Report Title - Palm Oil: Tax Increase Supports B50, Focus on Downward Support for Palm Oil; Soybean Oil: Range-Bound, Monitor China-US Economic and Trade Relations [1] Report Date - October 17, 2025 [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - Palm oil is supported by tax increase for B50, and attention should be paid to its downward support; soybean oil is expected to trade within a range, and the China-US economic and trade relations should be monitored [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: The closing prices and price changes of palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, Malaysian palm oil, and CBOT soybean oil futures are presented, along with trading volume and open interest changes [1] - **Spot Data**: Spot prices and price changes of palm oil, soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and Malaysian palm oil are provided, as well as spot basis data [1] - **Spread Data**: Futures spreads between different oil varieties and spreads within the same variety are given, including changes compared to previous trading days [1] Macro and Industry News - From October 1 - 15, 2025, Malaysian palm oil yield per unit area increased by 5.76% month-on-month, oil extraction rate increased by 0.21% month-on-month, and production increased by 6.86% month-on-month, according to SPPOMA data [2] - On Thursday, CBOT soybean futures closed higher, with the benchmark contract up 0.5% due to strong domestic demand offsetting trade concerns [3] - China has not completed most of its soybean procurement for December and January shipments due to high Brazilian soybean premiums [4] - Speculative funds net bought 3500 lots of soybeans on Thursday, compared to 4000 lots on Wednesday [4] - The NOPA's September soybean crushing volume was 197.863 million bushels, a 4.24% increase from the previous month and an 11.6% increase year-on-year, setting the fourth-highest monthly record and the highest for the same period in history [4] - The US urged South Korea to increase soybean imports [5] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of palm oil and soybean oil is both rated as 1, indicating a neutral outlook [6]

Group 1 - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reported a continued decline in tin inventory, with the latest level at 2,385 tons, marking a new low in over a month [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange indicated that during the week of October 10, tin inventory decreased by 8.55% to 5,879 tons, reaching a near two-year low [2] - Generally, a continuous decline in inventories on domestic and international exchanges tends to support price levels, while an increase may exert downward pressure on prices [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On October 10, 2025, the urea futures market opened low and continued to decline, with the price falling below the key integer mark of 1,600 yuan/ton, and the trading volume increased significantly. The weakness in the spot market, affected by weather conditions, led to a decrease in demand and a drop in prices, which in turn dragged down the futures prices. Attention should be paid to the recovery of the spot market [1]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Strategy Analysis - The futures market opened low and continued to decline on this day, and the trading sentiment in the spot market did not improve. During the holiday, upstream factories carried out many maintenance operations, resulting in a slight decrease in daily production, but the high supply pressure remained above 190,000 tons. Nationwide rainfall affected agricultural operations, reducing urea demand and delaying the farming season. Downstream factories were on holiday during the National Day, with a significant decline in the operating load of compound fertilizer factories compared to the same period last year. After the holiday, as factories resume production and the weather improves, terminal purchasing is expected to improve. The inventory in upstream factories increased by about 17% compared to last week [1]. Futures and Spot Market Quotes - Futures: The urea main contract 2601 opened at 1,612 yuan/ton, closed at 1,597 yuan/ton, with a decline of 1.36%. The trading volume was 338,864 lots, an increase of 28,175 lots. Among the top twenty long and short positions in the main contract, long positions increased by 10,163 lots, and short positions increased by 18,454 lots [2]. - Spot: The futures market declined significantly the previous day, and the trading sentiment in the spot market did not improve. The ex - factory prices of small - particle urea in Shandong, Henan, and Hebei were mostly in the range of 1,500 - 1,550 yuan/ton, with individual factories in Henan having even lower transaction prices, and factories in Hebei having higher quotes [1][5]. Warehouse Receipt Information - On October 10, 2025, the number of urea warehouse receipts was 7,017, remaining the same as the previous trading day [3]. Fundamental Tracking - Basis: The mainstream spot market quotes and the futures closing price both decreased today. Based on the Henan region, the basis weakened compared to the previous trading day, with the basis for the January contract at - 57 yuan/ton, a decrease of 18 yuan/ton [9]. - Supply: On October 10, 2025, the national daily urea production was 199,400 tons, remaining the same as the previous day, and the operating rate was 84.25% [11].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The short - term trend of pure benzene is mainly volatile [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures prices of BZ2603, BZ2604, and BZ2605 decreased by 85, 73, and 96 respectively compared to the previous day [1]. - The spreads between some futures contracts changed, such as BZ2603 - BZ2604 decreased by 12, and BZ2604 - BZ2605 increased by 23 [1]. - Paper - cargo prices of N + 1 and N + 2 remained unchanged [1]. - Shandong pure benzene price decreased by 41 to 5802, and the differences between Shandong pure benzene price and加氢苯 price, and Shandong pure benzene price and East China pure benzene price both decreased by 41 [1]. - Pure benzene inventory in East China ports decreased by 0.1 to 10.6, and styrene inventory in East China ports decreased by 14069 to 114420 [1]. 3.2 News - As of September 29, 2025, the commercial inventory of pure benzene in Jiangsu ports was 10.6 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.93% and a year - on - year increase of 35.90% [2]. - From September 23 to September 28, the estimated arrival was about 3.31 million tons, and the estimated pick - up was about 3.41 million tons [2]. - On September 29, the non - long - term agreement trading volume of Shandong pure benzene was about 2000 tons, with an average self - pick - up price of 5843 yuan/ton, a decrease of 22 yuan/ton from the previous day [2]. - East China pure benzene spot negotiation average price decreased by 20, September bottom transaction average price decreased by 15, October bottom transaction average price remained stable, and November bottom transaction average price decreased by 20 [2]. 3.3 Trend Intensity The trend intensity of pure benzene is 0, indicating a neutral view [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core View - The report indicates that the bottom of the live - hog spot market has not been reached as of September 30, 2025 [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Pig Fundamental Data - **Spot Prices**: The Henan spot price is 12,430 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan/ton year - on - year; the Sichuan spot price is 11,900 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan/ton year - on - year; the Guangdong spot price is 12,710 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan/ton year - on - year [3]. - **Futures Prices**: The price of live - hog 2511 is 12,295 yuan/ton, down 280 yuan/ton year - on - year; the price of live - hog 2601 is 12,785 yuan/ton, down 315 yuan/ton year - on - year; the price of live - hog 2603 is 12,450 yuan/ton, down 205 yuan/ton year - on - year [3]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of live - hog 2511 is 58,720 lots, an increase of 19,978 lots from the previous day, and the open interest is 75,453 lots, a decrease of 9,566 lots from the previous day; the trading volume of live - hog 2601 is 37,054 lots, an increase of 10,127 lots from the previous day, and the open interest is 76,421 lots, an increase of 4,799 lots from the previous day; the trading volume of live - hog 2603 is 14,327 lots, an increase of 6,995 lots from the previous day, and the open interest is 52,605 lots, an increase of 1,743 lots from the previous day [3]. - **Price Spreads**: The basis of live - hog 2511 is 135 yuan/ton, up 130 yuan/ton year - on - year; the basis of live - hog 2601 is - 355 yuan/ton, up 165 yuan/ton year - on - year; the basis of live - hog 2603 is - 20 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan/ton year - on - year; the spread between live - hog 11 - 1 is - 490 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan/ton year - on - year; the spread between live - hog 1 - 3 is 335 yuan/ton, down 110 yuan/ton year - on - year [3]. 3.2 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity is - 1, indicating a relatively bearish view. The range of trend intensity is an integer within the [-2, 2] interval, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [4].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic futures market for the chemical sector showed mixed results, with ethylene glycol futures experiencing a slight decline, indicating a weakening supply-demand dynamic in the market [1] Supply Side - Ethylene glycol production load was reported at 73.1%, a decrease of 0.7% compared to the previous period, with synthetic gas production load at 74.4%, down 2.1%, and ethylene production load remaining stable at 72.3% [1] Demand Side - Downstream polyester operating rates fell to 90.3%, while terminal weaving machine operations remained stable, indicating cautious inventory replenishment and limited support from the demand side [1] Inventory Situation - As of September 25, the total MEG inventory in the East China main port region was 400,300 tons, an increase of 16,600 tons from the previous Thursday, but a decrease of 8,200 tons from the previous Monday. The breakdown includes Zhangjiagang at 189,300 tons, Taicang at 91,000 tons, Ningbo at 28,000 tons, Jiangyin and Changzhou at 71,000 tons, and Shanghai and Changshu at 21,000 tons [1] Market Outlook - The market outlook suggests a strong expectation of weakening supply and demand for ethylene glycol, with low port inventories accumulating, indicating a lack of sustained rebound momentum in the short term [1]

Report Summary 1) Industry Investment Rating - The trend strength of pure benzene is 0, indicating a neutral outlook. The report suggests that pure benzene will be weak in the fourth quarter [2]. 2) Core View - The report analyzes the fundamentals of pure benzene, including futures prices, price spreads, port inventories, and market news. It concludes that pure benzene will be weak in the fourth quarter [1][2]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs [Fundamental Tracking] - Futures prices: BZ2603, BZ2604, and paper - based prices (N + 1, N + 2) decreased, while BZ2605 remained unchanged. Price spreads such as BZ2603 - EB2508 and BZ2604 - BZ2605 also changed [1]. - Port inventories: Pure benzene's East - China port inventory decreased by 10,000 tons to 134,000 tons, and styrene's East - China port inventory increased by 6,760 tons to 133,690 tons [1]. - Price differences: The price difference between Shandong pure benzene and hydrogenated benzene decreased by 100, and the difference between Shandong and East - China pure benzene increased by 25 [1]. [News] - As of September 15, 2025, Jiangsu's pure benzene port inventory decreased by 10,000 tons (6.94% MoM) to 134,000 tons, up 168% YoY. Jiangsu's styrene port inventory decreased by 17,500 tons (9.92% MoM) to 159,000 tons [2]. - On September 15, Shandong's non - long - term pure benzene non - long - association trading volume was about 1,700 tons, with an average price of 6,005 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan/ton. East - China's pure benzene spot and forward prices also increased [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term trend of pure benzene is volatile, and it will be weak in the fourth quarter [1] - The trend strength of pure benzene is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - In futures prices, BZ2603 was 6073, up 41 from the previous day; BZ2604 was 6055, up 29; BZ2605 was 6072, up 27. The spreads between different contracts also changed, such as BZ2603 - BZ2604 increasing by 12 to 18 [1] - The paper - cargo prices N + 1 and N + 2 both increased by 60, reaching 6005 and 6015 respectively [1] - Shandong pure benzene price was 6035, up 30 from the previous day. The difference between Shandong pure benzene price and hydrogenated benzene price increased by 30 to 180, while the difference with East China pure benzene price decreased by 30 to 45 [1] - Pure benzene inventory in East China ports decreased by 1 to 13.4, and styrene inventory in East China ports increased by 6760 to 133690 [1] 3.2 News - As of September 15, 2025, the commercial inventory of pure benzene in Jiangsu ports was 13.4 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 1.0 tons (6.94%) and a year - on - year increase of 8.4 tons (168.00%). From September 8 - 14, arrivals were about 1.8 tons and pick - ups were about 2.8 tons [2] - As of September 15, 2025, the inventory of styrene in Jiangsu ports was 15.9 tons, a decrease of 1.75 tons (- 9.92%) from the previous period. The commercial inventory was 7.8 tons, a decrease of 0.9 tons (- 10.34%) [2] - On September 15, the non - long - term contract trading volume of Shandong pure benzene was about 1700 tons, with a self - pick - up price range of 6000 - 6010 yuan/ton and an average price of 6005 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan/ton from the previous day [2] - The spot negotiation price of pure benzene in East China was 5910 - 5950 yuan/ton (average 5930, up 20). The September lower transaction price was 5910 - 5960 yuan/ton (average 5935, up 25), the October lower was 5920 - 5970 yuan/ton (average 5945, up 35), and the November lower was 5930 - 5980 yuan/ton (average 5955, up 30) [2]

Market Overview - The domestic grain market experienced a significant decline this week, with early indica rice futures remaining unchanged at 2500.00 CNY/ton as of the report [1] U.S. Corn Export Data - According to the USDA's export inspection report, the corn export inspection volume for the week ending August 28, 2025, was 1,407,050 tons, exceeding the high end of expectations, marking a 5% increase from the previous week and a 46% year-on-year increase [1] EU Corn Import Statistics - The European Commission reported that the corn import volume for the 2025/26 season reached 1.88 million tons as of August 31, compared to 3.76 million tons during the same period last year [1] U.S. Corn Crop Condition - The USDA's crop report indicated that the good-to-excellent rating for U.S. corn was 69% as of August 31, down from 71% the previous week and up from 65% the same time last year, aligning with market expectations [1] Brazil Corn Harvest Update - The Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture's National Supply Company (CONAB) reported that the second corn harvest completion rate was 100% as of August 30, up from 94.8% the previous week and compared to 97.0% last year, with a five-year average of 93.2% [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - For LPG, macro risks are intensifying, and crude oil costs are rising [1] - For propylene, the spot price support remains, but attention should be paid to the risk of price decline [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **LPG Futures Prices**: PG2510 closed at 4,421 yesterday with a 0.66% increase and 4,436 in the night session with a 0.34% increase; PG2511 closed at 4,342 yesterday with a 0.79% increase and 4,361 in the night session with a 0.44% increase; PL2601 closed at 6,405 yesterday with a -0.28% decrease and 6,425 in the night session with a 0.31% increase; PL2602 closed at 6,432 yesterday with a -0.23% decrease and 6,450 in the night session with a 0.28% increase [1] - **LPG Trading Volume and Open Interest**: PG2510 had a trading volume of 81,890 yesterday, a decrease of 3,573 from the previous day, and an open interest of 74,648, a decrease of 3,176 from the previous day; PG2511 had a trading volume of 17,534 yesterday, a decrease of 4,790 from the previous day, and an open interest of 36,095, an increase of 993 from the previous day; PL2601 had a trading volume of 4,421 yesterday, a decrease of 712 from the previous day, and an open interest of 8,146, an increase of 1,311 from the previous day; PL2602 had a trading volume of 34 yesterday, a decrease of 42 from the previous day, and an open interest of 862, an increase of 13 from the previous day [1] - **LPG Spreads**: The spread between Guangzhou domestic gas and the PG10 contract was 39 yesterday, compared to 138 the previous day; the spread between Guangzhou imported gas and the PG10 contract was 79 yesterday, compared to 138 the previous day; the spread between Shandong propylene and the PL01 contract was 230 yesterday, compared to 192 the previous day; the spread between East China propylene and the PL01 contract was 170 yesterday, compared to 127 the previous day; the spread between South China propylene and the PL01 contract was 70 yesterday, compared to 52 the previous day [1] - **LPG Industry Chain Data**: The PDH operating rate this week was 73.0%, down from 75.7% last week; the MTBE operating rate was 63.5%, unchanged from the previous level; the alkylation operating rate was 49.6%, up from 49.0% [1] 3.2 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of LPG is 0, and the trend intensity of propylene is 0. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 indicating the most bearish and 2 indicating the most bullish [5] 3.3 Market News - On September 2, 2025, the October CP paper cargo price for propane was 540 US dollars per ton, up 6 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day; the price for butane was 514 US dollars per ton, up 6 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day. The November CP paper cargo price for propane was 551 US dollars per ton, up 7 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day [6] - There are multiple domestic PDH device maintenance plans, including those of Henan Huasong New Material Technology Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Yanchang Zhongran Chemical Co., Ltd., etc. Additionally, Ningbo Jinfa's 1 (60) is expected to stop for maintenance for 3 weeks in early September [7] - There are domestic liquefied gas plant device maintenance plans, but specific details are not provided in the text [8]