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国泰海通:市场波动加剧 建议2月超配AH股、美股、原油与工业商品
智通财经网· 2026-02-05 22:38
Core Viewpoint - The liquidity crisis is intensifying market volatility, accelerating the repricing of major asset classes, while global equities and commodities may still present performance opportunities. The recommendation is to overweight AH shares, US stocks, crude oil, and industrial commodities in February [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Asset Allocation Framework - The company has developed an "all-weather" asset allocation framework consisting of Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA), Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA), and Major Event Review Adjustments to guide investment decisions [2]. - SAA aims to diversify macro risks and set long-term allocation benchmarks to ensure portfolio robustness, while TAA uses quantitative methods to identify assets with superior short-term risk-return characteristics and adjusts portfolio weights accordingly [2]. - The final step involves subjective review of major events to calibrate and supplement quantitative results [2]. Group 2: Equity Asset Recommendations - Multiple factors support the performance of Chinese equities, recommending an overweight in A/H shares. The upcoming economic work conference and the expectation of further expansion in the broad deficit suggest a more proactive economic policy [3]. - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates in December, and the stable appreciation of the RMB provides favorable conditions for monetary easing in early 2026, enhancing market risk appetite [3]. - The "Goldilocks" scenario is emerging, favoring US stock performance, with the US economy showing resilience despite marginal cooling, and corporate earnings expectations potentially supporting upward movement in US stock indices [3]. Group 3: Bond Asset Recommendations - The recommended bond allocation weight for February 2026 is 35.00%, including long-term and short-term government bonds [4]. - Structural monetary policy may strengthen the allocation to government bonds, as the imbalance between financing demand and credit supply remains a reality, but the trend of rising risk appetite may lead to a rebalancing of asset allocations [4]. - The US economy is cooling but not stalling, with a moderate decline in the labor market and favorable conditions for reducing inflationary pressures, suggesting a potential decline in US Treasury yields [4]. Group 4: Commodity Asset Recommendations - The recommended commodity allocation weight for February 2026 is 12.50%, with an overweight in crude oil and industrial commodities [5]. - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is intensifying, suggesting an overweight in crude oil, as global demand remains relatively weak, and OPEC+ has decided to continue production cuts [5]. - Demand expectations for industrial commodities are being revised upward, with structural demand driven by construction, electric grids, and electric vehicles, indicating a potential supply-demand imbalance for industrial metals like copper [5].
关于新增申万宏源证券有限公司等为建信旗下部分基金产品销售机构的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2026-02-05 22:35
根据建信基金管理有限责任公司与申万宏源证券有限公司、申万宏源西部证券有限公司签署的销售协 议,自2026年2月6日起,以上证券公司将销售本公司旗下基金如下: ■ 自2026年2月6日起,投资者可在以上销售机构的营业网点办理上述基金的业务,具体业务的办理请参照 本公司及以上销售机构的相关业务规则和流程。投资者欲了解基金产品的详细情况,请仔细阅读基金产 品的基金合同、招募说明书、基金产品资料概要等法律文件。 地址:新疆乌鲁木齐市高新区(新市区)北京南路358号大成国际大厦20楼2005室 客服电话:95523 网址:https://www.swhysc.com/ 二、建信基金管理有限责任公司联系方式 投资者通过以上券商办理业务时,请按照各代销网点的具体规定执行。 一、新增销售机构如下: 1.申万宏源证券有限公司 地址:上海市徐汇区长乐路989号45层 客服电话:95523 网址:https://www.swhysc.com/ 2.申万宏源西部证券有限公司 客户服务热线:400-81-95533(免长途通话费)、010-66228000 网址:http://www.ccbfund.cn 风险提示:本公司承诺以诚实信 ...
恒指牛熊街货比(75:25)︱2月6日
智通财经网· 2026-02-05 22:17
智通财经APP获悉,截至2月6日,恒指最新的牛熊街货比例为75:25。 中信证券牛熊证街货分布图中的数据显示,熊证街货重货区在27300-27399区间,该区间最新熊证数量为644张,较上一 交易日增加76张;熊证街货最多新增在27100-27199区间,该区间最新熊证数量为438张,较上一交易日增加99张。 牛证街货重货区在26200-26299区间,该区间最新牛证数量为1358张,较上一交易日增加250张;牛证街货最多新增在 26100-26199区间,该区间最新牛证数量为978张,较上一交易日增加308张。 | 牛證街貨 | | - 恒指牛熊證期指張數比例- | | | 能證街貨 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 75.30% | | | | | 24.70% | | (15,854張) | | (以相對期指張數計算) | | | (5,201張) | | 指數區域 | 相對期指張數[括號內為一日變化] | | | 信證精選 | 實際槓桿 | | 27,900 - 27,999 | 79(+11) | | | 64737 能 | 22.6 | | 27. ...
根植西部 服务全国 以特色化发展助力金融强国建设
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-05 20:27
Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes its commitment to high-quality development and the integration of the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China into its operations, aiming to contribute to the construction of a financial powerhouse while focusing on regional economic development and serving the real economy [1][2]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Governance - The company highlights the importance of adhering to the comprehensive leadership of the Party as a fundamental guarantee for its long-term stability and development [2]. - It aims to integrate the Party's leadership deeply into corporate governance, establishing a governance structure that combines Party leadership with modern corporate governance [3]. - The company is focused on enhancing its governance framework by implementing a decision-making mechanism that ensures the Party's leadership plays a significant role in major decisions and business strategies [3]. Group 2: Cultural Integration and Values - The company is committed to fostering a unique corporate culture that combines traditional Chinese culture with modern financial practices, aiming to create a sustainable driving force for high-quality development [4]. - It promotes a "Hehe" cultural system that emphasizes integrity, social responsibility, and innovation, integrating these values into its operational practices [4]. Group 3: Service to the Real Economy - The company positions itself as a key player in supporting the real economy, focusing on technology innovation and industrial upgrades [5]. - It has developed a comprehensive financial service system that covers the entire lifecycle of technology enterprises, with specific initiatives aimed at supporting local industries and enterprises [5][6]. - The company has outlined four key cases of financial support for 2025, including assisting in major asset restructuring and facilitating the listing of specialized enterprises [6]. Group 4: Regional Development Focus - The company has a clear strategy of being deeply rooted in the Shaanxi province while also expanding its services to other regions, aiming to enhance its brand influence and service capabilities [7]. - It has actively participated in local economic initiatives, such as the "Qin Chuang Yuan" innovation-driven platform, and has successfully facilitated bond issuances for local tourism enterprises [6][7]. Group 5: Wealth Management and Investor Services - The company emphasizes a "people-centered" approach in its wealth management services, aiming to meet the asset preservation and appreciation needs of ordinary investors [8]. - It has established a collaborative system that integrates research, investment, and advisory services, enhancing the overall investor experience [8][9]. - The company is leveraging digital tools to improve service delivery and accessibility for retail investors, ensuring that financial services are equitable and available [9]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The company is committed to continuously enhancing its comprehensive financial service capabilities while aligning with national strategies for economic transformation and improving public welfare [10]. - It aims to maintain a focus on professionalism and regional strengths, contributing to the broader goals of modernization and economic development in China [10].
A股收评:大家情绪化了!缩量3000亿!周五,会迎来救赎了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 20:26
板块间的轮动脉络在近日变得清晰起来。一边是消费和金融这类防守型板块开始获得资金青睐,另一边则是科技成长板块继续消化估值压力。白酒的上涨, 不仅仅是一个行业的独立行为,它被市场普遍视为大消费板块的风向标。当白酒股开始企稳反弹时,往往意味着资金对整体消费行业的景气度预期有所回 暖。银行、保险板块的走强,则与市场对货币政策宽松的预期有关。近期,关于政策利率可能适度下调的讨论有所升温。金融行业作为对利率最敏感的领域 之一,自然会提前反映这种预期。 科技板块内部出现了显著的分化。部分前期涨幅巨大、故事讲得过满的细分领域,确实面临较大的回调压力。但也有一些细分赛道,如与AI算力基础设施 相关的部分公司,其订单和基本面情况依然坚实。有行业数据显示,某些高端变压器企业的生产订单已经排到了2027年。这种分化意味着,不能对科技股一 概而论。当前的下跌,对于其中真正有业绩支撑的优质公司而言,更像是一次风险释放和估值压力的清洗。 对于2月6日,也就是周五的市场走势,可以基于现有信息进行一些推演。由于隔夜海外市场的波动和A股自身的情绪惯性,周五早盘存在继续低开或下探的 可能。关键点在于,指数是否会再次去考验4000点整数关口的支撑力 ...
沪深北交易所 发布A股春节休市安排
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 20:14
(来源:经济参考报) 2月5日晚,沪深北交易所发布关于2026年春节休市安排的公告。 此外,沪深交易所还发布了关于2026年春节期间港股通交易日安排的通知,2月15日(星期日)至2月23 日(星期一)不提供港股通服务,2月24日(星期二)起照常开通港股通服务。2月14日(星期六)、2 月28日(星期六)为周末休市。 根据公告,2月15日(星期日)至2月23日(星期一)休市,2月24日(星期二)起照常开市。2月14日 (星期六)、2月28日(星期六)为周末休市。有关清算事宜将根据中国证券登记结算有限责任公司的 安排进行。 ...
广发证券(01776.HK):2月5日南向资金增持51.78万股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 19:43
证券之星消息,2月5日南向资金增持51.78万股广发证券(01776.HK)。近5个交易日中,获南向资金减 持的有3天,累计净减持621.63万股。近20个交易日中,获南向资金增持的有15天,累计净增持3418.59 万股。截至目前,南向资金持有广发证券(01776.HK)10.43亿股,占公司已发行普通股的54.29%。 广发证券股份有限公司是一家主要从事证券业务的中国公司。该公司通过五个分部开展业务。投资银行 分部从事股权融资、债务融资、财务顾问和企业解决方案等。财富管理分部从事零售证券经纪、期货经 纪、金融产品代销、融资融券及回购交易融资服务、融资租赁等。交易及机构客户服务分部主要从事为 机构客户提供证券研究、资产托管服务、销售及投资交易(包括自营和其他对客交易服务)、另类投资 等。投资管理分部从事资产管理、公募基金管理、私募基金管理等。其他分部主要为公司总部运营。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 ...
广发证券股份有限公司当年累计新增借款超过上年末净资产的百分之四十的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-05 18:48
Core Viewpoint - The company disclosed that its cumulative new borrowings for the year exceeded 40% of its net assets at the end of the previous year, indicating a significant increase in leverage [1]. Group 1: Financial Data Overview - As of December 31, 2025, the company's total borrowings amounted to 475.643 billion yuan. By January 31, 2026, this figure rose to 552.400 billion yuan, with cumulative new borrowings of 76.757 billion yuan, representing 47.24% of the net assets at the end of the previous year [1]. Group 2: Breakdown of New Borrowings - **Bank Loans**: As of January 31, 2026, the company's bank loan balance decreased by 0.09 billion yuan compared to the end of 2025, attributed to a reduction in short-term borrowings [2]. - **Corporate Bonds and Non-Bank Financial Institution Loans**: The balance of corporate bonds and other financial instruments increased by 14.774 billion yuan as of January 31, 2026, mainly due to new issuances and repayments [3]. - **Other Borrowings**: Other borrowings increased by 61.992 billion yuan as of January 31, 2026, primarily due to an increase in funds from repurchase agreements of financial assets [4]. Group 3: Impact on Debt Servicing Capability - The new borrowings are in compliance with relevant laws and regulations and fall within the company's normal business operations. The company's financial condition remains stable, with all debts being serviced on time, indicating that the new borrowings will not adversely affect the company's operational status or debt servicing capability [5].
国泰海通证券股份有限公司关于A股限制性股票激励计划预留授予部分第三个限售期解除限售暨上市公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-05 18:38
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 证券代码:601211 证券简称:国泰海通 公告编号:2026-006 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于A股限制性股票激励计划预留授予部分第三个限售期解除限售暨上市公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 本次股票上市类型为股权激励股份;股票认购方式为网下,上市股数为2,916,898股。 ● 本次股票上市流通总数为2,916,898股。 ● 本次股票上市流通日期为2026年2月12日。 ● 公司高级管理人员自愿性承诺:基于对公司未来发展前景的信心及对公司价值的认可,在本次公司A 股限制性股票解除限售上市流通之日起12个月内,不以任何方式减持公司A股股票,亦不会要求公司回 购所持公司A股股票。 国泰海通证券股份有限公司(曾用名:国泰君安证券股份有限公司,以下简称国泰海通或本公司或公 司)于2026年1月20日召开第七届董事会第十次会议(临时会议),审议通过了《关于公司A股 ...
中国银河证券股份有限公司2025年度第二十四期短期融资券兑付完成的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-05 18:16
证券代码:601881 证券简称:中国银河 公告编号:2026-014 中国银河证券股份有限公司 中国银河证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")于2025年10月15日成功发行了中国银河证券股份有限 公司2025年度第二十四期短期融资券(以下简称"本期短期融资券"),本期短期融资券发行额为人民币 40亿元,票面利率为1.66%,短期融资券期限为112天,兑付日期为2026年2月4日。(详见本公司于 2025年10月16日刊登于上海证券交易所网站(www.sse.com.cn)的《中国银河证券股份有限公司2025年 度第二十四期短期融资券发行结果公告》)。 2026年2月4日,本公司兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币4,020,374,794.52元。 特此公告。 中国银河证券股份有限公司董事会 2026年2月6日 2025年度第二十四期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 ...