Core Insights - The fiscal revenue and expenditure data for the first ten months of the year shows a slight increase in public budget revenue and expenditure, indicating a continuation of improvement in fiscal conditions [1][2]. Revenue Analysis - From January to October, the total public budget revenue reached 186,490 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%. Tax revenue accounted for 153,364 billion yuan, growing by 1.7%, while non-tax revenue fell by 3.1% to 33,126 billion yuan [2][3]. - The central government's public budget revenue was 81,856 billion yuan, down 0.8%, while local government revenue increased by 2.1% to 104,634 billion yuan [2]. - Tax revenue growth has shown a recovery trend for eight consecutive months, with an October year-on-year growth rate of 8.6%. The overall tax revenue growth target for the year is set at 3.7% [2][3]. Expenditure Analysis - Total public budget expenditure for the same period was 225,825 billion yuan, reflecting a 2% increase year-on-year. Central government expenditure rose by 6.3% to 34,727 billion yuan, while local government expenditure increased by 1.2% to 191,098 billion yuan [5]. - Expenditure in social security and employment grew by 9.3%, education by 4.7%, and science and technology by 5.7%, indicating a focus on social welfare and development [5][6]. Sector-Specific Insights - The growth in tax revenue was particularly strong in personal income tax, which increased by 11.5%, and stamp duty, which surged by 29.5%, with securities transaction stamp duty rising by 88.1% [3]. - The analysis suggests that the recovery in tax revenue is linked to improved economic conditions, including a more active capital market and the implementation of new tax reporting regulations for internet platform enterprises [3][4]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the fiscal revenue growth target for the year is likely to be achieved, supported by a moderate recovery in prices and effective fiscal policies [4]. - There is a need for increased fiscal spending in the last two months of the year, especially in infrastructure and public welfare sectors, to counteract the slower spending observed in October [5][6].

财政部11月17日发布数据显示，今年前10个月，全国一般公共预算收入186490亿元，同比增长 0.8％，比前9个月提高0.3个百分点。 各级财政部门认真落实更加积极的财政政策，加大支出强度，优化支出结构，持续加强对重点领域 的支出保障。前10个月，教育支出同比增长4.7％；科学技术支出同比增长5.7％；社会保障和就业支出 同比增长9.3％；节能环保支出4235亿元，同比增长7％。 政府性基金预算收支方面，前10个月，全国政府性基金预算收入34473亿元，同比下降2.8％；全国 政府性基金预算支出80892亿元，同比增长15.4％。 扫一扫在手机打开当前页 其中，全国税收收入153364亿元，同比增长1.7％；非税收入33126亿元，同比下降3.1％。分中央和 地方看，前10个月，中央一般公共预算收入81856亿元，同比下降0.8％；地方一般公共预算本级收入 104634亿元，同比增长2.1％。 从单月数据来看，10月份，全国一般公共预算收入同比增长3.2％，比9月份增速进一步提高。 财政支出方面，前10个月，全国一般公共预算支出225825亿元，同比增长2％。分中央和地方看， 中央一般公共预算本级支出347 ...

Core Insights - The overall public budget revenue for January to October reached 186,490 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.8%, indicating a slight acceleration in growth compared to the previous nine months [1] - Public budget expenditure for the same period was 225,825 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, but the growth rate has slowed down by 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous nine months [1] Revenue Analysis - In October, public budget revenue grew by 3.2% year-on-year, with tax revenue increasing by 8.6% while non-tax revenue fell by 33% [1] - Major tax categories showed varied performance: VAT revenue grew by 7.2%, consumption tax revenue increased by 4.5%, while corporate income tax growth slowed to 7.3% [2][4] - Personal income tax revenue surged by 27.3%, reflecting both a low base effect and improved tax collection efforts [2] Expenditure Analysis - In October, public budget expenditure decreased by 9.8% year-on-year, contrasting with a 3.1% increase in the previous month, indicating a significant drop in spending [4][5] - The decline in expenditure is attributed to a high base from the previous year and local fiscal constraints [4] - Infrastructure-related spending saw substantial declines, with specific categories like energy conservation and transportation experiencing double-digit decreases [4][5] Broader Fiscal Context - The cumulative growth rate of general public budget expenditure for the first ten months was 76.0%, below the five-year average of 77.4% [5] - Government fund budget revenue fell by 2.8% year-on-year, with land use rights revenue dropping by 7.4% [5] - The overall broad fiscal expenditure decreased by 19.1% in October, a significant drop compared to a 2.3% increase in September, influenced by high base effects and prior fiscal measures [6] Future Outlook - The issuance of 5,000 billion yuan in local government debt is expected to accelerate in November and December, potentially supporting fiscal expenditure and economic recovery [1][6][7] - The implementation of new policy financial tools also indicates a strengthening of fiscal policy aimed at stabilizing growth [7]

Revenue Insights - In the first ten months of 2025, total fiscal revenue reached 18.65 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%[1] - October fiscal revenue was 2.26 trillion, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.16%[1] - Tax revenue in October was 2.07 trillion, with a year-on-year increase of 8.6%[3] Expenditure Trends - Total fiscal expenditure for the first ten months was 22.58 trillion, up 2% year-on-year[1] - October fiscal expenditure was 1.78 trillion, reflecting a significant decline of 9.78% year-on-year[1] - The expenditure progress for October accounted for only 6% of the annual total, below the seasonal average of 6.5%[9] Non-Tax Revenue and Land Sales - Non-tax revenue in October was 191.4 billion, down 33% year-on-year, marking a five-year low[3] - Government fund revenue in October was 375.6 billion, a decrease of 18.4% year-on-year[10] - Land transfer revenue fell to 268 billion, down 27.3% year-on-year, contributing significantly to the decline in government fund revenue[10] Future Outlook - The fiscal policy for 2026 is expected to be proactive and expansionary, with a projected deficit rate of around 4%[2] - Total fiscal expenditure for 2026 is anticipated to reach 43 trillion, an increase of 1.13 trillion compared to 2025[2] - The focus will shift towards "investment in people" alongside traditional infrastructure investments[4]

冯琳认为，当月工业生产增速较快下行，但反内卷推进下部分行业供需好转，叠加有色金属价格上涨等 因素，带动工业品价格改善，对增值税收入增长有所支撑；消费税的增长背后是今年"双十一"提前启 动、金价上涨、假期出行等因素提振相关应税商品销售；企业所得税收入同比增速较上月放缓，主要是 9月和10月分别为缴税小月和大月，企业所得税绝对规模差异较大，增速出现剧烈波动属于正常现象。 至于个人所得税，"今年以来，个人所得税收入保持较快增长，除因低基数外，可能还与加强个税征管 有关。"冯琳表示。 华泰证券认为，10月个人所得税同比增长较9月的16.9%回升至27.3%，部分受个人投资者境外投资收益 补税提振。 【大河财立方 记者 陈玉静】11月17日，财政部披露前10月财政收支情况，1-10月，全国一般公共预算 收入186490亿元，同比增长0.8%。其中，全国税收收入153364亿元，同比增长1.7%；非税收入33126亿 元，同比下降3.1%。在几个主要税种的税收收入上，个人所得税同比增长亮眼。前10个月个人所得税 13363亿元，同比增长11.5%。 从单月来看，10月个人所得税的增长也较快。东方金诚研究发展部执行总监冯琳 ...

Industry Overview Upstream - Nickel prices declined, while aluminum prices slightly rebounded in the non-ferrous sector [2] - Glass prices slightly decreased in the black sector [2] - Egg prices slightly dropped in the agricultural sector [2] Midstream - The PX开工率 remained at a high level, while the PTA开工率 continued to decline in the chemical industry [2] - Power plant coal consumption was low, and inventory increased in the energy sector [2] - The asphalt开工率 decreased in the infrastructure sector [2] Downstream - Commodity housing sales in second - and third - tier cities declined seasonally in the real estate sector [3] - The number of domestic flights remained stable at a high level in the service sector [3] Macroeconomic Data Production Industry - From January to October, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 9.5% year - on - year, contributing over half and becoming the main engine driving industrial growth [1] - In the energy and key raw materials fields, high - quality coal production capacity continued to be released, but due to the global AI boom, there was a shortage and significant price increase in chips, with some prices rising by up to 60% compared to September [1] Service Industry - In October 2025, banks settled foreign exchange worth 1519.4 billion yuan and sold foreign exchange worth 1394 billion yuan. From January to October 2025, banks cumulatively settled foreign exchange worth 14794.1 billion yuan and sold foreign exchange worth 14220.1 billion yuan [1] - From January to October 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 18649 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.8%; the national general public budget expenditure was 22582.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2% [1] - The national government - sponsored fund budget revenue was 3447.3 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 2.8%; the national government - sponsored fund budget expenditure was 8089.2 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 15.4% [1] Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry | Indicator | Price on 11/17 | YoY | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price of corn | 2174.3 yuan/ton | 0.80% | | | Spot price of eggs | 6.4 yuan/kg | - 1.54% | | | Spot price of palm oil | 8700.0 yuan/ton | - 0.37% | | | Spot price of cotton | 14799.2 yuan/ton | - 0.28% | | | Average wholesale price of pork | 18.0 yuan/kg | - 0.72% | | Non - ferrous metals | Spot price of copper | 86553.3 yuan/ton | 0.01% | | | Spot price of zinc | 22380.0 yuan/ton | - 0.79% | | | Spot price of aluminum | 21920.0 yuan/ton | 1.94% | | | Spot price of nickel | 119033.3 yuan/ton | - 2.16% | | Ferrous metals | Spot price of aluminum | 17343.8 yuan/ton | - 0.25% | | | Spot price of rebar | 3164.3 yuan/ton | 1.00% | | | Spot price of iron ore | 800.0 yuan/ton | 1.58% | | | Spot price of wire rod | 3297.5 yuan/ton | 0.00% | | | Spot price of glass | 13.8 yuan/sq.m | - 1.43% | | Non - metals | Spot price of natural rubber | 14900.0 yuan/ton | 1.42% | | | China Plastic City price index | 769.1 | - 0.54% | | Energy | Spot price of WTI crude oil | 60.1 dollars/barrel | 0.57% | | | Spot price of Brent crude oil | 64.4 dollars/barrel | 1.19% | | | Spot price of liquefied natural gas | 4202.0 yuan/ton | - 0.94% | | | Coal price | 834.0 yuan/ton | 0.85% | | Chemical | Spot price of PTA | 4647.0 yuan/ton | 0.03% | | | Spot price of polyethylene | 6991.7 yuan/ton | 0.36% | | | Spot price of urea | 1630.0 yuan/ton | 0.15% | | | Spot price of soda ash | 1218.6 yuan/ton | 0.89% | | Real estate | Cement price index (national) | 137.7 | 0.95% | | | Building materials composite index | - | 1.11% | | | Concrete price index (national) | 90.8 | - 0.14% | [33]

Report Summary 1. Core View - The rebound of the US dollar index has put pressure on global stock indices, which are undergoing an adjustment. After the adjustment of the technology sector, the overall trading volume in the market has declined, showing a rotational pattern with generally low sustainability. Some sectors have gradually fallen to support levels, and attention should be paid to the effectiveness of these supports. The overall index is still moving around the previous central level, but individual stocks are showing significant differentiation. Caution is needed in operations, and hasty bottom - fishing should be avoided [2] 2. Summary by Directory Macro - economic Charts - The report includes charts showing the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [6][11] Spot Market Tracking Charts - On November 17, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03, down 0.46%; the Shenzhen Component Index was at 13202.00, down 0.11%; the ChiNext Index was at 3105.20, down 0.20%; the CSI 300 Index was at 4598.05, down 0.65%; the SSE 50 Index was at 3012.07, down 0.87%; the CSI 500 Index was at 7235.35, unchanged; and the CSI 1000 Index was at 7523.08, up 0.27%. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets dropped to 1.9 trillion yuan [14][1] Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures rebounded, and the current - month contract of IH was at a premium. The trading volume and open interest of IF, IH, and IC increased simultaneously. Specifically, the trading volume of IF was 114,292 (an increase of 4,303), and the open interest was 272,721 (an increase of 7,845); the trading volume of IH was 57,196 (an increase of 8,963), and the open interest was 101,114 (an increase of 3,993); the trading volume of IC was 116,917 (an increase of 305), and the open interest was 245,834 (an increase of 816). The trading volume of IM was 197,327 (an increase of 4,748), and the open interest was 355,153 (a decrease of 2,069) [1][18] - The report also provides data on the basis of stock index futures contracts (including current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts) and inter - period spreads of different contracts (such as next - month minus current - month, next - quarter minus current - month, etc.) [39][48]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the steady growth of fiscal revenue in China, particularly tax revenue, which has shown a positive trend in recent months, indicating an improving economic environment [4][5]. Fiscal Revenue Overview - In the first ten months of the year, China's general public budget revenue reached approximately 18.65 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%. Tax revenue accounted for about 15.34 trillion yuan, growing by 1.7% [4]. - Tax revenue has shifted from a decline to growth, with significant increases noted in July and August, and a year-on-year growth of 8.7% in September and 8.6% in October [4][6]. Factors Contributing to Tax Revenue Growth - The increase in tax revenue is attributed to several factors, including an improving economy, a narrowing decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI), and a low base from the previous year [6]. - The active capital market has also contributed to tax revenue growth, with the total market capitalization of A-share companies surpassing 100 trillion yuan in August and the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in September. Daily trading volumes in August and September averaged 2.3 trillion yuan and 2.4 trillion yuan, respectively [6]. - Notable increases in personal income tax and securities transaction stamp duty were observed, with the latter reaching 162.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 88.1%, and personal income tax at 1.3363 trillion yuan, up 11.5% [6]. Sector-Specific Tax Revenue Performance - Certain industries have shown strong tax revenue performance, including: - Computer and communication equipment manufacturing: 12.7% growth - Electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing: 7.9% growth - Scientific research and technical services: 14.8% growth - Cultural, sports, and entertainment industries: 5.7% growth [7]. Non-Tax Revenue and Government Fund Income - Non-tax revenue for the first ten months was approximately 3.31 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 3.1% [8]. - Government fund revenue, primarily from land sales, also saw a decline, with total revenue of about 3.45 trillion yuan, down 2.8%. Specifically, income from land use rights fell to approximately 2.49 trillion yuan, a decrease of 7.4% [8]. Fiscal Expenditure Trends - Fiscal expenditure has been maintained at a certain intensity to stabilize the economy, with total general public budget expenditure reaching about 22.58 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2% [9]. - Expenditure related to social security and employment grew by 9.3%, amounting to approximately 3.77 trillion yuan [9]. - The government has allocated 500 billion yuan from local government debt limits to support local fiscal capacity and effective investment [9].

财政部网站11月17日消息，财政部国库司发布2025年1-10月财政收支情况。 1-10月，全国一般公共预算收入186490亿元，同比增长0.8%。其中，全国税收收入153364亿元，同比增 长1.7% 政府性基金预算方面，今年1-10月收入为34473亿元，同比下降2.8%。分中央和地方看，中央政府性基 金预算收入3618亿元，同比增长1.6%；地方政府性基金预算本级收入30855亿元，同比下降3.3%，其 中，国有土地使用权出让收入24982亿元，同比下降7.4%。 全文如下。 一、全国一般公共预算收支情况 （一）一般公共预算收入情况。 1-10月，全国一般公共预算收入186490亿元，同比增长0.8%。其中，全国税收收入153364亿元，同比增 长1.7%；非税收入33126亿元，同比下降3.1%。分中央和地方看，中央一般公共预算收入81856亿元， 同比下降0.8%；地方一般公共预算本级收入104634亿元，同比增长2.1%。 主要税收收入项目情况如下： 1.国内增值税58858亿元，同比增长4%。 2.国内消费税14390亿元，同比增长2.4%。 9.印花税3781亿元，同比增长29.5%。其中，证 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the fiscal revenue and expenditure situation in China for the first ten months of 2025, indicating a slight growth in revenue and a more significant increase in expenditure [1][2] - National general public budget revenue reached 18.65 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.8% [1] - National general public budget expenditure amounted to 22.58 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2% [2] Group 2 - Major tax revenue items showed significant growth, with stamp duty revenue at 378.1 billion yuan, up 29.5%, and securities transaction stamp duty at 162.9 billion yuan, up 88.1% [1] - In October, the national general public budget revenue was 2.26 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.2% [1] - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing and modern services demonstrated strong tax revenue performance, with computer communication equipment manufacturing tax revenue growing by 12.7% [1] Group 3 - Expenditure in key areas was prioritized, with social security and employment spending increasing by 9.3%, education spending by 4.7%, and health spending by 2.4% [2] - Government fund budget revenue decreased by 2.8% to 3.45 trillion yuan, while expenditure increased by 15.4% to 8.09 trillion yuan [2] - A total of 4.54 trillion yuan was spent from various bond funds, including local government special bonds and central financial institution special bonds [2]