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中房协将召开2025商业地产发展大会
news flash· 2025-05-15 01:31
为贯彻落实中央"稳市场、稳预期"和提振消费、扩大内需有关部署要求,发挥好商业地产在促消费中的 重要作用,推动消费场景优化和内容迭代更新适应新型消费需要,中国房地产业协会定于2025年6月12 日在北京召开"中国房地产业协会商旅分会成立大会暨2025商业地产发展大会"。 ...
理论视野 | 统筹增进民生福祉与有效扩大内需
Zhong Yang Ji Wei Guo Jia Jian Wei Wang Zhan· 2025-05-15 00:52
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of enhancing people's livelihoods and boosting consumption as essential requirements for responding to public expectations and solidifying the foundation for development [3][4][6] - The transition of China's economy from high-speed growth to high-quality development necessitates a focus on improving living standards and meeting the growing needs of the populace [3][4] - Strengthening social security and improving income distribution are critical for increasing consumer spending and ensuring economic stability [8][9] Group 2 - The need to stimulate domestic demand is highlighted as a strategic focus to enhance economic resilience and autonomy amid complex external challenges [5][7] - The promotion of a vibrant domestic consumption market is crucial for supporting local enterprises and mitigating the impacts of external demand fluctuations [5][7] - The integration of robust social security measures with effective consumption promotion strategies is essential for achieving shared development and advancing towards common prosperity [6][10] Group 3 - Employment expansion and income growth are identified as key methods to enhance residents' income levels and stimulate consumption [7][8] - The optimization of the income distribution system is necessary to ensure a fairer allocation of resources and to support consumption growth [8][9] - Innovative consumption scenarios and targeted subsidies are recommended to boost consumer spending and support the development of the cultural and tourism economy [10]
报告:一季度我国消费市场呈现三大趋势
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 14:58
Group 1 - The report highlights three major trends in China's consumer market for Q1 2025: policies and technological innovations boosting domestic demand, online content stimulating consumer discussions, and an upgrade in quality and services becoming a market development trend [1][2][3] - The top 10 consumer categories with the highest sales growth index in Q1 2025 include computer digital products, home appliances, healthcare, home decoration, office equipment, toys and models, fresh food, maternal and infant products, pet supplies, and outdoor sports [2] - The fastest-growing topics in consumer discussions for Q1 2025 include video games, travel, art collection, audio-visual books, financial services, local living, healthcare, cultural entertainment, computer digital products, and toys and models [2] Group 2 - The highest consumer satisfaction rate in Q1 2025 was for art collection, with a positive evaluation ratio of 97.8%, while video games and toys and models had lower positive evaluation ratios of 86.4% and 89.1%, respectively [3] - The report indicates that the growth index for computer digital consumption was 4.33, driven by promotional activities and policies that lowered consumption thresholds [2] - The report emphasizes the role of the Worth Buying Consumer Industry Research Institute in promoting standardization in the consumption field and sharing research outcomes with various stakeholders [3]
激发消费新动能 金融如何继续发力
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-13 03:16
去年底召开的中央经济工作会议将"大力提振消费、提高投资效益,全方位扩大国内需求"列为2025年工 作的首要重点任务。央行日前发布的《2025年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告》(以下简称《报告》) 在专栏"持续完善金融服务 支持提振和扩大消费"中就相关重要性和有关措施进行了详细阐释。 扩内需、稳增长关键点 《报告》指出,提振消费是当前扩内需、稳增长的关键点。《报告》认为,当前全球贸易摩擦加剧,外 需对经济增长的支撑作用趋弱,我国经济正加速向以内需为主导的增长模式转型,消费已成为构建新发 展格局的重要引擎,对拉动国民经济增长具有重大作用。 "提振消费可以刺激企业扩大生产规模,增加就业岗位,提高居民收入,从而进一步促进消费,形成经 济增长正反馈机制。"接受《金融时报》记者采访的有关银行分析人士表示,强大的消费市场能够增强 经济整体抗风险能力,缓解外部环境变化带来的压力。这在当前国内外形势下尤为重要。 "当前有必要进一步认清消费对经济发展的重要作用。"中欧国际工商学院教授、中国首席经济学家论坛 研究院院长盛松成在接受《金融时报》记者采访时表示,消费是经济稳定增长的重要因素。以往单独讨 论"三驾马车"对经济增长的贡献容易 ...
破浪前行:中国经济无惧风雨,勇立潮头
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 02:28
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the resilience and potential of the Chinese economy amidst external challenges, asserting that it can withstand pressures and continue to progress confidently. Economic Foundation - China's economy is supported by a robust industrial system, being the only country with all industrial categories recognized by the United Nations [3] - The complete industrial ecosystem enhances production efficiency, reduces costs, and strengthens the economy's ability to resist risks, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [3] Domestic Market - The vast domestic market, with over 1.4 billion people, presents significant consumption potential and development space, characterized by diverse and personalized consumption patterns [4] - The domestic market acts as a stabilizer during external demand fluctuations, allowing companies to focus on local consumer needs to maintain operations [4] Innovation and Technology - Innovation is identified as the core driving force for China's economic advancement, with substantial investments in technology leading to notable achievements in areas like 5G [5] - The rapid development of emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data is transforming production and service efficiency across various sectors [5] Emerging Industries - Strategic emerging industries like renewable energy, new materials, and biomedicine are growing rapidly, contributing to economic growth [6] - The Chinese government plays a crucial role in macroeconomic regulation, implementing policies to support businesses and stimulate demand [6] Government Policies - The government has introduced tax reductions and increased financial support to alleviate corporate burdens and enhance profitability [6] - Infrastructure investments are aimed at improving living standards and driving economic growth, creating numerous job opportunities [6] Regional Development and Global Engagement - The government promotes regional coordinated development and international cooperation through initiatives like the Belt and Road [7] - China's economic outlook remains positive, with expectations for higher quality and sustainable growth, reinforcing its role as a key player in the global economy [7]
中国消费提振为拉美和加勒比地区优质产品对华出口提供商机
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-05-13 01:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing trade relationship between China and Latin America, particularly in agricultural products, driven by China's growing demand for high-quality goods [2][3][5]. - The total import and export volume between China and Latin America reached $518.467 billion in 2024, marking a 6% year-on-year increase, with imports accounting for $241.466 billion, a 46% increase over five years [2]. - Chilean cherries have become a significant product in China, with exports exceeding $3.091 billion in 2024, over 90% of which were sent to China, reflecting a 40% increase in sales in Guangzhou during the current season [5][6]. Group 2 - The demand for high-quality products from Latin America is rising due to China's consumption upgrade and policies aimed at boosting domestic demand [3][6]. - Various Latin American products, including Chilean cherries, Peruvian green grapes, and Brazilian coffee, are increasingly entering the Chinese market, with a notable rise in consumer interest [5][6]. - The establishment of free trade agreements between China and several Latin American countries has facilitated trade liberalization, allowing for quicker and safer delivery of quality products to Chinese consumers [6][8].
【广发宏观郭磊】如何看中美经贸会谈进展
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-05-12 15:10
第三, 中美经贸会谈的进展将有利于经济基本面:一是中国对美出口面临的约束显著降低,出口下行风险缓 和。海外进口商会尽可能利用确定性的时间窗口,短期内出口弹性不排除还会进一步放大;二是美国经济和全 球经济被关税拖向衰退的风险也相应下降,从而有利于外需和外部金融环境的稳定。 广发证券首席经济学家 郭磊 guolei@gf.com.cn 摘要 第一, 5 月 12 日,中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布 。美方承诺取消 4 月 8 日以来对中国商品加征的共 计 91% 的关税;暂停 4 月 2 日加征的对等关税中的 24% 的关税 90 天。中方也做了对等的取消和暂停。 双方将建立机制,继续就经贸关系进行协商。 第二, 这再次证明了中国制造在全球分工中的内生位置很难被外部因素持久打破,国内制造业的全球优势已 经较 2018 年更大。在前期报告《规模 + 效率就是护城河》中,我们指出:从联合国工业组织公布的制造业 规模占比和制造业效率指数( CIP )来看,中国制造业已兼具规模和效率优势,这是最大的护城河所在,全 球并没有哪一部分有竞争力的区域能够对中国制造的量级形成替代或冲击。 第四, 同时需要指出的是, 2 月 1 ...
“大超预期!” 券商热议中美关税谈判“意外之喜”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-12 13:02
过去一个多月内,悬而未决的中美关税谈判终于落地。 今日下午3点,《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》(以下简称《联合声明》)正式公布,中美双方宣布大幅降低双边关税水平,相关内容被市场广 泛认为超出预期。 《联合声明》发布时A股刚收市,港股市场反响积极,应声拉升。截至下午4点收盘,恒生指数、恒生科技指数分别大涨2.98%、5.16%。面对突如 其来的"意外之喜",各大券商研究所今日晚间纷纷进行加班解读。 中美关税谈判超预期落地 《联合声明》今日下午一经公布便引发广泛关注。商务部新闻发言人就此发表谈话指出,"本次中美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进展,大幅降低双边 关税水平,美方取消了共计91%的加征关税,中方相应取消了91%的反制关税;美方暂停实施24%的'对等关税',中方也相应暂停实施24%的反制关 税。这一举措符合两国生产者和消费者的期待,也符合两国利益和世界共同利益。" 每经记者|王海慜 每经编辑|彭水萍 一些密切关注此次关税谈判的券商分析师也深有感触。看到《联合声明》后,某券商研究所所长激动地表示,"我觉得我已经是够乐观的了,没想 到会大超预期。" "我们在4月7日坚决看多,并不依赖外部假设。今日,中美协议的积极变化 ...
吴晓求:重视了解金融的价值和作用 以扩内需、扩大开放为经济发展注入力量
news flash· 2025-05-12 06:04
吴晓求:重视了解金融的价值和作用 以扩内需、扩大开放为经济发展注入力量 智通财经5月12日电,中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长、中国资本市场研究院院长吴晓求5月11日 在"第六届中国应用经济学年会"上表示,吴晓求认为,让中国社会知道为何要发展资本市场、了解金融 的价值和作用至关重要。当下中国需要关注两大重点:一是来源于内部,在收入分配、科技进步等方面 需要进行深刻改革,逐步让内需成为推动经济发展的主要力量。在吴晓求看来,扩大内需要基于收入稳 定增长、合理的预期以及对未来的信心。"信心和预期来自于法治,要进一步完善市场经济的规则,其 中最重要的就是市场主体的平等性,以及公平竞争的机制,同时还要进一步完善社会保障体系。"二是 来源于外部。吴晓求说:"扩大内需非常重要,但绝不意味着外部需求不重要,扩大开放仍然是中国经 济发展重要的力量来源"。 (上证报) ...
中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长吴晓求:重视了解金融的价值和作用 以扩内需、扩大开放为经济发展注入力量
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-05-12 06:00
Core Viewpoint - The primary task for China to achieve modernization is to conduct enlightenment education on modern civilization, emphasizing the importance of finance in the country's development process [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Finance - There has been a long-standing bias against finance, attributing various economic and social issues to it, which overlooks finance's critical role in advancing legal civilization and modernization [1][2]. - Understanding the value and role of capital markets is essential for Chinese society [2]. Group 2: Characteristics of Financial Markets - Wu Xiaoqiu outlined twelve key characteristics of financial markets, including their functions as a general equivalent, payment and clearing roles, resource optimization through financing methods, risk dispersion and hedging, information flow, dual liquidity creation, wealth management platforms, the dual driving force of finance and technology, legal advancement, contract spirit reconstruction, market transparency enhancement, and their role as a force for social civilization [2]. Group 3: Focus Areas for China's Economic Development - Internally, China needs profound reforms in income distribution and technological advancement to make domestic demand the main driver of economic growth, which relies on stable income growth, reasonable expectations, and confidence in the future [2]. - Externally, while expanding domestic demand is crucial, external demand remains an important source of strength for China's economic development, highlighting the need for continued openness [2].