| 豆棕价差 2509 -476 -354 -122 -34.46% | | --- | | 王滚辉 Z0019938 2025年6月17日 | | 更加 | | 6月16日 涨跌 | | 江苏一级 8300 8130 170 2.09% | | 7576 7444 132 期价 Y2509 1.77% | | 幕差 Y2509 724 ୧୫୧ 38 5.54% | | 菜豆油价差 现货 1350 1400 -20 -3.57% | | 仓单 17552 17552 0 0.00% | | 棕榈油 | | 2509 1545 1524 21 1.38% 采豆油价差 | | 现价 广东24度 8790 8530 260 3.05% | | 期价 P2509 8258 7976 282 3.54% | | 某差 P2509 532 554 -22 -3.97% | | 现货墓差报价 广东6月 09+350 09 +400 -50 - | | 盘面进口成本 广州港9月 8825.0 8560.1 264.8 3.09% | | 2.94% | | 0.00% | | 菜籽油 | | 6月16日 6月13日 涨跌 旅 ...

2025/6/10 09:50 【国富期货早间看点】路透预计美⾖25/26 2.98 68% 20250610 【国富期货早间看点】路透预计美豆25/26年度期末库存为2.98亿蒲 美豆当周优良率为68%符合预期 20250610 2025年06月10日 07:34 上海 01 隔夜行情 | | 收盘价 | 上日流跌幅(%) | 隔夜流跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马棕油08(BMD) | 3919.00 | 0. 20 | -0. 15 | | 布伦特08(ICE) | 67.13 | 0.72 | 0. 39 | | 美原油07(NYMEX) | 65. 38 | 0.94 | 0. 51 | | 美豆07(CBOT) | 1055. 75 | -0. 21 | 0. 02 | | 美豆箱07(CBOT) | 295. 20 | -0. 20 | 0. 24 | | 美豆油07(CBOT) | 47. 41 | -0. 04 | -0. 48 | | | 最新价 | 流跌幅(%) 十日漆跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 美元指数 | 98.99 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for companies with significant biodiesel or raw material production capacity, including Zhuoyue Xinneng, Jiaao Environmental Protection, Shanggao Huaneng, Haineng Kexin, and Langkun Environment [4][5]. Core Insights - The biodiesel market is expected to see increased demand and raw material supply due to the cancellation of export VAT refunds on raw materials, which will drive growth in the biodiesel sector [4]. - Recent agreements, such as the one between Cathay Pacific and Sinopec for SAF procurement, indicate a positive trend in the adoption of domestic SAF, enhancing the supply chain for biodiesel [3]. - The average prices for domestic waste cooking oil and gutter oil have increased, with waste cooking oil priced at 6640 CNY/ton and gutter oil at 6180 CNY/ton, reflecting a stable export outlook for UCO to Europe, the US, and Southeast Asia [2][4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - The report notes a week-on-week increase in external HVO/SAF prices, with SAF at 1884.5 USD/ton (up 4.87%) and HVO at 1960.75 CNY/ton (up 3.46%) [1]. - Domestic price differences for biodiesel exports to Europe have reached 2539 CNY/ton, showing a weekly increase of 163 CNY/ton [1]. Export Expectations - The report anticipates a significant rise in China's HVO/SAF export volumes for May, with estimates nearing 40,000 tons, supported by rising external prices [3]. - The report highlights that the domestic HVO/SAF factories are maintaining strong procurement levels, indicating robust market demand [2]. Company Performance Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies are projected, with Zhuoyue Xinneng expected to have an EPS of 3.16 CNY in 2025 and a PE of 14 [5].

Group 1 - The number of public REITs in China reached 66, with a total issuance scale of 174.39 billion yuan as of May 31, 2025 [4] - The weighted REITs index closed at 139.99 with a monthly return rate of 3.71%, outperforming A-shares, gold, pure bonds, and crude oil [4] - The return rates of major asset classes are ranked as follows: US stocks > convertible bonds > REITs > A-shares > gold > pure bonds > crude oil [4] Group 2 - The SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) policy in Europe is set to require a mandatory 2% addition, which is expected to drive price increases in related products [5] - Domestic channels for exporting bio-aviation fuel have been successfully established, indicating promising future development [5] Group 3 - The company Guming has expanded its presence to over 200 cities across 17 provinces in China, with a total of 9,914 stores, making it the largest mass-market fresh tea drink brand in the country [6] - Guming has achieved an average quarterly repurchase rate of 53% and a store operating profit margin of approximately 20%, both leading the industry [6] Group 4 - NIO reported a total revenue of 12.04 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.9% [8] - The gross margin for NIO was 7.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.1 percentage points [8] - The Non-GAAP net loss for NIO expanded by 28.2% year-on-year to 6.28 billion yuan, although it narrowed by 4.2% quarter-on-quarter [8]

2025年06月03日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-农产品 观点与策略 | 棕榈油：印度降税或刺激采购，观察情绪反复 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 豆油：豆系驱动不强，区间震荡 | 2 | | 豆粕：贸易摩擦担忧、美豆偏弱，连粕或震荡 | 5 | | 豆一：震荡 | 5 | | 玉米：震荡偏强 | 7 | | 白糖：震荡偏弱 | 9 | | 棉花：上涨动能不足 | 10 | | 鸡蛋：节后淘汰或进一步加速 | 12 | | 生猪：去库启动，远端预期转强 | 13 | | 花生：关注现货 | 14 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 棕榈油：印度降税或刺激采购，观察情绪反复 豆油：豆系驱动不强，区间震荡 | | | 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | | 单 位 | 收盘价 (日盘） | 涨跌幅 | 收盘价 （夜盘） | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 棕榈油主力 | 元/吨 | 8,060 | -1.59% | | | | | 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 7,638 | -1.1 ...

油脂基本面数据 | | | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘） | 涨跌幅 | 收盘价 （夜盘） | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 棕榈油主力 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 7,984 7,754 | -0.80% -0.54% | 8,054 7,780 | 0.88% 0.34% | | | 菜油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,277 | -0.20% | 9,397 | 1.29% | | 期 货 | 马棕主力 | 林吉特/吨 | 3,884 | 1.54% | 3,915 | 0.85% | | | CBOT豆油主力 | 美分/磅 | 49.48 | 1.12% | | | | | | 单 位 | 昨日成交 | 成交变动 | 昨日持仓 | 持仓变动 | | | 棕榈油主力 | 手 | 514,650 | -154,250 | 397,913 | 10,473 | | | 豆油主力 | 手 | 378,133 | -13,476 | 602,914 | -2,419 | | | 菜油主力 | 手 | 352,218 | -105,29 ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - Refined glycerol is a highly purified form of glycerol with a purity of over 99.5%, produced from crude glycerol, and is widely used in food, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and industrial applications [1][2][3] - China is the largest producer and consumer of glycerol globally, with a projected refined glycerol production of 202,500 tons in 2024, an increase of 30,300 tons from 2023 [1][3] - The demand for refined glycerol in China is expected to be 890,300 tons in 2024, a decrease of 6,900 tons compared to 2023 [1][3] Group 2: Import and Export Dynamics - China's refined glycerol import volume is projected to be 693,500 tons in 2024, a decrease of 37,200 tons from 2023, with an import value of approximately $39.06 million, down by $3.56 million [5] - The export volume of refined glycerol is expected to remain stable at 5,700 tons in 2024, with an export value of $7.87 million, a decrease of $1.14 million from 2023 [5] Group 3: Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream of the refined glycerol industry primarily involves natural oils such as palm oil and soybean oil, while the downstream applications include food additives, pharmaceuticals, and personal care products [7][9] - In the food industry, refined glycerol is used as a moisturizer, solvent, sweetener, and stabilizer, contributing to the growth of the food additives sector, which is projected to increase from 12.69 million tons in 2019 to 17.59 million tons by 2024 [11] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The refined glycerol market is characterized by intense competition, with key global players including P&G Chemicals, KLK OLEO, and Wilmar International, alongside domestic companies such as Yangzhou Feiyang Chemical Co., Ltd. and Langxi Jinghe Biological New Materials Co., Ltd. [13][15] Group 5: Future Trends - The market for refined glycerol is expected to grow steadily, driven by its applications in personal care, food, and pharmaceuticals, with increasing demand for sustainable and green products [16] - The acceleration of domestic production of high-purity glycerol is anticipated as technology advances, enhancing the market potential for refined glycerol [16]

研究所 生柴政策多变 美豆油冲高回落 ----国信期货油脂油料周报 2025年5月18日 研究所 目录 CONTENTS 1 蛋白粕市场分析 2 油脂市场分析 3 后市展望 研究所 Part1 第一部分 蛋白粕市场分析 一、蛋白粕市场分析 研究所 本周行情回顾：本周CBOT大豆先扬后抑，价格较前一周有所上移。周一CBOT大豆创下三个月新高，贸易紧张局势缓解以及美国农业部报告利多帮助大豆价格回升至贸易沖突前水平。美国 农业部预计2025/26年度美国大豆期末库存为2.95亿蒲式耳，分析师预计为3.62亿蒲式耳。美国农业部预计2024/25年度美国大豆期末库存为3.5亿蒲式耳，而4月份的预测是3.7亿蒲式耳，分 析师的预期是3,69亿蒲式耳。 美豆库存下调显示偏紧格局。随后美豆继续刷新高点，据知情人士透露，美国众议院税收委员会拟议的草案计划将45Z清洁燃料税收抵免政策延长至2031年12 月31日，美豆油飙升拉动美豆持续走高。周四美豆高位大幅回落，市场传闻美国可再生燃料义务（RVO）计划可能削减，环保署署长李•泽尔丁在参议院听证会中表达出的谨慎态度，引发了 对生物柴油需求前景的担忧。美豆回吐本周涨幅。与之相比，国 ...

美国农业部：截至5月8日当周，美国2024/2025年度豆油出口净销售为1.4万吨，前一周为1.5万吨； 2025/2026年度豆油净销售0万吨，前一周为0.1万吨；美国2024/2025年度豆油出口装船5.1万吨，前一周 为3.5万吨。 USDA干旱监测报告：截至5月13日当周，约17%的美国大豆种植区域受到干旱影响，而此前一周为 15%，去年同期为9%。 瑞达期货（002961）： 消息面 4月国内油厂开机率偏低，压榨产能较少，豆油供应趋紧，基差较为坚挺，不过随着大豆大量到港，港 口大豆库存回归正常水平，全国油厂开机率逐步提高，且二季度大豆供应充足，油厂开机率预计高位运 行，产能持续，豆油库存趋于回升。同时南美大豆持续供应市场，季节性供应压力令大豆行情承压运 行；短期菜油依然供大于求格局，制约菜油价格；棕榈油产量恢复，库存状态或持续改善，棕榈油价格 偏弱运行。因此，豆油预计震荡偏弱运行为主。 截至5月14日，国内一级豆油现货价格8215元/吨，较5月12日提高79元/吨，涨幅0.97%；较5月13日提高 66元/吨，涨幅0.81%。 机构观点 国投安信期货： 美豆油出现大幅下跌，回吐了之前的涨幅，因为RV ...

Group 1 - The core business of the company includes the production and sales of biodiesel, environmental materials, and specialty chemical products [1] - The company is recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and has received multiple honors for its technological innovations [1] - As of April 18, 2025, the company has 44,878 shareholders, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average holding quantity of 27,600 shares [1] Group 2 - The latest financial report for Q1 2025 shows a revenue of 241 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 53.69%, and a net profit loss of approximately 49.9 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.60% [1] - The company's gross profit margin is reported at -6.65% [1] - The current market capitalization of the company is 7.049 billion yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) of -7.95 and a price-to-book ratio of 1.19 [2]