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读懂经济趋势,踩准财富节奏
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 04:39
Economic Cycle Analysis - The economic cycle consists of four stages: prosperity, recession, depression, and recovery, with each stage characterized by different levels of economic activity and investment [2] - The current economic cycle is influenced by technological revolutions, particularly the fifth Kondratiev wave, which focuses on new energy and artificial intelligence [3] - By 2025, the global economy is expected to show a "differentiated recovery," with the U.S. nearing the end of its interest rate hike cycle, Europe struggling with an energy crisis, and China seeking new growth points amid industrial transitions [4] Key Economic Indicators - A "three-dimensional data radar" should be established to monitor GDP growth, price levels, and employment, with China's GDP expected to grow by 4.8% year-on-year in Q2 2025, driven by a 42.3% contribution from the digital economy and a 15.6% growth in strategic emerging industries [5] - The job market shows significant differentiation, with a youth unemployment rate of 18.7% and a shortage of 4 million technical blue-collar jobs, indicating high income potential for skilled workers [6] - Fiscal policies are focused on expanding effective investment in new infrastructure and affordable housing, while monetary policies aim to boost domestic demand through interest rate cuts [7] Emerging Industries and Consumer Trends - Economic opportunities in 2026 will be concentrated in the transition between old and new industries, with sectors like artificial intelligence, biomedicine, and low-altitude economy receiving policy and financial support [10] - Traditional industries are upgrading through smart and green transformations, exemplified by digital factory practices in the home appliance sector [11] - The consumer market is experiencing a bifurcation, with both low-cost necessities and high-end quality consumption growing, while the mid-tier market faces challenges [12] Personal Wealth Management Framework - Wealth management should follow a "core + satellite" approach, with asset allocation based on risk tolerance, suggesting a conservative portfolio for low-income earners [13] - A three-step execution method is recommended: risk budget allocation, cross-asset diversification, and a rebalancing mechanism to adjust asset allocation quarterly [14] - The family wealth pyramid should include liquid assets for daily expenses, safety assets for insurance and long-term investments, and high-return assets for wealth growth [15] Defensive Strategies for Wealth Preservation - Insurance coverage should not exceed 10% of total household income, focusing on health and accident insurance to alleviate financial burdens [16] - Non-essential spending should be minimized to ensure monthly savings for investment, promoting financial security [17] - High-risk investments should be approached cautiously, with a recommendation that income-generating asset allocation should not exceed 50% of available funds [18]
透过税收数据看亮点!沉浸式、场景式、个性化、健康类……消费新热点持续涌现
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-09 04:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that consumer demand in China has been continuously released since 2025, driven by policies such as the trade-in of old consumer goods, leading to significant growth in sales across various sectors including home appliances and new energy vehicles [1][4]. - In the first 11 months of 2025, retail sales in the communication equipment sector, such as mobile phones, increased by 20.3%, while daily household appliances like refrigerators saw a 26.5% rise in sales revenue [4]. - The sales revenue from new energy passenger vehicles also showed a positive trend, with a year-on-year growth of 19.1% [4]. Group 2 - The cultural and tourism sectors have experienced robust growth, with sales revenue from artistic creation and performance, as well as film screenings, increasing by 15.6% and 19.1% respectively [6]. - The integration of cultural activities with the tourism industry has led to a surge in immersive and scenario-based tourism consumption, with travel agencies and related services seeing a 10.8% increase in sales revenue [6]. - The sales revenue from scenic spots and leisure sightseeing activities grew by 29.4% and 16.6% respectively, while the accommodation sector, particularly homestays, saw a 13.1% increase in sales revenue [6]. Group 3 - The sports and health sectors are also witnessing high consumer enthusiasm, with sports exhibition services and retail of sports goods increasing by 29.7% and 6.6% respectively in the first 11 months of 2025 [11]. - Health-related consumption has emerged as a new hotspot, with sales of health auxiliary treatment equipment and health consulting services maintaining double-digit growth [11]. Group 4 - The manufacturing sector is experiencing accelerated high-end development, with sales revenue in the equipment manufacturing industry growing by 8.3% year-on-year [11]. - Notably, sales revenue in the computer and communication equipment manufacturing sector increased by 12.3%, while the instrument and meter manufacturing sector saw a 10.3% rise [11]. - The implementation of large-scale equipment renewal policies has led to a 14.2% year-on-year increase in the procurement of automation equipment by manufacturing enterprises, indicating a faster pace of intelligent upgrades in the manufacturing industry [15].
中企品牌向南非青少年足球项目捐赠移动设备
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-09 02:42
吴鹏在致辞中表示,南非人民热爱体育,中国与南非都是体育大国,双方在体育领域具有巨大的合 作潜力。海信公司长期深耕南非市场,积极参与当地教育、文化、体育和环保等公益事业,对南非青少 年足球事业等的支持获得了广泛认可。中国使馆将继续鼓励中资企业积极履行社会责任,为中南经贸合 作注入更强动力,并为南非经济社会发展作出更大贡献。 海信南非公司总经理刘巍在捐赠仪式上表示,海信不仅在南非经营,更在南非发展。通过本次合 作,海信南非公司将与青训项目一道助力南非青少年足球发展。 南非青训项目负责人皮措·莫西马内对海信和中国使馆的支持表示感谢。他在发言中说,海信南非 公司提供的设备将帮助其教练团队更精准地掌握训练情况、追踪球员表现,预计未来将有超过12000名 年轻球员从中受益。 新华网约翰内斯堡12月8日电(记者靳博文 陈为)海信南非公司近日向皮措·莫西马内青少年足球项 目(下称青训项目)捐赠100部海信移动设备,以数字化科技助力南非足球青训体系建设。中国驻南非 大使吴鹏,南非体育、艺术和文化部长麦肯齐和豪登省省长莱苏菲共同见证了捐赠仪式。 图为中国驻南非大使吴鹏(后排右三),南非体育、艺术和文化部长麦肯齐(后排中)出席捐赠 ...
家电业创新驱动拓蓝海 绿色智能热潮涌动
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-09 00:28
从电视、冰箱、洗衣机的传统"三大件"到智慧互联、时尚酷炫的智能家居,家电产品科技含量越来 越高、功能越来越全、新品越来越多,为消费者体验舒适便利生活提供更多选择。 工业和信息化部等6部门近日联合印发的《关于增强消费品供需适配性进一步促进消费的实施方 案》(以下简称《方案》)多处提及家电创新。家电行业如何强化创新,精准实现供需匹配,进一步满足 消费者需求? 绿色智能热潮涌动 智能感应人体位置决定送风方式的空调、只需轻触屏幕就能显示食材新鲜度的冰箱、自行识别障碍 并规划路径的扫地机器人……在北京中塔苏宁易购Max店,记者看到不少消费者正在体验智能家电新 品。店长王隼介绍,AI家电颇受消费者青睐,交互式产品的市场认可度持续提高。 数据显示,今年"双11"期间,苏宁易购智能家电销售占比超55%,其中"95后""00后"消费者占比超 四成。入冬以来,AI智能取暖器在整体取暖家电销售中占比已超80%,语音控制、远程操作与智能控温 成为最受用户欢迎的三大功能。 "通过AI加持,烟机可防溢锅、烤箱可识别食材、洗衣机会提醒衣物缠绕等,实现家电从被动执行 到主动服务的升级。"海尔集团副总裁、海尔智家研发平台总经理舒海说,AI科技 ...
新华财经早报:12月9日
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-09 00:23
转自:新华财经 •中共中央政治局召开会议 分析研究2026年经济工作 继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策 •11月我国货物贸易进出口总值同比增长4.1% 比上月加快4个百分点 •上期所:贵金属市场波动较大 请各有关单位提示投资者做好风险防范 •中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议,分析研究2026年经济工作,审议《中国共产党领导全面依法治国工作条例》。会议指出,明年经济工作要坚持稳中求 进、提质增效,继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,切实提升宏观经 济治理效能。要坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场;坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能;坚持改革攻坚,增强高质量发展动力活力;坚持对外开放,推动 多领域合作共赢;坚持协调发展,促进城乡融合和区域联动;坚持"双碳"引领,推动全面绿色转型;坚持民生为大,努力为人民群众多办实事;坚持守牢底 线,积极稳妥化解重点领域风险。(新华社) •上海期货交易所8日发布做好市场风险控制工作的通知称,近期国际形势复杂多变,贵金属市场波动较大,请各有关单位采取相应措施,提示投资者做好风 险防范工作,理性投资,共同维 ...
筹划重大资产重组,不停牌!拟收购“小巨人”
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-09 00:03
Company News - Weidi Co., Ltd. plans to acquire control of Jiu Xing Precision by purchasing 51% of the shares from its current shareholders, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring. The acquisition will allow Weidi to gain at least 51% voting rights in Jiu Xing Precision, making it a subsidiary [6][7] - Jiu Xing Precision specializes in the research, production, and sales of precision metal components, primarily serving the mid-to-high-end home appliance sector. It is recognized as a "little giant" enterprise in the national specialized and innovative category [7] - Yili Co., Ltd. announced a cash dividend distribution plan for the first half of 2025, proposing a distribution of 0.48 yuan per share, totaling 3.036 billion yuan, with the record date set for December 16, 2025 [8] - Suhao Fashion plans to conduct an asset swap with its controlling shareholder, involving the acquisition of a 54% stake in Jiangsu Suhao Zhongjia Fashion Co., Ltd. and the divestment of its 100% stake in Jiangsu Shuntian Chemical Storage Co., Ltd. [8] - China Shipbuilding announced a cooperation agreement for a new shipbuilding project involving 87 vessels, with a total value of approximately 50 billion yuan, primarily settled in cross-border RMB [8] - Tailong Pharmaceutical will change its controlling shareholder to Jiang Pharmaceutical Group, with the stock resuming trading on December 9 [8] - Ruixin Microelectronics reported a net profit of approximately 780 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 and plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.30 yuan per share, totaling 126 million yuan [8] - China Metallurgical Group plans to sell its 100% stake in China Metallurgical Real Estate and related debts for approximately 60.7 billion yuan [9] - HeFu China reported significant stock price fluctuations, with a cumulative increase of 336.83% from October 28 to December 8, raising concerns about potential overvaluation [9] Economic Indicators - According to the General Administration of Customs, China's total goods trade value reached 41.21 trillion yuan in the first 11 months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%. Exports were 24.46 trillion yuan, up 6.2%, while imports were 16.75 trillion yuan, up 0.2%. In November alone, trade value was 3.9 trillion yuan, growing by 4.1% [2]
家电业创新驱动拓蓝海
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-08 22:13
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the increasing technological sophistication and functionality of home appliances, highlighting the shift from traditional products to smart, interconnected devices that enhance consumer convenience and comfort [1][2]. Group 1: Innovation in Home Appliances - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments have issued a plan to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, with a focus on innovation in the home appliance sector [1][2]. - AI technology is transforming home appliances, enabling features such as proactive service and enhanced user interaction, which are becoming increasingly popular among consumers [2][3]. - The market for smart home appliances is growing, with over 55% of sales during the "Double 11" shopping festival attributed to smart products, particularly favored by younger consumers [1][2]. Group 2: Consumer Trends and Preferences - There is a notable increase in consumer awareness regarding energy efficiency, with 90% of consumers opting for first-level energy efficiency products under the old-for-new policy [2][3]. - The demand for home appliances is becoming more refined and rational, with consumers willing to pay a premium for features such as sterilization and smart control [5][6]. - The success of innovative products, such as a three-tub washing machine designed for different laundry needs, illustrates the importance of understanding and responding to consumer demands [4][5]. Group 3: Industry Development and Standards - The implementation of new national standards for home appliances aims to guide the industry towards high-quality development, focusing on smart and green technologies [2][3]. - The industry is transitioning from a phase of rapid growth to a mature stage, necessitating a shift from price competition to value competition to meet evolving consumer needs [6][7]. - The plan outlines goals for the home appliance sector, including the creation of significant consumption areas and the establishment of a high-quality development framework by 2030 [7][8]. Group 4: Collaboration and Innovation - The home appliance industry is encouraged to strengthen original innovation and collaborate with academic and research institutions to tackle technological challenges [8]. - There is a call for the industry to enhance the cultivation of high-level technical talent and to foster a culture of continuous learning and innovation among employees [8].
18个制造业大类营收居全国前五
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-12-08 21:47
12月8日,省政府新闻办举行新闻发布会,邀请省工信厅主要负责同志等介绍"十四五"时期山东加快建设先 进制造业强省情况。作为全国工业版图中的重要一极,山东的每一次脉动,都关乎国家实体经济的根基与 活力。"十四五"时期,山东将工业经济视为"头号工程",加快推进新型工业化,制造业增加值占GDP比重稳 定在28%左右,全省工业增加值将跨过1个万亿元台阶。 记者闫聪济南报道 制造业增加值 占GDP比重稳定在28%左右 工业整体实力走在全国前列。紧紧扭住稳增长这个"牛鼻子",充分发挥"链长制"、制造强省建设领导小 组、省工业运行指挥部等牵总作用,全力做足增量、遏制减量、应对变量,工业经济实现规模与质效同步 跃升。规模体量稳步扩大。规上工业增加值年均增长7.5%,高于全国1.6个百分点左右;全省工业增加值 将跨过1个万亿元台阶,由2.3万亿元提升至3.3万亿元、增长4成以上。其中,制造业增加值占GDP比重稳定 在28%左右,规上工业企业数量和营收较2020年分别增长54.7%、42.9%。体系完整优势日益凸显。拥有 41个工业大类、197个工业中类和603个工业小类,是工业门类最为齐全的省份之一,18个制造业大类营收 居全 ...
政策惠民,场景多元,五大线下活动打造江苏“双12”消费盛宴
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 17:15
12月8日,记者在江苏省商务厅举行的"苏品e齐购 潮聚双十二"线上促消费活动新闻发布会上获悉,线下方面,江苏全省商务系统也将聚焦"双12"、元旦等 消费节点,以"苏新消费"品牌为引领,以"苏品苏货"为核心载体,在"苏新消费·暖冬购物季"总体框架下,从12月5日至20日,联动全省重点商圈、企业开 展主题市集、展销对接与体验活动等"双12"购物嘉年华活动,持续激活消费市场活力。 二是开展"双12苏品超享购"活动。联合江苏银联组织各大银行和重点企业,"双12"期间投入补贴资金1.5亿元,通过消费立减、分期贴息、利率优惠等方 式开展消费促进活动。聚焦苏品苏货、智能制造、特色消费,重点面向年轻消费群体,覆盖机器人、投影仪、咖啡机、新消费潮玩等江苏优势产品,更好 满足消费者多元化需求,推动江苏制造与江苏消费深度融合。 三是开展家电"亿元让利"专项活动。组织省家用电器协会联合重点家电品牌,发放"暖购消费券""暖购补贴券",在全省13个设区市同步开展"亿元让利"促 销活动。支持金融机构叠加推出分期免息、以旧换新补贴等优惠活动。联动省财政厅、省福彩中心和省体彩中心,投入800万元持续开展"苏新消费·苏彩 焕新"彩票助力消费品以 ...
家电企业频频涉足冬季赛事 加速品牌国际化进程
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-12-08 17:06
本报记者 贾丽 美的集团股份有限公司此前也宣布成为职业女子冰球联盟(PWHL)官方合作伙伴,并推出制冰机等; 格力电器深度参与了北京冬奥会的相关场馆建设,还为国家速滑馆提供了永磁同步变频离心机组等;作 为奥林匹克全球合作伙伴,TCL实业控股股份有限公司在柏林国际消费电子展上打造了冬奥主题展区, 融入米兰冬奥会及赛场元素。 本次赛事上,长虹在首钢园内打造了沉浸式观赛体验快闪店,店内AI家电产品众多,从具备全维控光 Mini LED画质的长虹AI TV追光Q10Air,到搭载"远投近柔"技术的长虹客餐厅Pro共享空调,再到美菱M 鲜生Ultra冰箱,吸引了众多冰雪爱好者驻足体验。 冰雪经济广阔的市场空间吸引企业进入,其蓬勃发展也为家电企业提供了新的市场机遇。《中国冰雪产 业发展研究报告(2025)》显示,我国冰雪产业规模从2015年的2700亿元增加到2024年的9800亿元,预 计2025年将突破万亿元大关,达到10053亿元。 为抢抓冰雪经济机遇,家电企业除加大与国际知名冰雪运动品牌及赛事的合作外,还通过自研等方式提 升产品竞争力。目前,国内多家家电企业纷纷推出符合冰雪运动需求的创新产品。比如,长虹面向全球 ...