Core Viewpoint - QDII funds have emerged as a significant channel for investors to participate in global wealth growth amid increasing volatility in global capital markets and diversified asset allocation needs [1]. Group 1: 2025 Performance Overview - As of December 18, 2025, the QDII fund market showed a clear trend of "overall improvement with partial differentiation," with most products achieving positive returns [2]. - Over half of the QDII products recorded returns exceeding 15%, with more than 50 products surpassing 50%, and 17 products achieving returns over 70%, with some top products exceeding 100% [2]. - Notable performers include Huatai-PineBridge Hong Kong Advantage Selection A and C classes, with total returns of 118.70% and 118.38% respectively, leading the market [3]. Group 2: 2026 Investment Outlook - The market is optimistic about investment opportunities in QDII funds for 2026, particularly in Hong Kong and U.S. stocks, with a focus on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the structural trends in the innovative pharmaceutical sector are expected to continue, despite some short-term risks related to high valuations and geopolitical disturbances [5]. - The Hong Kong market is viewed positively due to its expanding asset base and increasing participation from mainland investors, with a notable reduction in the AH premium [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategy for 2026 - Investment strategies for 2026 recommend allocating to broad-based index QDII funds tracking major indices like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, as well as comprehensive index funds covering the Hong Kong market [6]. - Given potential market volatility, a systematic investment approach such as dollar-cost averaging is advised to mitigate risks associated with short-term market fluctuations [7]. - Investors are encouraged to consider the management capabilities of fund managers, the research strength of fund companies, and fee structures when selecting QDII funds to build a diversified portfolio for long-term asset appreciation [7].

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced mixed performance with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2%, while the retail sector showed strength amidst weakness in semiconductor and brokerage sectors [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.16% to close at 3876.37 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.29% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.17% [1] - The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 16,770 billion [1] Sector Analysis - Weakness was observed in sectors such as brokerage and semiconductors, while the retail sector performed strongly [1] - Other sectors like banking, coal, insurance, and oil showed upward movement, with active participation in AI healthcare, commercial aerospace, and IP economy concepts [1] Investment Strategy - Huazhang Securities maintains a view of continued high-level market fluctuations, indicating a need for patience and waiting for clearer upward signals [1] - Historical data suggests that after significant market increases, January of the following year often sees increased volatility, indicating potential short-term adjustment risks [1] - Recommended investment focus includes the AI industry, which shows clear upward trends and stable core positioning for the medium to long term, with adjustment pressures providing good opportunities for future positioning [1] - Attention is also drawn to sectors with improving supply-demand dynamics and rising prosperity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" proposed by the Chinese Communist Party aims to enhance cross-strait industrial cooperation and provides new opportunities for Taiwanese businesses in mainland China [1][2]. Group 1: Economic and Industrial Cooperation - The "15th Five-Year Plan" outlines macro strategies for economic and social development, creating vast new spaces for cross-strait industrial collaboration [1]. - Taiwanese business leaders emphasize the need for accelerated industrial transformation and upgrading, particularly in AI and high-end intelligent manufacturing [1][2]. - The plan focuses on building a modern industrial system, promoting high-level technological self-reliance, and developing a strong domestic market, which presents opportunities for Taiwanese businesses in technology innovation and market expansion [1][2]. Group 2: Specific Industry Focus - Human-shaped robots are identified as a key area for future cross-strait industrial cooperation, leveraging mainland China's strengths in technology applications and Taiwan's competitiveness in semiconductor chips and precision machinery [2]. - The "Belt and Road" initiative is seen as an opportunity for Taiwanese companies to expand into overseas markets by integrating with local industrial advantages [2]. - There is a call for deeper cooperation across various chains, including industrial, financial, and talent chains, to align with the industrial development directions outlined in the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2]. Group 3: Event and Participation - The annual cross-strait entrepreneurs summit attracted around 800 participants, including members of the cross-strait entrepreneurs council, business leaders, and scholars [2].

全球白银市场2025年"疯涨"行情解析：历史性突破背后的驱动逻辑与未来展望 一、核心行情确认：白银创历史新高，涨幅远超黄金 2025年12月17日，全球白银市场迎来历史性时刻：伦敦现货白银价格接连突破65美元/盎司、66美元/盎 司两道关键关口，盘中最高触及66.51美元/盎司，创历史新高；COMEX白银期货主力合约同步大涨超 5%，峰值达66.5美元/盎司。截至12月18日，现货白银最新报价66.29美元/盎司，继续维持高位。 从年度涨幅看，2025年以来白银价格已累计上涨约120%（部分数据显示130%），是同期黄金涨幅（约 60%）的2倍，成为贵金属市场的"超级黑马"。 二、本轮"疯涨"的核心驱动因素 白银价格的暴涨并非偶然，而是供需失衡、美联储货币政策转向及资金涌入三大因素共振的结果，其中 供需结构是长期支撑，货币政策与资金面是短期催化。 全球白银市场正迎来历史性时刻，短短数周内开启连续刷新纪录的上涨行情。12月17日，现货白银价格 接连突破65美元/盎司、66美元/盎司两道关口，并向67美元/盎司逼近。今年以来，现货白银涨幅已达约 130%，是同期黄金期货涨幅的2倍。供需失衡、美联储降息以及资金涌入 ...

编者按： 潮起东方，势涌长江。在资本市场深化改革与长期资金入市的背景下，中国私募业正从"量"的扩张迈向"质"的转型。值此之际，由长江证券携手兴业银行、证券 时报共同推出的"金长江"私募赋能计划，以研究、资金、交易与品牌四重赋能，构建专业化、体系化的私募成长平台。 历经一年淬炼，三千多只产品同台竞逐，于波动中见真章。证券时报·券商中国特推出"金长江私募赋能计划"专栏，记录那些在结构性行情中以专业立身、以远 见制胜的管理人。未来，"金长江"将继续携手优秀私募，守望长期价值，见证中国私募高质量发展的新篇章。 点击图片立即报名 2025年是AI产业大年，从国内的AI手机到海外最新的Gemini，技术变革不断拉升全球投资者对于AI产业的期待值。AI产业也称为A股全年"最靓的仔"之一，无论是 电力设备还是光通信，得益于全球巨头庞大的资本开支，A股相关产业链都迎来了一场"狂欢"。 2026年AI产业会怎么走？又会带来哪些投资机会？如何以产业趋势为视角构建方法论，按照不同阶段的投资框架及核心变量，去梳理和总结2026年投资脉络？ 12月12日，长江证券"金长江"私募赋能计划系列沙龙杭州站活动成功举行。活动特邀证券时报，兴业银 ...

- The report primarily focuses on analyzing the investment system and representative products of Liu Yuanhai from Dongwu Fund, providing research references for FOF investors[1][6] - Liu Yuanhai's investment system emphasizes industry trend-driven investment, closely tracking technological innovation and industry penetration changes, and mainly participating in the growth stage of industries[8] - The Dongwu Mobile Internet A fund (001323) is a flexible allocation fund focusing on the mobile internet theme, with significant long-term performance outperforming the CSI 300 Index[12][13] - The fund's performance attribution analysis using the Fama-French five-factor model shows that its returns are mainly derived from market factor exposure and significant alpha, while value and investment factors contribute negatively[34][37] - The fund maintains a high equity position and high stock concentration, reflecting the fund manager's confidence in core holdings[42][43] - The fund's heavy positions are mainly in the TMT sector, with significant contributions from leading stocks in sub-sectors, although this also brings certain volatility risks[47][52][53]

大宗周期-有色金属行业主题报告 20251216 摘要 2026 年黄金价格预计将受益于美元信用走弱，美联储降息预期、鲍威 尔卸任后可能出现的政策不确定性，以及美国财政和政治问题，将共同 推动金价上涨，全球央行购金也将形成支撑。 铜市场方面，海外铜矿项目面临资源禀赋降低、政策约束强化等问题， 限制了产能释放。同时，AI 硬件和算力基础设施建设将显著拉动铜需求， 预计铜价仍将处于中枢上行趋势。 电解铝市场，国内产能接近天花板，海外高电价加剧了产能运行的不确 定性。尽管如此，新能源汽车需求的强劲增长以及国内外电解铝库存处 于历史低位，预示着电解铝价格弹性有望进一步放大。 锡市场供应端面临印尼打击非法采矿、缅甸复产缓慢以及刚果（金）战 乱等多重扰动，导致全球锡供应紧张。国内锡矿加工费已触及近五年低 位，AI 产业增长将带动锡焊料需求，预计价格中枢将开启长周期上行趋 势。 碳酸锂市场在 2026 年将延续强劲势头，国内云母矿供应波动风险依然 存在，海外锂资源扩张周期进入中后段。新能源汽车和储能需求的快速 增长将为碳酸锂提供支撑，储能有望成为新的增长极。 Q&A 展望 2026 年，有色金属板块的投资逻辑主要集中在三条 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company Zhongtung High-tech (000657.SZ) is initiating a capacity expansion plan by investing approximately 339 million yuan in two projects related to AI PCB precision micro-tools and micro-drill intelligent manufacturing, aiming to add a total annual production capacity of 193 million units [1][2]. Group 1: Investment and Capacity Expansion - The investment will be divided into two main projects: 175.5 million yuan for the AI PCB precision micro-tool project, which will add 63 million units of annual capacity over three years, and 163 million yuan for the micro-drill intelligent manufacturing project, which will add 130 million units of annual capacity over two years [2][3]. - The company has previously announced a 140 million unit micro-drill expansion project in July 2025, indicating a strong commitment to the high-end tool sector [3]. Group 2: Market Demand and Performance - The rapid development of the AI industry is driving a rigid demand for high-end PCB tools, while the continuous upgrade of the electronic information industry is maintaining a fast-growing demand for micro-drills [3]. - The average monthly production capacity of the company's micro-drills has increased from over 60 million units in the first half of 2025 to over 80 million units by the end of October 2025, with the core product "Jinzhou Sanbao" accounting for over 50% of total sales [3][4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of 12.755 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 846 million yuan, up 18.26% year-on-year [4][5]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items surged by 407.52% year-on-year to 781 million yuan, indicating strong operational performance and a solid foundation for the capacity expansion [4].

Core Viewpoint - The chief strategy analyst of Industrial Securities, Zhang Qiyao, is optimistic about investment opportunities in the A-share market for 2026, citing limited negative external impacts and positive internal economic indicators [1] External Factors - Global trends in the AI industry, along with loose liquidity and a weak dollar, are expected to boost the A-share market [1] - The negative impact from overseas markets on the domestic market is anticipated to be limited [1] Internal Factors - The direction of the GDP deflator and nominal growth recovery is relatively clear, indicating a potential improvement in the economic fundamentals [1] - Nominal economic recovery and price increases are expected to support further enhancements in the fundamentals [1] - The recovery of domestic corporate profits is projected to be a significant highlight [1] Capital Flow - There is a trend of domestic residents reallocating wealth into the stock market, which is expected to deepen in 2026 [1] - Active equity funds are anticipated to achieve excess returns, while long-term capital from insurance funds and state-owned enterprises is expected to enter the market firmly [1] - The return of foreign capital to Chinese assets is also seen as a positive trend for 2026 [1]

Group 1: Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is expected to experience a cyclical recovery and industrial upgrade by 2026, following three years of bottom-range operation for chemical products [1] - The growth rate of ongoing projects in the industry continues to decline, and the new capacity release is nearing its end [1] - Domestic policies aimed at stable growth and the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle are anticipated to support a mild recovery in traditional chemical product demand [1] - The "anti-involution" trend is expected to accelerate the cyclical turning point, benefiting core chemical assets with global competitive advantages, leading to profit and valuation recovery [1] - Sub-industries such as organic silicon, PTA, polyester filament, caprolactam, spandex, soda ash, PVC, glyphosate, and urea are expected to see profit recovery due to industry self-discipline and price control measures [1] Group 2: Pesticide Industry - The pesticide industry is entering a phase where inventory reduction is nearing completion, with signs of recovery in market conditions [2] - The global pesticide channel inventory is expected to approach reasonable levels by 2025, with some products already seeing price increases [2] - The industry is anticipated to shift towards capacity reduction in the next two years, favoring companies with cost advantages and strong market channels [2] - The concentration of the industry and the pricing power of leading enterprises are expected to increase [2] - Domestic companies are making significant progress in the research, production, and marketing of innovative pesticides, with leading firms likely to achieve high value-added upgrades [2] Group 3: Tire Industry - The tire industry is facing an upgrade in international trade barriers, which may present opportunities for companies with global layouts [3] - The EU's anti-dumping investigation against Chinese tires is expected to conclude by early 2026, potentially leading to higher tariffs [3] - If high anti-dumping duties are imposed, domestic semi-steel tire exports may be hindered, creating a demand gap in the EU market that could be filled by other regions [3] - This supply-demand mismatch may lead to price increases, benefiting leading tire companies with overseas production bases and expansion plans [3] Group 4: Emerging Industries - The path to carbon reduction is challenging, but the AI industry continues to thrive alongside the development of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), bio-based materials, carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), electronic resins, liquid cooling materials, and lithium battery materials [4] - Europe is set to initiate its SAF era in 2025, with mandatory standards for bio-based plastics expected by 2027 [4] - CCUS is a core component of the European Green Deal, and similar policies are anticipated in China under its dual carbon strategy [4] - The demand for AI computing power remains strong, with electronic resins and liquid cooling materials identified as key upgrade directions [4] - AIDC storage is expected to become a significant growth area for lithium battery materials [4]