Group 1: Overall Market Performance - In April, the retail sales of passenger cars in China reached 1.755 million units, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, but a month-on-month decrease of 9.4% [1] - From January to April, cumulative retail sales totaled 6.872 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [1] - The strong performance in April is attributed to the early implementation of the "trade-in" policy and substantial subsidies, leading to the second-highest retail volume for April since 2018 [1] Group 2: Brand Performance - In April, retail sales of domestic brands reached 1.15 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 31%, although it saw a month-on-month decline of 5% [1] - Domestic brands accounted for 64% of the retail market share from January to April, an increase of 7.9 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - Leading domestic automakers such as BYD, Geely, Chery, and Changan have shown significant market share growth [1] Group 3: New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Market - In April, retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 905,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 33.9%, with a month-on-month decrease of 8.7% [2] - The cumulative retail sales of new energy vehicles from January to April reached 3.324 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.7% [2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the domestic market reached 51.5% in April, an increase of 7 percentage points year-on-year [2] Group 4: Export Performance - In April, the export of passenger vehicles totaled 423,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, but a month-on-month increase of 7% [2] - The export of new energy passenger vehicles reached 189,000 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 44.2% and a month-on-month increase of 31.6% [2] - New energy vehicles accounted for 44.6% of total passenger vehicle exports, an increase of 14 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] Group 5: Market Supply and New Models - The market supply has been enriched by the launch of new models from various automakers, including NIO, Zeekr, and Leap Motor [2] - Several new models were showcased at the Shanghai Auto Show, with NIO's second brand, Lada, planning to deliver its new model L90 in the third quarter [2] - Geely and Li Auto have also introduced new models with promotional offers to stimulate consumer interest [3]

Group 1 - In April 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars in China increased by 14.5% year-on-year to 1.755 million units, slightly below the 1.81 million units sold in April 2018, marking a reversal of the low retail growth trend typically seen in April over the past decade [1] - The early implementation of the national vehicle replacement policy and direct subsidies has contributed to a favorable market growth, leading to a relatively mild "price war" and improved competitive dynamics within the industry [1] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) continues to rise, becoming a key driver for the recovery of the passenger car market in spring [1] Group 2 - As of April 24, 2025, a total of 2.705 million vehicles have been replaced under the vehicle replacement policy, significantly boosting automotive consumption and overall retail growth [2] - In April, domestic brands achieved remarkable performance with retail sales of 1.15 million units, a year-on-year increase of 31%, capturing 65.5% of the domestic retail market share, up 8 percentage points from the previous year [2] - Traditional automakers like BYD, Geely, and Chery have shown significant improvements in market share, while foreign brands from Germany, Japan, and the U.S. are experiencing declining market shares [2] Group 3 - New energy passenger vehicles have become the core growth driver, with wholesale and retail penetration rates exceeding 51% in April; wholesale sales reached 1.133 million units, up 40.2% year-on-year, while retail sales hit 905,000 units, up 33.9% [3] - The export of passenger vehicles reached 1.55 million units in the first four months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1%, with NEVs accounting for 44.6% of total exports in April, up 14 percentage points from the previous year [3] - The strong demand during the May Day holiday is expected to further boost market performance, with leading domestic brands continuing to gain market share [3]

汽车零部件 执业证书编号：S0740523020004 Email：hejy02@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740524070006 Email：baizz@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 8,715.67 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 6,924.78 | | 市价(元) | 15.00 | | 市值(百万元) | 130,735.07 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 103,871.77 | 增长可期》2024-11-27 2、《【中泰汽车】潍柴动力 2024 年 一季报点评：天然气重卡高景气， 24Q1 营收同环比增长》2024-05-14 潍柴动力（000338.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 11 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：何 ...

执业证书编号：S0740523020004 汽车零部件 Email：hejy02@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740524070006 Email：baizz@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 8,715.67 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 6,924.78 | | 市价(元) | 15.00 | | 市值(百万元) | 130,735.07 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 103,871.77 | 增长可期》2024-11-27 2、《【中泰汽车】潍柴动力 2024 年 一季报点评：天然气重卡高景气， 24Q1 营收同环比增长》2024-05-14 潍柴动力（000338.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 11 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：何 ...

Group 1: Ride-Hailing Industry Risks - Multiple cities, including Zhengzhou, Xichang, Shenzhen, and Haikou, have issued risk warnings for the ride-hailing industry, indicating market saturation [1] - Zhengzhou's daily operational vehicle ratio is 83.7%, with an average daily income of only 210 yuan per vehicle; Xichang has a taxi ownership of 40.5 per 10,000 people, significantly higher than similar cities [1] - In Shenzhen, the average daily orders per vehicle are only 12.4, while in Haikou, 36% of ride-hailing vehicles have fewer than 5 daily orders, prompting calls for rational risk assessment before entering the market [1] Group 2: Corporate Mergers and Restructuring - The merger between China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry has made substantial progress, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange accepting the application for the merger [2] - Following the merger, China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry will be delisted, and all its assets will be inherited by China Shipbuilding, addressing issues of industry competition [2] - Both companies reported significant growth in Q1, with net profits increasing by over 180% year-on-year, reflecting a strategic restructuring trend among state-owned enterprises [2] Group 3: Home Appliance Market Challenges - The home appliance market is expected to recover in 2024 due to policy support, but small appliances continue to face pressure, with significant declines in retail sales for kitchen appliances and electric toothbrushes [3] - Leading brands like Joyoung and Bear have experienced revenue and profit declines, with Joyoung facing its largest drop in five years [3] - The industry struggles with product homogenization, insufficient R&D investment, and ineffective marketing, although some brands are attempting to expand overseas and transform channels [3] Group 4: Executive Compensation in the Energy Sector - In the A-share energy storage sector, over 20 companies reported that their chairpersons' annual salaries exceeded one million yuan, with nearly half seeing salary increases [4] - The top three earners are BYD's Wang Chuanfu (7.655 million yuan), Zhejiang Chint's Nan Cunhui (5.7994 million yuan), and CATL's Zeng Yuqun (5.743 million yuan), with Zeng's salary down 10.36% despite a 15% increase in net profit to 50.7 billion yuan [4] - CATL's energy storage battery business has a gross margin of 26.84%, surpassing that of its power battery segment, while BYD and Chint Electric's performance aligns with their chairpersons' salary growth [4] Group 5: Trade and Tariff Issues - U.S. small business owners are struggling with high tariffs, with one case showing a $3,000 product incurring over $4,600 in tariffs, highlighting the burden of tariff policies [5] - The April CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year but increased by 0.1% month-on-month, while the core CPI rose by 0.5%, indicating economic resilience [5] - PPI fell by 2.7% year-on-year, influenced by declining international commodity prices and weak domestic demand, with expectations of moderate CPI recovery and significant PPI downward pressure [6] Group 6: Corporate Restructuring and Layoffs - Panasonic announced plans to lay off 10,000 employees globally starting in the 2025 fiscal year, with 5,000 in Japan and South Korea, as part of a strategy to terminate unprofitable businesses and consolidate operations [7] - The company's fiscal report for 2024 showed a revenue of 8.46 trillion yen, a 0.5% year-on-year decline, and a net profit of 366.2 billion yen, down 17.5% [7] - The restructuring aims for profit growth by 2026, although a loss of 130 billion yen is anticipated for the 2025 fiscal year [7]

5月7日，国家金融部门推出一揽子金融政策，其中，央行设立5000亿元服务消费与养老再贷款引发关 注。服务消费与养老为何成政策"靶心"？5000亿再贷款预计产生多大效力？面对外部关税压力，如何通 过投资消费对冲影响？ 就相关话题，南都湾财社记者专访中国首席经济学家论坛理事长、广开首席产研院院长连平。 连平表示，5000亿再贷款，瞄准住宿餐饮、文体娱乐、教育等市场化服务业及养老领域，兼具扩内需与 惠民生的双重功能，长期或额外推动社会消费品零售总额增长超10个百分点。他测算，若今年完成2500 亿元再贷款投放，叠加"以旧换新"政策，预计撬动居民消费超9000亿元。 面对美国关税施压等外部冲击，连平建议以扩大内需为"压舱石"，通过投资消费双轮驱动对冲外需收 缩，并依托完整产业链优势争取贸易谈判主动权。 连平。 5000亿再贷款，长期可能额外带动社零增长超10% 南都·湾财社：你如何看待央行此次专门针对服务消费和养老领域，创设再贷款工具的战略考量？ 连平：此次5000亿元额度的服务消费与养老再贷款，与此前已设立的400亿额度普惠养老专项再贷款的 投向领域有所不同。前者侧重投向对扩大内需有较大贡献的住宿餐饮、文体娱乐、教 ...

• 中国重汽一季度销量 7.4 万辆，国内市场表现良好，出口 3.3 万辆同比下 降，主要受俄罗斯市场影响，但非洲、东南亚、中东、南美等地保持增长。 • 国家以旧换新政策逐步落地，预计将积极拉动国内重卡需求，上海、四川 等省份已开始实施，补贴对销量有一定程度的促进作用。 • 预计二季度商用车市场销量同比增长率可能达到两位数，主要受益于国内 需求上升，特别是新能源需求增加。 • 新能源商用车销量显著增长，中国重汽市场份额达 14%，位居行业前三， 但整个新能源商用车行业目前仍处于亏损状态。 • 公司采取采购降本、设计降本和工艺降本等措施以改善经营状况，并坚持 全年 14 万台的出口目标，尽管俄罗斯市场下滑超预期。 • 俄罗斯市场库存较高，中国品牌库存约 4 万台，中国重汽库存约六七千台， 预计需要四到五个月消化，且受政府行政手段影响，销量下滑。 • 国内库存稳定，全行业库存约 17.5 万辆，公司库存约 5 万辆，全年预期 销量为 65 万到 70 万辆，天然气车辆渗透率约 37-38%，以旧换新政策有 望推动其发展。 Q&A 商用车板块的市场行情及未来趋势如何？ 商用车板块的市场行情是以年维度的趋势进行分析。 ...

Core Insights - The Labor Day holiday consumption showed robust growth despite high base effects, indicating a recovery in consumer spending, particularly in the retail and tourism sectors [1][10] - Key retail and catering enterprises reported a year-on-year sales increase of 6.3%, up from 4.1% during the Spring Festival holiday, with tourism revenue also exceeding pre-pandemic levels [1][4] Consumption Trends by Category - Home appliances, automobiles, and communication equipment saw significant sales growth of 15.5%, 13.7%, and 10.5% respectively, driven by the "old for new" policy [2][11] - The catering sector experienced an 8.7% increase, benefiting from high consumer willingness to spend on experiential dining [2] - Jewelry sales improved due to lower base effects and fluctuating gold prices, with some brands reporting a shift from negative to positive growth [8] Regional Consumption Insights - Consumption growth was balanced across different city tiers, with key tourist cities performing strongly and lower-tier cities benefiting from increased foot traffic [3][9] - Major cities like Beijing and Shanghai outperformed the national average in consumption growth, supported by domestic tourism and favorable visa policies for inbound travelers [3][9] Tourism and Travel Data - Domestic tourism revenue grew by 8%, with total visitor numbers increasing by 6.4%, indicating a recovery to 123% of pre-pandemic levels [4][11] - Outbound travel saw a robust year-on-year growth of 21%, with Hong Kong and Macau leading the increase in inbound tourism [4] Industry Performance Highlights - The sports and leisure retail sector reported a 15% increase in sales, attributed to rising outdoor activities and favorable weather conditions [5] - The high-end liquor market faced challenges, with increased discounting in the mid-to-high price segments due to cautious consumer spending [6] - The restaurant sector showed varied performance, with some brands like Nayuki's Tea achieving significant growth in both dine-in and delivery sales [7] Box Office and Entertainment - The box office revenue during the holiday period fell sharply by 51% to CNY 747 million, primarily due to a lack of blockbuster films [8][11]

Core Viewpoint - Dongpeng Holdings (003012) reported stable operating quality in Q1 2025 despite industry pressures, with revenue of 994 million yuan, remaining flat year-on-year, while net profit decreased due to lower product prices and seasonal factors [2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 994 million yuan, a slight decrease of 1.74% year-on-year, and a net loss of approximately 30.45 million yuan, down 164.42% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin stood at 23.54%, with total expenses decreasing by 11.27% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company reported a debt ratio of 33.81% and investment income of 1.83 million yuan [6]. Market Strategy - The company is focusing on channel optimization and high-margin business development, responding to the national home decoration consumption policy, which has led to a 10.19% year-on-year increase in retail revenue from tiles [2][5]. - Dongpeng is expanding its retail presence, adding 188 new stores in 2024, and launching new product lines to enhance consumer experience [2][3]. Industry Outlook - The ceramic tile industry is expected to face ongoing market consolidation, with a projected production of 5.91 billion square meters in 2024, and a decrease in the number of large-scale enterprises [3][4]. - The industry is shifting towards high-quality development, focusing on high-end, intelligent, and green products, driven by policies supporting consumption upgrades [3][4]. Future Growth Drivers - The company aims to achieve growth through innovation, lean operations, digital empowerment, and green development strategies [4][5]. - Dongpeng is enhancing its product structure and high-end product layout, including strategic partnerships with luxury brands and the acquisition of high-end product lines [5].

Group 1 - The "trade-in for new" policy is revitalizing the market, benefiting consumers and companies alike, and enhancing the overall quality of life through the adoption of high-quality, energy-efficient products [1][3] - There is a noticeable shift in consumer attitudes towards domestic brands, with increased trust and recognition of product quality leading to a rise in sales of Chinese-made appliances [1][2] - The policy has resulted in over 100 million units of old appliances being traded in since August 2024, demonstrating its effectiveness in stimulating domestic demand and consumption [4] Group 2 - The government is enhancing the policy's effectiveness by optimizing the consumer environment, ensuring that policies are understandable and accessible to the public [3][5] - Various regions are implementing measures to improve service quality, such as professional and standardized after-sales services, making it easier for consumers to participate in the trade-in program [3] - There are challenges in the implementation of the policy, including complex processes and uneven service availability between urban and rural areas, which need to be addressed to maximize the policy's impact [5]