智通财经APP获悉，投资者争相购买目前很少有公司愿意发行的证券：长期债券。美国蓝筹公司30年期或以上期限债 券的需求十分旺盛，认购金额平均约为待发行债券金额的五倍。这一比例高于2021年以来的任何时期。 需求增长使得二级市场的利差有所收窄。截至周四收盘，10年期或以上债券的风险溢价今年已收窄6个基点，而短期和 中期债券的风险溢价仅收窄2个基点。 道明证券美国企业债券银团主管Jiyann Daemi表示："目前，任何期限较长的债券都面临着巨大的、超额的需求，因为 投资者有动力将资金投入利率较高、供应不足的市场领域。" 今年一些有长期借款需求的美国公司将目光投向借贷成本更低的欧洲。2月份，强生(JNJ.US)在欧洲发行了30年期债 券，但在美国发行的债券期限仅为10年。5月份，辉瑞(PFE.US)在欧洲发行了20年期债券。 彭博指数显示，对于期限至少为10年期的债券，投资者获得的收益率为5.75%，比10年期债券的平均收益率高出一个 百分点以上。多年来，长期债券的收益率一直相对较高，但今年的需求更加旺盛。 本周早些时候，制药商礼来(LLY.US)仅发行了20亿美元的30年期和40年期债券，认购金额却高达147亿美 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the unprecedented allocation challenges faced by global investors due to high interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve, leading to a decline in stock market valuations and an inverted yield curve in U.S. Treasuries, while gold prices reach historical highs driven by safe-haven demand [1] Group 2 - The stock market exhibits significant structural differentiation, with the technology sector remaining resilient due to AI computing demand, as evidenced by an 18.7% year-to-date increase in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, while traditional consumer sectors are pressured by declining household savings rates [1] - Active management funds have achieved an average excess return of 4.2 percentage points, underscoring the value of professional investment in a differentiated market [1] - Smart investment advisory systems utilizing machine learning algorithms have identified multiple small and mid-cap stocks with potential for excess returns [1] Group 3 - The fixed income market is undergoing a reconfiguration of pricing mechanisms, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fluctuating around 4.5% and credit spreads widening by 37 basis points compared to historical averages [2] - Institutional investors are employing duration strategies and credit downgrades to capture alpha returns, with investment-grade corporate bonds beginning to show allocation value [2] - The green bond market has surpassed $2.3 trillion in size, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 19%, providing new options for ESG investors [2] Group 4 - Gold's monetary attributes are revitalized in the digital currency era, with geopolitical risks and central bank purchases pushing gold prices above $2,500 per ounce [4] - The trading volume of digital gold certificates has increased by 240% year-on-year, merging physical gold with blockchain technology, enhancing liquidity to stock-levels with an average daily trading volume of $4.7 billion [4] - A dynamic balance of risk and return is necessary for cross-asset allocation, with the optimal current portfolio ratio being 45% stocks, 30% bonds, and 25% gold, where gold's volatility contribution has decreased to 14% and its correlation coefficient with stocks has improved to 0.38 [4] - The application of smart rebalancing algorithms has effectively controlled the annualized portfolio volatility within 9.2% [4] Group 5 - The capital market is in a continuous evolution of efficiency versus risk, as evidenced by a record net outflow of 8.3 billion yuan from northbound funds under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, while gold ETFs have seen 21 consecutive weeks of net subscriptions [4] - Data indicates that a three-year systematic investment strategy has achieved an annualized return of 8.7%, significantly outperforming single-asset allocation strategies [4]

新华财经北京8月22日电（王菁）债市周五（8月22日）震荡走弱，增值税调整后的长债新发定价略高， 一级市场弱势情绪午后传导至二级市场，国债期货收盘全线下跌，银行间现券收益率午后多数小幅上行 1BP左右；公开市场单日净投放1232亿元，短端资金利率延续回落。 机构认为，从金融数据显示"存款搬家"的信号来看，无论是从超额储蓄或存款到期的角度，预计或有5 万亿元以上规模从存款流出，投资于"固收+"等资管产品。本轮资金波动除缴税外，股市火热带动的资 产配置调整可能影响更大，在股市没有明显降温前，其牵动影响或仍存，还需央行公开市场灵活对冲。 【海外债市】 北美市场方面，当地时间8月21日，美债收益率集体上涨，2年期美债收益率涨4.19BPs报3.781%，3年期 美债收益率涨3.92BPs报3.736%，5年期美债收益率涨3.49BPs报3.841%，10年期美债收益率涨2.92BPs报 4.316%，30年期美债收益率涨2.14BPs报4.908%。 【行情跟踪】 国债期货收盘全线下跌，30年期主力合约跌0.12%报115.980，10年期主力合约跌0.18%报107.660，5年 期主力合约跌0.07%报105.3 ...

AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 周五，因持续的通胀压力与不断上升的财政风险继续打击市场情绪，日本30年期国债收益率攀升至历史 新高。其他期限的收益率也同步上扬，日本国债已连续数月遭遇抛售。 日本30年期国债收益率一度升至当日高点3.21%，略微超过7月创下的3.2%历史纪录。20年期日本国债 收益率升至2.66%，续刷1999年以来新高；10年期国债收益率上升1个基点至1.615%，创2008年10月以 来最高水平。 债市出现这一走势出现之际，日本7月核心消费者物价指数高于预期，且远超日本央行2%的目标。与此 同时，因执政联盟在7月参议院选举中失利，市场预期政府将出台新的财政刺激措施，也引发了债券发 行增加的担忧。 日本总务省周五公布的数据显示，7月剔除生鲜食品的核心消费者物价指数（CPI）同比上涨3.1%，低 于6月的3.3%，也略高于经济学家预测的3%。分析师原本预计能源价格会因去年高基数效应而拉低整体 水平。 新家义贵则表示："如果单看通胀数据，日本央行随时可以加息，但从逻辑上说，他们应等待明年工资 增长的动能更清晰再行动。因此我认为12月或明年1月更可能，但也确实存在提前到1 ...

来源：金融界 8月22日，上交所发布关于中国邮政集团有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创新公司债券 （第二期）上市的公告。 依据《上海证券交易所公司债券上市规则》等规定，上交所同意中国邮政集团有限公司2025年面向专业 投资者公开发行科技创新公司债券（第二期）于2025年8月25日起在上交所上市，并采取匹配成交、点 击成交、询价成交、竞买成交、协商成交交易方式。该债券证券简称为"25邮政K2"，证券代码 为"243590"。根据中国结算规则，可参与质押式回购。 ...

Market Overview - On August 21, the A-share market experienced significant fluctuations, with major indices showing mixed results. The Shanghai Composite Index slightly increased by 0.13% to close at 3771.10 points, marking a nearly ten-year high, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.47% to 2595.47 points [2][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.42 trillion yuan, a slight increase compared to the previous trading day [2] ETF Fund Flows - On August 21, the total net inflow into stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) was approximately 69.85 billion yuan. The industry-themed ETFs and Hong Kong market ETFs saw the highest net inflows, amounting to 48.73 billion yuan and 48.51 billion yuan, respectively [2][3] - Conversely, broad-based ETFs experienced a net outflow of 29.26 billion yuan. The net inflow for industry-themed ETFs increased by 38.86 billion yuan [2] Specific ETF Performance - Several ETFs tracking the brokerage sector attracted significant capital, with the Guotai Securities ETF seeing a net inflow exceeding 10 billion yuan, and the E Fund Hong Kong Securities ETF close to 10 billion yuan [4] - The top ten ETFs by net inflow on August 21 included the Convertible Bond ETF with a net inflow of 16.83 billion yuan, and the Securities ETF with a net inflow of 10.67 billion yuan [5] Sector Insights - The brokerage sector is viewed as a "market thermometer," with expectations for continued performance despite a lag in index growth compared to projected net profit growth. The overall sentiment suggests a "slow bull" market for brokerages [6] - The chemical sector is experiencing a downturn in demand, leading to reduced profit margins and a decline in capital expenditure. However, the narrative of "anti-involution" may lead to a stabilization in prices [7] Outflows and Investor Behavior - Recent profit-taking was observed in certain sectors, particularly in the Sci-Tech 50 ETF and Chip ETF, as investors opted to secure gains following recent price increases [8]

证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期：2025 年 08 月 22 日 基于卡玛比率的低收益高波动下债市应对策略 ——债市策略思考 核心观点 债市仍偏逆风，但低收益高波动的另一面是"错误定价"频现，建议投资者"低仓位 +高胜率"做好防守反攻，快进快出博弈超跌反弹机会。 ❑ 2025 年以来债市处于低收益、高波动状态 不同于过去一年债市的高收益、高波动状态，2025 年以来债市已进入低收益、高 波动状态：一方面，2025 年以来 10 年国债收益率波动明显加大；另一方面，从 基金业绩表现来看，2025 年以来基金回报率较往年有所下降。 ❑ 如何评价基金投资的性价比？ 分析师：郑莎 执业证书号：S1230524080012 zhengsha@stocke.com.cn 相关报告 1 《赎回潮行情何时至右侧？》 2025.08.20 2 《探析"反内卷"行情对利率 中枢的影响》 2025.08.18 3 《转债延续上涨，关注产业趋 势》 2025.08.17 （1）卡玛比率比夏普比率更能反映真实风险，但二者需结合使用。夏普比率更适 用于中短债及纯债类波动小，回撤较低的基金，而 ...

出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 丁萍 编辑 | 关雪菁 头图 | AI生图 股市沸腾，债市沉寂。 2025年以来，A股气势如虹，上证指数年内上涨12.8%，创业板指更是获得了22%的涨幅。与股市的高 歌猛进形成鲜明对比的是，债市遇冷，30年期国债ETF年内下跌逾2%，自6月以来跌幅进一步扩大至4% ——股债"跷跷板效应"再度显现。 那么，股市牛气冲天，债市就真的全无机会了吗？答案显然并不简单。 股市不是核心因素 股债"跷跷板效应"是市场资金风险偏好转换的直接体现。在股市上涨阶段，资金更愿意冒险，流向权益 市场，债市资金被动流出，价格承压；反之，当股市低迷，资金又回流债市寻求避险。 但这种影响通常只是阶段性的。真正决定债市趋势的核心因素，还是经济基本面。债券本质上是固定收 益工具，其未来现金流（票息+本金）的确定性，取决于宏观经济、通胀以及货币政策的变化。 而利率变化预期就是经济基本面的金融化表达，反映了宏观经济增长、通胀水平以及货币政策的变动。 也就是说，市场会根据这种利率预期，来决定债券的买卖行为。 从近期数据来看，经济边际走弱的迹象明显：7月新增贷款自2005年以来首次负增长，社融同比下滑， 消费和投资均 ...

Core Insights - Blockchain technology is increasingly being applied in offshore capital markets, with the International Capital Market Association (ICMA) predicting that blockchain financing will reshape global capital markets by 2030 [1] - The article discusses the regulatory frameworks and practical experiences related to digital bonds, highlighting the importance of legal text considerations and the evolving landscape of offshore blockchain capital markets [2][17] Legal Text Considerations and Practical Analysis - The drafting of legal texts for blockchain bonds is crucial due to uncertainties in technology, liquidity, and legal compliance, with major financial centers like Hong Kong and the EU establishing clearer regulatory frameworks [2] - Digital bonds' legal frameworks largely follow traditional bond rules but exhibit innovative differences in core legal document handling and disclosure logic [2] Offering Circular/Prospectus - The offering circular for digital bonds must meet local regulatory disclosure requirements while addressing unique risks associated with Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) [3] - Important risk factors include cybersecurity, platform operation risks, and the non-enforceability of smart contracts [3] Transaction Documents - Digital bond terms must clearly outline the mechanisms for on-chain issuance, transfer, and registration, granting legal status to blockchain platforms [4] - Subscription agreements and custody contracts need to ensure secure delivery of tokens to investors' electronic wallets and detail data compatibility with local and overseas central depositories [5] Business Continuity Plan (BCP) - The BCP for digital native bonds should focus on technical resilience, operational continuity, legal compliance, and market protection [6] - Key elements include multi-node deployment, backup servers, and compliance with EU DLT pilot regulations [6][7] Execution Cycle Considerations - The execution cycle for digital bonds can be divided into seven key stages, each presenting new compliance, security, and market acceptance requirements [8] - Stages include pre-issuance considerations, marketing, registration, trading, investor rights protection, asset servicing, and third-party participation [8] Global Development Trends - Major economies are exploring blockchain technology in bonds, currencies, and financial infrastructure, with institutions like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the European Central Bank (ECB) leading initiatives [17] - The DLT settlement framework aims to integrate central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) with blockchain technology, enhancing efficiency and reducing intermediary costs [18] Collaborative Innovation and Regulatory Standardization - Singapore's Monetary Authority (MAS) is advancing a tokenization strategy to solidify its position as a global fintech hub, focusing on multi-currency and multi-asset industry pilots [20] - The MAS aims to address interoperability challenges and establish regulatory standards to enhance market liquidity and issuance efficiency [20] Conclusion - The evolution of financial infrastructure through blockchain technology represents a significant shift towards a more efficient, transparent, and inclusive financial system, bridging traditional finance and Web 3.0 ecosystems [22][23]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: On August 21, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.329, 4.729, 3.461 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes varied across countries. For example, the US had a latest change of 0.037, a weekly change of 0.043, a monthly change of - 0.069, and an annual change of 0.485 [3] - **2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: On August 21, 2025, the 2 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.750, 3.966, 1.969 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes also differed. For instance, the US had a latest change of - 0.020, a weekly change of 0.030, a monthly change of 0.030, and an annual change of - 0.300 [3] - **Exchange Rates of the US Dollar against Major Emerging Economies' Currencies**: On August 21, 2025, the exchange rates against the Brazilian real, Russian ruble, South African rand, etc. were 5.476, - (not available), 17.718 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes showed different trends. For example, against the Brazilian real, the latest change was - 0.12%, the weekly change was 1.08%, the monthly change was - 0.81%, and the annual change was 0.37% [3] - **Stock Indices of Major Economies**: On August 21, 2025, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, NASDAQ, etc. had values of 6370.170, 44785.500, 21100.310 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes varied. For example, the Dow Jones had a latest change of - 0.40%, a weekly change of - 1.52%, a monthly change of 17.22%, and an annual change not fully shown [3] - **Credit Bond Indices**: The emerging economies' investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices, US investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices, and euro - zone investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices had different latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes. For example, the emerging economies' investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of - 0.26%, a weekly change of - 0.27%, a monthly change of 1.00%, and an annual change of 3.91% [3][4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The A - share, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 had closing prices of 3771.10, 4288.07, 2862.18, 2595.47, and 6704.17 respectively on the reporting date, with corresponding percentage changes in price [5] - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 13.73, 11.71, 32.02, 27.00, and 20.07 respectively, with corresponding环比 changes [5] - **Risk Premium**: The risk premium of S&P 500 and German DAX were - 0.63 and 2.23 respectively, with corresponding环比 changes [5] - **Fund Flow**: The latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flow in A - shares, main board, small and medium - sized enterprise board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 were presented. For example, the latest value of A - share fund flow was - 1351.53, and the 5 - day average was - 312.50 [5] - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes and环比 changes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small - cap board, and ChiNext were given. For example, the latest trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 24240.57, with a环比 change of 158.23 [5] - **Main Contract Premium or Discount**: The basis and percentage of basis for IF, IH, and IC were - 5.87 (- 0.14%), 3.22 (0.11%), and - 47.77 (- 0.71%) respectively [5] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.000, 105.500, 107.875, and 105.450 respectively, with corresponding percentage changes in price [6] - The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M had values of 1.5143%, 1.5356%, and 1.5500% respectively, with daily changes in basis points [6]