市场午后跳水回落，沪指、深成指双双跌超1%。截至收盘，沪指跌1.76%，深成指涨1.43%，创业板指跌0.69%。 稀土永磁概念股表现活跃，北矿科技涨停。 从板块来看，CPO等算力硬件股维持强势，新易盛等多股再创历史新高。 芯片股一度冲高，瑞芯微涨停。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | | 振幅 | 最高 | 最低 | 量比 | 换手率 | 成交量 | 成交额 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 53.46 c | 4.35 | 8.86% | 10.00% | 54.02 | 49.11 | 1.38 | 14.71% | 5.32亿 | 277.80亿 | | 2 | 688256 | 寒武纪-U | 1372.10 c | 43.10 | 3.24% | 9.33% | 1464.98 | 1341.02 | 1.30 | 4.28% | 1790万 | 250.03亿 | | 3 | 300502 | 新易監 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index down by 0.39% and 0.75% respectively, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.26% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 26,790 billion, a significant decrease of 4,621 billion compared to the previous day [1] - A total of 2,804 stocks rose while 2,470 stocks fell, with a median increase of 0.11% for individual stocks [1] Market Trends - Recent market adjustments were anticipated, with historical analysis indicating minor fluctuations before significant breakthroughs at key resistance levels [1][2] - Defensive sectors such as liquor and real estate have started to strengthen, potentially curbing speculative market sentiment [2] - A shift in speculative focus from stocks with 20% daily limits to those with 10% limits suggests a possible change in market style [2][3] AI Sector Insights - Major AI stocks have experienced corrections, with several companies like Cambricon and Industrial Fulian seeing declines exceeding 4% [5] - The recent downturn in AI stocks is viewed as a normal adjustment after significant gains, with the sector still considered a key focus for future growth [6] - The State Council's recent policy document outlines ambitious goals for AI integration across various sectors by 2027, with expectations for substantial growth in the smart economy [6][7] Investment Strategy - The current bull market is widely accepted, but the rapid rise of small-cap stocks necessitates a controlled pace to sustain the market's upward trajectory [2][4] - Investors are advised to make minor adjustments to their portfolio structures rather than drastic changes in overall positions, focusing on sector-specific movements [4][7] - The military trade sector is experiencing declines, but stocks with commercial space logic may still present opportunities for further research [7]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext leading gains, and the STAR 50 Index rising over 4% [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.33%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.34%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.41% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.73 trillion yuan, an increase of 48.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Key sectors showing strong performance included semiconductor, CPO, AI glasses, and rare earth permanent magnet stocks, while sectors like liquor, coal, insurance, and poultry farming saw declines [3] - Notable stocks in the computing power hardware sector surged, with companies like New Yi Sheng reaching historical highs [2] - Chip stocks also saw a resurgence, with Longchuan Technology hitting the daily limit [2] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment indicated a high level of activity, with over 3,000 stocks declining, while the number of stocks hitting the daily limit was 53 [5] - The limit-up rate was recorded at 68%, with a profit rate of 59% [4]

从板块来看， CPO等算力硬件股集体大涨， 新易盛等多股再创历史新高。芯片股再度爆发，长川科技等涨停。稀土永磁概念股表现活跃， 北矿科技涨停。下跌方面，地产股展开调整，深深房A跌停。 今日A股早盘震荡分化， 创业板指领涨，突破2800点，科创50指数涨超4%。 沪深两市半日成交额1.73万亿，较上个交易日放量483亿。盘面上热点 集中在算力和芯片方向，个股跌多涨少，全市场超3000只个股下跌。 板块方面，半导体、CPO、AI眼镜、稀土永磁等板块涨幅居前， 白酒、煤炭、保险、养鸡等板块跌幅居前。 截至午间收盘，沪指涨0.33%，深成指涨1.34%，创业板指涨2.41%。 下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 准确 快速 权威 专业 7x24h电报 头条新闻 VIP资讯 实时盯盘 ...

不出意外，大家的情绪又有分歧了，一个高位十字星是最好的语言。大盘指数随时可以拉升，只是它不想拉升罢了。 从盘后的数据看，机构大幅减空了。大阳线之后的缩量调整是很良性的走势，不存在天天上涨的A股，不考虑隔夜的情况，只是相当于昨日尾盘的小幅回 落。 缩量洗盘 不是出货！如果今日要出货就直接放量拉升到3900点以上，以及快速拉升到4000点以上，不用这样降温，一定要火上浇油，利用情绪的裹挟让大家进场接 盘。 目前，大盘指数依旧保持上涨的动力，最近几个交易日的银行保险证券在调整，只是地产白酒简单拉升了，上证指数砸盘的空间很小。 最后总结 成交量虽然缩量了，依旧也有近3万亿，市场的分歧很大，让愿意离场的减仓，让愿意进场的加仓，大家各取所需。 大多数人，目前已经对行情很悲观了。这种情况下，我们只需要耐心等待市场的加速，只要没有出现连续加速大幅上涨之前，不谈见顶的事情。 不过仓位别增加了，我们是左侧投资者，不存在浮盈加仓的概念。目前的场内，大概率会迎来各种波动，让右侧进场的人心惊肉跳。 A股走势分析 大盘指数，目前随时可以拉升。好多人已经看不懂行情了，一会儿证券拉升，一会儿白酒地产拉升，说不定哪天银行保险也拉升了，指数好像 ...

Market Analysis - In July, the global economic data remained resilient. China's official manufacturing PMI in July dropped to 49.3, while the non - manufacturing sector stayed in expansion. China's exports in July increased by 7.2% year - on - year in dollar terms, higher than expected. Financial data showed that money supply exceeded expectations, but financing and loan data were still weak. Investment data faced significant pressure [2]. - The State Council emphasized measures to stabilize the real - estate market. The central bank conducted 600 billion yuan of Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) operations, with a net MLF injection of 300 billion yuan in August, and a total net medium - term liquidity injection of 600 billion yuan [2]. - A - shares had a significant increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching 3900 points and the trading volume reaching 3.14 trillion yuan. AI hardware stocks soared, and sectors like real estate and liquor rose. In the bond market, treasury bond futures went up, with the 30 - year main contract rising over 0.7%. Domestic commodity futures all increased, led by coking coal and coke. The RMB central parity rate was raised by 160 points [2]. - In the US, the July non - farm payroll data was lower than expected, but the August PMI continued to improve. The "Big Beautiful" Act might support subsequent consumption [2]. Policy and Tariff News - On July 31, the White House re - set "reciprocal tariff" rates for some countries. On August 19, the US Commerce Department added 407 product categories to the steel and aluminum tariff list with a 50% tariff rate. Trump said he would announce semiconductor tariffs within two weeks, with a possible rate of 300% [3]. - On August 22, Powell's speech at the global central bank annual meeting showed a dovish turn, suggesting a possible policy adjustment due to increased downside risks to employment. This cleared the way for a Fed rate cut in September [3]. Commodity Analysis - The black and new - energy metal sectors are most sensitive to domestic supply - side factors. The energy and non - ferrous sectors benefit significantly from overseas inflation expectations. The black sector is still dragged down by downstream demand expectations, and the non - ferrous sector's supply constraints remain unrelieved [3]. - The government will regulate the photovoltaic industry to prevent low - price competition. By 2027, industries with relatively stable carbon emissions will be subject to quota - based total control. OPEC+ accelerated production, increasing by 548,000 barrels per day in August, higher than expected [3]. - In the chemical sector, the "anti - involution" space of products like methanol, PVC, caustic soda, and urea is worth attention. Agricultural products are currently driven by tariffs and inflation expectations but need fundamental signals [3]. Strategy - For commodities and stock index futures, it is recommended to go long on industrial products on dips [4]. To - do List - This week, 2.077 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases in the Chinese central bank's open market will mature, and there will also be 300 billion yuan of MLF and 90 billion yuan of term reverse repurchases maturing [5]. - On August 25, the National Development and Reform Commission held a corporate symposium to listen to opinions on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment [5]. - The Shanghai Composite Index continued to reach a new high in more than a decade, approaching 3900 points. Over 3300 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets rose, and the trading volume exceeded 3 trillion yuan [5]. - On August 25, the Ukrainian president announced that Ukraine and the US would hold talks this weekend to discuss the possibility of peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia [3][5].

虽然今天A股再一次刷新了多个数据，而且都是历史级别的，但是正如我在上一期文章里面说的，如果此刻你还没有选边站队的觉悟，那么今天对你而言就 只剩下痛的领悟，A股这轮牛市并不寻常。 一，今日要点 二，散户聚焦 对于今天的上涨，其实还是在交易降息预期，毕竟鲍威尔已经明确松口，那么美联储降息就是板上钉钉，目前大家都觉得央行这边会跟进，坦率地说，只从 二季度报告把降息拿掉之后，我觉得这事情并非这么简单，除非美国这边一次性降息力度比较大，我们为了对冲资金流入过快会降息之外，不排除按兵不 动，很显然，缩小利差更有利于我们吸收外资。 别看今天数字很漂亮，但实际今天的盘面非常复杂，既有半导体这样一波三折守住底线的，也有银行这样低开高走的，更有地产这样涨得惊心动魄，大有回 春的味道，从指数来看，沪深300大涨，明显强于小微盘，市场风格切换愈发明显。 为什么市场风格会切换呢？一方面源自于FOMO（错失恐惧），上周五A股轻松突破3800点，有那么一点出圈的味道，聊股票的人多了，加上中信证券周末 那篇文章的作用，结论是本轮行情不是散户制造的，如果你听说有个地方能免费送鸡蛋，但很多人还没有去，你会做如何打算？我想100%就是抢在别人前 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the A-share market, highlighting the structural bull market characteristics and the recent performance of various sectors, including the rotation between growth and value styles. Market Performance - The market continues to rise, currently at 4.3 stars, with a potential return to 3.x stars if the rapid increase continues for a few more days [1] - Both large and small-cap stocks are experiencing gains, with large-cap stocks recently outperforming small-cap stocks [1] - Growth style is strong, while value style shows slight increases [1] - The liquor index has rebounded, moving from a year-to-date decline to a slight increase [1] Sector Analysis - The real estate and consumer sectors have been underperforming this year, with many related stocks still undervalued [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of controlling investment proportions, suggesting a stable allocation of 15%-20% per sector [1] - Recent trends show a recovery in the consumer sector, which had been lagging [11] Structural Bull Market Characteristics - A-share market is characterized by structural bull markets, where only certain stocks perform well while others may decline [1] - Historical examples include the 2016-2017 bull market focused on large-cap value stocks and the 2019-2021 bull market dominated by large-cap growth stocks [2][6] - The article notes that in structural bull markets, some sectors may lag behind but could perform well in future cycles [1][12] Investment Strategy - The article suggests that the rotation of different styles allows for extended periods of holding undervalued stocks, avoiding situations where there are no undervalued options available [13] - It also highlights the opportunity for "buy low, sell high" strategies when some stocks are overvalued while others remain undervalued [14] - The current market favors growth styles, with some small-cap growth indices nearing overvaluation [16][17] Upcoming Events - A live session is scheduled to discuss common profit-taking strategies and case studies of "buy low, sell high" [19]

Core Points - On August 25, the Shanghai Composite Index closed up 1.51%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 4.18%, indicating strong performance in key A-share indices [1] - The trading volume in A-shares reached 3.18 trillion yuan, marking the first time since October 8 of the previous year that it surpassed 3 trillion yuan, and it is the second occurrence in A-share history [1] - A-shares have seen trading volumes exceed 2 trillion yuan for nine consecutive trading days as of August 25 [1] Industry Performance - All 31 sectors in the Shenwan primary industry index experienced gains, with the communication sector closing up 4.85% and achieving a year-to-date increase of over 51% [1] - The leading sectors on this day included communication, non-ferrous metals, real estate, and steel, while sectors such as beauty, textiles, and oil & petrochemicals performed relatively poorly [1] Investment Insights - Tianfeng Securities suggests that the investment focus can be categorized into three main directions based on economic recovery and market liquidity: 1) Breakthroughs in Deepseek and leadership in AI technology, 2) Valuation recovery in consumer stocks and gradual recovery in consumer segmentation, 3) Continued rise of undervalued dividends [1]

Core Viewpoint - A-shares experienced a strong upward trend on August 25, with significant trading volume across major indices, indicating positive market sentiment and sector performance [1]. Market Performance - The three major A-share indices closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3883.56 points, up 1.51%, and a trading volume of 1.36 trillion yuan [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12441.07 points, gaining 2.26%, with a trading volume of 1.78 trillion yuan [1]. - The ChiNext Index ended at 2762.99 points, increasing by 3.00%, with a trading volume of 866.16 billion yuan [1]. Sector Performance - Strong performing sectors included copper, liquor, lead-zinc, gold, mineral products, real estate, small metals, communication equipment, ordinary steel, and coke [1]. - Sectors that experienced adjustments included textile machinery, water utilities, and daily chemicals [1]. Concept Stocks - Notable concept stocks that saw significant gains included rare earth permanent magnets, CPO concept, liquor, and optical communication [1].