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连涨7天!金价又创新高,还有后劲儿?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:00
Group 1 - International gold prices reached a historic high, with COMEX gold futures trading at $3607.6 per ounce, marking a 0.43% increase and the seventh consecutive day of gains [1] - Several gold companies, including Western Gold, saw significant stock price increases, with Western Gold hitting a limit up at 26.51 yuan per share, resulting in a market capitalization of 24.2 billion yuan [1] - Western Gold reported a 69.01% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of the year, totaling 5.03 billion yuan, and a 131.94% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 154 million yuan [4] Group 2 - Analysts from Changjiang Securities noted that gold prices have confirmed a breakout from a quarterly range, driven by three main catalysts: strengthened interest rate cut expectations, rising risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions, and continued central bank gold purchases [6] - The market anticipates a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which typically boosts gold prices as lower yields make gold more attractive [7][8] - Several international financial institutions are bullish on gold prices, with UBS raising its target for gold prices in the first half of 2026 to $3700 per ounce, and Bank of America predicting prices could reach $4000 per ounce [9]
贵金属“完美风暴”,金银牛市狂奔!大摩高呼黄金年底冲3800美元?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 06:52
贵金属的狂欢盛宴还在演绎。 近来,金银价格蒙眼狂奔,资本市场情绪持续高涨。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 演員集部 | 涨跌幅 V | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601069 | 西部黄金 | 26.51 | +2.41 | 10.00% | 241.51亿 | | 000506 | 招金黄金 | 10.32 | +0.51 | 5.20% | 95.87 Z | | 600489 | 中金黄金 | 18.11 | +0.35 | 1.97% | 877.85 Z | | 600547 | 山东直金 | 36.29 | +0.38 | 1.06% | 1623.41亿 | | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 √ | 总市值 | | 03330 | 灵宝面金 | 16.320 | +0.720 | 4.62% | 210.03亿 | | 01818 | 招金矿业 | 27.440 | +0.620 | 2.31% | 972.03亿 | | 00621 | 坛金矿业(新) | 0.600 | +0.010 | 1.69% ...
美国制造业崩盘式萎缩,关税风暴下“避险之王”刷新历史高点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 03:40
Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices surged over 1% on September 2, reaching a historic high of $3539.88 per ounce, closing at $3533.40 per ounce, reflecting a 34.5% increase year-to-date, significantly outperforming other assets [1] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to the weak U.S. economy, trade policy uncertainties, and global geopolitical risks, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid these challenges [1][4] - The demand for gold is further supported by central bank purchases and diversification away from the U.S. dollar, reinforcing its status as a reliable hedge against economic instability [6][10] Group 2: U.S. Manufacturing Sector - The U.S. manufacturing sector has been in decline for six consecutive months, with the August PMI slightly improving to 48.7 but still below the neutral level of 50, indicating ongoing contraction [3] - High tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration have led to increased costs for manufacturers, negatively impacting profit margins and employment in the sector [3][5] - Factory construction spending fell by 6.7% year-over-year in July, signaling a cooling investment sentiment within the manufacturing industry [3] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Market Reactions - The market anticipates a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on September 17, with potential discussions for a 50 basis point cut if upcoming non-farm payroll data is weak [7][11] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has led to significant declines in stock markets, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 0.55% and the S&P 500 down 0.69% at the start of September [5] - Rising U.S. debt levels, now at $37.18 trillion, and concerns over fiscal deficits are contributing to increased yields in the bond market, further driving investors towards gold [5][6] Group 4: Global Economic Context - Global factors, including inflation concerns in the Eurozone and political instability in Japan and the UK, are contributing to a complex risk environment that supports gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [10] - The interplay of stagnant economic growth and inflationary pressures, described as "stagflation," enhances gold's role as a hedge [10] - The upcoming release of U.S. economic data, including factory orders and job openings, will be critical in shaping market expectations and gold prices [11]
结构性行情持续演绎 投资者如何踏准节奏?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 03:10
Core Viewpoint - The continuous rise in 30-year U.S. Treasury yields is impacting dollar credit and enhancing risks in global dollar liquidity, leading to increased trading in safe-haven assets and pressure on risk assets [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Emerging market equity assets are entering a phase of chip digestion, characterized by high selling and low buying [1] - There is a phase shift in funds towards low-growth events and left-side trading elasticity in consumer sectors [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Potential short-term elasticity may be observed in sectors such as solid-state batteries, media, gaming, and travel [1]
债市抛售引发连锁反应,科技股领跌,纳指4月来首度跌破50日均线,黄金创历史新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 02:59
Market Overview - Long-term government bond yields have surged significantly due to a combination of heavy corporate bond issuance and concerns over the fiscal situation in developed countries, directly impacting U.S. stock valuations, particularly high-valuation large tech stocks [1] - The U.S. stock market experienced a broad decline, with the "Magnificent 7" tech giants all falling, led by Nvidia [1][12] - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield approached the psychological threshold of 5%, while gold prices surged to a historical high, supported by safe-haven demand [1][34] U.S. Stock Performance - Major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with the Nasdaq down 1.7% and semiconductor stocks leading the decline [5] - The S&P 500 index closed down 44.72 points, a decrease of 0.69%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 249.07 points, or 0.55% [6] - The Nasdaq index dropped 175.992 points, a decline of 0.82%, marking the first time since April that it fell below the 50-day moving average [8] Sector Performance - The semiconductor ETF fell by 1.31%, leading declines among U.S. industry ETFs, while the Magnificent 7 index decreased by 1.10% [10][8] - The real estate sector also faced challenges, with the S&P real estate sector dropping over 1.7% [3] International Market Impact - European stock markets also declined, with the STOXX 600 index down 1.5%, and the real estate sector experiencing a 3.6% drop [14][18] - The German DAX 30 index fell by 2.29%, while the French CAC 40 index decreased by 0.70% [18] Bond Market Dynamics - U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 10-year benchmark yield increasing by 3.30 basis points to 4.2614% [22] - The 30-year German bond yield reached a multi-year high, reflecting a broader trend of rising yields in developed markets [19] Commodity Market Movements - Gold prices broke the $3,500 mark, reaching a historical high, while silver prices surged to a 14-year high [5][34] - Crude oil prices also saw significant movement, with WTI crude oil futures rising approximately 2.5% [30][32]
贵金属板块强势拉升 易方达黄金基金成布局优选
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 02:57
Group 1 - The A-share precious metals sector continued its strong performance with an increase of 2.79%, leading the market, and a trading range of 1.89% on the day [1] - Several stocks within the sector performed well, including Western Gold reaching the daily limit, Zhongjin Gold rising over 4%, and Shandong Gold increasing nearly 3% [1] - This rally is primarily driven by the continuous strength in international gold prices, with COMEX gold futures for December rising by 2.42% to surpass $3600 per ounce, and spot gold prices increasing by 1.72% to $3536.03 per ounce, setting a new historical high [1] Group 2 - Silver prices also showed strong performance, breaking the $40 per ounce mark for the first time since 2011 [1] - Analysts believe that signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts could act as a new catalyst for gold prices, while concerns over political policy risks due to actions by Trump to undermine the Fed's independence have increased market demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals [1] - Investors are increasingly turning to related funds to capitalize on the gold market, with E Fund Gold ETF (159934) being a prominent option that closely tracks the Shanghai Gold Exchange Au99.99 spot price [2] Group 3 - As of September 2, 2025, the E Fund Gold ETF had a fund size of 24.727 billion yuan and a unit net value of 7.59 yuan, with 99.7% of its assets invested in gold [2] - The fund has shown strong performance recently, with net inflows on three out of the last five trading days, including a single-day increase of 2.02% on September 1 and a slight rise of 0.41% on September 2 [2] - The cumulative net value growth rate over the past month was 4.20%, demonstrating strong resilience and investment appeal [2]
稳如磐石!现货黄金连涨六日突破3540美元,再创历史新高
智通财经网· 2025-09-03 01:46
智通财经APP注意到,黄金延续连续六天的涨势,刷新历史最高纪录。由于美国降息前景增强了黄金的吸引力,加之股市和债市抛售促使交易员寻求避险, 贵金属需求持续攀升。 周三亚洲市场开盘时,现货黄金价格上涨0.4%,至每盎司3546.96美元,略高于周二创下的历史高点。在过去六个交易日中,金价累计上涨5%,支撑因素包 括市场对美联储未来政策的重新担忧、发达国家预算问题引发的避险需求升温。 今年以来黄金涨幅超过三分之一,成为表现最佳的主要大宗商品之一。近期上涨动力源于市场预期美联储本月将降息——此前美联储主席鲍威尔已谨慎地为 降息打开大门。本周五将公布的美国关键就业报告很可能进一步显示劳动力市场日益疲软,这为降息提供了更多依据。低利率环境通常有利于无息资产黄金 的表现。 过去三年间,黄金和白银价格均上涨逾一倍。地缘政治、经济和全球贸易领域日益增长的风险,推动了对这些传统避险资产的需求。 今年特朗普总统对美联储的抨击升级,加剧了市场对央行独立性受威胁的担忧。 市场正在等待一项具有里程碑意义的裁决,以确定特朗普是否有合法理由将美联储理事丽莎·库克免职。若该举动被认定合法,总统将可任命一位偏鸽派的 官员接替其职位。 投资者还 ...
新高不止!纽约金价2日单日涨超2% 盘中触及3600美元上方
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 01:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in gold prices, with the December 2025 futures rising by $83.4 to $3599.5 per ounce, marking a 2.37% increase and reaching a historical high of $3602.40 during trading [1] - The rise in gold and silver prices is attributed to heightened safe-haven demand and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with gold prices increasing over 30% this year, making it one of the best-performing commodities [1] - The U.S. stock market decline on the same day further supported gold prices, alongside concerns regarding the uncertainty of U.S. government policies following a court ruling against President Trump's authority to impose tariffs [1] Group 2 - Technical analysts suggest that the prolonged consolidation phase of gold prices indicates a strong potential for a breakout, with a projected target range of $3800 to $4000 for gold [2] - Silver futures for December delivery also saw an increase, rising by $0.98 to $41.730 per ounce, reflecting a 2.40% gain [2]
美股三大指数集体收跌,纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨0.52%,黄金价格再创历史新高
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-03 00:35
Market Overview - The US stock market saw all three major indices close lower, with a drop exceeding 1% during intraday trading. The Dow Jones fell by 0.55% to 45295.81 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.69% to 6415.54 points, and the Nasdaq composite dropped by 0.82% to 21279.63 points [3][4] - Major technology stocks experienced declines, including Nvidia down 1.97%, Microsoft down 0.32%, Apple down 1.04%, Google down 0.74%, Amazon down 1.6%, Meta down 0.49%, and Tesla down 1.34% [4][5] - Chip stocks also faced a downturn, with ARM down 4.34%, Lam Research down 3.11%, KLA down 2.99%, and ASML down 2.25% [6][7] Chinese Assets Performance - In contrast to the US market, Chinese assets rose, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increasing by 0.52% [1][8] - Notable gains in popular Chinese stocks included Beike up 4.86%, Li Auto up 4.5%, NIO up 3.37%, Alibaba up 2.67%, and Xiaoying Technology up 2.50% [8][9] Gold Market - Gold prices surged, with COMEX gold closing at $3599.5 per ounce, marking a new high and briefly surpassing $3600 per ounce during trading [1][11] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset is reinforced by factors such as persistent inflation, potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and concerns over currency depreciation due to rising US fiscal deficits [11] Kraft Heinz Company Developments - Kraft Heinz announced plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off to drive business growth, leading to a nearly 7% drop in its stock price following the announcement [12][13] - Warren Buffett expressed disappointment regarding the split, as Berkshire Hathaway remains the largest shareholder with a 27.5% stake in Kraft Heinz [15]
黄金,历史新高
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-03 00:15
Market Overview - The three major US stock indices collectively declined, with the Dow Jones down 0.55% to 45295.81 points, the S&P 500 down 0.69% to 6415.54 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.82% to 21279.63 points [2][3] - Major technology stocks experienced losses, including Nvidia down 1.97%, Microsoft down 0.32%, Apple down 1.04%, Google down 0.74%, Amazon down 1.6%, Meta down 0.49%, and Tesla down 1.34% [3][4] Chinese Assets Performance - Chinese assets rose against the market trend, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increasing by 0.52% [7] - Notable gains in popular Chinese stocks included Beike up 4.86%, Li Auto up 4.5%, NIO up 3.37%, Alibaba up 2.67%, and Xiaoying Technology up 2.50% [8][9] Gold Market - Gold prices surged, with COMEX gold closing at $3599.5 per ounce, marking a new high and briefly surpassing $3600 per ounce during trading [11] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset is increasing due to factors such as inflation, potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and concerns over currency depreciation [11] Kraft Heinz Company Developments - Kraft Heinz announced a tax-free spin-off into two independent publicly traded companies to drive business growth, leading to a nearly 7% drop in its stock price [12][14] - Warren Buffett expressed disappointment over the spin-off, as Berkshire Hathaway remains the largest shareholder with a 27.5% stake [14]