国常会强调综合施策释放内需潜力，央行加量续作 MLF，债市继续承压 【内容摘要】 8 月 22 日，国常会强调要进一步强化财税金融等政策支持，综合施策释放内需 潜力，央行公告加量续作 MLF，8 月净投放将达到 3000 亿元；资金面重回宽松态势；股市强势 令债市继续承压，但短债有所回暖；转债市场主要指数集体跟涨，转债个券多数收涨；鲍威尔 "放鸽"强调就业风险，各期限美债收益率普遍下行，主要欧洲经济体 10 年期国债收益率普 遍下行。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【国常会：综合施策释放内需潜力】国务院总理李强 8 月 22 日主持召开国务院常务会议，听 取实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策情况汇报，研究释放体育消费潜力进一步推进 体育产业高质量发展的意见，审议通过《"三北"工程总体规划》，部署开展海洋渔船安全生 产专项整治工作。会议指出，大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策，在稳投资、扩消费、促 转型、惠民生等方面取得明显成效。要在对政策实施情况进行认真总结评估的基础上，加强统 筹协调，完善实施机制，更好发挥对扩大内需的推动作用。要严厉打击骗补套补行为，确保补 贴资金用到实处、见到实效。要进一步强化财税金 ...

Core Viewpoint - South Korea will implement a temporary visa exemption policy for Chinese group tourists starting September 29, lasting until June next year, which is expected to boost tourism and economic growth in South Korea [1][3][6]. Group 1: Economic Impact - An increase of 1 million Chinese tourists is projected to raise South Korea's GDP growth by 0.08 percentage points [5]. - In 2024, South Korea anticipates receiving approximately 16.37 million foreign tourists, with total foreign tourist spending reaching 9.2552 trillion KRW (approximately 46.546 billion RMB), marking a year-on-year increase of 33.8% [4]. - The average credit card spending per Chinese tourist in South Korea is 889,000 KRW (approximately 4,700 RMB), which is 1.5 times that of Japanese tourists [5]. Group 2: Tourism Policy and Strategy - The South Korean government has identified tourism as a strategic industry, aiming to attract 30 million foreign tourists and generate 30 billion USD in tourism revenue by 2027 [6]. - The recent visa exemption policy is part of a broader effort to stimulate domestic demand and support the recovery of the tourism sector, which significantly contributes to the economy [6][7]. - The government plans to leverage the upcoming APEC summit in late October to attract more foreign visitors [7]. Group 3: Historical Context and Trends - Chinese tourists were previously the largest group visiting South Korea, with numbers dropping from over 8 million in 2016 to around 4 million in 2017, before rebounding to approximately 6 million in 2019 [4]. - In 2022, the number of Chinese visitors to South Korea exceeded 4.6 million, accounting for 28.1% of total foreign tourists, showing a strong recovery compared to just 202,000 in 2023 [4][5].

Economic Performance - The total retail sales of consumer goods in Hunan, Hubei, and Jiangxi provinces reached 29,560.44 billion yuan in the first half of the year, driven by various consumption-boosting policies [1][4] - The GDP of the "Central Triangle" formed by Hunan, Hubei, and Jiangxi reached 72,528.71 billion yuan, an increase of 4,999.06 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [1] Provincial Contributions - Hubei's GDP was 29,642.61 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, surpassing the national average by 0.9 percentage points [1] - Hunan's GDP was 26,166.50 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5.6%, while Jiangxi's GDP was 16,719.6 billion yuan, also growing by 5.6% [1] Industrial Growth - Hunan's high-tech manufacturing sector saw a 13.7% increase in added value, outpacing overall industrial growth by 5.5 percentage points [2] - Hubei's high-tech manufacturing added value grew by 14.4%, with significant increases in the production of computers, smartphones, and lithium-ion batteries [2] - Jiangxi's high-tech manufacturing added value also rose by 13.7%, driven by policies promoting equipment upgrades and automotive replacements [2] Consumer Spending Trends - Hubei's retail sales reached 13,073.93 billion yuan, a 6.9% increase year-on-year, while Hunan and Jiangxi reported retail sales of 10,391.81 billion yuan and 6,094.7 billion yuan, growing by 6.2% and 5.3% respectively [4] - The per capita consumption expenditure in Hubei was 13,991 yuan, reflecting a 2.4% increase, with a notable rise in service consumption [4] Retail Sector Dynamics - In Hunan, sales of communication equipment surged by 71.6%, while home appliances and cultural office supplies grew by 55.2% and 35.1% respectively [6] - The retail sales of sports and entertainment products in Jiangxi increased by 6.2%, with cosmetics and bicycles seeing growth rates of 19.1% and 29.3% [5][6] Foreign Trade Performance - The overall foreign trade growth rate in the central region reached 11.1%, significantly higher than the national average of 2.5% [7] - Hubei's foreign trade saw a remarkable growth of 28.4%, with key exports including computers, mobile phones, and integrated circuits [7] Logistics and Infrastructure Development - The establishment of a multi-modal logistics network has improved logistics efficiency in the central region, with significant growth in imports and exports through the Ezhou Huahu International Airport [8] - The Nanchang International Land Port has facilitated international trade, with over 1,000 foreign trade trains dispatched in the first half of the year [8]

Economic Overview - Hunan Province's GDP for the first half of 2025 reached 26,166.50 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6% [1] - The primary industry added value was 1,759.68 billion yuan, growing by 4.0%, while the secondary industry added value was 9,307.50 billion yuan, growing by 6.2%, and the tertiary industry added value was 15,099.32 billion yuan, growing by 5.4% [1] Sector Performance - Agricultural sector showed recovery with a 4.2% year-on-year increase in the added value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery; summer grain production reached 467,000 tons, up 1.8% [1] - Industrial production remained robust, with a 8.2% increase in the added value of large-scale industries; equipment manufacturing grew by 12.2%, contributing 4.0 percentage points to overall industrial growth [1] - The service sector also performed well, with a 7.2% increase in revenue for large-scale service enterprises from January to May, with 30 out of 34 major industry categories experiencing growth [1] Consumption and Investment - Social retail sales in Hunan totaled 10,391.81 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.2% year-on-year growth; significant increases were noted in the sales of communication equipment (71.6%), home appliances (55.2%), and cultural office supplies (35.1%) [2] - Fixed asset investment grew by 2.6%, with major construction project investments increasing by 6.5% and industry investments rising by 9.1% [2] Future Outlook - Hunan's economic operation is characterized as stable with progress, but challenges remain due to a complex external environment and insufficient effective demand [2] - The province plans to accelerate internal demand expansion, strengthen industries, enhance technological innovation, deepen reform and opening-up, and improve the environment to ensure steady and healthy economic development [2]

Core Insights - Guangdong's import and export trade reached 4.55 trillion yuan in the first half of 2023, marking a 4% year-on-year increase, which is 1.1 percentage points higher than the national average [1] - Imports totaled 1.66 trillion yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth of 9.5%, setting a historical high for the same period [1] Group 1: Import Growth Drivers - The increase in imports is attributed to rising demand and China's ongoing efforts to expand openness, providing more development opportunities globally [2] - Guangdong's industrial production has shown stable growth, leading to a 19.3% increase in the import of electromechanical products, which accounted for over 70% of total imports [2] - Key components such as central processing units, aircraft parts, and integrated circuits saw import growth rates of 322.5%, 27.5%, and 14.3% respectively [2] Group 2: High-End Manufacturing Demand - The steady advancement of industrial upgrades has led to a noticeable increase in demand for high-end manufacturing equipment [2] - Imports of aerospace equipment and marine engineering equipment grew by 63.8% and 31.5% respectively, while semiconductor manufacturing equipment, machine tools, and light industrial machinery saw increases of 47%, 14.6%, and 12.7% [2] Group 3: Consumer Goods Import Surge - Domestic demand has been further released, accelerating the import of consumer goods, which rose by 3.3% to 134.92 billion yuan [3] - Notable increases in imports include passenger cars (48.1%), edible oil (39.5%), aquatic products (33.4%), dairy products (20.9%), and beauty products (8.9%) [3] Group 4: Trade Partnerships and Initiatives - Guangdong's imports from Taiwan, ASEAN, South Korea, Japan, and the EU increased by 27.4%, 6.3%, 14.1%, 12.4%, and 13.1% respectively [3] - Imports from Belt and Road Initiative countries reached 643.78 billion yuan, growing by 5.7% and accounting for 38.8% of total imports [3] - The implementation of zero-tariff treatment for all products from least developed countries has led to a 16.1% increase in imports from these nations [3] Group 5: Policy Measures to Enhance Imports - Guangdong customs have implemented various measures to promote import development, including support for the food processing industry and expanding inspection ranges for bulk commodities [4] - The application of cross-border fast customs clearance reforms aims to facilitate the import of key intermediate goods and enhance the cross-border e-commerce supply chain [4] - The ongoing construction of a unified national market is expected to further enhance the flow of goods and resources, indicating significant growth potential for imports in Guangdong [4]

Economic Overview - Chengdu leads with a GDP of 593.03 billion, while Mianyang's GDP surpasses 100 billion for the first time at 103.57 billion, ranking second [1][2] - The total GDP of Sichuan for Q1 is 1,524.692 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.5% [1] Year-on-Year Growth Rates - Chengdu's GDP growth rate is 6.0%, exceeding the provincial average by 0.5 percentage points [2] - Meishan has the highest GDP growth rate at 7.6%, followed by Deyang at 7.5%, which is a significant improvement of 5 ranks from the previous year [2] - Nanchong's GDP growth rate is 5.6%, marking its best performance in five years [3] Industrial Performance - Sichuan's industrial output value increased by 7.2%, marking the strongest start in three years [4] - Meishan's industrial output value grew by 24.3%, the highest in the province, with significant contributions from new energy and materials sectors [4] - Zigong's industrial output value increased by 18.3%, ranking second in the province, while Bazhong achieved an 18.2% growth, ranking third [5] Future Economic Goals - Several cities aim to surpass significant GDP milestones, with Nanchong and Dazhou targeting 300 billion, and Meishan, Zigong, and Suining aiming for 200 billion [6] - The focus is on enhancing project construction and fostering private sector growth, with Dazhou planning to allocate 10 million for supporting private enterprises [7]