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中信建投:财税异动,发生了什么?
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-08-20 11:42
Core Insights - July fiscal data shows significant highlights, with tax revenue growth returning to positive territory and expenditures improving due to increased income [1] - Major tax categories such as corporate income tax, personal income tax, and consumption tax exhibited varying degrees of upward elasticity in July [1] - The improvement in public budget expenditures is directly linked to the recovery in tax revenue, with a focus on social security, employment, and health care [1] Group 1: Public Budget Performance - From January to July, the national general public budget revenue reached 1,358.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, while expenditures totaled 1,607.37 billion yuan, up 3.4% [2] - In July, general public budget revenue increased by 2.7%, marking the highest growth rate of the year, with tax revenue rising by 5.0% [4] - General public budget expenditures improved by 3.0% in July, driven by the increase in revenue, indicating a potential for accelerated spending despite revenue constraints [4] Group 2: Tax Revenue Structure - The second-largest tax category, corporate income tax, saw a growth rate of 6.4%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points [8] - Personal income tax experienced a significant growth of 13.9%, up 7.2 percentage points, attributed to increased cumulative income and stricter tax collection measures [9] - Consumption tax recorded a growth of 5.4%, rebounding by 3.4 percentage points, primarily driven by improvements in sales of tobacco and alcohol [10] Group 3: Government Fund Budget - National government fund budget revenue reached 23.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while expenditures rose to 54.29 billion yuan, up 31.7% [3] - In July, government fund revenue growth slowed to 8.9%, significantly impacted by declining land transfer income [5] - Land transfer income increased by 7.2%, but the growth rate fell by approximately 15 percentage points, indicating ongoing weakness in the land and real estate market [13] Group 4: Fiscal Expenditure Trends - Fiscal expenditure showed broad support across various sectors, particularly in social security and health care, which grew by 13.1% and 14.2%, respectively [16] - Technology-related expenditures decreased by 30.5%, reflecting a shift in policy direction and a reduction in redundant construction projects [16] - The overall trend indicates a focus on essential social needs rather than unnecessary infrastructure spending [1][16]
增长3.2%!今年前七个月科学技术支出5330亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 11:22
来源:科技日报 8月19日 ,财政部公布的1—7月财政收支情况显示,全国一般公共预算收入135839亿元,同比增长 0.1%。全国一般公共预算支出160737亿元,同比增长3.4%。 其中,教育支出24438亿元,同比增长 5.7%;科学技术支出5330亿元,同比增长3.2%;文化旅游体育与传媒支出2012亿元,同比增长5.3%; 社会保障和就业支出27621亿元,同比增长9.8%;卫生健康支出12402亿元,同比增长5.3%;节能环保 支出2949亿元,同比增长4.3%;城乡社区支出11185亿元,同比下降3.5%;农林水支出12323亿元,同 比下降7.7%;交通运输支出6340亿元,同比下降3.3%;债务付息支出7573亿元,同比增长6.4%。 (科 技日报记者 刘垠) ...
国泰海通|宏观:收支改善,服务民生——2025年7月财政数据点评
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recovery in both revenue and expenditure growth in July 2025, primarily driven by improved tax revenue and proactive government spending focused on public welfare [1][2][3]. Revenue Summary - In the first seven months of 2025, national general public budget revenue increased by 0.1% year-on-year, with July showing a growth rate of 2.6%, marking the first positive cumulative revenue growth of the year [1]. - Tax revenue showed a significant rebound, while non-tax revenue continued to decline, indicating a shift towards improved tax collection [1]. - Local revenue growth outpaced that of the central government, alleviating some fiscal pressure at the local level [1]. - Specific tax categories such as domestic consumption tax, corporate income tax, and personal income tax showed marginal improvements, with a notable increase in securities transaction stamp duty reflecting a more active stock market [1]. Expenditure Summary - National general public budget expenditure rose by 3.4% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, with July showing a recovery in growth [2]. - Both central and local fiscal expenditures were proactive, with central expenditure maintaining high growth rates and local expenditure turning positive, likely due to eased constraints from revenue [2]. - Key areas of expenditure included health care and social security, while infrastructure spending showed a slowdown [2]. - Government fund revenue growth saw a marginal decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.7% in the first seven months, influenced by the ongoing adjustments in the real estate market [2]. Government Fund Expenditure Summary - Government fund budget expenditure increased by 31.7% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, with central and local levels growing by 4.5 times and 18.1%, respectively [3]. - The acceleration in bond issuance and utilization was a significant factor driving this growth, with 2.89 trillion yuan allocated to government fund budget expenditures [3]. - Despite a slight decline in the growth rate of government fund budget expenditure in July, it remained at a high level [3]. Overall Fiscal Outlook - The article concludes that there are positive signs in fiscal revenue and expenditure, with improved tax collection and accelerated local revenue growth helping to ease fiscal pressures [3]. - Central government efforts to maintain economic stability through direct funding for major projects and transfer payments are emphasized, alongside continued support for public welfare [3]. - The ongoing challenges in the economy, particularly in the real estate sector, require close monitoring, with expectations for continued proactive macroeconomic policies in the second half of the year [3].
国泰海通 · 晨报0821|宏观
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive changes in fiscal revenue and expenditure in July 2025, indicating a recovery in tax revenue and an increase in spending focused on public welfare and effective investment [5]. Group 1: Revenue Analysis - National general public budget revenue from January to July 2025 increased by 0.1% year-on-year, with July showing a growth rate of 2.6%, marking the first positive cumulative revenue growth of the year [3]. - Tax revenue has shown significant improvement, particularly in domestic consumption tax, corporate income tax, and personal income tax, while non-tax revenue continues to decline [3]. - Local revenue growth outpaced central revenue, alleviating fiscal pressure at the grassroots level [3]. Group 2: Expenditure Analysis - National general public budget expenditure from January to July 2025 rose by 3.4% year-on-year, with July's expenditure growth rate also increasing [3]. - Both central and local fiscal expenditures were proactive, with central expenditure maintaining high growth and local expenditure turning positive, likely due to eased constraints on revenue [3]. - Key areas of expenditure included health, social security, and employment, while infrastructure spending showed a slowdown [3]. Group 3: Government Fund and Debt - Government fund budget revenue from January to July 2025 decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, although July saw a high growth rate, which is attributed to a low base from the previous year [4]. - Government fund budget expenditure increased by 31.7% year-on-year, driven by accelerated issuance and utilization of bond funds, with local government special bonds and central financial institution injections contributing significantly [4]. Group 4: Overall Fiscal Outlook - The article concludes that July's fiscal data reflects positive changes, with improved tax revenue and accelerated local fiscal income helping to ease financial pressures [5]. - Central government efforts to maintain economic stability through direct funding for major projects and transfer payments are emphasized, alongside continued support for public welfare [5]. - Despite these positive indicators, challenges remain in the economic landscape, particularly regarding real estate demand [5].
北京市2025年1-7月财政收支情况公布
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 07:46
Revenue Summary - In the first seven months, the city's general public budget revenue reached 418.24 billion yuan, an increase of 3.6%, completing 63.1% of the annual budget [1] - Local tax revenue amounted to 367.84 billion yuan, growing by 5.2%, with a tax revenue share of 87.9%, maintaining the highest quality nationwide [1] - Value-added tax generated 126.8 billion yuan, up 2.5%, driven by growth in the new energy vehicle and internet wholesale sectors [1] - Corporate income tax totaled 117.53 billion yuan, increasing by 13.9%, supported by improved profitability in key information technology enterprises [1] - Personal income tax reached 47.91 billion yuan, growing by 7.4%, influenced by an active capital market and early dividends from listed companies [1] Expenditure Summary - In the first seven months, the city's general public budget expenditure was 508.53 billion yuan, an increase of 2.6%, completing 60.5% of the annual budget [2] - Education expenditure was 74 billion yuan, growing by 7.9%, aimed at accommodating changes in school-age population and supporting the expansion of educational facilities [2] - Science and technology expenditure reached 38.33 billion yuan, increasing by 11.2%, focusing on the construction of an international innovation center and strategic technology tasks [2] - Health expenditure amounted to 45.15 billion yuan, up 8.1%, ensuring the stable operation of public medical institutions and improving healthcare services [2] - Social security and employment expenditure was 83.63 billion yuan, growing by 7.9%, aimed at enhancing the social security system and supporting employment initiatives [2] - Urban and rural community expenditure totaled 59.78 billion yuan, increasing by 4.8%, supporting infrastructure projects and community governance [2]
1~7月全国一般公共预算收入增长0.1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 07:29
National General Public Budget Revenue and Expenditure - From January to July, the national general public budget revenue reached 135839 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [2] - Tax revenue amounted to 110933 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.3%, while non-tax revenue was 24906 billion yuan, increasing by 2% [2] - Central government revenue was 58538 billion yuan, down 2% year-on-year, while local government revenue was 77301 billion yuan, up 1.8% [2] Major Tax Revenue Items - Domestic value-added tax collected was 42551 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3% [3] - Domestic consumption tax totaled 10213 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [4] - Corporate income tax revenue was 30566 billion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.4% year-on-year [5] - Personal income tax reached 9279 billion yuan, marking an increase of 8.8% year-on-year [6] - Import goods value-added tax and consumption tax were 10300 billion yuan, down 6.1% year-on-year [6] - Export tax rebates amounted to 14065 billion yuan, up 9.7% year-on-year [7] - Stamp duty revenue was 2559 billion yuan, with a significant increase of 20.7%, including a 62.5% rise in securities transaction stamp duty [10] National General Public Budget Expenditure - Total expenditure from January to July was 160737 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [17] - Central government expenditure was 23327 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, while local government expenditure was 137410 billion yuan, increasing by 2.5% [17] Major Expenditure Items - Education expenditure reached 24438 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.7% [18] - Social security and employment expenditure was 27621 billion yuan, with a notable increase of 9.8% [20] - Health expenditure totaled 12402 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year [21] - Expenditure on urban and rural community services decreased by 3.5% to 11185 billion yuan [21] National Government Fund Budget Revenue and Expenditure - Government fund budget revenue was 23124 billion yuan, down 0.7% year-on-year [21] - Central government fund budget revenue was 2596 billion yuan, increasing by 8.8% year-on-year, while local government fund budget revenue was 20528 billion yuan, down 1.8% [21] - Total government fund budget expenditure was 54287 billion yuan, a significant increase of 31.7% year-on-year [21] - Central government fund budget expenditure was 7109 billion yuan, up 4.5 times year-on-year, while local government fund budget expenditure was 47178 billion yuan, increasing by 18.1% [21]
透视前7个月“国家账本” 改善“民之关切”兜底百姓民生
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-20 07:21
Core Insights - The Ministry of Finance reported that the national general public budget revenue showed the highest growth in July, with the cumulative growth for January to July turning positive for the first time this year [1][5]. Revenue Performance - In July, the national general public budget revenue reached 202.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, with central and local revenues growing by 2.2% and 3.1% respectively, marking the highest monthly growth of the year [3]. - For the period of January to July, the total national general public budget revenue was 1,358.39 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.1%, which is an increase of 0.4 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [5]. Tax Revenue Trends - Tax revenue showed a significant narrowing of decline, with July tax revenue at 180.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, continuing to recover since April [8]. - From January to July, total tax revenue was 1,109.33 billion yuan, down by 0.3%, but this decline was 0.9 percentage points less than in the first half of the year. Domestic value-added tax and domestic consumption tax grew by 3% and 2.1% respectively, with increases of 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the first half [8]. Sector Performance - The equipment manufacturing and modern service industries showed strong tax revenue performance, with tax revenue from railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment growing by 33%, and computer and communication equipment by 10.1% [10]. - The scientific research and technical service industry saw a tax revenue increase of 12.7%, while the cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors grew by 4.1% [10]. Expenditure Overview - National general public budget expenditure maintained growth, with total expenditure from January to July reaching 1,607.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [11]. - Key areas of expenditure included social security and employment, which grew by 9.8%, education by 5.7%, and health by 5.3%, while housing security expenditure saw a slight increase of 0.2% [13].
7月财政数据点评:财政收支改善,发力继续前置
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-20 06:49
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In July 2025, fiscal revenue improved marginally, and fiscal expenditure maintained a relatively high growth rate. However, there is a risk of a decline in fiscal expenditure in the future [1][4]. - Fiscal revenue improvement mainly came from tax revenue, with VAT and corporate income tax contributing more to tax growth. Fiscal expenditure relied more on government debt, and the broad fiscal deficit rate was at a relatively high level [2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Revenue Side - **General Public Budget Revenue**: In July 2025, the monthly general public budget revenue increased by 2.65% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.3%), with tax revenue up 5.0% (previous value: 1.0%) and non - tax revenue down 12.93% (previous value: - 3.7%), showing an improved revenue structure [1][11]. - **Tax Revenue Composition**: In July, the four major taxes all performed well. Domestic VAT increased by 4.3% year - on - year, consumption tax by 5.4%, corporate income tax by 6.4%, and individual income tax by 13.9%. VAT and corporate income tax contributed more to the year - on - year tax growth. Export tax rebates decreased by 5.6% year - on - year, and real - estate - related taxes decreased by 3.8%. Vehicle purchase tax decreased by 13.8%. In June, stamp duty and securities trading stamp duty increased by 24.2% and 125.4% respectively [2][13]. - **Government Fund Revenue**: In July, government fund revenue increased by 8.9% year - on - year (previous value: 20.8%). Considering the time lag between land transactions and government fund revenue and the weak real - estate investment growth, its sustainability needs further observation [1][17]. - **Accumulated Revenue**: From January to July, the accumulated general public budget revenue increased by 0.1% year - on - year, in line with the annual budget, but the structure was poor. Tax revenue growth was - 0.3%, lower than the budgeted 3.7%, while non - tax revenue growth was 2.0%, higher than the budgeted - 14.2%. Government bond fund revenue decreased by 0.7% year - on - year, with the narrowing decline's sustainability to be observed [23]. Expenditure Side - **General Public Budget Expenditure**: In July, general public budget expenditure increased by 3.04% year - on - year (previous value: 0.38%), showing a rebound in expenditure growth [2][19]. - **Government Fund Expenditure**: In July, government fund expenditure increased by 42.4% year - on - year, maintaining a high growth rate. This may be related to the positive growth of government fund revenue in July and the accelerated issuance of new special bonds since the end of June [2][19]. - **Expenditure Structure**: In July, traditional infrastructure expenditure continued to contract, with an overall infrastructure - related fiscal expenditure growth rate of - 3.8% (previous value: - 8.8%). Expenditure on social security increased by 13.1%, health by 14.2%, and debt service by 8.9% [3][19]. - **Accumulated Expenditure**: From January to July, fiscal expenditure growth was 3.4%, slightly lower than the annual budgeted 4.4%. Government fund expenditure growth was 31.7%, higher than the budgeted 23.1%, indicating relatively front - loaded spending [23]. Fiscal Deficit - As of July, fiscal expenditure relied more on government debt, and the broad fiscal deficit rate was at a relatively high level. From January to July, the general budget fiscal deficit was 2.49 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of about 0.5 trillion yuan. The accumulated broad fiscal deficit was 5.61 trillion yuan, and assuming a nominal GDP growth rate of 4% this year, the current accumulated broad fiscal deficit rate was 4.0%, close to that in 2022 [3][22]. Future Outlook - There is a risk of a decline in fiscal expenditure. After August, the year - on - year increase in government bond net financing is expected to turn negative. The scale of special bonds for project expenditure in the second half of the year is also expected to decline. Without incremental fiscal policies, fiscal expenditure intensity may decrease [4][25].
财政部:前7月全国一般公共预算收入135839亿元
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-08-20 05:01
Core Insights - The Ministry of Finance reported the fiscal revenue and expenditure for January to July 2025, indicating a slight increase in overall public budget revenue and a decrease in tax revenue [1] Revenue Summary - Total general public budget revenue reached 1,358.39 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [1] - Tax revenue amounted to 1,109.33 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.3% [1] - Non-tax revenue was recorded at 249.06 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2% [1] Expenditure Summary - General public budget expenditure totaled 1,607.37 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [1] Government Fund Budget Summary - Government fund budget revenue for the period was 231.24 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year decrease of 0.7% [1] - Central government fund budget revenue was 25.96 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.8% [1] - Local government fund budget revenue was 205.28 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.8%, with land use rights transfer revenue at 169.50 billion yuan, down 4.6% year-on-year [1]
1—7月全国一般公共预算收入同比增长0.1% 累计增幅年内首次转正
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-20 03:49
7月份,全国一般公共预算收入20273亿元,同比增长2.6%,其中,中央、地方收入分别增长2.2%、3.1%,月度增幅均为今年以 来最高。具体来看,7月份,全国税收收入18018亿元,同比增长5%,月度增幅自4月份由负转正后持续回升。 从支出看,1—7月,全国一般公共预算支出160737亿元,同比增长3.4%,社会保障和就业、教育、卫生健康等重点领域支出得 到较好保障。 央视网消息:财政部8月19日发布1至7月财政收支运行情况。前七月,全国一般公共预算收入135839亿元,同比增长0.1%,累 计增幅年内首次转正。 ...