Core Viewpoint - Xiamen Municipal Group Co., Ltd. has been rated "AAA" for its 2023 first phase medium-term notes, reflecting its strong financial position and operational stability [1][2]. Group 1: Economic and Operational Overview - Xiamen has significant geographical advantages and a solid industrial foundation, with expected growth in economic levels and general budget revenue in 2024 [2]. - The company has undergone a change in its controlling shareholder from Xiamen Municipal Government State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission to Xiamen State-owned Capital Operation Co., Ltd., while the actual controller remains the same [2]. - The company will focus more on its core business after a major asset restructuring in October 2024, which will lead to a significant reduction in asset and revenue scale due to decreased area development and planning design activities [2]. Group 2: Revenue Sources and Business Focus - In 2024, the company's total operating revenue will primarily come from engineering construction, water supply, and waste incineration power generation, with engineering construction being a strong and sustainable source of income [2]. - The water supply business remains exclusive in Xiamen, showing revenue growth, while the waste incineration power generation business holds a leading position in the city, contributing to increased revenue [2]. Group 3: Financial Position - The company's assets are mainly non-current, with average liquidity, and its interest-bearing debt is primarily long-term, indicating a light overall debt burden [2]. - The company demonstrates strong debt repayment indicators, with accessible indirect financing channels and manageable potential liability risks [2].

Core Viewpoint - The revenue growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size has shown fluctuations, with a significant decline in profit margins, indicating a challenging economic environment and potential investment risks [1][9][10]. Revenue Growth - In the first five months of the year, the cumulative revenue growth rate for industrial enterprises was 2.7%, down from 3.2% in the previous period, with May's month-on-month growth dropping to 0.8% [7][8][10]. - The revenue growth experienced a rebound in January and February, followed by a decline in April and May, reflecting a typical economic nominal growth pattern with insufficient growth momentum [1][7]. Profit Margins - The profit margin change was more pronounced than revenue, with May's profit declining by 9.1%, the lowest since October of the previous year, leading to a cumulative profit decline of 1.1% for the first five months [9][10][11]. - The profit growth rate turned negative again in May after briefly turning positive in March, indicating a volatile profit environment [9][10]. Industry Performance Fastest Growing Industries - Equipment manufacturing, particularly in transportation equipment (56%), general equipment (10.6%), and specialized equipment (7.1%), showed significant profit growth [15][16]. - The aerospace sector, including aircraft manufacturing (120.7%) and related equipment, also reported high profit growth rates [15][16]. - Non-ferrous metal mining and smelting industries saw profit increases of 41.7% and 9.8%, respectively, likely due to rising upstream prices and demand from emerging industries [15][16]. Slowest Growing Industries - The upstream mining sector, textile and apparel industries, and durable consumer goods (automobiles and furniture) experienced the lowest profit growth rates, with coal profits down by 50.6% and automotive profits down by 11.9% [19][20]. - The decline in profits for these sectors is attributed to falling commodity prices and weak domestic demand [19][20]. Profit Structure - The profit structure remains concentrated in midstream manufacturing, with equipment manufacturing accounting for 33.4% of incremental profits, up 3.6 percentage points from the previous year [20][24]. - Public utilities and raw materials industries also saw profit shares increase, indicating a shift in profit distribution within the industrial sector [20][24]. Inventory and Debt - As of the end of May, nominal inventory showed a slight decrease, while actual inventory rose by 6.8%, indicating a mismatch between supply and demand [28]. - The asset-liability ratio for industrial enterprises was 57.7%, with a slight increase year-on-year, reflecting a cautious approach to capital expenditure amid weak demand [30].

证券研究报告 2025 年 06 月 27 日 [Table_Title] 每日复盘 2025 年 6 月 27 日沪指震荡调整，有色板块集体拉升 风格上看，各指数涨跌幅排序为：周期>成长>0>消费>稳定>金融；小盘 成长>中盘成长>小盘价值>中盘价值>大盘成长>大盘价值；基金重仓表现优 于中证全指。 分行业看，30 个中信一级行业涨跌互现；表现相对靠前的是：有色金属 （2.21%），通信（1.68%），纺织服装（1.14%）；表现相对靠后的是：银行 （-2.85%），电力及公用事业（-0.99%），商贸零售（-0.73%）。概念板块方 面，多数概念板块上涨，CPO、光通信模块、铜缆高速连接等大幅上涨；退 税商店、跨境支付、地摊经济等大幅走低。 资金筹码方面，主力资金 6 月 27 日净流出 269.48 亿元。其中超大单净 流出 105.77 亿元，大单净流出 163.72 亿元，中单资金净流出 21.99 亿元， 小单持续净流入 282.90 亿元。 6 月 27 日，上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500 以及中证 1000 等 ETF 大部分 成交额较上一交易日减少。华夏上证 50ETF、华泰柏瑞沪深 ...

沪指6月27日下跌0.70%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有18个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、通信， 涨幅分别为2.17%、1.79%。纺织服饰行业位居今日涨幅榜第三。跌幅居前的行业为银行、公用事业， 跌幅分别为2.95%、1.01%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出194.12亿元，今日有8个行业主力资金净流入，通信行业主力资 金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨1.79%，全天净流入资金25.79亿元，其次是电子行业，日涨幅为 0.92%，净流入资金为24.35亿元。 | | | 纺织服饰行业今日上涨1.23%，全天主力资金净流入1.95亿元，该行业所属的个股共105只，今日上涨的 有84只，涨停的有6只；下跌的有17只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有45只， 其中，净流入资金超3000万元的有5只，净流入资金居首的是际华集团，今日净流入资金2.88亿元，紧 随其后的是飞亚达、金一文化，净流入资金分别为1.65亿元、1.01亿元。纺织服饰行业资金净流出个股 中，资金净流出超千万元的有11只，净流出资金居前的有万里马、棒杰股份、南山智尚，净流出资金分 别为2.42亿元、3500.01万元、2 ...

当地时间周四，美国财长贝森特表示，请求国会山从"大漂亮"税收草案中删除899条款，即备受争议 的"资本税"条款。华尔街此前的担忧得以缓解。 美国财政部宣布已与七国集团（G7）盟国达成协议，在美方同意取消特朗普税案中的第899条"报复性 税收"提案后，美国公司将被豁免于部分由其他国家征收的税项。 贝森特周四在社交媒体上表示： 经合组织（OECD）"第二支柱"税收将不适用于美国公司，我们将在接下来的数周和数月内，与经合 组织-二十国集团包容性框架中的其他成员国密切合作，以推进这一协议的落实。 基于这一进展与共识，我已请求参议院和众议院将第899条保护性条款从"大漂亮"法案中删除。 贝森特此前为"资本税"条款提案进行了辩护。他在国会作证时表示，其目的是防止外国通过数千亿美元 的额外税收"榨干"美国跨国公司。 众议院议长迈克·约翰逊（Mike Johnson）和参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩（John Thune）的代表未立即 回应是否会将该项"报复性税收"条款从法案中移除。 近期，特朗普政府推动将美国税制完全与OECD的全球税收框架脱钩，理由是美国已经对本国公司在海 外的收入征收了充分税款。 备受争议的"资本税"条款 ...

美股盘初，主要行业ETF多数上涨，全球航空业ETF涨近1%，区域银行ETF、医疗业ETF涨幅居前。 | 全球航空业E ... | 22.50 | +0.20 (+0.92%) 113.34万股 | | --- | --- | --- | | US JETS | | | | 医疗业ETF - ... | 134.76 | +0.86 (+0.64%) 140.60万股 | | us XLV | | | | 区域银行ET ... | 58.49 | +0.35 (+0.60%) 81.07万股 | | us KRE | | | | 公用事业ET ... | 80.95 | +0.45 (+0.56%) 140.43万股 | | us XLU | | | | 能源业ETF - ... | 84.90 | ↑ +0.36 (+0.43%) 258.89万股 | | us XLE | | | | 日常消费品E ... | 80.56 | ↑ +0.32 (+0.40%) 207.75万股 | | us XLP | | | | 金融业ETF --- | 51.59 | +0.18 (+0.36%) 410.69万股 | ...

注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 6月25日各行业融资余额环比变动 | 代码 | 最新融资余额（亿元） | 较上一日增减（亿元） | 环比增幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 非银金融 | 1541.63 | 39.95 | 2.66 | | 计算机 | 1387.36 | 22.77 | 1.67 | | 电子 | 2088.09 | 6.90 | 0.33 | | 国防军工 | 642.56 | 6.55 | 1.03 | | 基础化工 | 786.21 | 3.57 | 0.46 | | 通信 | 603.19 | 3.17 | 0.53 | | 家用电器 | 261.11 | 1.24 | 0.48 | | 电力设备 | 1296.12 | 1.09 | 0.08 | | 食品饮料 | 521.15 | 0.87 | 0.17 | | 环保 | 148.98 | 0.83 | 0.56 | | 美容护理 | 59.97 | 0.69 | 1.16 | | 社会服务 | 96.66 | 0.66 | 0.68 | | ...

美东时间周三，美股三大指数涨跌不一，脆弱的以伊停火协议继续维持，投资者聚焦美联储主 席鲍威尔的听证会。 目前标普500指数和纳指距离创纪录收盘高点仅有一步之遥。Carson Group首席市场策略师 Ryan Detrick评论称，市场就像是回到了正常的牛市行情。"我们已经应对了关税问题，也经 历了中东的地缘动荡，尽管有这些让人担心的事情，股票价格还是在上涨，因为美国经济很有 韧性，大家都在等着标普500指数创下新高。" 截至收盘，道指跌106.59点，跌幅为0.25%，报42982.43点；纳指涨61.02点，涨幅为 0.31%，报19973.55点；标普500指数跌0.02点，报6092.16点。 标普500指数的11个板块中，房地产板块收跌2.46%，可选消费板块跌1.13%，能源板块跌 0.43%，电信板块涨0.51%，信息技术/科技板块涨1.18%。 以色列和伊朗之间脆弱的休战得以继续维持，美国总统特朗普宣布取得了胜利，这让投资者松 了一口气，认为冲突不会扰乱全球原油供应。美国中央情报局声称，伊朗几处关键核设施已被 摧毁，需要数年时间才能重建。 在第二场听证会上，鲍威尔重申，美联储并不急于降息，强调 ...

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：担心踏空 | [Table_Title2] 国内市场表现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指 数 | 收 盘 | 涨 跌 | 幅度（%） | 五日走势 | | 上证指数 | 3455.97 | 35.41 | 1.04% | | | 沪 深300指 数 | 3960.07 | 56.03 | 1.44% | | | 中证可转债指数 | 441.46 | 3.50 | 0.80% | | | 7-10年国开债指数 | 266.85 | -0.20 | -0.07% | | | 3-5年隐含AA+信用指数 | 189.95 | -0.03 | -0.01% | | 复盘与思考: 6 月 25 日，权益市场放量上涨，一定程度上与稳市资金的参与相关，更关键的是资金"跟注"倾向显现， 担心"踏空"的情绪有所发酵；股市情绪持续压制，叠加跨季资金面边际收敛，债市收益率进一步回调，长端品 种弱于短端。 复盘各类资产表现，股市，大盘股指中，上证 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong dollar (HKD) has recently experienced significant fluctuations, approaching the "weak side convertibility guarantee" of 7.85, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervening to sell HKD to stabilize the currency [1][3]. Currency Fluctuation and Market Impact - The HKD's rapid movement between the strong and weak side convertibility guarantees has not been seen in the past decade, indicating heightened volatility in the currency market [1]. - The intervention by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has led to an increase in HKD liquidity, resulting in a significant decline in HKD interest rates, which has widened the interest rate differential between HKD and USD, creating opportunities for carry trades [3][4]. Stock Market Performance - Despite concerns over liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, the market has shown resilience, particularly in the dividend sector. The Hang Seng Index rose by 8.8% from May to June 24, while the S&P Hong Kong Low Volatility Dividend Index increased by 10% during the same period [3][4]. - Historical analysis shows that during previous periods of HKD weakness (2018-2019 and 2022-2023), the dividend sector outperformed the overall Hang Seng Index, highlighting its defensive characteristics [4][10]. Long-term Investment Value - The S&P Hong Kong Low Volatility Dividend Index has demonstrated strong performance during periods of market volatility, with a 17.2% increase over the past 12 months compared to a mere 2.1% rise in the Hang Seng Index [10]. - The current low interest rate environment, with the 10-year government bond yield dropping from over 2.5% to 1.7%, enhances the long-term investment appeal of Hong Kong dividend stocks, particularly for investors not subject to dividend tax [10][19]. Inflow of Capital - The influx of mainland capital has significantly supported the liquidity of the Hong Kong stock market, with net purchases from southbound funds reaching 676.08 billion HKD this year, nearing the total for the previous year [17][19]. - The financial sector has seen the largest increase in market value from southbound funds, with a rise of 370.1 billion HKD, indicating strong interest in dividend-paying stocks [19]. Future Outlook - The recent HKD fluctuations are viewed as a conflict between global monetary policy divergence and excess liquidity in Hong Kong. Analysts expect that the negative impact on the market from potential HKD tightening will be manageable [23]. - The overall market sentiment is improving due to strong economic fundamentals in China and ongoing inflows of southbound capital, suggesting a favorable environment for the Hong Kong stock market moving forward [23].