Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The September fiscal data shows a marginal recovery in general public budget revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 2.6%, up from 2% in the previous period, driven mainly by VAT and a significant increase in stamp duty revenue [9][10] - Government fund budget revenue turned positive in September, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, while expenditure growth slowed to 0.4%, indicating a potential for fiscal policy to support economic recovery [10][11] - The central government announced a new policy of 500 billion yuan in financial tools and 500 billion yuan in local debt limits to stimulate the economy, which is expected to have a positive impact in the fourth quarter [11] Group 2: Industry and Company Insights - The modern investment banking sector is evolving, with a focus on cross-border asset management, particularly in Hong Kong, which has a substantial asset management scale of 35.14 trillion HKD [18][19] - The telecommunications industry is experiencing rapid advancements in satellite internet deployment, with 116 satellites launched to date, enhancing communication capabilities [22][23] - The lithium battery industry is witnessing a significant price increase in lithium hexafluorophosphate, which has risen over 50% since mid-July, driven by tight supply and increasing demand [35]

Core Viewpoint - Despite a noticeable market correction this week, the outlook for the energy storage and lithium battery industries remains positive, driven by multiple catalysts at this moment [1] Group 1: Energy Storage Industry - The global resonance of the energy storage industry trend remains unchanged [1] - In China, the core driver is the comprehensive market entry of new energy, which is widening the peak-valley electricity price difference, along with the introduction of capacity electricity pricing policies that enhance the internal rate of return (IRR) for energy storage [1] - In the U.S., there is a significant power gap in data centers, making the combination of solar and storage an irreplaceable and rapidly scalable energy source [1] Group 2: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery sector is currently experiencing multiple catalysts, with recent market declines attributed to speculations regarding export control policy interpretations [1] - The decline is mainly due to some funds cashing out, but the industry fundamentals remain optimistic amid the ongoing impact of U.S.-China relations [1] - The production season is strong, with materials and energy storage batteries in short supply, leading to continuous price increases; demand clarity for 2026 is becoming more evident, with significant growth in lithium battery production in Q3 compared to previous quarters [1] - The focus remains on materials, particularly 6F, lithium iron phosphate, and opportunities within the battery segment [1]

Core Insights - The new energy sector is experiencing a reversal in supply and demand dynamics, with positive changes on the supply side driven by market factors and "anti-involution" policies [1][2] - Investment opportunities are not only arising from supply improvements but also depend on sustained demand performance [1][3] Supply and Demand Dynamics - After a prolonged adjustment period, the new energy sector has shown significant strength this year, with prices and profits at low levels across various segments [2] - The supply-demand gap in the industry has been narrowing since last year, and there is a strong possibility of a supply shortage next year, leading to a sustained price increase cycle [2] - Recent stabilization in lithium carbonate prices is crucial for the new energy industry, as it is more market-driven compared to cobalt prices, which are influenced by non-market factors [2] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on high-end manufacturing and technology sectors, selecting companies with global competitiveness and supporting their growth over the long term [4] - The current investment portfolio is concentrated in new energy, electronics, machinery, and military industries, with a "two-end allocation" strategy that emphasizes technology and AI on one end and new energy and military on the other [4] - AI technology is accelerating its implementation across various sectors, contributing to actual revenue for some companies, indicating a continuous emergence of high-quality investment opportunities [4]

李填 博士 国轩高科 董事长 G高工锂电修 2025年11月18-20日 深圳前海华侨城JW万豪酒店 I 90 3 . 码 上 报 名 全球能源变革加速演进,格局重构 版图,人类能源文明正谱写新篇章。能源 技术创新从无灵光乍现的偶然,唯有长期 深耕才是必然。我始终坚信,要用"慢功 夫"做"难而正确"的事,用"真智慧" 解"无限可能"的题。身处百年变局,投 机取巧、不重科学终将被淘汰,唯有坚持 真理、聚焦实干方能跨越。国轩高科不惧 短期得失,不为乱象所惑。真正的科学探 索从不为掌声停留,思想引永远属于"无 人区"的拓荒者。 来源：2025全球科技大会国轩致辞2025.05 激荡十五载 瞭望新征程 ２０２５第十五届高工锂电年会 暨十五周年庆典＆高工金球奖颁奖典礼 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on sectors such as green hydrogen, ammonia, wind power, energy storage, and photovoltaic industries, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [2][3][4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of policies related to renewable energy consumption, carbon reduction, and the development of related manufacturing industries during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in China [2]. - It highlights the shift from demonstration exploration to large-scale development in the hydrogen and fuel cell sector, driven by recent policy initiatives [3][6]. - The report notes that the wind power sector is expected to see increased activity due to tax policy adjustments, particularly benefiting offshore wind projects [3][13]. - The photovoltaic and energy storage sectors are experiencing recovery in profitability, with significant performance improvements expected in Q3 [15][18]. - The lithium battery sector is witnessing a continued rise in key raw material prices, indicating a high level of market activity and potential for further price increases [19][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - Recent policies are systematically removing barriers to the development of green hydrogen and its derivatives, marking a transition to large-scale production [3][6]. - The introduction of mandatory consumption targets for non-electric renewable energy sources is expected to create a stable market demand for green hydrogen [6][7]. - Financial support mechanisms are being implemented to enhance project viability and stimulate supply-side improvements [7][8]. Wind Power - The adjustment of VAT policies for wind power is anticipated to have a limited negative impact on onshore projects while boosting offshore project development [12][13]. - The report indicates a robust growth trajectory for offshore wind installations, with significant bidding activity observed [13][14]. Photovoltaics and Energy Storage - The report notes a recovery in the photovoltaic supply chain, with upstream companies benefiting from improved pricing and profitability [15][16]. - It highlights the importance of monitoring the potential milestones in the anti-involution actions and the year-end installation trends [15][18]. Lithium Batteries - The report discusses the ongoing price increases in key lithium battery materials, particularly lithium hexafluorophosphate, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [19][20]. - It emphasizes the need to focus on leading companies in the lithium battery supply chain that are likely to benefit from these price trends [19][21]. Electric Grid - The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Si Yuan Electric, which has exceeded profit expectations due to increased overseas orders [30][31]. - It also notes the potential for significant growth in the electric grid sector driven by new bidding standards and increased capital expenditures [30][31].

Group 1: Event Overview - The CINE2025 Solid-State Battery Exhibition and Industry Annual Conference will be held from November 6-8, 2025, at the Guangzhou Nansha International Convention Center, featuring over 200 exhibitors and 20,000 professional attendees [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Huayou Cobalt reported a revenue of 58.941 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 29.57%, and a net profit of 4.216 billion yuan, up 39.59% [2][4] - In Q3 2025, Huayou Cobalt achieved a revenue of 21.744 billion yuan, marking a 40.85% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.505 billion yuan, up 11.53% [4][5] - The company attributes its performance to integrated operations, rising cobalt prices, management reforms, and cost reduction efforts [4] Group 3: Market Context - The lithium battery industry experienced a turning point in the first half of 2025, with global electric vehicle sales increasing by 35% and domestic lithium battery installations exceeding 300 GWh, a 42% year-on-year growth [6][8] - The domestic lithium battery industry's capital expenditure saw a positive growth of 31.72% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in the market [8] Group 4: Cobalt Market Dynamics - Cobalt prices have risen significantly due to the Democratic Republic of Congo lifting its cobalt export ban, leading to a supply shortage [8][9] - Huayou Cobalt benefits from its early investments in Congolese mining resources, ensuring a stable and low-cost cobalt supply [9] Group 5: Future Prospects - Cobalt products are expected to continue contributing stable revenue and gross profit to Huayou Cobalt, becoming a key financial pillar [10] - The company has multiple nickel wet-process smelting projects in Indonesia, with a total production capacity of approximately 245,000 tons of nickel intermediate products [10][11] - Upcoming projects include a lithium sulfate project expected to be completed by the end of 2025 and a cathode material project in Hungary set to be completed in 2025 [12]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The lithium hexafluorophosphate market is experiencing unexpected prosperity, and the supply-side reform in the photovoltaic sector is continuously advancing [1] - The report highlights significant improvements in the supply-demand dynamics of the lithium hexafluorophosphate market, with prices rising sharply due to the end of the oversupply situation [8] - The photovoltaic industry is seeing a notable recovery, with the average external price of granular silicon increasing by 27.9% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a positive trend in the sector [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic sector is in a "de-involution" phase, with significant effects from supply-side reforms. The average external price of granular silicon reached 42.12 RMB/kg, up 27.9% from Q2, while cash costs decreased by 4.5% [5] - The price of silicon materials has stabilized around 50 RMB/kg, and there are expectations for new policies to further support the industry [5] - Companies to watch include GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., and high-efficiency battery technology firms such as BAK Power, Aiko Solar, and LONGi Green Energy [5] Wind Power - The offshore wind sector is entering a bidding peak, with significant projects being approved and orders being won by companies like Orient Cable and Zhongtian Technology [6] - The onshore wind market remains robust, with a high level of bidding activity and increasing average prices for wind turbines [7] Energy Storage - Hebei Province has released a list of independent energy storage pilot projects totaling 13.82 GW/47.03 GWh, indicating a push for diverse energy storage technologies [7] - The SNEC ES+2025 International Energy Storage Exhibition showcased advancements in large-scale energy storage systems [7] Lithium Battery - Companies in the lithium battery supply chain are advancing solid-state battery technologies, with significant deliveries of semi-solid batteries reported [7] - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged over 20% in less than a month, reflecting a substantial improvement in the supply-demand balance [8] Power Equipment - The State Grid's fixed asset investment increased by 8.1% year-on-year, with expectations for continued growth in power infrastructure [9] - The first cross-grid electricity spot trading between Southern and State Grid marks a significant step towards a unified electricity market in China [10]

Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the long-term optimism towards sectors such as semiconductors, innovative technology products, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while highlighting the structural opportunities arising from the "anti-involution" trend in the new energy sector [2][5]. Group 1: Semiconductor and AI Sector - The semiconductor and innovative technology sectors are expected to continue their growth trajectory, with a focus on structural opportunities amidst the "anti-involution" movement [2]. - The AI sector has seen significant breakthroughs, with expectations of increased market volatility following substantial short-term gains [3]. - Major companies like Oracle and Nvidia are making significant advancements in AI, indicating a robust growth outlook for the industry [4]. Group 2: Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals - The healthcare sector, particularly innovative pharmaceuticals, is anticipated to benefit from demographic trends such as aging populations and the internationalization of innovative drugs [5][10]. - There is a shift towards active stock selection in the pharmaceutical sector, with a focus on high-certainty stocks as the market enters a phase of differentiation [10][11]. Group 3: New Energy Sector - The new energy sector is facing challenges such as overcapacity, but there is growing confidence in investment opportunities, particularly in leading companies with cost advantages and innovative technologies [12]. - The government’s efforts to guide the industry towards "anti-involution" are seen as a catalyst for accelerating the clearing of inefficient capacities [12]. Group 4: Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - The overall market is expected to experience structural opportunities, with a focus on sectors like storage, resources, gaming, media, consumer electronics, and domestic computing power [6][8]. - The investment strategy includes a focus on high-quality companies with strong growth potential and reasonable valuations across various sectors, including electronics and automotive components [13].

Core Insights - Chinese battery manufacturers dominate the global lithium battery market, producing 80% of the world's batteries [1] - In 2024, Chinese battery companies are expected to invest over $12 billion in Southeast Asia, with significant investments already made in July [1] - Indonesia, holding 52% of the world's nickel reserves, is a key player in the supply chain for lithium batteries, particularly for its high energy density and storage capacity [1][2] Group 1 - The investment trend of Chinese lithium battery companies in Southeast Asia is driven by the availability of nickel resources in Indonesia [2] - The Weda Bay Industrial Park, a joint investment by Chinese firms, aims to create a complete industrial chain from mining to battery material production, with a total investment exceeding $11 billion [2] - The electric vehicle market in Southeast Asia is growing rapidly, with sales reaching 204,000 units in 2023 and a projected compound annual growth rate of 22% from 2024 to 2029 [2] Group 2 - Despite the rich nickel and cobalt resources, Indonesia still relies on imports for some key materials, such as lithium from Australia and cathode materials from China [2] - Indonesia is poised to become a manufacturing hub for power batteries in Southeast Asia, supplying electric vehicle manufacturers in Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia [2]

Core Insights - Chinese battery manufacturers dominate the global lithium battery market, producing 80% of the world's batteries [1] - In 2024, Chinese battery companies are expected to invest over $12 billion in Southeast Asia, with significant investments already made in July [1] - Indonesia, holding 52% of the world's nickel reserves, is a key player in the supply chain for lithium batteries, particularly for its high energy density and storage capacity [1][2] Group 1: Investment and Market Dynamics - Chinese lithium battery companies are increasingly establishing manufacturing facilities in Indonesia, leveraging local nickel resources [2] - The Weda Bay Industrial Park, a joint investment by Chinese firms, aims to create a complete supply chain from mining to battery material production, with a total investment exceeding $11 billion [2] - Southeast Asia's electric vehicle market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 22% from 2024 to 2029 [2] Group 2: Supply Chain and Resource Dependency - Despite Indonesia's rich nickel and cobalt resources, the local industry still relies on imports for key materials like lithium from Australia and cathode materials from China [2] - Indonesia is poised to become a manufacturing hub for power batteries in Southeast Asia, supplying electric vehicle manufacturers in Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia [2]