Report Industry Investment Rating - The macro and financial sector of the global economy is rated as "Bullish" [1] Core View - The global economy maintains an upward trend, with China implementing the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, international capital actively increasing positions in China's technology sector, the US retail and manufacturing showing positive trends, the euro - zone manufacturing PMI breaking above the boom - bust line, and the global AI infrastructure accelerating [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Important Information - From a global perspective, Luobomei is more optimistic about non - US equity markets, especially China, Japan, and Europe. The weakening of the US dollar is expected to promote global capital re - balancing, and the demand for foreign capital to flow back to A - shares and Hong Kong stocks is expected to significantly increase [1] - A Goldman Sachs trader believes that the market is entering a liquidity - driven speculative stage, similar to the situation in 1999 in the US stock market, with the investment logic shifting from fundamentals to liquidity, market positions, and price trends [1] - Hong Kong - related ETFs have become the core carriers of capital inflows, with many products showing high scale and high net capital inflows. As of September 19, the latest scale of E Fund Hang Seng Tech ETF exceeded 20 billion yuan, reaching 20.45 billion yuan [1] - Huaxi Securities believes that Huawei has achieved TB - level ultra - large bandwidth through multi - port aggregation and high - sealing technology. The inter - connection bandwidth of Atlas 950 reaches 16.3PB/s, 62 times that of NVIDIA NVL144, and has achieved a 24% improvement in latency [1] - Samsung has significantly raised the prices of memory and flash products, with DRAM products increasing by up to 30% and NAND flash prices rising by 5 - 10%. Micron and SanDisk have also announced similar price increases [1] - Morgan Stanley says the humanoid robot industry is at a critical turning point, with the global market expected to reach $5 trillion by 2050. China leads the world in commercial orders, with a cumulative order amount of 975 million yuan, and Tesla Optimus V3 has become a global focus [1] Global Economic Logic - China implements the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, and international capital actively increases positions in China's technology sector. The US retail in August increased by 0.6% month - on - month, exceeding expectations. The US capital goods imports in July reached $95.8 billion, a new record. The euro - zone manufacturing PMI in August broke above the boom - bust line for the first time since June 2022. Huawei announced the evolution and goals of Ascend chips, and the global AI infrastructure is accelerating [1]

Market Overview - The three major stock indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen opened higher on the morning of the 22nd and showed a wide range of consolidation throughout the day, closing with general gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.58 points, up 0.22%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13157.97 points, up 0.67%; and the ChiNext Index closed at 3107.89 points, up 0.55% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 21,214.9 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor and components sector saw significant gains, with Luxshare Precision (002475) hitting a 10% limit up and Changying Precision (300115) reaching a 20% limit up, setting a historical high [1] - Other companies such as SMIC, Haiguang Information, and Industrial Fulian (601138) also experienced substantial increases, reaching historical highs [1] - Sectors related to AI smartphones, wireless earphones, storage chips, AI glasses, EDA concepts, MCU chips, consumer electronics, Sora concepts, cultivated diamonds, liquid cooling servers, and precious metals showed notable increases [1] - Conversely, sectors such as film and television, hotel and catering, tourism, and paper-making experienced significant declines [1] Analyst Insights - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities (000562) believes that the A-share market has not yet escaped a minor adjustment phase, with new structures and catalysts maintaining market enthusiasm but insufficient to change the overall shrinking profit effect [1] - CITIC Securities (601066) indicates that the market remains at a high level without a clear trend of topping or retreating, with intensified rotation among previously popular sectors, and the index is generally in a horizontal consolidation phase [1]

他们认为，需从监管、上市公司、投资机构三方协同发力，进一步优化政策环境、提升并购质量、防范 市场风险，推动并购市场实现健康可持续发展。 站在新的起点上，多家受访券商高管对未来并购重组市场发展充满信心，但也认为并购市场在审核效 率、估值包容性、投后整合、理性交易等方面仍有进一步优化空间。 人民财讯9月23日电，"并购六条"政策实施一年来，市场活跃度显著提升，并购重组作为资本市场优化 资源配置、服务实体经济的重要功能进一步凸显。 ...

Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to above 4.14% after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, despite expectations of a decline [1][2] - The stock market reached record highs with the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Russell 2000 indices all setting new records [1] - The rise in long-term bond yields is attributed to market behavior of "buying the expectation and selling the fact" following the Fed's rate cut [1][2] Group 2 - Concerns about persistent inflation are significant, as recent data indicates that inflation remains sticky, complicating the Fed's ability to lower rates further [2][5] - High long-term yields increase government interest payments, potentially exacerbating the fiscal deficit and creating a vicious cycle [3][6] - The current economic environment poses a challenge for sustaining long-term financing costs above 4% [3] Group 3 - Future downward potential for long-term yields may be limited, with the Fed's dot plot indicating a median forecast for the federal funds rate at 3.6% by the end of 2025 [4][5] - The Fed's cautious approach to rate cuts suggests that long-term Treasury yields may not quickly fall below 3% [5][6] - The market is adapting to a "higher for longer" interest rate environment, necessitating a reassessment of asset allocations [7]

Core Viewpoint - *ST Guandao (839680.BJ) is likely to become the first company to be forcibly delisted from the Beijing Stock Exchange due to significant violations, following seven years of financial fraud [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Fraud Details - From 2018 to mid-2024, *ST Guandao systematically engaged in financial fraud, inflating revenue and costs through fake contracts, invoices, and other documents [2]. - The inflated revenue figures for the years 2018 to mid-2024 were 143 million, 192 million, 223 million, 249 million, 304 million, 283 million, and 72 million respectively, with proportions of reported amounts being 87.34%, 95.39%, 98.96%, 85.87%, 99.39%, 98.14%, and 88.11% [2]. - The inflated costs during the same period were 65 million, 85 million, 117 million, 133 million, 163 million, 152 million, and 39 million, with proportions ranging from 83.30% to 99.13% of reported costs [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The former chairman and other executives faced severe penalties, including a fine of 15 million and a lifetime ban from the securities market for the chairman, while the financial officer was fined 5 million and also banned for life [4]. - The Beijing Stock Exchange issued a notice to *ST Guandao regarding the termination of its stock listing, citing the serious violations [1][4]. Group 3: Impact on Stakeholders - Minmetals Securities, as the sponsor and continuous supervision institution, failed to fulfill its responsibilities, leading to a proposed 220 million fund for compensating affected investors [5][6]. - The establishment of the compensation fund is based on Article 93 of the Securities Law, which has been previously utilized in other cases [6].

日前，公司完成了上述注册资本减少的工商变更登记，并取得了江苏省市场监督管理局换发的《营业执 照》，公司注册资本由人民币902,730.2281万元变更为人民币902,686.3786万元。营业执照其他内容保持 不变。 | | 原電視安裝 | 超订后的意程者数 | · 修工传报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HEADERS IN | 图目标人名称 | | Pioneer Reward Limited | | | AZARE OF COND | | 4.96 (366) | | | 系形为其提供的股份合同 | | 35.961/ 11-70 | | | 元素质一般都是出生命 | | 17.77 工不断用 | | | 本次和屋高度文和M | | Nº 02 E FORM | | 該相張人為聲 | Ville Ville | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 猪田是人気影 | Proneer Reward Limited | | | | 成田八人所以及上市公司持股情况 | □余资子公司 日本文字(1) | | | | | 日於時代 | | | | | VIR ...

来源：格隆汇APP 格隆汇9月23日｜国际要闻： 4、潘功胜：关于"十五五"以及下一步金融改革内容 将在中央统一部署后做进一步沟通； 5、潘功胜回应美联储降息：将根据宏观经济运行情况和形势变化 综合应用多种货币政策工具保证流动 性充裕； 1、美股三大指数齐创历史新高，英伟达涨近4%突破记录高位，市值逼近4.5万亿； 2、国际金价涨约1.7%，创历史新高逼近3750美元； 3、美联储理事米兰：在大幅降息之后 预计2026年和2027年将进一步小幅降息； 4、英伟达拟向OpenAI投资1000亿美元 共建AI数据中心； 5、日股收盘再创历史新高，年内累涨14.03%； 6、韩股收盘再创历史新高，年内累涨44.56%； 7、赴美留学生数量降至四年来最低 亚洲学生数量下降幅度最大； 8、安理会五常仅美国未承认巴勒斯坦国； 6、上交所：更大力度推动中长期资金入市 持续稳定和活跃资本市场； 7、两部门：推进5G、千兆光网、IPv6、移动物联网等园区网络基础设施部署 推动工业互联网进园区； 8、两部门：加强屋顶光伏、分散式风电、多元储能、充电桩等新能源基础设施的开发利用； 9、台股收盘再创历史新高，年内累涨12.35%； ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant trends in liquidity, infrastructure, real estate, and industrial sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities and market dynamics in the coming months [4][5][6][7][10][11]. Liquidity - The London gold spot price reached a historical high of $3685 per ounce [4]. - The BCI small enterprise financing environment index for August 2025 was 46.37, with a month-on-month increase of 0.61% [4]. - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -2.8 percentage points in August 2025, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points [4]. Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - In early September, the average daily crude steel output of key enterprises increased by 7.19% month-on-month [5]. - Price changes for key materials included rebar up by 2.18%, cement price index up by 0.62%, and coal prices showing mixed trends [5]. - The national capacity utilization rates for blast furnaces, cement, asphalt, and all-steel tires increased by 0.17 percentage points, 9.20 percentage points, 4.2 percentage points, and 0.07 percentage points respectively [5]. Real Estate Completion Chain - The prices of titanium dioxide and flat glass remained stable, with glass gross profit at -58 yuan/ton and titanium dioxide at -1268 yuan/ton [6]. - The operating rate for flat glass this week was 76.01% [6]. Industrial Chain - The operating rate for semi-steel tires was at a five-year high of 73.66%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.20 percentage points [7]. - Major commodity prices showed varied performance, with cold-rolled steel up by 8.99% and copper down by 1.34% [7]. Subcategories - Iron ore prices reached a six-month high, with graphite electrode prices stable at 18000 yuan/ton [8]. - The price of electrolytic aluminum was 20840 yuan/ton, down by 1.00%, with a calculated profit of 3559 yuan/ton [8]. - The price of molybdenum concentrate was 4445 yuan/ton, down by 1.55%, while tungsten concentrate was 274500 yuan/ton, down by 4.19% [8]. Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore was 4.07 this week, with various price differentials noted among different steel products [9]. - The price difference between small rebar (used in real estate) and large rebar (used in infrastructure) was 110 yuan/ton, showing a decrease of 8.33% from the previous week [9]. Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in August 2025 was 47.20%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1 percentage points [10]. - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates was 1120.23 points, down by 0.45% [10]. - The U.S. crude steel capacity utilization rate was 79.20%, with a month-on-month increase of 1.10 percentage points [10]. Valuation Percentiles - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 0.44%, with the engineering machinery sector performing best at +6.10% [11]. - The PB ratio of the ordinary steel and industrial metals sectors relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 35.56% and 81.90% respectively [11].

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点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 上周市场核心观点： 上周（2025.09.15-2025.09.19，下同）A股整体宽幅震荡，大市值表现占优。交易情绪方面，主要宽基指数量 能有所收缩，短线观点转向谨慎；沪深300等宽基指数时序波动、横截面波动持续回落，Alpha环境收窄。资金 面方面，融资增加额持续为正，股票型ETF转向净流入，资金面整体乐观。 近期市场从高斜率上涨转向宽幅震荡，主题博弈加剧，成长板块相对占优。从市值风格来看，大市值表现占 优，短线主题博弈把握龙头或更优。中长线仍维持市场震荡上行观点。 上周市场各指数涨跌不一，上证综指下跌1.30%，上证50下跌1.98%，沪深300下跌0.44%，中证500上涨 0.32%，中证1000上涨0.21%，创业 ...