questions about its ability to stabilize above this level [1] - Analysts suggest that the market is expected to enter an adjustment cycle, primarily characterized by box-type fluctuations [1] - The market continues to exhibit a pattern of oscillation and consolidation, indicating a potential for new highs in August [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that despite a market adjustment, several constituent stocks of the China Securities Xinhua National Brand Engineering Index performed strongly, with a focus on companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Ecovacs, and Hengrui Medicine [1][2] - The China Securities Xinhua National Brand Engineering Index fell by 1.64% to 1712.78 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.94%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.58%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.74% [2] - Notable stock performances include Zhongji Xuchuang rising by 13.72%, Ecovacs by 11.07%, and Hengrui Medicine by 8.71%, among others, indicating resilience in certain sectors despite overall market declines [2][3] Group 2 - Since the beginning of 2025, WuXi AppTec has seen a significant increase of 72.63%, leading the gains, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang at 71.22% and Ecovacs at 68.82% [3] - The market outlook suggests a potential continuation of a volatile trading environment, with many sectors still at low valuation levels, indicating limited overall market risk [4] - Analysts believe that the recent market adjustments may be a healthy correction, as many stocks with significant gains are supported by strong fundamentals rather than just market sentiment [4]

Market Performance - The market experienced a correction last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.94% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.58% [1] - The China Securities Index reported a decline of 1.64%, closing at 1712.78 points [1] Strong Performers - Several constituent stocks of the brand index rose against the market trend, with Zhongji Xuchuang up 13.72%, and Ecovacs up 11.07% [1] - Other notable gainers included Hengrui Medicine and Tigermed, which rose by 8.71% and 8.08% respectively [1] Year-to-Date Performance - Year-to-date, WuXi AppTec has surged by 72.63%, leading the gains, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang at 71.22% and Ecovacs at 68.82% [2] - A number of stocks, including Hengrui Medicine and Shanghai Jahwa, have increased by over 30% [2] Market Outlook - Short-term market conditions are expected to remain volatile, with potential profit-taking leading to adjustments in popular sectors [2][3] - Despite recent gains, many sectors are still considered undervalued, indicating limited overall market risk [2] Economic Context - The recent market adjustment may be attributed to weakening market drivers and heightened emotional and trading influences [3] - However, the domestic economy is on a recovery path, and ongoing capital market reforms are expected to support a positive medium-term outlook [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent market trend is positive, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching new highs for the year, driven by liquidity and market expectations [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The financing balance has been steadily increasing since the end of June, surpassing 1.9 trillion yuan [1] - The rising stock market has led to an expansion of the market's profit-making effect, creating a positive feedback loop [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Attention is required on the market's support strength near key levels, with an expectation for the market to maintain a high-level oscillation in August [1] - Structural allocation opportunities should be monitored [1]

Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Securities expects the market to maintain a fluctuating trend with a bias towards a high center of gravity, driven by liquidity and market expectations in the absence of established profit signals [1] Market Dynamics - Since the end of June, the financing balance has continued to rise, surpassing 1.9 trillion yuan, indicating increased market activity [1] - The upward movement in the stock market has led to an expansion of the market's profit-making effect, further promoting opportunities for growth and creating positive feedback [1] Future Outlook - Attention will be focused on the market's support strength near key levels, with expectations of continued fluctuations around a high center of gravity [1]

Group 1: Market Performance - Gold experienced a volatile "V-shaped" trading pattern, with a daily low of $3309.82 and a high of $3352.19, closing at $3338.99 [1] - U.S. stock markets saw collective gains, with the Nasdaq rising by 0.75%, the S&P 500 increasing by 0.54%, both reaching new closing highs, and the Dow Jones up by 0.52% [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Approximately 50 companies in the S&P 500 have reported quarterly earnings, with 88% exceeding analyst expectations, boosting investor confidence [4] - Initial jobless claims for the week ending July 12 were reported at 221,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week, indicating a robust job market [5] - Retail sales in June increased by 0.6% month-over-month, significantly above the Dow Jones estimate of 0.2%, alleviating concerns about consumer spending [5] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy - The potential nominees for the next Federal Reserve chair have shown alignment with President Trump, indicating a possible shift in monetary policy direction [7] - The current economic expansion and low unemployment rates suggest that consumer spending and profits may continue to grow, driving stock market increases [5] Group 4: Upcoming Data and Market Sentiment - Investors are focused on the upcoming University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, with an expected preliminary value of 61.5 for July, up from 60.7 in June [9] - Inflation expectations for July are projected at 5.0% for one year and 3.9% for 5-10 years, which may influence market dynamics [10] Group 5: Geopolitical Developments - Israeli airstrikes in southern Syria have raised concerns about escalating tensions in the region, with the U.S. and several Middle Eastern countries expressing opposition to foreign interference in Syria [12][13] - Russia has expressed willingness to engage in further negotiations with Ukraine, amidst ongoing sanctions and geopolitical tensions [14]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - All three industries (cotton, sugar, and pulp) are rated as neutral [2][5][8] 2. Core Views of the Report - The global cotton market in the 25/26 season will be in a pattern of loose supply, and the new - year cotton price is expected to be under pressure in the medium - to - long term, although the short - term trend of Zhengzhou cotton is oscillating strongly [2] - The short - term trend of Zhengzhou sugar is expected to oscillate weakly in a range, and the medium - to - long term view is to sell short on rallies. The import volume in July - August is expected to increase, which will limit the upside space [5] - The short - term macro - favorable factors boost the pulp price, but the supply - demand contradiction is difficult to ease, and the pulp price may be difficult to break away from the bottom in the short term [8] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Cotton Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the cotton 2509 contract yesterday was 13,850 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton (-0.18%) from the previous day [1] - Spot: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B cotton was 15,286 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan/ton, with a spot basis of CF09 + 1436, up 29 from the previous day; the national average price was 15,302 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan/ton, with a spot basis of CF09 + 1452, up 32 from the previous day [1] - As of July 13, the budding rate of cotton in 15 major cotton - growing states in the US was 61%, 1 percentage point slower than last year and 1 percentage point slower than the five - year average; the boll - setting rate was 23%, 3 percentage points slower than last year and 1 percentage point slower than the five - year average; the good - to - excellent rate was 54%, 9 percentage points higher than last year and 8 percentage points higher than the five - year average [1] Market Analysis - International: The July USDA supply - demand report raised the global cotton production and ending stocks, with a bearish adjustment direction. The 25/26 global cotton market will be in a loose supply pattern. The USDA raised the new US cotton production, and the new - year US cotton balance sheet is difficult to improve significantly [2] - Domestic: The domestic cotton commercial inventory is being depleted rapidly, and the short - term expectation of tight supply at the end of the year supports Zhengzhou cotton. However, the domestic cotton planting area is stable with a slight increase, the new cotton is growing well, and the demand in the off - season is weak, so the continuous upward space of Zhengzhou cotton is restricted. In the medium - to - long term, the concentrated listing of new cotton in the fourth quarter will suppress cotton prices [2] Strategy - Maintain a neutral stance. Although the short - term trend of Zhengzhou cotton is oscillating strongly, the new - year cotton market will be in a pattern of oversupply, and the medium - to - long term cotton price is expected to be under pressure [2] Sugar Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the sugar 2509 contract yesterday was 5,802 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan/ton (-0.26%) from the previous day [2] - Spot: The spot price of sugar in Nanning, Guangxi was 6,060 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a spot basis of SR09 + 258, up 15 from the previous day; the spot price in Kunming, Yunnan was 5,905 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a spot basis of SR09 + 103, up 15 from the previous day [2] - As of the second half of June in the 2025/26 sugar - crushing season, the cumulative cane crushing volume in the central - southern region of Brazil was 206.198 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 14.06%; the ATR of cane was 122.19 kg/ton, a year - on - year decrease of 6.14 kg/ton; the cumulative sugar - making ratio was 51.02%, a year - on - year increase of 2.33%; the cumulative ethanol production was 9.425 billion liters, a year - on - year decrease of 14.81%; the cumulative sugar production was 12.249 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 14.25% [3] Market Analysis - International: The current market is optimistic about the supply prospects of major sugar - producing countries in the 25/26 sugar - crushing season. The long - term raw sugar price is under downward pressure, but there is a possibility of a short - term oversold rebound [4] - Domestic: The sales and production progress of domestic sugar in this sugar - crushing season is fast, and the industrial inventory has dropped to a historical low, making the spot price relatively firm. However, the rebound of the import profit after the quota due to the weakening of the external market, and the expected increase in imports in July - August will limit the upside space of Zhengzhou sugar [5] Strategy - Maintain a neutral stance. The short - term trend of Zhengzhou sugar is expected to oscillate weakly in a range. It is recommended to sell high and buy low in the range. The medium - to - long term view is to sell short on rallies, and focus on the arrival rhythm of imported sugar [5] Pulp Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the pulp 2509 contract yesterday was 5,262 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan/ton (+0.34%) from the previous day [6] - Spot: The spot price of Chilean Arauco silver star softwood pulp in Shandong was 5,950 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a spot basis of SP09 + 688, down 18 from the previous day; the spot price of Russian softwood pulp (Ural and Bratsk) in Shandong was 5,215 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a spot basis of SP09 - 47, down 18 from the previous day [6] - The spot price of imported wood pulp was generally stable, with some pulp types showing price increases due to sellers' reluctance to sell at low prices. The prices of some softwood pulp grades in Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Guangdong, Northeast China, Henan, and Hebei dropped by 10 - 50 yuan/ton; the prices of some hardwood pulp grades in Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Northeast China, Hebei, and Henan increased by 20 - 50 yuan/ton; the supply - demand of imported natural pulp and chemimechanical pulp changed little, and the prices were stable [6] Market Analysis - Supply: The import volume of wood pulp increased year - on - year in the first half of 2025, and the cumulative year - on - year increase in hardwood pulp imports was relatively large. The import volume of wood pulp is expected to decline in the second half of the year, but the port inventory is high, and the supply pressure in the second half of the year still exists, with hardwood pulp being more abundant than softwood pulp [7] - Demand: The pulp consumption in Europe and the US has been weak this year, and the global pulp mill inventory pressure is emerging. The domestic demand is weak due to the traditional off - season, the inventory pressure of finished paper is rising, and the paper mills' raw material procurement is cautious. The terminal demand improvement in the second half of the year is limited, and attention should be paid to whether the demand can pick up in the fourth quarter [7] Strategy - Maintain a neutral stance. The short - term macro - favorable factors boost the pulp price, but the supply - demand contradiction is difficult to ease, and the pulp price may be difficult to break away from the bottom in the short term [8]