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《农产品》日报-20250915
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 07:59
1. General Information - The reports cover multiple industries including oils and fats, sugar, cotton, eggs, corn, pigs, and meal products, dated September 15, 2025 [1][4][5][8][11][14][17] 2. Industry - Specific Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports 3. Core Views Oils and Fats - CBOT soybean oil may fall again due to seasonal decline in consumption and potential high - throughput of factories. The basis of spot soybean oil will have limited short - term fluctuations. Malaysian palm oil futures are in a consolidation phase, facing potential downward pressure from increasing production and weak export data. The Dalian palm oil futures may follow suit and face a risk of downward break - through. The September 13 USDA report on soybeans is neutral to bearish, and the industrial demand for US soybean oil decreases after summer [1] Sugar - The raw sugar price is expected to maintain a bottom - side oscillation between 15 - 17 cents per pound. Domestic sugar has high inventory pressure, and the short - term futures may stabilize around 5500, but the rebound space is limited. A short - selling strategy on rallies is recommended [4] Cotton - In the short term, domestic cotton prices may fluctuate within a range. As new cotton is expected to be listed in the future, prices may face downward pressure [5] Eggs - Egg prices may rise to the annual high due to increased demand from traders, but the high inventory and cold - storage egg release may limit the increase. After traders finish restocking next week, egg prices in some areas may decline slightly [8][9] Corn - In the short term, the corn market will gradually shift to a supply - demand loosening situation, with the futures oscillating weakly. In the medium term, the bearish situation remains, and a short - selling strategy on rallies is advisable [11] Pigs - The spot pig prices have limited room for further decline due to farmers' reluctance to sell at low prices and secondary fattening. However, considering the supply recovery and uncertain demand, the prices may continue to bottom - out after a short - term rebound [15] Meal Products - The global soybean supply - demand situation has some changes, with US soybean production increasing and the global stocks - to - use ratio slightly decreasing. In China, the concern about future supply is alleviated, and the spot market is loose. However, due to cost support, the decline space of domestic meal products is limited [17] 4. Industry - Specific Summaries Oils and Fats - **Soybean Oil**: The spot price in Jiangsu is 8610 yuan, up 70 yuan (0.82%) from September 11. The Y2601 futures price is 8018 yuan, down 8 yuan (- 0.10%). The basis of Y2601 is 592 yuan, up 78 yuan (15.18%) [1] - **Palm Oil**: The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong is 9320 yuan, up 100 yuan (1.08%). The P2601 futures price is 9062 yuan, down 52 yuan (- 0.57%). The basis of P2601 is 258 yuan, up 152 yuan (143.40%). The September import cost in Guangzhou Port is 9679.8 yuan, up 39.2 yuan (0.41%), and the import profit is - 618 yuan, down 91 yuan (- 17.31%) [1] - **Rapeseed Oil**: The spot price of Grade 4 rapeseed oil in Jiangsu is 10040 yuan, up 100 yuan (1.01%). The OI601 futures price is 9547 yuan, down 21 yuan (- 0.53%) [1] Sugar - **Futures Market**: The price of Sugar 2601 is 5540 yuan, down 16 yuan (- 0.29%); Sugar 2605 is 5517 yuan, down 7 yuan (- 0.13%); ICE raw sugar is 15.81 cents per pound, up 0.01 cent (0.06%). The 1 - 5 spread is 23 yuan, down 9 yuan (- 28.13%) [4] - **Spot Market**: The price in Nanning is 5890 yuan, unchanged; in Kunming is 5855 yuan, up 5 yuan (0.09%). The import price of Brazilian sugar within the quota is 4418 yuan, up 20 yuan (0.45%); outside the quota is 5611 yuan, up 26 yuan (0.47%) [4] - **Industry Situation**: The national cumulative sugar production is 1116.21 million tons, up 119.89 million tons (12.03%); sales are 1000.00 million tons, up 114.00 million tons (12.87%). The cumulative sales ratio in the country is 89.60%, up 0.66 percentage points (0.74%); in Guangxi is 89.04%, up 0.62 percentage points (0.70%) [4] Cotton - **Futures Market**: The price of Cotton 2605 is 13820 yuan, up 25 yuan (0.18%); Cotton 2601 is 13860 yuan, up 25 yuan (0.18%); ICE US cotton is 66.76 cents per pound, up 0.02 cent (0.03%). The 5 - 1 spread is - 40 yuan, unchanged [5] - **Spot Market**: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B cotton is 15182 yuan, down 4 yuan (- 0.03%); CC Index 3128B is 15248 yuan, down 1 yuan (- 0.01%); FC Index M 1% is 13371 yuan, up 18 yuan (0.13%) [5] - **Industry Situation**: The commercial inventory is 148.17 million tons, down 33.85 million tons (- 18.6%); industrial inventory is 89.23 million tons, down 3.19 million tons (- 3.5%). The import volume is 5.00 million tons, up 2.00 million tons (66.7%) [5] Eggs - **Futures Market**: The price of Egg 11 contract is 3040 yuan per 500KG, down 4 yuan (- 0.13%); Egg 10 contract is 3023 yuan per 500KG, down 20 yuan (- 0.66%). The 11 - 10 spread is 17 yuan, up 16 yuan (1600.00%) [8] - **Spot Market**: The egg - producing area price is 3.54 yuan per jin, up 0.07 yuan (1.92%); the basis is 496 yuan per 500KG, up 70 yuan (16.56%) [8] - **Industry Situation**: The price of egg - laying chicken chicks is 2.60 yuan per chick, down 0.40 yuan (- 13.33%); the price of culled chickens is 4.61 yuan per jin, down 0.01 yuan (- 0.22%); the egg - feed ratio is 2.50, up 0.07 (2.88%); the breeding profit is - 17.89 yuan per chick, up 4.71 yuan (20.84%) [8] Corn - **Corn**: The price of Corn 2511 is 2197 yuan, down 5 yuan (- 0.23%); the Jinzhou Port flat - hatch price is 2310 yuan, unchanged. The basis is 113 yuan, up 5 yuan (4.63%); the 11 - 3 spread is 14 yuan, down 2 yuan (- 12.50%) [11] - **Corn Starch**: The price of Corn Starch 2511 is 2474 yuan, down 3 yuan (- 0.12%); the Changchun spot price is 2560 yuan, unchanged; the Weifang spot price is 2800 yuan, unchanged. The basis is 86 yuan, up 3 yuan (3.61%); the 11 - 3 spread is - 23 yuan, up 4 yuan (14.81%) [11] Pigs - **Futures Market**: The price of Live Pig 2511 is 13255 yuan, down 65 yuan (- 0.49%); Live Pig 2601 is 13690 yuan, down 40 yuan (- 0.29%). The 11 - 1 spread is - 435 yuan, down 25 yuan (- 6.10%) [15] - **Spot Market**: The price in Henan is 13450 yuan, down 50 yuan; in Shandong is 13550 yuan, up 50 yuan; in Sichuan is 13350 yuan, unchanged; in Liaoning is 13100 yuan, unchanged; in Guangdong is 14390 yuan, up 100 yuan; in Hunan is 13210 yuan, unchanged; in Hebei is 13400 yuan, unchanged [15] - **Industry Situation**: The daily slaughter volume of sample points is 148973, up 965 (0.65%); the weekly white - strip price is 0.00 yuan, down 20.1 yuan (- 100.00%); the weekly piglet price is 26.00 yuan, unchanged; the weekly sow price is 32.51 yuan, unchanged; the weekly slaughter weight is 128.32 kg, up 0.1 kg (0.07%); the weekly self - breeding profit is 17 yuan, down 35.8 yuan (- 68.02%); the weekly purchased - pig breeding profit is - 162 yuan, down 35.7 yuan (- 28.27%); the monthly fertile sow inventory is 40420000 heads, down 10000 heads (- 0.02%) [15] Meal Products - **Soybean Meal**: The price of Jiangsu soybean meal is 3050 yuan, up 20 yuan (0.66%); M2601 futures price is 3079 yuan, down 9 yuan (- 0.29%); the basis of M2601 is - 29 yuan, up 29 yuan (50.00%). The import crushing profit for US Gulf shipments is not given; for Brazilian November shipments is 60, down 18 (- 30.0%) [17] - **Rapeseed Meal**: The price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal is 2650 yuan, up 20 yuan (0.76%); RM2601 futures price is 2531 yuan, down 36 yuan (- 1.40%); the basis of RM2601 is 119, up 56 (88.89%). The import crushing profit for Canadian November shipments is 815, down 66 (- 7.49%) [17] - **Soybeans**: The price of Harbin soybeans is 3980 yuan, unchanged; the futures price of the main soybean contract is 3959 yuan, up 14 yuan (0.35%); the basis is 21, down 14 (- 40.00%). The price of imported soybeans in Jiangsu is 3900 yuan, up 100 yuan (2.63%); the futures price of the main soybean - two contract is 3759 yuan, up 4 yuan (0.11%); the basis is 141, up 96 (213.33%) [17] - **Spreads**: The 01 - 05 spread of soybean meal is 259, down 20 (- 7.17%); the 01 - 05 spread of rapeseed meal is 125, down 22 (- 14.97%); the oil - meal ratio of the spot is 2.82, up 0.004 (0.16%); the oil - meal ratio of the main contract is 2.70, up 0.003 (0.12%); the spot soybean - rapeseed meal spread is 400, unchanged; the 2601 spread is 548, up 27 (5.18%) [17]
焦炭期货主力合约:9月15日涨幅扩至5%,报1695元/吨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 07:03
9月15日|焦炭期货主力合约日内涨幅扩大至5%,报1695元/吨。 本文由 AI算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 ...
焦炭期货主力合约日内涨幅扩大至4%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-15 06:07
每经AI快讯,9月15日,焦炭期货主力合约日内涨幅扩大至4%,报1679元/吨。 ...
2025-09-15燃料油早报-20250915
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 02:47
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No clear industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report analyzes the fuel oil market, indicating that the Asian low - sulfur fuel oil market is under short - term pressure due to sufficient immediate supply and weak terminal demand, while the high - sulfur fuel oil market is supported by relatively stable downstream demand. The market shows certain resistance as downstream demand improves, and it is recommended to follow the impact of geopolitical factors such as China - US trade negotiations. The expected operating ranges are 2760 - 2810 for FU2510 and 3310 - 3370 for LU2511 [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Daily Tips - Fundamental analysis: The Asian low - sulfur fuel oil market is under short - term pressure, while the high - sulfur fuel oil market is supported by demand. The basis shows a spot premium over futures, and Singapore's fuel oil inventory decreased in the week of September 10. The price is near the 20 - day line, and high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil have different trends in the main positions. The expected operating ranges are 2760 - 2810 for FU2510 and 3310 - 3370 for LU2511 [3]. - Futures market: The prices of FU and LU main contracts decreased, with declines of 2.15% and 2.43% respectively. The basis increased significantly, with increases of 56.27% and 133.66% respectively [5]. - Spot market: The prices of various fuel oils decreased, with decreases ranging from 0.64% to 2.11%, except for Singapore diesel, which increased by 0.41% [6]. 3.2 Multi - Short Concerns - Bullish factors: There is a possibility of increased sanctions against Russia [4]. - Bearish factors: The optimism on the demand side remains to be verified, and the upstream crude oil price is weak [4]. - Market drivers: The supply side is affected by geopolitical risks, and demand is neutral [4]. 3.3 Fundamental Data - Singapore fuel oil inventory on September 10 was 2303.9 million barrels, a decrease of 27 million barrels [3]. 3.4 Spread Data No specific spread data analysis is provided in the given content. 3.5 Inventory Data - Singapore fuel oil inventory has fluctuated in recent months, with a decrease of 27 million barrels in the week of September 10 to 2303.9 million barrels [3][8].
短纤:短期震荡偏强,瓶片:短期震荡偏强瓶片
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 01:58
Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment ratings for short - fiber and bottle - chip are both "short - term shock and slightly strong" [1] Core Viewpoints - Short - fiber futures fluctuate and consolidate following raw materials, with stable factory quotes and limited spot trading. The average sales - to - production ratio is 63%. Bottle - chip factory quotes are mostly stable, the market trading atmosphere is fair, and export quotes are also stable [1][2] Summary by Related Catalogs Fundamental Tracking Short - fiber - For short - fiber contracts, short - fiber 2510 closed at 6376, down 2 from the previous day; short - fiber 2511 closed at 6370, up 6; short - fiber 2512 closed at 6356, up 18. PF10 - 11 was 6, down 8; PF11 - 12 was 14, down 12. The basis was 100, down 6. The main contract's open interest was 144,980, down 13,832, and the trading volume was 184,338, down 4035. The spot price in East China remained at 6470, and the sales - to - production ratio increased from 54% to 63% [1] Bottle - chip - For bottle - chip contracts, bottle - chip 2510 closed at 5840, down 6; bottle - chip 2511 closed at 5844, down 4; bottle - chip 2512 closed at 5848, down 10. PR10 - 11 was - 4, down 2; PR11 - 12 was - 4, up 6. The main contract's basis was - 14, down 6. The main contract's open interest was 37,689, down 123, and the trading volume was 34,262, up 2093. The spot price in East China dropped from 5840 to 5830, and in South China, it dropped from 5900 to 5890 [1] Spot News Short - fiber - Short - fiber futures fluctuate with raw materials, factory quotes are stable, and spot trading is limited. Semi - dull 1.4D is mainly traded in the range of 6400 - 6700. The average sales - to - production ratio is 63% as of 3:00 pm [1] Bottle - chip - Upstream polyester raw material futures closed slightly higher, bottle - chip factory quotes are mostly stable. The domestic market trading atmosphere is fair, with 9 - 11 month orders mainly traded at 5800 - 5920 yuan/ton ex - factory. Export quotes of bottle - chip factories are mostly stable, with the negotiation range of mainstream East China factories at 765 - 790 US dollars/ton FOB Shanghai Port [2] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of short - fiber and bottle - chip is both 1, indicating a slightly strong trend for the main contract's price fluctuations on the reporting day [2]
化工日报-20250910
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 13:00
Report Industry Investment Ratings - Acrylonitrile: ★★★ [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★★ [1] - PX: ★★★ [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★★★ [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★ [1] - Methanol: ★★★ [1] - Caustic Soda: ★★★ [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★ [1] - Polyolefin: ☆☆☆ [1] - Styrene: ☆☆☆ [1] - PTA: ★★★ [1] - Short Fiber: ☆☆☆ [1] - Urea: ☆☆☆ [1] - PVC: ★★★ [1] - Glass: ☆☆☆ [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply of olefins - polyolefins is polarized, with tight supply of propylene and stable supply of polyolefins. Market performance varies due to different demand situations [2] - The price of pure benzene is weakly operating, but there may be improvements in the third - quarter supply - demand situation. The price of styrene has certain support [3] - In the polyester industry, PX and PTA prices are related, and the demand for polyester products shows a positive trend, but there are also issues such as high inventory [5] - The methanol market may stabilize after a weak period, while the urea market is expected to remain weak [6] - The PVC market is under supply pressure and may decline, and the caustic soda market will likely fluctuate widely [7] - The soda ash market may be short - sold at high prices, and the glass market is expected to fluctuate widely [8] Summary by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures fluctuate narrowly around the 5 - day moving average, with tight supply and strong downstream demand. Polyolefin futures are in a low - level range, with stable supply but slow demand growth [2] Pure Benzene - The price of pure benzene fluctuates above 6000 yuan/ton, with increasing supply and demand, and a weak price due to factors such as poor downstream profitability. The price of styrene has certain support due to device maintenance [3] Polyester - PX price rebounds, PTA follows up slightly, and the demand for polyester products is improving, but there are issues such as high inventory. Ethylene glycol has a strong basis, and short - fiber can be considered for long - position allocation [5] Coal Chemical Industry - The methanol market may stabilize after a weak period, with port inventory accumulation and expected demand improvement. The urea market is expected to remain weak due to factors such as high inventory and weak demand [6] Chlor - alkali Industry - PVC has supply pressure and may decline due to new device production. Caustic soda has a differentiated performance in different regions and is expected to fluctuate widely [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash supply is slightly reduced, and the market may be short - sold at high prices. Glass production capacity is increasing slightly, and the price may fluctuate widely [8]
玉米淀粉日报-20250910
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 09:38
Group 1: Report General Information - Report title: Corn Starch Daily Report [2] - Report date: September 10, 2025 [2][3] - Industry: Agricultural products (corn and corn starch) [1][2] Group 2: Report Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoints - For corn, although the US corn price has declined, there is still potential for a rebound as the US corn yield may be revised downwards. Chinese tariffs on US corn and sorghum are relatively high, but foreign corn import profit is still significant. Domestic corn spot prices are expected to decline with the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn, with North China corn possibly reaching 2200 yuan/ton and Heilongjiang corn below 2100 yuan/ton by the end of September [5][7] - For starch, the inventory of corn starch has decreased this week. The starch price mainly depends on corn price and downstream inventory. With weak demand in the medium - to - long term, enterprises will be in a long - term loss state. The short - term 01 starch futures contract is expected to fluctuate weakly [8] Group 4: Data Summary Futures Market - Corn futures: C2601 closed at 2170, down 18 (-0.83%); C2605 at 2240, down 14 (-0.63%); C2509 at 2285, unchanged. CS2601 closed at 2502, down 25 (-1.00%); CS2605 at 2588, down 20 (-0.77%); CS2509 at 2502, unchanged [3] - Volume and open interest: The volume of C2601 decreased by 6.09% to 199,387, and open interest decreased by 0.12% to 422,160. The volume of CS2601 increased by 33.94% to 23,644, and open interest increased by 4.45% to 58,145 [3] Spot and Basis - Corn spot: Today's quotes in different regions range from 2220 yuan in Qinggang to 2450 yuan in Guangdong ports. The basis of corn in different regions ranges from - 105 to 165 [3] - Starch spot: Today's quotes in different regions range from 2700 yuan in Longfeng to 2990 yuan in Yufeng. The basis of starch in different regions ranges from 112 to 402 [3] Spread - Corn inter - delivery spread: C01 - C05 was - 70, down 4; C05 - C09 was - 45, down 14; C09 - C01 was 115, up 18 [3] - Starch inter - delivery spread: CS01 - CS05 was - 86, down 5; CS05 - CS09 was 86, down 20; CS09 - CS01 was 0, up 25 [3] - Cross - variety spread: CS09 - C09 was 217, unchanged; CS01 - C01 was 332, down 7; CS05 - C05 was 348, down 6 [3] Group 5: Market Judgment Summary Corn - International factors: The US corn price has declined, but there is potential for a rebound as the yield may be revised downwards. Chinese tariffs on US corn and sorghum have been adjusted, and foreign corn import profit is high [5] - Domestic factors: Northern port prices are stable, and Northeast corn spot is strong, while North China corn spot has declined due to increased supply. Wheat prices in North China are weak, and wheat continues to substitute for corn. Domestic breeding demand is weak, and feed enterprise inventories are high. With imports, domestic auctions, and the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn, the corn spot price is expected to decline [5][7] Starch - Supply - side factors: The number of trucks arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has increased, and Shandong corn prices are stable. Corn starch inventory has decreased this week, with the current inventory at 122.6 million tons, a decrease of 3.9 million tons from last week, a monthly decrease of 3.5%, and a year - on - year increase of 37.2% [8] - Price - influencing factors: Starch prices mainly depend on corn prices and downstream inventory. By - product prices are strong, and the spot price difference between corn and starch is low. With weak demand in the medium - to - long term, enterprises will be in a long - term loss state [8] Group 6: Trading Strategy - Unilateral: The US corn has support at 400 cents per bushel. It is recommended to wait and see for the 01 corn contract [10] - Arbitrage: It is recommended to wait and see [11] Group 7: Corn Option Strategy - For enterprises with spot positions, it is recommended to close out short positions in corn call options or try short - term high - selling and rolling operations [14] Group 8: Relevant Attachments - The report includes six figures showing the spot price of corn in different regions, the basis of corn 01 contract, the 1 - 5 spread of corn and corn starch, the basis of corn starch 01 contract, and the spread of corn starch 01 contract [16][17][18][20]
硅铁:市场反内卷信息再度升温,偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-08 02:37
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report - The market anti - involution information of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese has heated up again, showing a strong and volatile trend [1]. 3) Summary According to Related Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: The closing prices of ferrosilicon 2511, ferrosilicon 2601, silicomanganese 2511, and silicomanganese 2601 are 5598, 5554, 5830, and 5844 respectively, with price changes of 102, 92, 112, and 114 compared to the previous trading day. Their trading volumes are 212,383, 84,230, 82,234, and 253,536, and the open interests are 240,781, 108,371, 118,249, and 324,869 respectively [1]. - **Spot Data**: The price of ferrosilicon FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia is 5250 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton; the price of silicomanganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia is 5680 yuan/ton; the price of manganese ore Mn44 block is 39.5 yuan/ton degree; the price of semi - coke small material in Shenmu is 650 yuan/ton [1]. - **Price Difference Data**: The basis of ferrosilicon (spot - 11 futures) is - 348 yuan/ton, down 72 yuan/ton; the basis of silicomanganese (spot - 01 futures) is - 164 yuan/ton, down 112 yuan/ton. The near - far month price difference of ferrosilicon 2511 - 2601 is 44 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the near - far month price difference of silicomanganese 2511 - 2601 is - 14 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan/ton. The cross - variety price difference of silicomanganese 2511 - ferrosilicon 2511 is 232 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; the cross - variety price difference of silicomanganese 2601 - ferrosilicon 2601 is 290 yuan/ton, up 22 yuan/ton [1]. Macro and Industry News - **Product Price Information**: On September 5th, the price range of 72 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi, Ningxia, Qinghai, Gansu, and Inner Mongolia is 5150 - 5300 yuan/ton; the price range of 75 ferrosilicon is 5800 - 5950 yuan/ton. The FOB price of 72 ferrosilicon is 1040 - 1060 dollars/ton, and the FOB price of 75 ferrosilicon is 1100 - 1130 dollars/ton. The northern offer of 6517 silicomanganese is 5600 - 5650 yuan/ton, and the southern offer is 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton [2]. - **Steel Mill Procurement Information**: Henan Minyuan Iron and Steel set the procurement price of ferrosilicon at 5520 yuan/ton in cash, with a quantity of 1000 tons. Zhongtian Iron and Steel in Changzhou set the procurement price of 75B ferrosilicon at 5750 yuan/ton in electronic vouchers, with a quantity of 600 tons. Zhongtian Iron and Steel in Changzhou set the price of silicomanganese at 5790 yuan/ton in bank acceptance, with a procurement volume of 1700 tons. A steel mill in Henan set the standard price of silicomanganese at 5730 yuan/ton in cash, with an actual procurement volume of 4000 tons. An East China steel mill set the standard price of silicomanganese at 5800 yuan/ton for 2000 tons, 5900 yuan/ton for 1000 tons, and 5760 yuan/ton for 400 tons, all in acceptance - inclusive delivered - to - factory prices [2][3]. - **Manganese Ore News**: South32 announced the offer price of South African semi - carbonate lump (typical value Mn36.9%) in October 2025 at 4.1 dollars/ton degree, up 0.05 dollars/ton degree month - on - month; the offer price of Australian lump (typical value Mn42%) is 4.5 dollars/ton degree, up 0.05 dollars/ton degree month - on - month [5]. - **Manganese Ore Inventory**: As of this Friday, the inventory of Tianjin Port is 366.31 million tons, up 3.61 million tons month - on - month; the inventory of Qinzhou Port is 70.17 million tons, down 3.51 million tons month - on - month; the inventory of Caofeidian Port is 0 million tons; the inventory of Fangchenggang is 4 million tons, unchanged month - on - month. As of September 5th, the total manganese ore inventory is 440.48 million tons, up 0.1 million tons month - on - month [5]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of ferrosilicon is 1, and the trend intensity of silicomanganese is 1, indicating a moderately strong trend [4].
棕榈油:基本面驱动不足,防范原油及宏观回调风险,豆油:等待南美播种季,震荡调整
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-08 02:26
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - Palm oil has insufficient fundamental drivers, and risks of crude oil and macro - economic pullbacks should be guarded against [1] - Soybean oil is waiting for the South American sowing season and is in a state of oscillatory adjustment [1] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs a. Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: Palm oil's closing price (day session) was 9,408 yuan/ton with a 0.43% increase, and (night session) 9,440 yuan/ton with a 0.34% increase; soybean oil's closing price (day session) was 8,456 yuan/ton with a 0.55% increase, and (night session) 8,416 yuan/ton with a - 0.47% change; rapeseed oil's closing price (day session) was 9,950 yuan/ton with a 1.04% increase, and (night session) 9,737 yuan/ton with a - 2.14% change. CBOT soybean oil's closing price was 51.20 cents/pound with a - 1.41% change [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: Palm oil's trading volume decreased by 10 to 3 lots, and open interest decreased by 1 to 1,225 lots; soybean oil's trading volume increased by 8 to 110 lots, and open interest decreased by 103 to 2,988 lots; rapeseed oil's trading volume increased by 42 to 50 lots, and open interest remained unchanged at 5,121 lots [1] - **Spot Prices**: Palm oil (24 - degree, Guangdong) was 9,380 yuan/ton with a 60 - yuan increase; first - grade soybean oil (Guangdong) was 8,730 yuan/ton with a 30 - yuan increase; fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil (Guangxi) was 9,790 yuan/ton with a 90 - yuan increase; Malaysian palm oil FOB was 1,105 dollars/ton with no change [1] - **Basis**: Palm oil (Guangdong) basis was - 28 yuan/ton; soybean oil (Guangdong) basis was 274 yuan/ton; rapeseed oil (Guangxi) basis was - 160 yuan/ton [1] - **Price Spreads**: The spread between rapeseed oil and palm oil futures was 292 yuan/ton; between soybean oil and palm oil futures was - 1,076 yuan/ton; palm oil 9 - 1 spread was - 118 yuan/ton; soybean oil 9 - 1 spread was 6 yuan/ton; rapeseed oil 9 - 1 spread was 132 yuan/ton [1] b. Macro and Industry News - The seasonally - adjusted non - farm payrolls in the US in August increased by 22,000, lower than the market expectation of 75,000. The non - farm payrolls in June were revised down from 14,000 to - 13,000, and in July were revised up from 73,000 to 79,000. After the revision, the total non - farm payrolls in June and July were 21,000 lower than before [2][3] - OPEC+ representatives said that OPEC+ in principle agreed to increase production again in October, with an expected increase of about 137,000 barrels per day, starting to gradually cancel the next layer of 1.66 million barrels per day of production cuts [3] - The Ministry of Commerce extended the anti - dumping investigation period for imported rapeseed from Canada until March 9, 2026 [3] c. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of palm oil is 0, and that of soybean oil is 0 [4]
焦煤期货主力合约涨超3%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-05 06:13
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant increase in the prices of polysilicon and coking coal futures, with polysilicon contracts rising over 5% and coking coal contracts increasing by more than 3% [1]