Core Viewpoint - In the current volatile market environment, investors are increasingly focused on how to achieve stable asset appreciation, particularly in a context of declining interest rates and rising market uncertainty. The search for asset allocation strategies that provide stable cash flow and effectively mitigate market risks has become a common concern among various investors. The dividend low-volatility strategy, characterized by "high dividend yield and low volatility," is gaining attention as a potential solution to these challenges [1]. Interest Rate Environment - The global economy has largely entered a low or even negative interest rate era, with significant reductions in deposit rates by major banks in China. For instance, as of May 20, 2025, the interest rate for one-year fixed deposits fell below 1%, and the average interest rate for current deposits dropped to 0.05% [2]. This environment has compressed the yields of traditional fixed-income products, leading to a scarcity of stable assets, while dividend assets are becoming increasingly attractive due to their stable cash flow and higher dividend yields [2]. Policy Support - Regulatory bodies have intensified their focus on corporate dividend policies, with the introduction of measures linking dividend payouts to financing qualifications and shareholder behavior. For example, the "New National Nine Articles" issued in April 2024 aims to enhance shareholder return awareness among listed companies [3]. Additionally, new rules effective from January 1, 2025, will impose penalties on companies with low dividend payouts, further encouraging higher dividend distributions [3][4]. Fund Flow Dynamics - There is a notable shift in fund preferences towards dividend assets, driven by both policy support and changes in market dynamics. Long-term funds, such as insurance and pension funds, are increasingly allocating capital to high-dividend assets, with projections indicating an influx of approximately 600 billion to 800 billion yuan over the next three years [6]. This trend is expected to enhance the valuation of dividend assets and benefit related funds, such as the TaiKang Dividend Low-Volatility ETF [6]. Market Conditions - The current A-share market is characterized by volatility, influenced by international trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Despite maintaining stable growth, domestic economic indicators show signs of weakening, leading to a challenging investment environment. In this context, dividend low-volatility assets are positioned as a strategic choice for investors seeking stability and returns [19][20]. Investment Strategy - The dividend low-volatility strategy combines high dividend yield and low volatility characteristics, providing a robust investment framework. The CSI Dividend Low-Volatility Index selects stocks based on liquidity, consistent dividend payments, and low volatility, aiming to deliver stable returns while minimizing risk [14][15]. This strategy is particularly appealing in turbulent market conditions, as it has historically demonstrated strong defensive capabilities [19][20]. Conclusion - Overall, the combination of supportive policies, increasing fund inflows, and favorable market conditions positions dividend low-volatility assets as an attractive investment opportunity. These assets not only offer stable returns in a low-interest-rate environment but also serve as a defensive strategy in volatile markets, making them a preferred choice for investors seeking to navigate economic cycles effectively [20].

沪指6月19日下跌0.79%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有1个，涨幅居前的行业为石油石化，涨幅分别 为0.86%。跌幅居前的行业为纺织服饰、美容护理，跌幅分别为2.36%、2.28%。纺织服饰行业位居今日 跌幅榜首位。 纺织服饰行业资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300952 | 恒辉安防 | 0.36 | 6.16 | 2052.40 | | 300840 | 酷特智能 | -0.45 | 8.04 | 1317.89 | | 603665 | 康隆达 | 0.83 | 2.11 | 963.52 | | 002780 | 三夫户外 | -5.74 | 14.69 | 940.21 | | 300819 | 聚杰微纤 | -1.23 | 2.39 | 702.23 | | 603587 | 地素时尚 | -2.86 | 4.09 | 575.54 | | 002397 | 梦洁股份 | -0.52 | 3.06 | 353.85 | | 300577 | 开润股份 | ...

【博时市场点评6月19日】风险偏好收敛，沪深两市调整 6月19日，A股三大指数下跌。截至收盘，上证指数报3362.11点，下跌0.79%；深证成指报10051.97点， 下跌1.21%；创业板指报2026.82点，下跌1.36%；科创100报1022.12点，下跌0.46%。申万一级行业中， 仅石油石化上涨，涨幅为0.86%；纺织服饰、美容护理、轻工制造跌幅靠前，分别下跌2.36%、2.28%、 1.96%。699只个股上涨，4471只个股下跌。 简评：通过深化科创板改革"1+6"政策措施，重启未盈利企业适用科创板第五套标准上市，未盈利的优 质企业可在成长层渡过研发高风险期，盈利达标后转至科创板主层或主板，从而对科创企业形成全生命 周期的资本市场多层次支持链条，有助于提振科创企业发展信心，避免优质企业因盈利门槛外流，促进 资本市场各板块良性互动。 美联储公布6月利率决议，将基准利率维持在4.25%-4.50%不变，连续第四次会议按兵不动，符合市场预 期。美联储表示，对前景的不确定性已减弱，但仍然处于较高水平。美联储将2025年GDP预估下调至 1.4%，同时将通胀预期上调至3%。另外，美联储点阵图显示，202 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market remains stable despite tensions in the Middle East, continuing a pattern of slow upward movement amidst trade conflict concerns [1][2]. Market Outlook - The window for tariff events is closing, with a new policy window opening in late June, which may lead to a break in the current consolidation pattern if effective policies are implemented [2]. - The market is currently focused on tariff-related expectations, including U.S. court rulings and potential trade negotiations between China and the U.S. [2]. Hot Sectors - Consumption and healthcare sectors are expected to be key areas of focus, with an emphasis on domestic demand expansion as a priority for 2025 [3]. - The robotics sector is anticipated to grow, with advancements in various types of robots and related technologies [3]. - The semiconductor industry is on a path toward domestic production, with attention on equipment, wafer manufacturing, and IC design [3]. - The military industry is expected to see a rebound in orders by 2025, with signs of recovery in various sub-sectors [3]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is entering a growth phase after several years of adjustment, with positive profit growth expected [3]. - The AI sector is poised for new catalysts, particularly with updates from emerging models that are competitive with leading international models [3]. Market Review - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations, with previous leaders like innovative pharmaceuticals and banking showing signs of adjustment [4]. - Defensive sectors such as coal, utilities, and oil & gas led the market, indicating a shift in investor preference [4]. - Overall, the market maintained a positive earning effect, with over 2200 stocks rising despite some sectors facing declines [4].

| | | 上周公募调研次数前十个股 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A 股间称 | 所属申万一级行业 周涨跌幅(%) | | 被调研次数(次) | | 天字通信 | 通信 | 14.26 | 57 | | 中科曙光 | 计算机 | 10. 65 | 46 | | 海元信息 | 电子 | 0.68 | 46 | | 孩子王 | 商贸零售 | -11. 71 | 36 | | 幸华珠宝 | 纺织服饰 | 13.35 | 34 | | 华曙高科 | 机械设备 | -1.88 | 29 | | 海天瑞声 | 计算机 | 1.27 | 26 | | 东方申抄 | 家用电器 | -1.18 | 20 | | 西麦食品 | 食品饮料 | 6.49 | 19 | | 隆利科技 | 电子 | 13. 38 | 17 | | | | 数据整理自:公募排排网,统计周期 2025年6月9日-6月15日,以上内容不构成股 | | | | | 票推荐或投资建议,短期个股业绩不代表未来表现,亦不代表基金必然投资方向。 | | 公募机构扎堆调研科技领域。上周共有17个申万一级行业获得公募机构重点调研，各行业 ...

Market Performance - The market experienced a rebound with the ChiNext leading the gains, closing at 2057.32, up by 0.66% [2][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3388.73, up by 0.35%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10163.55, up by 0.41% [2][4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.22 trillion yuan, a decrease of 252.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [7] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Media (up 2.70%), Communication (up 2.11%), and Computer (up 1.99%) [3][4] - The sectors with the weakest performance were Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (down 0.76%) and Beauty and Personal Care (down 0.49%) [3][4] - Concept indices that performed well included Digital Currency (up 4.72%) and Ant Financial Concept (up 4.40%) [3][4] Economic Indicators - In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 41,326 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4% [6] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.8% year-on-year in May, with a month-on-month increase of 0.61% [6] - The average sales price of new residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in May [6] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a range-bound trend in the short term, but overall is in a healthy operating condition [7] - Mid-term prospects remain positive due to economic resilience and supportive policy measures, indicating potential upward movement in the market [7] - Recommended sectors for attention include Finance, Non-ferrous Metals, Consumer Goods, and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) [7]

Market Overview - The main indices showed positive performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.35%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.41%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.66% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry sectors, Media, Communication, and Computer sectors performed well, while Textile & Apparel, Pharmaceutical & Biological, and Automotive sectors lagged behind [1] - Concept sectors showed varied performance, with Digital Currency, Financial Technology, and First Board concepts performing relatively well, while Gold & Jewelry, Generic Drugs, and Chemical Fiber concepts underperformed [1]

Core Viewpoint - The latest financing balance of the ChiNext market has reached 344.88 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 744 million yuan, indicating a positive trend in market financing activities [1]. Financing Balance Overview - The total margin balance of ChiNext stocks is 345.84 billion yuan, which has increased by 766 million yuan compared to the previous trading day, marking a continuous increase for seven consecutive trading days [1]. - The financing balance specifically stands at 344.88 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 744 million yuan, also reflecting a seven-day growth streak [1]. - The margin trading balance for short selling is 95.6 million yuan, which has increased by 21.94 million yuan [1]. Stocks with Increased Financing Balance - A total of 476 ChiNext stocks have seen an increase in financing balance, with 39 stocks experiencing a growth rate exceeding 10% [1]. - The stock with the highest increase in financing balance is Huali Group, which has a latest financing balance of 111.47 million yuan, showing a week-on-week increase of 40.21% and a daily price increase of 2.01% [1][3]. - Other notable stocks with significant financing balance increases include Zhaori Technology and Hanshuo Technology, with increases of 31.71% and 31.30% respectively [1][3]. Market Performance of Stocks - Among the stocks with a financing balance increase of over 10%, the average daily increase was 3.44%, with 30 stocks rising, including Zhongke Magnetic Materials, which hit the daily limit, and other top performers like Guangkang Biochemical and Dahongli, with increases of 18.88%, 13.64%, and 13.28% respectively [1]. - Conversely, stocks with the largest declines include Kangliyuan, Baolid, and Wanbang Pharmaceutical, with declines of 7.91%, 7.48%, and 5.93% respectively [1]. Fund Flow Analysis - On June 11, among the stocks with increased financing balances, 28 stocks saw net inflows of main funds, with Zhaori Technology, Doushen Education, and Baiyang Pharmaceutical leading with net inflows of 273 million yuan, 135 million yuan, and 84.09 million yuan respectively [2]. - Conversely, 11 stocks experienced net outflows, with Baolid, Huaye Fragrance, and Kangliyuan seeing the largest outflows of 124 million yuan, 38.35 million yuan, and 22.94 million yuan respectively [2]. Stocks with Decreased Financing Balance - A total of 457 stocks experienced a decrease in financing balance, with 10 stocks showing a decline of over 10% [4]. - The stock with the largest decrease is Duku Culture, with a latest financing balance of 75.87 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 17.21% [4][5]. - Other stocks with significant declines include Hongjing Optoelectronics and Huilong New Materials, with decreases of 15.35% and 14.85% respectively [4][5].

晨 星 月 报 01 市场洞察 宏观经济延续上月承压走势，股债表现分化 5月，国内宏观经济走势有所改善，但依旧承压。反映国内经济先行指标的制造业PMI录得 49.5%，在4月份49.0%的基础上回升0.5%，连续两个月位于收缩区间。制造业景气水平的上升 主要是受到生产指数、新订单指数、原料库存指数和从业人员指数环比上行所带来的影响。4 月份CPI同比下降0.1%，PPI同比下降2.7%。相比于3月份CPI和PPI同比分别下降0.1%和下降 2.5%而言，CPI同比涨幅持平主要是受到食品价格降幅收窄和服务价格上涨的影响；生产资料 价格和生活资料价格的降幅扩大，带动PPI同比降幅上升。 5月，中美关税冲突有所缓和，叠加央行降准降息政策的落地推动A股在上旬回暖。随着市场 对关税利好的消化，下旬，受到特朗普贸易政策不确定性的延续及4月经济数据边际偏弱的影 响，股市出现小幅回落。主要股指在5月迎来普涨，其中上证指数和深证成指分别上涨2.09% 和1.42%。代表大盘股、中盘股和小盘股的沪深300指数、中证500指数和中证1000指数分别上 涨1.85%、0.70%和1.28%。31个申万行业多数收涨，其中25个行业上涨 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - The current large basis of stock index futures reflects market hedging demand, which depends on the existence of obvious Alpha returns. The market's focus remains on the consumer and technology sectors. The high - tech manufacturing industry in China is in a capital expenditure expansion cycle, and the consumer sector benefits from policy support. In June, these two sectors are expected to be the main focus of the market. The bond market's focus has returned to changes in the capital side. Although there were concerns about capital tightening in June, after the central bank's operations, the expectation of capital tightening has weakened, and the bond market is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. - The stock index futures are expected to oscillate, and the bond futures are also expected to oscillate [1]. Summary by Directory Research Views - **Stock Index Futures**: The large basis of stock index futures reflects market hedging demand, which depends on Alpha returns. Last week, the market's focus was on consumer and technology sectors. The high - tech manufacturing industry is in a capital expenditure expansion cycle, and the consumer sector benefits from policies. In May, the retail of three major white - goods maintained a high year - on - year growth rate (over 60% each), and passenger car retail remained booming (16% year - on - year). There may be a pulse in overseas demand for textile, clothing, and electronic products due to "rush - to - export" [1]. - **Bond Futures**: On June 10, 2025, the 30 - year bond futures main contract rose 0.35%, the 10 - year main contract rose 0.09%, and the 5 - year and 2 - year main contracts were basically stable. The central bank conducted 173.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with a stable interest rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net injection of 173.8 billion yuan. Capital interest rates declined slightly. The bond market's focus has returned to the capital side. Due to large maturing pressure of inter - bank certificates of deposit and increased government bond issuance, there were concerns about capital tightening in June, but after the central bank's operations, the expectation of capital tightening has weakened, and the bond market is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. Daily Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: On June 9, 2025, compared with June 6, 2025, IH rose 3.0 points (0.11%), IF rose 12.4 points (0.32%), IC rose 41.0 points (0.72%), and IM rose 67.6 points (1.11%) [4]. - **Stock Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite 50 Index fell 2.0 points (- 0.08%), the CSI 300 Index rose 11.3 points (0.29%), the CSI 500 Index rose 43.6 points (0.76%), and the CSI 1000 Index rose 66.1 points (1.07%) [4]. - **Bond Futures**: TS remained unchanged (0.00%), TF fell 0.015 points (- 0.01%), T rose 0.075 points (0.07%), and TL rose 0.36 points (0.30%) [4]. Market News - In May 2025, China's exports denominated in US dollars increased 4.8% year - on - year (previous value: 8.1%), and imports decreased 3.4% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.2%) [5]. - In May 2025, the national consumer price index decreased 0.1% year - on - year. From January to May, the average national consumer price index decreased 0.1% compared with the same period last year [5]. Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of IH, IF, IM, IC main contracts and their respective basis trends [7][8][11]. - **Bond Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of bond futures main contracts, bond spot yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and capital interest rates [14][16][18]. - **Exchange Rates**: There are charts showing the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, forward US dollar against the RMB for 1M and 3M, forward euro against the RMB for 1M and 3M, US dollar index, euro against the US dollar, pound against the US dollar, and US dollar against the yen [21][22][25].