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醒醒!现在根本就不是牛市,只是钱太多没地方去而已
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 16:52
不过,中泰证券的首席分析师李迅雷说的很直白:"这波热闹,主要是钱多少得,跟企业自己争不争气,关系不大。"这就意味着,这一轮资金推动型的牛市 行情不会走得太远。而导致这一轮A股市场牛市行情的启动,主要有两个方面的原因: 一个是,银行存款利率实在太低,让人无法接受。现在各档存款利率都进入到"1时代"。这就迫使储户们把钱拿出来,投入A股市场。另一个是,楼市在经 历了3年的调整,早已经失去了赚钱效应,本来要投向房地产市场的钱,现在也都流向了A股市场。 近日,A股市场迎来了新一轮牛市行情。股指在短期内从3200点涨到了3800点。对此,不少股民又看到了发财致富的希望。于是,大家都把多年积蓄从银行 里面拿出来,投入A股市场,生怕错过了这一轮千载难逢的牛市赚钱机会。 第二种,业绩持续上升,带领股市走牛 除了价值投资和资金推动这二种牛市行情之外,还有股市里的上市公司业绩要整体持续上升,这就能维持长期年市的存在。主要原因是,上市公司的盈利能 力增加了,投资者看好其未来的业绩增长。大量资金都来投资股市,从而推动股市进入到长期上涨的通道之中。 不过,A股新股上市的整体估值都偏高,早已经透支了未来的成长性。再加上现在实体经济都不景气 ...
“并购六条”一周年答卷:市场活力足 产业“筋骨”强
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-23 16:45
Core Insights - The "Six Guidelines for Mergers and Acquisitions" has significantly enhanced the activity in the capital market, with over 2,100 asset restructuring disclosures in the past year, including more than 230 major restructurings [1] - The number of asset restructurings disclosed by listed companies has increased to over 1,300 this year, 1.4 times that of the same period last year, with nearly 160 major restructurings, 2.3 times that of last year [1] - The restructuring market is increasingly focused on strategic emerging industries and future industries, serving as a "booster" for the development of new productive forces [1][4] Market Activity - The restructuring market has shown a clear trend towards industry integration, with over 70% of major asset restructurings driven by this factor [3] - Traditional industry companies are merging with peers and upstream/downstream assets to enhance supply chain efficiency and competitiveness [3] - The "Two Innovation" boards (Science and Technology Innovation Board, Growth Enterprise Market) have seen over 100 major asset restructurings, with about 80% focused on industry integration [3] Strategic Focus - The focus of mergers and acquisitions is shifting towards high-tech and rapidly growing strategic emerging industries, which are seen as key areas for future growth [4] - State-owned enterprises have accelerated mergers, with nearly 70 major asset restructurings reported, accounting for about 30% of the total [4] Financial Tools and Flexibility - The introduction of diverse payment methods for mergers and acquisitions, including convertible bonds and acquisition loans, has increased transaction flexibility and reduced cost pressures [8][9] - The establishment of a phased payment mechanism for restructuring shares is expected to lower risks associated with one-time valuations, particularly for high-growth but uncertain performance technology companies [9] Regulatory Efficiency - The regulatory environment has improved, with a significant increase in the number of approved restructuring projects, reaching 2.4 times that of the same period last year [10][11] - The average review time for registered projects has decreased to about one month, indicating enhanced efficiency in the approval process [11] - Simplified review procedures for mergers and acquisitions have been implemented, further streamlining the process [11] Future Outlook - The regulatory authorities will emphasize legal supervision and strengthen the responsibilities of intermediary institutions to ensure the quality of mergers and acquisitions [12] - The market is expected to continue evolving towards industry integration, with strategic emerging industries remaining a focal point for mergers and acquisitions [12]
“一揽子”举措支持资本市场回稳向好
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-23 16:41
Group 1: Core Insights - Financial regulatory authorities announced a series of measures to stabilize the capital market, which have shown effectiveness over the past year [1] - A-shares market capitalization surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time in August, indicating the success of capital market reforms [1] - The capital market is transitioning from being "policy-driven" to "internally driven," enhancing its ability to support high-quality economic development [1] Group 2: Long-term Capital Inflow - Regulatory bodies have been promoting the entry of long-term capital into the market, with new guidelines and implementation plans issued to facilitate this process [2] - The scale of equity funds has exceeded 10 trillion yuan, and ETF products have become a preferred tool for asset allocation, with a scale surpassing 5 trillion yuan [2] - The total market value held by long-term funds in A-shares increased from 16.7 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year to 21.4 trillion yuan by the end of August, a growth of 28% [3] Group 3: Improving Company Quality and Investment Value - Regulatory measures are being implemented to enhance the quality and investment value of listed companies, including stricter enforcement against illegal activities [5] - The number of disclosed asset restructuring cases has increased significantly, with over 1,300 cases reported this year, a 1.4 times increase compared to the same period last year [5] - Companies are encouraged to adopt value management practices, with 1,568 companies having established value management systems by mid-year [6] Group 4: Capital Market Ecosystem Optimization - The capital market ecosystem is continuously improving, with increased trading activity and a financing scale exceeding 2.42 trillion yuan [8] - The influx of long-term capital has led to a positive shift in market sentiment, increasing investor participation [8] - Future reforms will focus on enhancing the multi-level bond market and improving the regulatory framework for futures [9]
券商分析师超6100人规模创新高
Core Insights - The brokerage industry is experiencing a transformation as commission income from split accounts declines, yet the number of analysts continues to grow, indicating a strategic shift towards research value [1][2] Group 1: Analyst Workforce Expansion - The total number of analysts in the securities industry reached a record high of 6,130 as of September 23, 2023, an increase of 409 from the beginning of the year [1] - 56 brokerages have increased their analyst headcount this year, with leading firms like CITIC Securities adding 42 analysts [1][2] - Major brokerages are showing a scale advantage, with three top firms having over 300 analysts: CICC with 344, Guotai Junan with 303, and CITIC Securities with 301 [1] Group 2: Strategic Adjustments and Differentiation - Brokerages are implementing differentiated development strategies to drive performance growth amid intense market competition [2] - Guosen Securities is focusing on strategic research in key national development areas like intelligent manufacturing, while招商证券 is enhancing its research capabilities through AI technology [2] - The expansion of analyst teams reflects a long-term optimism about the strategic value of research in the brokerage sector [2] Group 3: Future Service Models - The brokerage research business is transitioning from traditional models to diversified value-creating service models [3] - Future exploration may include think tank and corporate strategic consulting services, with a focus on specific industries and regions to build differentiated advantages [3] - The integration of digital tools and a combination of external recruitment and internal training will enhance talent reserves and overall market competitiveness [3]
规模超百亿元股票ETF数量已达57只
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-23 16:16
Group 1 - The A-share market has seen a continuous inflow of funds into stock ETFs, with the number of stock ETFs exceeding 10 billion yuan increasing to 57 since the end of June [1] - The newly added stock ETFs in the "100 billion club" are primarily industry-themed funds, indicating a shift in investor focus towards sector selection rather than individual stock selection [2] - As of September 22, over 20 stock ETFs have seen a net inflow of more than 1 billion yuan since September, all of which are industry-themed products [2] Group 2 - The top-performing ETF in terms of net inflow is the Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF, with a net inflow of 10.726 billion yuan, followed by other ETFs focused on the securities and new energy vehicle battery sectors [2] - Fund managers express optimism about the domestic economy's steady recovery and the supportive policies that will bolster the A-share market, particularly in the securities sector [2][3] - The battery sector is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity due to strong demand driven by the growth of new energy vehicles and the accelerated industrialization of solid-state batteries [3] Group 3 - The development of humanoid robots is seen as a significant application of artificial intelligence, with expectations for rapid growth as AI models advance and costs decrease [2] - The production and use of humanoid robots are anticipated to enhance data collection in various fields, particularly in industrial production, which will support the iterative upgrade of AI models [2] - The capital market's role in promoting technological innovation is becoming increasingly evident, as reflected in the changing dynamics of stock ETF investments [3]
三大券商首席纵论:新兴科技仍是主线 这些资产还有重估机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-23 15:52
Core Viewpoint - The recent bull market in Chinese assets, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, has been significantly driven by the AI industry and is expected to establish a new market pattern, with various investment opportunities emerging despite potential external disturbances [1][2]. Market Characteristics - The current bull market is characterized by more precise and effective policy support, including innovative monetary policy tools introduced by the central bank, which aim to stabilize the capital market and encourage long-term funds to enter the market [2][3]. - Institutional funds dominate the current market, with a notable influx of long-term capital from insurance and pension funds, leading to a shift from speculative trading to profit-driven investment [3][4]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares has increased by 47% from September 2024 to August 2025, indicating potential for further growth [3]. Investment Opportunities - Emerging technologies such as AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals are expected to remain the main investment themes, supported by favorable industrial policies [4][5]. - Other sectors benefiting from anti-involution policies, such as photovoltaics, non-ferrous metals, and construction materials, are also seen as having significant investment potential [4][5]. - "Hard assets" and sectors with competitive advantages in manufacturing and exports, including gold, resources, and public utilities, are highlighted as areas of interest for future investments [5]. Market Response Strategies - Investors are advised to adopt a rational approach to market fluctuations, distinguishing between short-term disturbances and long-term trends, and to maintain a long-term investment perspective [6]. - Strategies include optimizing asset allocation, focusing on companies with stable performance, and maintaining a balanced portfolio to manage risks effectively [6]. - The market is expected to experience normal fluctuations during its upward trajectory, with the potential for new highs in the A-share market supported by favorable internal policies and industry growth [7][8].
2025年1—8月蒙古证券市场交易额同比下降33.3%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-23 15:52
9月23日,蒙古证券交易所发布数据称,2025年1—8月,蒙古证券市场交易额为5955亿图格里克 (约合1.7亿美元),同比下降33.3%。从市场结构看,一级市场交易占比为41.5%,二级市场交易占比 为58.5%。从证券类型看,42.5%为资产支持证券,21.6%为企业股票,21.0%为企业债券,14.2%为政府 债券,0.8%为投资基金。 2025年8月,蒙古证券市场交易额为769亿图格里克(约合2100万美元),同比增长33.4%,环比下降 13.1%。当月在资本市场运营的企业证券市值为12.3万亿图格里克(约合34.3亿美元),同比下降 0.3%,环比增长0.5%。 (原标题:2025年1—8月蒙古证券市场交易额同比下降33.3%) ...
8月1.7亿股民涌入炒股软件
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant surge in August, leading to a substantial increase in the activity of securities apps, with monthly active users reaching 173 million, marking a 4% month-on-month increase and a 27.26% year-on-year increase, setting a new record for 2025 and the third highest since the "9.24" market rally [1][4][6]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index peaked at 3888.6 points in August, achieving a monthly increase of 7.97%, while the average daily trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.31 trillion yuan, a 41.27% increase month-on-month [3][4]. - The stamp duty on securities transactions for August was reported at 25.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 225.97% [3]. User Engagement - The number of new A-share accounts opened in August reached 2.6504 million, a 34.97% increase from July and a 165.21% increase year-on-year, significantly surpassing the levels of the previous year [3][4]. - The active user base of securities apps in August reached 173 million, with the top three third-party apps—Tonghuashun, Dongfang Caifu, and Dazhihui—dominating the market [4][9]. Factors Driving Growth - The primary driver for the increase in app activity was the recovery of the A-share market, which boosted investor enthusiasm [7]. - Innovative operational strategies by brokerages, such as the "818 Wealth Management Festival," significantly enhanced user engagement [7]. - The integration of AI technology into securities apps has enabled personalized investment advisory services, further increasing user activity [7][17]. Competitive Landscape - The top three third-party securities apps maintained a strong competitive position, with significant user engagement compared to brokerage apps [9][11]. - Among brokerage apps, Huatai's Zhangle Wealth and Guotai Junan's app both surpassed 10 million active users in August, with Huatai leading at 11.8295 million [12][13]. Future Outlook - As the A-share market enters a period of adjustment, the growth rate of active users for securities apps is expected to slow down, but the overall user base is likely to remain stable due to the presence of professional investors and unwithdrawn funds from new accounts [14][19]. - The continuous investment in AI and personalized features by brokerages is crucial for maintaining user engagement and enhancing the competitive edge of their apps [17][19].
V型反弹,波动加大的市场该怎么投?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to be volatile, with a focus on sectors such as robotics, new energy in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, chemicals, securities, and internet stocks in Hong Kong [2][4] Industry Insights - **Robotics**: Domestic production capacity for industrial robots is rapidly expanding, with a cumulative production of 447,100 units from January to July 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.9%. Service robots also saw a cumulative production of 10,378,300 units, up 23.6% year-on-year. The acceleration of Tesla's Optimus project is a significant catalyst for the sector [4][5] - **New Energy**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting the elimination of "involution" competition among new energy companies, leading to an increase in multi-crystalline silicon prices from 35,000 yuan/ton to 46,000 yuan/ton, which is expected to improve profitability for photovoltaic companies. The global deployment of battery energy storage systems is projected to grow by 54% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching 86.7 GWh [5] - **Chemicals**: The supply-demand dynamics in the chemical industry are expected to improve, with significant room for valuation recovery. The Central Financial Committee's emphasis on addressing "involution" and promoting orderly competition is likely to enhance the competitive landscape [5] - **Securities**: The securities sector is benefiting from a recovery in market risk appetite, with IPO and refinancing volumes increasing by 17% and 59% year-on-year, respectively, in the first half of 2025. The growth in various brokerage services is expected to continue as the capital market undergoes reforms [5]
又一家券商“海选” 包括总经理等三大核心岗位
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-23 14:56
【导读】财达证券市场化选聘总经理及业务负责人 券业高管市场化选聘热潮持续升温。 从岗位职责看,新任副总经理将全面负责证券投资业务条线管理,涵盖股权投资与固定收益投资两大核心领域,并承担任期及年度经营业绩目标。 从岗位人选条件来看,财达证券要求年龄不超过45周岁(1980年7月1日之后出生),须具有证券行业8年以上工作经历,且担任证券公司分管证券投资业 务的经营层总经理助理及以上职务满2年,或担任大中型证券公司总部证券投资一级部门负责人满5年;具备金融行业10年以上工作经历,且担任其他大中 型金融机构分管投资业务的经营层总经理助理及以上职务满3年,或担任其他大中型金融机构总部投资一级部门负责人满5年。 此外,财达证券还将招聘财达研究院(研究所)总经理。公告明确该岗位的核心目标是负责打造"最懂河北"、具有显著影响力的省内及行业高水平"产业 智库",具体职责包括强化对地方、上市公司及行业的研究服务,为公司业务提供研究支持,并完成既定经营业绩目标。 券业市场化"海选"揽才再提速 这也是财达证券2018年以来第四次公开海选高管以及业务负责人,2018年11月曾招聘两名副总经理,2021年11月招聘过三名副总经理,202 ...