| COMEX黄金 GC00Y (2026-01-12 10:57:03) 交易所: CME全属期货 | | | | | 期货行情 外汇行情 货 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4587.91 | 成交量: 6.122万 | 今开:4529.1 | 量高: 4612.7 | 滋肤幅: 1.93% | 外盘: 2.995万 | | 87.0 1.93% | 持仓量: 29.58万 | 昨德:4500.9 | 最低: 4520.8 | 涨跌额: 87.0 | 内盘: 3.127万 | 美国纽约商品交易所黄金期货价格东方财富网 另据央视新闻报道，2026年第一个完整交易周，在2025年表现强势的贵金属，继续牛市行情，黄金和白 银期货价格均累计上涨，但波动性明显加剧。 当地时间1月11日，美国纽约商品交易所黄金期货价格创历史新高，一度突破每盎司4612.7美元。截至 北京时间12日10时57分，报4587.9美元/盎司，日内涨幅达1.93%。 综合多家金融机构的分析来看，本周有两个因素加剧了贵金属价格的下行压力： 一是彭博大宗商品指数本周启动年度再平衡调整，贵金属权 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed signs of weakness, with only 50,000 new jobs added in December 2025, and a total of 584,000 jobs created throughout the year, marking a significant decline from the 2 million jobs added in 2024, the weakest performance since the early 2000s excluding recession years [1] - Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi attributed part of the labor market stagnation to the tariff policies implemented by former President Trump, indicating that these tariffs have directly impacted employment in manufacturing, transportation, distribution, and agriculture sectors [1] - The uncertainty in hiring decisions among businesses is exacerbated by rising costs and squeezed profit margins due to tariffs, leading to a more cautious approach in recruitment and investment decisions [2] Group 2 - The manufacturing sector has lost approximately 70,000 jobs in recent months, with other trade-related industries such as mining, logging, and warehousing also experiencing significant job losses [2] - Healthcare and social services remain among the few sectors still hiring steadily, suggesting that without these industries, the employment data for 2025 would be even worse [2] - The upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariff policies is critical, as it may affect the legality of certain tariffs, but other tariffs imposed through different legal means may continue to pose a threat to the global trade system [3]

Core Views - The overseas market is influenced by geopolitical disturbances driving commodity prices up, while US stocks rise due to favorable technology catalysts and easing economic concerns. The MSCI global index increased by 1.49%, with most regional indices rising, led by South Korea. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 rose by 1.6%, 1.9%, 2.3%, and 4.6% respectively. The 10-year and 2-year US Treasury yields changed by -1bp and 7bp to 4.18% and 3.54% respectively. The US dollar index rose by 0.69% to 99.14, while COMEX gold, silver, and ICE Brent crude oil increased by 4.07%, 10.41%, and 3.65% respectively [2][19][22]. Macro Overview - The US PMI shows continued divergence, with no further deterioration in the labor market. The ISM manufacturing PMI for December recorded 47.9%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous value, indicating manufacturing contraction. The services PMI rose to 54.4%, up 1.8 percentage points, driven by strong holiday demand. Non-farm payrolls for December added 50,000 jobs, below expectations, while the unemployment rate fell by 0.1 percentage points to 4.4% [2][3][4]. Policy Insights - The US is increasing control over Venezuelan oil, with Trump announcing that Venezuela will transfer 30 to 50 million barrels of sanctioned high-quality oil to the US, which will be sold at market prices. Trump also indicated he has decided on a new Federal Reserve chairperson, with an announcement expected soon. The Supreme Court has yet to release a ruling on Trump's tariffs, with the next key date being January 14 [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The US stock market is supported by the CES technology conference and improved employment data, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showing significant gains. The S&P 500 index's PE ratio is at 29.75, above the historical average, indicating high valuation levels. The index's price-to-earnings ratio relative to the 10-year Treasury yield is 0.82, also above the historical average [23][28][29]. Sector Performance - In the S&P 500, all sectors except utilities saw gains, with consumer discretionary, materials, and industrials leading the way. Notable concept indices such as OLED, 3D printing, and lithium batteries performed well, with increases of 11.5%, 10.1%, and 8.8% respectively [33][29]. Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market showed a mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index declining by 0.4% and 0.9% respectively. The healthcare sector led gains due to favorable policies, while the overall market remains volatile amid changing expectations for interest rate cuts [38][43].

Core Insights - Nansha has become a significant strategic platform for national development, benefiting from accelerated policy dividends as it achieves the first phase of the "Nansha Plan" [1] Tax Incentives - In 2022, three regional tax incentive policies were introduced, including a reduced corporate income tax rate of 15% for eligible industries starting January 1, 2022 [1] - As of November 2025, 60 enterprises have benefited from the 15% corporate income tax incentive, with a total tax reduction exceeding 2.1 billion yuan [2] - The number of Hong Kong and Macau enterprises in the Nansha area has increased fivefold over three years, with over 210 registered and settled enterprises [1][2] Market Access and Innovation - In 2023, the "Nansha Opinions" were issued to relax market access and enhance regulatory reforms, particularly in the biomedicine and intelligent unmanned systems sectors [2] - Nansha has achieved national firsts in cell and gene therapy, including the first clinical applications for thalassemia and liver failure treatments [2][3] - The implementation of a comprehensive unmanned system management platform is underway, enhancing operational efficiency across various sectors [3] Financial Support and Open Economy - The "Nansha Financial 30 Measures" were introduced in May 2025 to support financial openness and innovation, positioning Nansha as a key international financial hub [3][4] - The Free Trade Account (FT Account) system has opened over 9,700 accounts, facilitating nearly 5 trillion yuan in cross-border settlements [4] - Nansha has pioneered climate financing standards and products, including the first "climate financing + rural revitalization" loans and "green climate loans" [5] Future Development - Nansha aims to create a high-quality development loop integrating industrial incentives, institutional innovation, and financial support, focusing on optimizing the business environment and enhancing cooperation with Hong Kong and Macau [5]

Group 1 - COMEX gold futures prices surged, reaching a high of $4612 per ounce, marking a new historical peak after two weeks [1][2] - COMEX silver prices also increased, reported at $83.9 per ounce, with a daily rise of 5.7% [3] - Domestic precious metal futures continued to rise, with Shanghai gold futures up approximately 3% at 1031 yuan per gram, and Shanghai silver futures up 12% at 20614 yuan per kilogram [3] Group 2 - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, driving up safe-haven demand for precious metals, while expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have also increased following U.S. employment data [3] - China's central bank has been increasing its gold reserves for 14 consecutive months, currently holding 7.415 million ounces (approximately 2306.323 tons), which is expected to support gold prices [3] - Goldman Sachs predicts gold prices could reach $4900 per ounce by the end of 2026, while JPMorgan has raised its forecast to $5000 per ounce by Q4 2026, with a long-term outlook of $6000 per ounce [4] Group 3 - The global central banks are adjusting their reserve structures, reducing reliance on U.S. dollar assets and viewing gold as a core tool to hedge against sovereign currency credit risks [4] - The World Gold Council reports that gold is expected to perform well in 2025, with potential price increases of 15% to 30% in 2026 based on current levels [4] - Morgan Stanley maintains its average silver price forecast at $40.1 per ounce for 2026, while Bank of America has a more optimistic outlook, predicting silver prices could peak between $135 and $309 per ounce [5]

Core Viewpoint - The concept of "black swan events," introduced by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, refers to rare and unpredictable occurrences that can have significant impacts, such as financial crises, pandemics, and wars, leading to market volatility [1] Group 1 - Investors should enhance their risk resilience through diversification and maintaining liquidity rather than attempting to predict such events [1] - The Zhejiang Investor Education Base emphasizes the importance of investor relations and focuses on providing financial information services [1] - The organization explores an "Internet + Investor Education" model, combining online and offline methods to make investor education services more accessible [1]

【环球网财经综合报道】2026年第一个完整交易周，贵金属继续强势行情，黄金和白银期货价格均实现上 涨，但波动性明显加剧。有多家机构预计，即便面临短期下行压力，2026年贵金属和工业金属价格仍有上涨 空间。 半岛电视台近日发文称，在黄金价格表现最强劲的2025年之后，大规模投资者并未准备放弃对黄金的押注。 彭博社的一份报告和Investing.com平台的分析师表示，推动2025年黄金价格创纪录的因素仍然存在，虽然2026 年可能会更加谨慎，但自1980年以来一直坚挺的通胀数据，对贵金属依旧有支撑。 报道还提到，黄金在2025年飙升了约65%，为近半个世纪以来的最佳表现。对于这种异常表现，大多数基金经 理预计2026年不太可能重现这一行情，但他们也不会预期黄金价格出现大幅度回调。Fideliti International的托 管专员伊恩·萨姆森表示，预计2026年黄金将继续上涨，中央银行的购买、利率下降和财务赤字的增加.，仍然 是推动黄金价格上涨的基本因素。 此外，还投资者认为，主权货币的信心丧失已成为黄金坚挺表现的基石之一，摩根士丹利投资主管迈克·威尔 逊认为，黄金已"成为对抗纸币的更有效的赌注"，他还建议 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese consumer market is experiencing a significant transformation, moving from quantity to quality, driven by various factors including government policies and changing consumer preferences [1][4][6] Group 1: Consumer Activity - During the New Year holiday, 142 million domestic trips were made in China, with total spending reaching 84.789 billion yuan, indicating strong consumer activity [1] - Hainan's duty-free sales on January 1 reached 251 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 93.8%, showcasing the appeal of winter tourism and shopping [2] - The rise of "China Shopping" reflects a shift in purchasing trends, with consumers increasingly buying high-tech products and cultural items rather than traditional goods [2][3] Group 2: Policy Support - The Chinese government is implementing a series of policies aimed at stimulating consumption, including a more proactive fiscal policy and specific actions to boost consumer spending [4][5] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes promoting consumption as a key driver for balanced economic growth, highlighting the importance of consumer spending in the overall economy [5][6] Group 3: Economic Resilience - China's consumer market is not only recovering but also showing signs of structural optimization and enhanced internal momentum, contributing to economic resilience [6] - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4% year-on-year in the first eleven months of 2025, indicating a steady expansion of market demand [6] Group 4: Global Opportunities - Global companies and investors are encouraged to adapt to the evolving Chinese market, particularly in retail and service sectors, to capitalize on the growing consumer base [7] - There is a notable shift in consumer preferences towards local products and experiences, presenting new opportunities for foreign brands to tailor their strategies to meet local demands [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the report's industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For stock indices, with the entry of incremental funds at the beginning of the year, the financing scale has risen significantly, and market trading volume has rapidly increased. In the long - term, the policy support for the capital market remains unchanged. Strategically, the idea is to buy on dips [4]. - For treasury bonds, the improvement of market expectations for the economy may put pressure on the bond market. However, the sustainability of economic recovery momentum needs to be observed, and domestic demand still awaits the stabilization of residents' income and policy support. The bond market is expected to be in a weak and volatile state [7]. - For precious metals, although there are short - term negative factors for silver prices, the upward driving force remains. It is recommended to pay attention to the support level of gold and silver prices around the BCOM and tariff adjustment nodes and buy on dips after the short - term negative factors end [9]. - For non - ferrous metals, most metal prices are affected by macro - factors and supply - demand fundamentals. For example, copper prices are expected to fluctuate and rise in the short - term; aluminum prices are expected to remain strong; zinc and lead prices are expected to fluctuate widely following the sentiment of the non - ferrous sector [12][14][16]. - For black building materials, steel prices are expected to continue to fluctuate at the bottom; iron ore prices are expected to fluctuate at a relatively high level; glass and soda ash markets are facing different pressures and are recommended to be observed; double - coke prices are expected to fluctuate in the current range [33][36][37]. - For energy and chemicals, the strategies vary by product. For example, rubber is currently considered bearish; crude oil is recommended to be observed; methanol has the feasibility of buying on dips; urea is recommended to take profits on rallies [57][60][62]. - For agricultural products, the prices of different products are affected by supply - demand relationships and policy factors. For example, the short - term price of live pigs may support the near - term contract to fluctuate strongly, and it is recommended to wait for rallies to short; the price of eggs is recommended to short on rallies for near - term contracts [82][84]. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Indices - **Market Information**: China has applied for 200,000 new satellites, over 190,000 of which are from the newly established Radio Innovation Institute. NVIDIA lists AI4S as one of the three major directions of AI. The export tax - rebate rates for photovoltaic and lithium - battery products will be adjusted. The US president is considering a military strike against Iran [2]. - **Basis Ratio**: The basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH for different contract periods are provided [3]. - **Strategy**: Adopt the idea of buying on dips [4]. Treasury Bonds - **Market Information**: On Friday, the closing prices of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts decreased compared with the previous period. In December 2025, China's CPI increased year - on - year, and PPI decreased year - on - year. The US non - farm payrolls and unemployment rate data were released. The US president announced a plan to buy mortgage - backed securities [5]. - **Liquidity**: The central bank conducted 34 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on Friday, with a net investment of 34 billion yuan [6]. - **Strategy**: The bond market may face pressure, but the economic recovery momentum needs to be observed. The bond market is expected to be in a weak and volatile state [7]. Precious Metals - **Market Information**: Shanghai gold rose 0.80%, and Shanghai silver rose 6.19%. The price of COMEX gold and silver is reported. There are short - term negative factors for silver prices, such as BCOM index adjustment and tariff decisions [8]. - **Strategy**: Although there are short - term negative factors for silver prices, the upward driving force remains. It is recommended to pay attention to the support level of gold and silver prices around the BCOM and tariff adjustment nodes and buy on dips after the short - term negative factors end [9]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **Market Information**: Driven by the strong performance of the Chinese equity market and weak US non - farm payrolls data, copper prices rebounded. LME copper inventory decreased, and the premium of Cash/3M widened. The domestic Shanghai Futures Exchange inventory increased significantly [11]. - **Strategy**: The policy easing direction is expected to remain unchanged, and the domestic manufacturing prosperity has improved marginally. The copper price is expected to fluctuate and rise in the short - term [12]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices fluctuated strongly. The trading volume and open interest of the Shanghai aluminum weighted contract increased significantly. Aluminum ingot and aluminum rod inventories increased, and the LME aluminum ingot inventory decreased [13]. - **Strategy**: The macro - sentiment continues to support the aluminum price, and the aluminum price is expected to remain strong [14]. Zinc - **Market Information**: The Shanghai zinc index rose slightly, and the LME zinc price fell. The domestic zinc ingot social inventory decreased slightly [15][16]. - **Strategy**: The zinc price is expected to fluctuate widely following the sentiment of the non - ferrous sector, with a large potential for catch - up growth compared to copper and aluminum [16]. Lead - **Market Information**: The Shanghai lead index rose slightly, and the LME lead price rose. The domestic lead ingot social inventory increased [17]. - **Strategy**: The lead price is expected to fluctuate widely following the sentiment of the non - ferrous sector, and there is a possibility of short - term impulse driven by strong macro - sentiment [17]. Nickel - **Market Information**: Nickel prices rebounded slightly. The spot premium of various brands was strong, and the price of nickel ore and nickel iron increased [18]. - **Strategy**: The nickel market still faces a large surplus pressure, and the nickel price is expected to fluctuate widely in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see [19]. Tin - **Market Information**: Tin prices fluctuated narrowly. The production of tin mines in Myanmar's Wa State is gradually recovering, and the smelter's production in Yunnan and Jiangxi is affected by different factors. The SMM tin ingot social inventory decreased significantly [21]. - **Strategy**: The tin price is expected to fluctuate following the market risk preference. It is recommended to wait and see [22]. Carbonate Lithium - **Market Information**: The spot price of carbonate lithium increased, and the price of lithium concentrate imported from Australia also increased [23]. - **Strategy**: Although the spot shortage in the off - season has eased, the supply - demand pattern is expected to be optimistic. It is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [23]. Alumina - **Market Information**: The alumina index fell, and the trading volume and open interest decreased. The domestic spot price was at a discount, and the overseas price was at a loss. The futures inventory increased, and the price of bauxite decreased [24][25]. - **Strategy**: The price of bauxite is expected to fluctuate downward, and the alumina market is facing multiple difficulties. It is recommended to wait and see or short on rallies [26]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: The stainless - steel futures price rose, and the spot price also increased. The futures inventory decreased, and the social inventory decreased [27]. - **Strategy**: Affected by factors such as the RKAB plan in Indonesia and the sharp increase in LME nickel inventory, the stainless - steel price is expected to remain high and volatile [27]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: The price of cast aluminum alloy rebounded after falling, and the trading volume and open interest increased. The inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange decreased, and the three - place inventory of aluminum alloy increased slightly [28]. - **Strategy**: Supported by cost and supply - side factors, the price of cast aluminum alloy is expected to be strong in the short - term [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **Market Information**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil futures decreased. The spot price also decreased, and the inventory of hot - rolled coil decreased slightly, while the rebar inventory increased slightly [32]. - **Strategy**: The steel price is expected to continue to fluctuate at the bottom, and attention should be paid to the de - stocking of hot - rolled coil and the impact of "dual - carbon" policies [33]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: The iron ore futures price rose slightly. The spot price was at a premium, and the port inventory continued to accumulate [34]. - **Strategy**: The supply of iron ore is expected to decrease seasonally, and the demand is expected to increase. The iron ore price is expected to fluctuate at a relatively high level, and attention should be paid to the steel mill's restocking and hot - metal production rhythm [35][36]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market Information**: The glass futures price decreased, and the spot price was stable. The inventory of float glass decreased. The soda ash futures price decreased, and the spot price also decreased. The inventory of soda ash increased [37][38]. - **Strategy**: The glass price is affected by production line cold - repair and cost factors, but the high inventory restricts the upward space. The soda ash market is under supply pressure, and the demand is weak [37][38]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: The coking coal futures price rose, and the spot price was at a premium. The coke futures price fell, and the spot price was at a discount. The coking coal and coke prices showed a strong short - term trend [39][40]. - **Strategy**: The strong performance of coking coal is driven by market sentiment and supply - side expectations. The double - coke price is expected to fluctuate in the current range, and attention should be paid to market sentiment and fundamental changes [41][42]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market Information**: The manganese silicon futures price rose slightly, and the ferrosilicon futures price fell slightly. The spot price was at a premium. The prices of both showed significant fluctuations [43][44]. - **Strategy**: Affected by market sentiment, the prices of manganese silicon and ferrosilicon may continue to fluctuate. The supply - demand pattern of manganese silicon is not ideal, while that of ferrosilicon is relatively balanced [45][46]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Information**: The industrial silicon futures price rose, and the polysilicon futures price fell. The supply and demand of industrial silicon are expected to be weak, and the polysilicon market is affected by factors such as antitrust and export tax - rebate policies [47][50]. - **Strategy**: The industrial silicon price is expected to be under pressure, and the polysilicon price is expected to consolidate in the short - term. Attention should be paid to supply - side disturbances and policy changes [49][51]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **Market Information**: Rubber prices showed signs of weakness. The long and short sides have different views. The tire operating rate fluctuated marginally, and the inventory pressure of full - steel tires increased. The domestic natural rubber social inventory increased [53][54][55]. - **Strategy**: Adopt a bearish strategy. If RU2605 breaks below 16,000, switch to a short - term bearish strategy. It is recommended to partially build a position for buying the NR main contract and shorting RU2609 [57]. Crude Oil - **Market Information**: The INE main crude oil futures price rose, and the prices of related refined oil futures also rose. The inventory of Singapore's ESG refined oil decreased [58]. - **Strategy**: Although the geopolitical premium has disappeared, the oil price is not recommended to be overly bearish in the short - term. It is recommended to wait and see and verify the OPEC's export reduction when the oil price falls [60]. Methanol - **Market Information**: The regional spot price of methanol decreased, and the main futures price rose. The MTO profit was reported [61]. - **Strategy**: The current valuation of methanol is low, and there is a possibility of buying on dips [62]. Urea - **Market Information**: The regional spot price of urea fluctuated, and the main futures price rose slightly. The overall basis was reported [63]. - **Strategy**: The fundamental of urea is expected to be bearish, and it is recommended to take profits on rallies [64]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Information**: The price of pure benzene was stable, and the price of styrene fluctuated. The supply - side upstream operating rate increased, and the port inventory decreased. The demand - side three - S weighted operating rate increased [65]. - **Strategy**: The non - integrated profit of styrene is neutral to low, and there is a large space for valuation repair. It is recommended to go long on the non - integrated profit of styrene before the first quarter [67]. PVC - **Market Information**: The PVC05 contract price decreased, and the spot price also decreased. The cost - side price was stable, and the overall operating rate increased. The demand - side downstream operating rate increased slightly, and the inventory increased [68]. - **Strategy**: The PVC market is in a situation of strong supply and weak demand, and it is recommended to short on rallies in the medium - term [69]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Information**: The EG05 contract price rose, and the spot price fell. The supply - side overall operating rate was still high, and the inventory decreased slightly. The import is expected to decrease in January, and the port inventory is expected to continue to accumulate [70]. - **Strategy**: The supply - demand pattern of ethylene glycol needs to be improved through increased production cuts. Pay attention to the risk of rebound due to the tense situation in Iran [71]. PTA - **Market Information**: The PTA05 contract price rose, and the spot price fell. The supply - side short - term maintenance was high, and the demand - side polyester fiber profit was under pressure. The inventory decreased [72]. - **Strategy**: The PTA is expected to enter the Spring Festival inventory accumulation stage after short - term de - stocking. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long on dips in the medium - term [73]. Para - Xylene - **Market Information**: The PX03 contract price rose, and the CFR price also rose. The PX operating rate remained high, and the downstream PTA maintenance was more. The inventory decreased slightly [74]. - **Strategy**: The PX is expected to maintain a small inventory accumulation pattern before the maintenance season. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long on dips following the crude oil in the medium - term [75]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market Information**: The PE futures price rose, and the spot price was stable. The upstream operating rate increased slightly, and the inventory increased. The downstream average operating rate decreased [76]. - **Strategy**: The PE price is expected to be supported by the reduction of supply pressure and the decrease of inventory. It is recommended to go long on the LL5 - 9 spread on dips [77]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market Information**: The PP futures price rose, and the spot price was stable. The upstream operating rate decreased, and the inventory situation was complex. The downstream average operating rate decreased [78]. - **Strategy**: The PP market is in a situation of weak supply and demand, and the price is expected to bottom out in the first quarter of next year [79]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **Market Information**: The domestic pig price rose over the weekend, with local stability or slight decline. The downstream acceptance was acceptable [81]. - **Strategy**: The short - term spot price has insufficient downward driving force, and the near - term contract is expected to fluctuate strongly. In the medium - term, it is recommended to wait for rallies to short. In the long - term, it is recommended to buy on dips [82]. Eggs - **Market Information**: The domestic egg price rose significantly over the weekend. The supply was sufficient, and the demand increased with the approaching festival [83]. - **Strategy**: The near - term contract is recommended to short on rallies, and attention should be paid to the pressure on the far - term contract due to high valuation [84]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market Information**: The protein meal futures price fluctuated. The US soybean export data and domestic soybean arrival, inventory, and oil - mill operating rate data were released [85][86]. - **Strategy**: The import cost of soybeans has a bottom, but the upward space is limited. There are both long and short factors, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [87]. Oils and Fats - **Market Information**: The oil and fat futures price rose slightly. The domestic three - major oil and fat inventory was at a relatively high level. Indonesia may take measures to affect the palm oil market [88][89]. - **Strategy**: The current fundamental of oils and fats is weak, but the long - term expectation is optimistic. The oil and fat price may be close to the bottom range [90]. Sugar - **Market Information**: The Zhengzhou sugar futures price fluctuated. The domestic sugar spot price was stable, and the Brazilian sugar export data was released [91][92]. - **Strategy**: The raw sugar price has fallen below the support level. The international sugar price may rebound after the northern hemisphere's sugar production season. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [93]. Cotton - **Market Information**: The Zhengzhou cotton futures price continued to fall. The domestic cotton spot price also fell. The Brazilian and US cotton export data and domestic cotton inventory and spinning mill operating rate data were released [94][95]. - **Strategy**: Affected by factors such as the

| 股份代號: | 00388 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | 日期 (日 / 月 / 年): | 12/12/2025 - 12/01/2026 | 格隆汇1月12日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月6日，香港交易所(00388.HK)获JPMorgan Chase & Co.以每股均价431.1066港元增持好仓 122.19万股，涉资约5.27亿港元。 增持后，JPMorgan Chase & Co.最新持好仓数目为89,702,750股，持好仓比例由6.97%上升至7.07%。 | 張格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名稱 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的股 每股的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | (請參閱上述*註解)有投票權股(日/月/年 | | | | | | | 份自分局 | | | | | | | 9/0 | | CS20260109E00471 | JPMorgan Chase ...