银行等
Search documents
国泰海通|金工:市场下周或将延续震荡上行态势——量化择时和拥挤度预警周报(20250608)
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-08 13:53
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue a trend of oscillating upward in the coming week, supported by technical indicators and liquidity metrics [1][2]. Market Indicators - The liquidity shock index for the CSI 300 was 0.30, indicating higher liquidity than the average level over the past year by 0.30 standard deviations [2]. - The PUT-CALL ratio for the SSE 50 ETF options decreased to 0.85, reflecting a reduced caution among investors regarding short-term movements [2]. - The five-day average turnover rates for the SSE Composite Index and Wind All A were 0.82% and 1.40%, respectively, indicating increased trading activity [2]. Macroeconomic Factors - The onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates saw weekly increases of 0.15% and 0.25%, respectively [2]. - The official manufacturing PMI for China in May was reported at 49.5, matching expectations, while the Caixin manufacturing PMI was lower at 48.3 [2]. Technical Analysis - The Wind All A index broke through the SAR point on June 4, signaling a buy opportunity, with the moving average strength index scoring 207, placing it in the 81.6% percentile since 2021 [2][3]. Market Performance - For the week of June 2 to June 6, the SSE 50 index rose by 0.38%, the CSI 300 index increased by 0.88%, the CSI 500 index grew by 1.6%, and the ChiNext index surged by 2.32% [3]. - The overall market PE (TTM) stands at 19.2 times, which is in the 52.3% percentile since 2005 [3]. Factor Analysis - Small-cap factors performed well, with a crowding degree of 1.05, while low valuation factors had a crowding degree of 0.06 [3]. - The industry crowding degree is relatively high in machinery, comprehensive, retail, environmental protection, and beauty care sectors, with notable increases in beauty care and banking [3].
【盘中播报】沪指涨0.33% 综合行业涨幅最大
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-06-04 03:06
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.33% as of 10:28 AM, with a trading volume of 445.73 billion shares and a turnover of 540.25 billion yuan, representing a decrease of 8.41% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Comprehensive: +2.17% with a turnover of 15.96 billion yuan, led by Dongyangguang (+6.26%) [1]. - Non-ferrous Metals: +1.63% with a turnover of 236.13 billion yuan, led by Sry New Materials (+12.20%) [1]. - Communication: +1.47% with a turnover of 287.97 billion yuan, led by Taichengguang (+15.65%) [1]. - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Transportation: -0.75% with a turnover of 124.09 billion yuan, led by Xinning Logistics (-6.09%) [2]. - Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery: -0.40% with a turnover of 71.39 billion yuan, led by Xiangjia Co. (-5.01%) [2]. - Banking: -0.38% with a turnover of 114.66 billion yuan, led by Qingdao Bank (-1.90%) [2]. Detailed Industry Data - The following industries showed notable performance: - Electronics: +1.43% with a turnover of 481.30 billion yuan, led by Guanghua Technology (+10.02%) [1]. - Power Equipment: +1.27% with a turnover of 404.26 billion yuan, led by Keheng Co. (+20.02%) [1]. - Textile and Apparel: +0.93% with a turnover of 98.88 billion yuan, led by Mankalon (+13.55%) [1]. - Conversely, industries with significant downturns included: - Coal: -0.12% with a turnover of 18.78 billion yuan, led by Dayou Energy (-1.61%) [2]. - Public Utilities: -0.13% with a turnover of 76.12 billion yuan, led by Southern Power Energy (-5.50%) [2]. - Real Estate: +0.13% with a turnover of 47.49 billion yuan, led by Zhujiang Co. (+9.95%) [1].
转债市场日度跟踪20250529-20250529
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-29 13:43
证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 转债市场日度跟踪 20250529 ❖ 市场概况:今日转债增量上涨,估值环比抬升 指数表现:中证转债指数环比上涨 0.58%、上证综指环比上涨 0.70%、深证成 指环比上涨 1.24%、创业板指环比上涨 1.37%、上证 50 指数环比上涨 0.29%、 中证 1000 指数环比上涨 1.76%。 市场风格:小盘成长相对占优。大盘成长环比上涨 0.62%、大盘价值环比下降 0.03%、中盘成长环比上涨 1.48%、中盘价值环比上涨 0.62%、小盘成长环比 上涨 1.53%、小盘价值环比上涨 0.84%。 资金表现:转债市场成交情绪升温。可转债市场成交额为 571.54 亿元,环比 增长 12.24%;万得全 A 总成交额为 12134.10 亿元,环比增长 17.37%;沪深 两市主力净流入 74.33 亿元,十年国债收益率环比上升 0.45bp 至 1.69%。 转债价格:转债中枢提升,高价券占比提升。转债整体收盘价加权平均值为 118.69 元,环比昨日上升 0.59%。其中偏股型转债的收盘价为 162.71 元,环比 上升 0.07%;偏债型转债的收盘价为 11 ...
【策略】继续关注三类资产——2025年6月A股及港股月度金股组合(张宇生/王国兴)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-29 13:10
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 报告摘要 5月A股港股市场有所回暖 5月A股主要指数涨跌分化,行业端涨多跌少。受风险偏好波动等因素影响,5月(截至27日),A股主要指数 涨跌出现分化,其中万得全A涨幅最大,而科创50跌幅最大。行业端涨多跌少,轻工制造、综合、纺织服饰等 行业表现较好,而电子、计算机、房地产、社会服务等行业表现相对较差。 5月港股市场震荡上行。5月受海外扰动缓和、国内风险偏好回暖等因素影响,港股市场整体走势震荡上行。截 至2025年5月27日,恒生香港35、恒生指数、恒生综合指数、恒生中国企业指数、恒生科技的涨幅分别为 7.6%、5.7%、5.3%、4.9%、1.9%。 A股观点:继续关注三类资产 政策的持续支持以及中长期资金积极流入背景下, A股市场有望震荡上行。当前A股市场的估值处于2010年以 来的均值附近,而随着政策的积极发力,中长期资金带来的增量资金或将持续流入市场,对资本市场形成托 底,A股市场有望震荡上行。 配置方向上,关注三类资产。方向一:稳定类资产,如高股息、黄金。稳定类资产能够在市场面临不确定时提 供确定性。方向二:产业链自主可控。在"双循环"新发展格局和全球产业链重构的双重驱 ...
主力资金动向 87.55亿元潜入非银金融业
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-14 08:50
证券时报·数据宝统计,今日有13个行业主力资金净流入,18个行业主力资金净流出。资金净流入金额 最大的行业为非银金融,涨跌幅3.99%,整体换手率2.05%,成交量较前一个交易日变动147.16%,主力 资金净流量87.55亿元;今日资金净流出最大的行业为电力设备,涨跌幅-0.16%,整体换手率2.20%,成 交量较前一个交易日变动-19.84%,主力资金净流量-28.94亿元。(数据宝) 今日各行业主力资金流向一览 | 行业名 | 成交量(亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入(亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 称 | 股) | (%) | (%) | (%) | 元) | | 非银金 融 | 84.61 | 147.16 | 2.05 | 3.99 | 87.55 | | 交通运 输 | 67.22 | 51.18 | 1.60 | 1.79 | 25.32 | | 计算机 | 69.35 | 7.62 | 3.92 | 0.86 | 13.07 | | 食品饮 料 | 14.53 | 12.03 | 1.60 | 1 ...
今日沪指涨0.19% 非银金融行业涨幅最大
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-14 04:13
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.19% today, with a trading volume of 606.39 million shares and a total transaction value of 735.57 billion yuan, representing an 18.90% decrease compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Non-bank Financials: +1.23%, with a transaction value of 238.85 billion yuan, led by Hongta Securities (+5.27%) [1]. - Transportation: +1.09%, with a transaction value of 272.69 billion yuan, led by Air China (+24.84%) [1]. - Oil and Petrochemicals: +0.86%, with a transaction value of 48.97 billion yuan, led by Maohua Shihua (+10.11%) [1]. - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Textiles and Apparel: -1.11%, with a transaction value of 100.10 billion yuan, led by Taihu Snow (-7.13%) [2]. - Electric Power Equipment: -0.96%, with a transaction value of 525.10 billion yuan, led by Xinyu Ren (-7.84%) [2]. - Social Services: -0.83%, with a transaction value of 52.02 billion yuan, led by Qujiang Cultural Tourism (-4.03%) [2]. Summary of Sector Changes - Non-bank Financials showed a decrease in transaction value by 7.63% compared to the previous day [1]. - Transportation sector saw a significant increase in transaction value by 40.62% compared to the previous day [1]. - The overall market sentiment reflected a mixed performance across various sectors, with notable gains in non-bank financials and transportation, while textiles and electric power equipment faced declines [1][2].
【盘中播报】5只A股跌停 国防军工行业跌幅最大
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-09 03:35
证券时报·数据宝统计,截至上午10:29,今日沪指跌0.26%,A股成交量485.58亿股,成交金额5867.04亿 元,比上一个交易日减少2.38%。个股方面,1220只个股上涨,其中涨停45只,4016只个股下跌,其中 跌停5只。从申万行业来看,美容护理、银行、纺织服饰等涨幅最大,涨幅分别为2.29%、1.17%、 0.74%;国防军工、电子、计算机等跌幅最大,跌幅分别为2.11%、1.65%、1.46%。(数据宝) | 机械设备 | | | | 电光科技 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 计算机 | -1.46 | 664.24 | 13.14 | 网达软件 | -6.63 | | 电子 | -1.65 | 627.06 | -1.72 | 华虹公司 | -11.08 | | 国防军工 | -2.11 | 445.55 | 19.15 | 通易航天 | -9.44 | 注:本文系新闻报道,不构成投资建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 (文章来源:证券时报网) 今日各行业表现(截至上午10:29) | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌(%) | 成交额(亿元) | ...
主力资金动向 41.90亿元潜入国防军工业
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-07 10:04
注:本文系新闻报道,不构成投资建议,股市有风险,投资需谨慎。 (文章来源:证券时报网) 业 | 基础化 | 76.48 | 15.02 | 2.86 | 1.15 | -5.73 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 工 | | | | | | | 有色金 | 41.67 | -3.26 | 1.91 | 0.45 | -9.44 | | 属 | | | | | | | 家用电 | 25.04 | 7.97 | 3.27 | 0.54 | -9.58 | | 器 | | | | | | | 汽车 | 62.38 | 15.64 | 2.90 | 0.10 | -13.72 | | 电力设 备 | 56.60 | 3.75 | 2.34 | 0.89 | -14.43 | | 机械设 | | | | | | | 备 | 101.44 | 10.38 | 3.78 | 0.59 | -14.68 | | 传媒 | 38.92 | -10.53 | 2.68 | -0.56 | -15.14 | | 医药生 | 51.24 | 7.14 | 1.89 | -0.11 | ...
瑞银策略:A股盈利加速增长,建议战术上平衡价值与成长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 01:12
5月6日,瑞银发布中国股市策略报告称,鉴于存在多重不确定性,建议在战术上平衡价值与成长。 短期内,由于盈利能见度较高,在市场成交量萎缩的情况下,大盘股表现可能优于小盘股。在行业选择上,瑞银战术性看好受益于中国政策利好的行业。 在市场波动的短期内,国内消费、自主可控、高股息和国防等主题可能会吸引投资者的关注。对于出口增长放缓的行业,瑞银持谨慎态度。 Q1内地股市盈利加速增长 2025 年第一季度,A 股整体盈利同比增长 3.5%,剔除金融股后同比增长 4.2%。 瑞银统计表显示,2025 年第一季度,A 股整体盈利同比增长 3.5%(见下表),较 2024 年第四季度 13.7% 的同比降幅有显著提升。 利润率方面,非金融行业第一季度毛利率 / 净利率同比分别上升 10/40 个基点。金融行业第一季度盈利同比增长 2.8%,略低于整体市场。鉴于资本市场表 现更为强劲,非银行金融机构第一季度盈利同比增长 22%,而受净息差持续走低影响,银行业盈利同比下降 1%。 哪些行业盈利呈上升趋势? 从行业来看,第一季度超过半数行业实现了盈利同比增长。计算机、钢铁、建材和农业行业实现了三位数的同比盈利增长或显著扭亏。由于人工 ...
粤开市场日报-20250430
Yuekai Securities· 2025-04-30 11:58
Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.23% closing at 3279.03 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.51% to 9899.82 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.83% to 1948.03 points [1][10] - Overall, 3443 stocks rose and 1766 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 11693 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 147.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included Computer, Automobile, Media, Electronics, and Machinery Equipment, with gains of 2.33%, 1.59%, 1.39%, 1.31%, and 1.30% respectively [1][10] - Conversely, the sectors that experienced declines included Banking, Steel, Building Materials, Transportation, and Public Utilities, with losses of 2.09%, 1.35%, 0.82%, 0.77%, and 0.72% respectively [1][10] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today were Smart Speakers, Operating Systems, and Auto Parts, among others, showing significant gains [2][12] - In contrast, sectors such as Banking, High Send Transfer, and Cobalt Mining experienced declines [12]