Core Viewpoint - Significant progress has been made in China-US economic and trade negotiations, with the US agreeing to cancel the 10% "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods [1] Market Reactions - A-shares opened slightly lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.11%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.08% [1] - International gold prices rebounded, surpassing $4000 per ounce, leading to a collective rise in gold stocks [1] - The retail sector became active at the beginning of trading following the issuance of a notice by the Ministry of Finance and four other departments regarding the improvement of duty-free shop policies to boost consumption [1] - Small metals, coal, and semiconductor sectors opened lower [1]

Market Overview - The small metals sector increased by 0.86% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhongkuang Resources leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3986.9, down 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13532.13, down 1.16% [1] Top Performers - Zhongkuang Resources (002738) closed at 56.90, up 5.68% with a trading volume of 453,000 shares and a transaction value of 2.517 billion [1] - China Tungsten High-Tech (000657) closed at 26.01, up 5.05% with a trading volume of 2.7811 million shares and a transaction value of 7.221 billion [1] - Xianglu Tungsten Industry (002842) closed at 12.16, up 3.93% with a trading volume of 570,600 shares [1] Underperformers - Caoyuan Tungsten Industry (002378) closed at 13.36, down 5.32% with a trading volume of 903,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.234 billion [2] - Xiamen Tungsten Industry (600549) closed at 36.55, down 2.56% with a trading volume of 768,900 shares and a transaction value of 2.834 billion [2] - Dongfang Silver (000962) closed at 33.07, down 3.30% with a trading volume of 383,700 shares [2] Capital Flow - The small metals sector experienced a net outflow of 1.458 billion from main funds, while speculative funds saw a net inflow of 459 million, and retail investors had a net inflow of 999 million [2][3] - Zhongkuang Resources had a main fund net inflow of 151 million, while retail investors had a net outflow of 163 million [3] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types within the small metals sector [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, particularly in the tungsten and molybdenum segment, which showed remarkable growth [5][7] - The company is positioned as a materials platform enterprise, benefiting from rising tungsten prices and strong demand for lithium cobalt materials [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.78 billion yuan, up 27.1% year-on-year [7] - In Q3 alone, revenue reached 12.82 billion yuan, reflecting a 39.3% year-on-year growth and an 18.7% quarter-on-quarter increase, with net profit of 810 million yuan, a significant 109.9% increase year-on-year [7] - The tungsten and molybdenum business generated a total profit of 2.33 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with a profit margin of 16.0% [7] - The rare earth business reported a total profit of 190 million yuan in the first three quarters, with a profit margin of 4.3% [7] - The energy new materials segment saw a total profit of 610 million yuan, with a profit margin of 4.7%, and lithium cobalt sales increased by 45% year-on-year [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.64 billion yuan, 3.05 billion yuan, and 3.39 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.66 yuan, 1.92 yuan, and 2.13 yuan per share [6][7] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 22.6, 19.5, and 17.6 [6][7]

小金属 洛阳钼业（603993.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 10 月 30 日 相关报告 1、《铜产量超预期，公司管理精益 求精》2025-04-03 2024-10-31 报告摘要 股价与行业-市场走势对比 事件：公司发布 2025 年三季报，2025 年前三季度实现营业收入 1454.85 亿元，同比 -6.0%；实现归母净利润 142.8 亿元，同比+72.6%；扣非净利润 145.37 亿元，同比 +70%。其中 25Q3 单季度实现营业收入 507.13 亿元，同比-2.36%，环比+3.99%； 实现归母净利润 56.08 亿元，同比+96.4%，环比+18.69%；实现扣非净利润 58.13 亿元，同比+98.6%，环比+21.21%。业绩超预期，主要由于主要产品价格同比上升， 叠加铜产品产销量同比实现增长，实现利润同比上升。 铜钴板块量价齐增 | 评级： 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指标 | | | 2024A | 2025E ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. (603993) experienced a stock price increase of 4.78%, closing at 17.55 yuan on October 29, 2025, with a trading volume of 2.8384 million hands and a total transaction value of 4.911 billion yuan [1] - The stock opened at 16.98 yuan, reached a high of 17.56 yuan, and a low of 16.93 yuan during the trading session [1] - The net inflow of main funds was 466 million yuan, accounting for 9.49% of the total transaction value, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 305 million yuan, representing 6.22% of the total transaction value [1] Group 2 - The technical analysis indicates that Luoyang Molybdenum's stock is in a narrow consolidation pattern, with a clear resistance level at 16.92 yuan and a key support level at 16.53 yuan [3] - The stock price has tested the resistance level multiple times without success, while buying support remains near the support level [3] - Technical indicators are neutral to weak, with short-term moving averages intertwined, not providing a clear trend signal [3]

Market Overview - The small metals sector increased by 3.56% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhongtung High-tech leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Zhongtung High-tech (000657) closed at 24.76, up 10.00% with a trading volume of 726,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.78 billion [1] - Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) closed at 29.63, up 6.74% with a trading volume of 196,900 shares [1] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) closed at 37.51, up 6.71% with a trading volume of 1,047,900 shares and a transaction value of 3.87 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378) up 5.85%, Guizhou Platinum (600459) up 5.84%, and Tin Industry Co. (000960) up 5.84% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metals sector saw a net inflow of 808 million in main funds, while speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 733 million [2] - Retail investors also saw a net outflow of 7.5 million [2] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Stocks - North Rare Earth (600111) had a main fund net inflow of 26.66 million, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 1.81 billion [3] - Shenghe Resources (600392) recorded a main fund net inflow of 187 million, with speculative funds experiencing a net outflow of 104 million [3] - Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378) had a main fund net inflow of 156 million, but retail investors saw a significant net outflow of 167 million [3] - Zhongtung High-tech (000657) had a main fund net inflow of 130 million, with both speculative and retail investors experiencing net outflows [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a strong performance in the afternoon session, with significant increases in major indices and notable sector movements [1]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33 points, up 0.70%, with a trading volume of 968.216 billion yuan - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38 points, up 1.95%, with a trading volume of 1287.814 billion yuan - The ChiNext Index closed at 3324.27 points, up 2.93%, with a trading volume of 616.646 billion yuan [1]. Sector Performance - Leading sectors in terms of gains included energy metals, photovoltaic equipment, industrial metals, minor metals, and precious metals - Sectors that experienced declines included banks, film and television, textile manufacturing, kitchen and bathroom appliances, and liquor [1]. A-Share Sector Rankings - The top-performing sectors included: - Hosting and related services: +4.44% with a trading volume of 485.58 million hands and a net inflow of 34.64 billion yuan - Photovoltaic equipment: +4.26% with a trading volume of 3237.04 million hands and a net inflow of 108.01 billion yuan - Industrial-related sectors: +3.94% with a trading volume of 5821.21 million hands and a net inflow of 98.69 billion yuan [2]. - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Banks: -1.81% with a trading volume of 5002.30 million hands and a net outflow of 99.21 billion yuan - Film and television: -0.95% with a trading volume of 592.35 million hands and a net outflow of 2.48 billion yuan - Textile manufacturing: -0.93% with a trading volume of 360.92 million hands and a net outflow of 4.38 billion yuan [2].

Core Viewpoint - Guangsheng Nonferrous Metal Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 103.85%, despite recent fluctuations in trading volume and net capital outflow [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Guangsheng Nonferrous reported a revenue of 2.677 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 72.4987 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 124.04% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of October 29, Guangsheng Nonferrous's stock price was 56.69 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 385 million yuan and a market capitalization of 19.073 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has experienced a recent net outflow of 13.32 million yuan in principal funds, with large orders showing a buy-sell ratio of 21.52% to 22.67% [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 32.18% to 55,500, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 24.34% to 6,061 shares [2]. - Notable changes in institutional holdings include significant increases in shares held by several funds, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited exiting the top ten circulating shareholders [3]. Company Overview - Guangsheng Nonferrous, established on June 18, 1993, and listed on May 25, 2000, is primarily engaged in the mining and processing of nonferrous metals, with a revenue composition of 59.32% from commercial activities and 40.68% from industrial activities [1]. - The company operates within the nonferrous metals sector, specifically focusing on small metals and rare earth elements [1].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share small metal sector has shown strong performance, particularly in tungsten, with significant price increases driven by supply constraints and rising demand [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The tungsten sector has seen a collective rise, with notable stocks such as Zhongtung High-tech reaching a trading limit, and Xiamen Tungsten hitting a historical high [2]. - As of October 28, the price of 65% black tungsten concentrate reached 288,000 yuan/ton, marking a 101.4% increase since the beginning of the year [2][4]. Group 2: Price Trends - The price of ammonium paratungstate (APT) has reached a record high, with domestic prices at 425,000 yuan/ton, also reflecting a 101.4% increase year-to-date [4]. - European APT prices range from 610 to 685 USD/ton, equivalent to 384,000 to 431,000 yuan/ton [4]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of tungsten is expected to be controlled through mining regulations until 2025, impacting overall availability [4]. - Demand for tungsten is projected to grow, with a reported consumption of 35,900 tons in the first half of 2025, a 2.1% increase year-on-year [4]. Group 4: Company Performance - Seven A-share listed companies involved in tungsten production have reported significant growth in both performance and stock prices this year [4]. - Notable companies include Luoyang Molybdenum, which has seen a 159.85% increase in stock price, and Xiamen Tungsten, with an 87.26% increase [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's performance has been positively impacted by the significant increase in copper and cobalt prices, leading to a rise in overall profitability [3] - The gross profit margin for the mining segment reached 53%, with copper and cobalt contributing 70% and 13% to the gross profit, respectively [3] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.3 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 73% [3] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards due to the rise in copper and cobalt prices, with net profits projected at 18.8 billion, 25.5 billion, and 29.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company reported total revenue of 145.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6%, while the net profit for Q3 2025 was 5.61 billion yuan, up 96.4% year-on-year [8][3] - The company’s copper production reached 543,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, achieving 86% of its annual target [8][3] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.88 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.06 [1][9]