Core Viewpoint - Zhaojin Mining's growth path is being continuously validated, with strong financial results for the first half of 2025, showcasing robust fundamentals and growth momentum [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Zhaojin Mining achieved revenue of 6.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.69%, and net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 160.44% to 1.44 billion yuan [1] - The company's gold production reached 10,235.63 kilograms, representing a growth of approximately 13.77% compared to the same period last year [2] Segment Revenue - The gold mining segment generated revenue of 6.164 billion yuan, an increase of 44.4% year-on-year, while the copper mining segment earned 224 million yuan, up 31.6% [3] - Other business segments saw revenue growth of 209.5%, totaling 585 million yuan [3] Profitability - Zhaojin Mining's gross profit for the first half of the year was 3.05 billion yuan, a 54.31% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 43.74%, up 1.02 percentage points from the previous year [4] Market Environment - The gold market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the London spot gold price reaching 3,302.96 USD per ounce by the end of June, a 25.8% increase from the beginning of the year [2] - The average gold price for the first half of the year was 3,077 USD per ounce, up 39.48% year-on-year [2] Growth Drivers - Zhaojin Mining is focusing on enhancing production efficiency and resource allocation, with ongoing projects like the Haiyu Gold Mine expected to significantly contribute to future production [8] - The company has also expanded its global resource network through acquisitions in Africa, which will further bolster its performance [8] Market Outlook - The current gold price trend is expected to continue, driven by geopolitical factors and central bank policies, with predictions of gold prices potentially reaching 4,500 USD per ounce in the coming years [5] - Zhaojin Mining's strong performance and optimistic outlook have led to a significant increase in its market capitalization, with a year-to-date gain exceeding 100% [9]

Core Viewpoint - The growth path of Zhaojin Mining (01818) is being continuously validated, with the release of its 2025 interim report showcasing strong fundamentals and growth momentum [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Zhaojin Mining achieved revenue of 6.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.69%, and net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 160.44% to 1.44 billion yuan [1] - The company completed gold production of 10,235.63 kilograms, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 13.77% [2] - The gold mining segment generated revenue of 6.164 billion yuan, up 44.4% year-on-year, while copper mining revenue reached 224 million yuan, an increase of 31.6% [3] Market Environment - The gold market has seen significant inflows due to factors such as U.S. tariff policies, geopolitical conflicts, and central bank gold purchases, with gold prices reaching historical highs [2] - As of June 30, the London spot gold closing price was $3,302.96 per ounce, up 25.8% from the beginning of the year [2] Growth Drivers - Zhaojin Mining is focusing on "optimal production, increased production, and enhanced efficiency" to strengthen production operations and accelerate capacity release [2] - The company is advancing multiple projects, including the Haiyu Gold Mine, which is expected to produce over 15 tons of gold annually upon full production [8] - The company has also expanded its global resource network through acquisitions in Africa, which will contribute positively to its performance [8] Future Outlook - The long-term upward trend in gold prices is expected to continue, driven by factors such as the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the shift in global asset allocation away from the U.S. dollar [5] - Zhaojin Mining's strong performance and optimistic outlook have attracted investor interest, with its market value increasing by over 100% since the beginning of the year [9]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend, with the policy adjustment and the continuous listing of high-quality assets driving the index up, reflecting the improvement of market liquidity and the trend of value revaluation [3][4] - After the A-share market turns into an incremental market following the Hong Kong stock market, and with the stabilization of trade war expectations and the end of the interim report season in August, a sectoral market may form again [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance - Last week, the four stock index futures varieties continued to rise across the board, with CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 showing relatively strong performance. Most of the basis of the four stock index futures varieties was in the mode of futures discount [2] - The A-share market continued to rise last week, with the CSI All-Share Index rising more than 1% for three consecutive weeks, and the trading volume remaining at a relatively high level. The financial industry represented by banks, securities, and insurance showed relatively weak performance, but its previous large gains and temporary adjustment helped relieve the liquidity pressure on other small and medium-sized sectors [2] 3.2 Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to gradually turn into an incremental market after the Hong Kong stock market. With the stabilization of trade war expectations and the end of the interim report season in August, a sectoral market may form again [3] - Policy adjustment and the continuous listing of high-quality assets drive the index up, reflecting the improvement of market liquidity and the trend of value revaluation. The current low-valued manufacturing sector may be boosted by the inflow of incremental funds [4]

Market Performance - The US stock market showed mixed results on July 18, with the Nasdaq rising by 0.05% to reach a new historical high, marking five consecutive weeks of gains [1][4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.32%, while the S&P 500 saw a slight decrease of 0.01% [4] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.6%, with an intraday rise exceeding 2% [1][8] Notable Stocks - Popular Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with significant gains including a 31% increase for Linklogis and over 8% for Hesai Technology [8] - Tesla's stock rose by over 3%, while Nvidia reached a new historical high during the day but closed down by 0.34% [5][6] Commodity Market - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up by 0.30% to $3355.5 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures up by 0.32% to $38.425 per ounce [2][13] - The week saw a cumulative decline in gold prices of 0.25% and a 1.36% decline in silver prices [13] Economic Insights - Citic Securities indicated that the US dollar lacks a strong basis for long-term appreciation, with a continuing trend of "de-dollarization" and a rising preference for non-US assets [11] - The outlook for gold prices may follow a "stair-step" upward pattern due to increasing expectations for interest rate cuts and growing uncertainties in the global economic and political landscape [13]

周一A股缩量震荡，大小指数分化，机器人、电力、贵金属强势，金融科技题材明显回调，稳定币 方向领跌。截至收盘，上证指数涨0.27%报3519.65点，深证成指跌0.11%，创业板指跌0.45%，中证 A500指数涨0.06%，市场成交额1.48万亿元。 拉长时间看，热门ETF中，截至上周五，A500ETF基金（512050）连续三周上涨，区间累计上涨 5.36%，跑赢沪深300指数近1%。 A股半年报业绩预告密集披露，不少公司业绩亮眼。其中，华宏科技上半年净利同比预增超过 3000%，特一药业、千方科技、锋龙股份、索通发展、航天科技等公司的净利同比预增超1000%。另 外，A股首份中报出炉：中盐化工上半年净利润5271.6万元，同比下降88.04%。中信证券表示，当前美 元缺乏长期走强基础，"去美元"趋势持续强化，非美资产配置偏好上升，亚洲权益正在稳步重估，港股 等新兴市场权益资产表现亮眼，而中国市场仍是估值洼地。我们认为中美关系将延续稳态，市场风险偏 好有望继续回暖。 A500ETF基金（512050）助力投资者一键布局A股各行各业龙头。该ETF所跟踪中证A500指数，采 取行业均衡配置与龙头优选双策略，中证 ...

Market Overview - The trend of "de-dollarization" is strengthening, leading to a preference for non-USD assets, with Asian equities being steadily revalued[6] - The A-share market is heating up, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.21% to 3,519 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.11% and 0.45% respectively[17] - The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.26% and 0.52% respectively, although market sentiment remains cautious[11] Commodity and Forex Insights - International oil prices fell by 2%, with NYMEX crude down 2.15% to $66.98 per barrel, and Brent crude down 1.63% to $69.21 per barrel[28] - The US dollar index slightly increased by 0.2%, while gold prices experienced a minor decline[28] - The Chinese yuan appreciated by 1.8% year-to-date against the US dollar, closing at 7.172[27] Fixed Income Market - US Treasury yields rose slightly, with the 30-year yield approaching 5%[5] - Asian bond markets showed cautious sentiment initially but improved later, with Chinese investment-grade bond spreads narrowing by 1-2 basis points[31] - The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds reached its highest level since 2008, reflecting market concerns ahead of upcoming elections[31] Sector Performance - In the A-share market, sectors such as energy and utilities saw gains of 1.5% and 0.8% respectively, while real estate declined by 0.9%[17] - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong rose by 2.4%, while the financial sector remained flat[12] Key Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June is set to be released, which may influence market expectations regarding interest rates[5] - China's foreign currency deposits exceeded $1 trillion for the first time in over three years, indicating a strong capital inflow[6]

Core Viewpoint - Zinc prices experienced fluctuations in June, initially declining due to weak demand and increased supply, but rebounded later in the month driven by improved macro sentiment and disruptions in overseas smelters [2] Group 1: Macroeconomic Factors - The US dollar index has seen a significant decline since the beginning of the year, dropping to around 97, which has positively impacted dollar-denominated commodities [3] - Expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have increased, with potential cuts anticipated within the year [3] - Geopolitical tensions have eased, particularly in the Israel-Palestine conflict, leading to stabilization in oil prices [3] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Global zinc mine production in April was 1.0192 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.6% month-on-month but an increase of 9.7% year-on-year [4] - Domestic zinc concentrate production in May rose by 9.2% month-on-month to 325,000 tons, while cumulative production from January to May saw a year-on-year decline of 3.4% [4] - Zinc processing fees have been rising, with July's average processing fee for domestic zinc concentrate increasing by 200 RMB per ton to 3,850 RMB per ton [4] Group 3: Domestic Production Expectations - China's refined zinc production in May was 583,000 tons, a slight increase from April but a year-on-year decline of 2.3% [5] - The expectation for increased domestic refined zinc production is strong due to improved smelter profits and reduced maintenance schedules [5] - The import of refined zinc has decreased slightly to 26,700 tons in May, with a cumulative decline of 16.65% year-on-year for the first five months [5] Group 4: Inventory and Pricing Trends - LME zinc inventory has decreased from 195,000 tons in mid-April to 119,000 tons, indicating a tightening supply [6] - Domestic refined zinc inventory initially increased but has since decreased, remaining at lower levels compared to previous years [6] - The current market shows a narrowing of the LME 0-3 zinc spot premium, which has implications for potential warehouse risks similar to those seen in copper [6] Group 5: Demand Conditions - The demand for zinc remains weak due to seasonal factors, with processing enterprises experiencing declining operating rates [7] - The operating rate for galvanizing enterprises dropped to 56.21%, indicating reduced orders and production [7] - Overall, construction and manufacturing sectors are showing signs of weakness, with real estate and infrastructure investment growth slowing [7] Group 6: Overall Market Outlook - The combination of a weak dollar, easing geopolitical risks, and expectations of Fed rate cuts has led to a recovery in the non-ferrous metals market [8] - The supply side remains relatively loose due to steady production from both domestic and international mines, while smelter profits are recovering [8] - Despite the positive macro factors, the seasonal demand weakness and inventory dynamics suggest a cautious outlook for zinc prices [8]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Mid-term Investment Strategy Conference held by CICC focused on the theme of "Resilience and Reconstruction," discussing key topics such as the outlook for the Chinese economy, global asset trends, and advancements in AI and high-end manufacturing [3][4]. Group 1: Geopolitical Economics - CICC's Chief Economist, Peng Wensheng, highlighted the shift towards geopolitical economics, emphasizing that the past 40 years of globalization and financialization are being reevaluated due to rising inequality and recent economic challenges in the U.S. [6][7]. - The macro impacts of geopolitical competition include increased supply constraints due to de-globalization, protectionism, and fragmented global supply chains, which harm economic efficiency [6]. - The importance of real assets is rising, driven by fiscal expansion and the need for de-financialization, with China holding unique advantages in green industries and AI [6]. Group 2: Monetary Order Reconstruction - Chief Strategy Analyst, Miao Yanliang, noted that the global monetary order is rapidly diversifying and fragmenting, which may reduce the impact of high U.S. Treasury yields on RMB assets [10]. - The anticipated influx of capital into Hong Kong stocks is supported by China's resilient fundamentals, trends in AI, low valuations, and under-allocation by foreign investors [10]. Group 3: Economic Recovery and Market Outlook - Chief Macro Analyst, Zhang Wenlang, observed a divergence in GDP growth and weak prices, attributing this to demand gaps and structural improvements in the economy [13]. - The outlook for the second half of 2025 suggests a continuation of "quasi-balance" growth, with potential structural highlights as the real estate sector's drag on the economy diminishes [13]. Group 4: U.S. Economic Rebalancing - U.S. Macro Chief Economist, Liu Zhengning, discussed the implications of U.S. tariff policies, indicating a shift from balanced to functional fiscal policies to stabilize the economy [16]. - The short-term effects of tariffs may lead to stagflation, with a potential for growth slowdown and temporary inflation increases in the U.S. economy [16]. Group 5: A-Share Market Resilience - Domestic Strategy Chief Analyst, Li Qiusuo, expressed confidence in the resilience of the A-share market, predicting a "steady then rising" trend in the second half of 2025, contingent on effective macro policies [17][21]. - Investment strategies should focus on certainty in uncertain environments, emphasizing opportunities in capacity cycles, high-growth sectors, and dividend-paying stocks [21]. Group 6: Global Market Trends - Overseas Strategy Chief Analyst, Liu Gang, noted a growing global consensus on "de-dollarization," although the extent may not meet expectations [22]. - The outlook for Hong Kong stocks suggests a structural market with potential for gains in sectors like technology and new consumption, despite overall index volatility [22]. Group 7: Digital Financial Services - CICC is enhancing its digital service capabilities through the "CICC Insight" platform, which provides comprehensive research and investment information to institutional investors [23]. - The company aims to leverage financial technology to improve service efficiency and support clients' investment decisions [23][24].

Group 1 - The new tariff policies announced by the Trump administration have raised concerns among financial institutions and businesses about potential inflation, despite recent CPI reports indicating manageable inflation levels [1][2] - The May CPI report showed a nominal inflation increase of 0.1% month-on-month and a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, slightly above April's 2.3% [1] - Core inflation, excluding food and energy, remained stable at 2.8%, but was below market expectations of 2.9% [1] Group 2 - The employment market has shown a downward trend, with average monthly job additions from January to May at 123,800, lower than the previous year's average of 179,600 [2][3] - The service sector has been the primary source of job growth, while manufacturing and federal government sectors have seen job losses [3] Group 3 - The U.S. federal debt has reached $36.97 trillion, with a recent bill increasing the debt ceiling by $4 trillion, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability [3][4] - Investor confidence in U.S. Treasury bonds is declining, as evidenced by a high issuance rate of 5.047% for 30-year bonds in May, indicating increased risk perception [4] Group 4 - The recent surge in cryptocurrency prices and the depreciation of the dollar suggest a growing distrust in U.S. fiscal policy and the dollar's stability [5] - The impact of tariff policies on the global supply chain is significant, with reduced cargo volumes at several ports and rising production costs affecting economic growth [5][6] Group 5 - The stock market has returned to previous levels, but there are concerns about whether inflated stock prices can be supported by upcoming earnings reports [6] - The concentration of market value in the top ten stocks of the S&P 500, which account for 40% of the index, poses a serious risk to market stability [6]

Core Insights - The article discusses the impact of Trump's second term on global markets, particularly the decline of the US dollar, leading to a consensus on "de-dollarization" [1] - The dollar index has fallen from a peak of 110.18 on January 18, 2025, to below 100, raising questions about a potential long-term depreciation of the dollar [1] - A closed-door event featuring analysts will provide insights into the long-term trends of the dollar and its implications for global and Chinese assets [1] Group 1 - The dollar index's significant drop indicates a loss of market confidence in dollar assets, prompting discussions about a major bear market for the dollar [1] - The upcoming closed-door sessions will feature prominent analysts, including Kevin Wang from Clocktower Group, who will discuss the potential for the largest dollar bear market in history [1][2] - The sessions aim to help participants understand the broader trends in global assets and clarify investment strategies in light of the dollar's trajectory [1] Group 2 - Another closed-door event is scheduled for June 15, featuring economist Peng Fu, focusing on a review of key asset trends in the first half of 2025 and opportunities and risks for the second half [4] - Membership in the Alpha closed-door sessions provides access to a total of 13 online discussions throughout the year, enhancing participants' understanding of market dynamics [4]