中信证券认为，近期海外市场风险偏好和流动性出现了明显异动。抛开短期市场波动的表现，看到的底 层趋势有两个：一是欧美"脱虚向实"的紧迫感不断加强，关键矿产和产业链安全提上议事日程，新提名 美联储主席的政策主张亦反映了防资金空转和降实体融资利率的迫切需求；二是AI带来的破坏式创新 在打破传统垄断和高回报领域的高墙，近期软件板块首当其冲受到影响，行业的焦虑感明显上升。无论 是战略安全的投入还是代表未来的新兴基建和技术投入，都意味着欧美将面临更激烈的竞争，同时面临 短期股东利益和长期基础设施投入战略价值的权衡，矛盾在资本市场会反复被激发。对于长期习惯于 赚"容易的钱"的投资者而言，未来全球金融市场的不确定性将持续提高，过度基于远期现金流或是资金 接力预期的风险资产更容易出现持续的估值修正。反观中国的资本市场，过去几年已经先行完成了"脱 虚向实"的定价，正处于对"提质增效"的验证和定价过程中，无需焦虑短期市场波动。 财信证券认为，A股风格短期切换，节前继续关注消费。2026年市场指数及风格均将在2025年基础上进 一步演绎。一是在"双宽松"政策基调延续、居民储蓄资产持续入市、"反内卷"改善增收不增利困境下， 预计A股震 ...

Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The macroeconomic report indicates a mixed economic performance in January, with emerging industries showing strength while manufacturing PMI declined, reflecting a structural optimization trend in the economy [9][10] - February has shown signs of improvement across various economic activities, with production and consumption rebounding, supported by increased logistics and consumer traffic [10] - The real estate market is stabilizing, with new home transactions recovering from lows and a decrease in second-hand home listings indicating changing market expectations [10] Group 2: Fixed Income and REITs - The convertible bond market experienced a rapid recovery after valuation compression, with over half of the convertible bonds rising in price [12][13] - The public REITs market saw a decline of 0.9% in the index, with commercial real estate REITs continuing to expand despite overall market downturns [15][16] - The average weekly return for different types of REITs varied, with transportation and ecological REITs showing smaller declines compared to others [16] Group 3: Industry Insights - The fluorochemical industry reported significant growth in January 2026, with prices for fluorinated polymers continuing to rise [3] - The oil and gas sector saw a substantial increase in prices due to geopolitical tensions, impacting overall market dynamics [3] - The lithium battery supply chain is advancing rapidly, with companies like CATL accelerating sodium battery applications in passenger vehicles [3] Group 4: Overseas Market Analysis - The U.S. stock market experienced a pullback, particularly in the software and semiconductor sectors, with significant capital outflows [29][32] - The Hong Kong market also faced a downturn, with consumer and industrial sectors performing relatively better amidst overall market declines [29][32] - The strategy indices in the Hong Kong market are becoming essential tools for asset allocation and risk management, particularly in volatile environments [29][30]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a significant upward trend after the Spring Festival, with a 70% probability of rising in the first five trading days post-holiday, and a projected increase of 4.85% in 2024 [1][2]. Market Trends - Historical data shows that the market typically rebounds in the five trading days leading up to the Spring Festival, with a notable upward trend continuing until around T+6 days post-holiday [2]. - The trading volume is characterized by a "decrease before the holiday and an increase after" [1]. Institutional Recommendations - Major brokerage firms recommend "holding stocks over the holiday," anticipating a resurgence in market activity post-Spring Festival [1][3][4]. - Economic and profit expectations are likely to improve during the holiday, with positive consumer data anticipated [5]. Liquidity and Market Sentiment - Liquidity is expected to remain loose during the Spring Festival, with potential for accelerated capital inflow post-holiday [5]. - Market sentiment is projected to be neutral, with limited external risks impacting domestic markets [5]. Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch include technology growth and cyclical industries, which are expected to outperform due to policy support and ongoing industry trends [5][6]. - Specific attention is recommended for AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment sectors [6]. Style Rotation - There is a notable style rotation expected, with large-cap stocks outperforming small-cap stocks before the holiday, while small-cap stocks are anticipated to lead post-holiday [7]. - The market is expected to shift towards a more defensive strategy, gradually moving towards growth sectors [8].

重磅研报 持股过节 今日概览 证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2026 02 09 年 月 日 | 【宏观】高频半月观—数据进入"假期模式"——20260208 | | --- | | 【金融工程】持股过节——20260208 | | 【金融工程】择时雷达六面图：本周资金面和宏观基本面弱化—— | | 20260207 | | 【固定收益】持债过节——20260208 | | 【固定收益】资金更为宽松，政府债融资将回落——流动性和机构行为 | | 跟踪——20260207 | | 【建筑材料】竣工端建材将迎来长周期拐点——20260208 | | 【电力设备】钙钛矿：迎来 GW 级量产——20260206 | 【钢铁】方大特钢（600507.SH）-成本优势明显，增长潜力突出—— 20260208 朝闻国盛 研究视点 【煤炭】印度扩产炼钢提振焦煤需求，拟加码美国进口优化供应格局— —20260208 【房地产】C-REITs 周报——双轨并行，商业不动产 REITs 密集上报—— 20260207 【计算机】新国都（300130.SZ）-年报业绩符合预期，软硬出海+港股 上市加速全球化布 ...

【环球网财经综合报道】上周，沪深300指数下跌1.3%，恒生指数下跌3%，c创2025年11月21日以来最严重的周跌幅， 其背景则是美国科技巨头遭全球抛售。对此，《南华早报》发文称，华星证券研究执行董事Dickie Wong在接受采访表 示："美国人工智能股票的调整主要归因于估值过高，这种动态最终可能也会波及中国股市。" 中信证券就认为，中国资本市场过去几年已经先行完成了"脱虚向实"的定价，正处于对"提质增效"的验证和定价过程 中，无需焦虑短期市场波动。配置上，建议依旧维持"资源+传统制造"打底，低吸非银，增配消费链和地产链。 他还具体分析提到，尽管中国在人工智能开发方面享有成本优势，并得到强有力的政策支持，但资本市场上的许多人 工智能和半导体股票交易估值仍旧偏高，因此"如果对美国图形处理单元和高带宽内存的情绪继续走软，一些估值调 整和抛售压力可能会在中国出现；从长期来看，中国科技巨头可能会表现得更好，但在全球避险情绪下，短期他们仍 然脆弱。" 另一方面，进入2026年以来，A股ETF市场呈现出鲜明分化，一边是主流宽基ETF遭遇近千亿元的赎回，多只龙头沪深 300ETF份额降幅超40%；另一边则是化工、有色金 ...

Group 1 - The "豫知1期" asset-backed special plan will provide transfer services starting from February 10, 2026, using various transaction methods [1] - Professional investors holding Shenzhen A-share and fund accounts can participate in the transfer business of "豫知1期" [1] - The establishment date of "豫知1期" is January 9, 2026, with priority asset-backed securities named "豫知1优" and a code of "500064," maturing on January 10, 2028, with repayment and interest payment at maturity [1] - Members of the exchange must provide a comprehensive introduction to relevant business rules and require investors to sign a risk disclosure document before participating in the transfer business [1] Group 2 - The transfer and related matters of "豫知1期" will be governed by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Bond Trading Rules and other relevant regulations [2] Group 3 - The announcement was made by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on February 6, 2026 [3]

其中，自2021年11月开板以来，北交所已接纳292家源自新三板的公司，成为最主要的承接平 台，培育了贝特瑞、锦波生物、星图测控、曙光数创等市值过百亿元的优质公司；沪深交易所作 为成熟的主阵地，持续吸纳来自新三板的成长型企业，例如今年A股首只新股陕西旅游，以及 2025年上市的天溯计量、信通电子、禾元生物、华新精科等；港股、美股则为新三板企业展现多 元路径，泡泡玛特、西普尼、健康160、经纬天地等在港股上市后大放异彩。 数据显示，2025年挂牌的公司中，国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业占比超过50%。这标志着新三板 的吸引力与筛选功能正在发生转变，越来越多的创新型、成长型中小企业将其作为规范发展、对 接更高层次资本市场的"预科班"。众多具备专精特新特质的企业明确将新三板挂牌视为迈向公开 资本市场的重要一步。这些企业从挂牌伊始便倾向于以更高的规范性要求进行自我准备，从而整 体提升质量基底。 "育苗"的最终目的是"移栽"与"成林"。数据显示，自2020年以来，新三板已累计向A股市场（含 沪深北交易所）输送670多家企业，成为A股上市公司最重要的后备军之一。这一输送通道的持续 畅通，体现了我国多层次资本市场层层递进、有 ...

日韩股市大幅高开。 消息面上，据日本广播协会9日报道，在8日举行的日本众议院选举中，由自民党和日本维新会组成的执政联盟获得过半数议席。日本广播协会发 布的开票数据显示，自民党获得316个议席，日本维新会获得36个议席。在野党方面，由立宪民主党和公明党共同组建的新党"中道改革联合"获 得49个议席，国民民主党获得28个议席，参政党获得15个议席，新兴政党"未来团队"获得11个议席，日本共产党获得4个议席。 截至发稿，韩国KOSPI指数涨超4%。 | ● 韩国KOSPI200 | 781.36 33.26 4.45% | | --- | --- | | ● 韩国KOSPI | 5296.38 207.24 4.07% | 责编：万健祎 校对： 刘星莹 版权声明 2月9日，日韩股市大幅高开，截至发稿，日经225指数涨幅超过5%。 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体法律责任的权利。 上周五（2月6日），美股三大股指全线大涨，截至收盘，道指大涨2.47%，涨超1200点，报50115.67点，首次站上5万点关口；标普500指数上涨 1.97%，创出自去年5月 ...

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4066 | -0.25 | -0.44 | -1.27 | | 深证综指 | 2650 | -0.04 | 1.21 | -1.27 | | 风格指数 (％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.59 | -3.66 | 12.69 | | 中盘指数 | -0.12 | 2.43 | 27.18 | | 小盘指数 | -0.09 | 3.15 | 20.55 | | 涨幅居前 行业(％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 油服工程 | 3.75 | 25.48 | 31.12 | | 饰品 | 3.1 | 14.09 | 4.75 | | 化学纤维 | 2.71 | 4.23 | 24.5 | | 化学制品 | 2.63 | 6.2 | 24.95 | | 电 ...

瑞和数智公布，已于2026年2月6日完成配售约1.08亿股配售股份，每股配售股份0.783港元，净筹约8429 万港元。 香港联交所最新资料显示，2月6日，瑞和数智(03680)股东将股票存入远源证券，存仓市值1.65亿港元， 占比13.21%。 ...