Group 1 - The company and its chairman invested a total of 2.5 billion yuan in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology, acquiring 11.43% and 2.86% equity respectively, which aligns with the company's strategic plan for emerging industries, particularly in domestic AI chip development [1] - Zhenliang Intelligent, established in 2020, has a net asset of 107 million yuan and a loss of 190 million yuan as of the end of 2024, but has already mass-produced two generations of AI chips, with the latest GPGPU chip expected to be delivered quarterly starting in 2025 [2] - The company reported a 10.5% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025, with a net profit growth of 49.4%, indicating stabilization in its main business operations [1][3] Group 2 - The company plans to implement a second employee stock ownership plan involving 10 executives and 110 employees, which is expected to align the interests of core employees and stimulate long-term development [4] - Due to anticipated delays in the recovery of product prices and gross margins, the company has revised down its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2026, projecting EPS of 0.33/0.38/0.42 yuan for 2025-2027 [5] - The company is recognized with a target price of 7.59 yuan based on a 23 times PE ratio for 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 3.71 yuan [5]

Group 1 - Beijing Lier has invested 200 million RMB in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology Co., acquiring 11.43% equity, while Chairman Zhao Wei invested 50 million RMB for 2.86% equity [1][2][3] - Shanghai Zhenliang, founded in 2020, focuses on GPGPU development and manufacturing for AI applications, with a pre-investment valuation of 1.5 billion RMB [2][3] - The company aims to achieve large-scale delivery of its latest GPGPU chips by 2025, having already produced two generations of AI chips [1][2] Group 2 - In 2024, Beijing Lier reported revenue of 6.327 billion RMB, an increase of 11.66%, but net profit decreased by 18.65% to 319 million RMB due to rising raw material costs and declining sales prices [4] - The gross margin for Beijing Lier in 2024 was 14.42%, down from 18.37% the previous year [4] - The company has set ambitious targets, aiming for 7 billion RMB in revenue in 2025, a 10.63% increase, and a net profit of 382 million RMB, a 20% increase [5]

5月以来，A股并购重组呈现多点开花的局面。一方面，已发布重组预案的公司有序推进并购进程，受 理、问询进度备受关注；另一方面，新增并购案例层出不穷，交易模式偏向以现金为主的"短平快"，并 购方向则看向以产业协同为首的新兴产业、未来产业。 上证报记者关注到，仅5月13日一天，就有十多家上市公司密集发布并购重组相关公告，其中近半数是 首次宣布并购计划。从交易方式来看，现金收购成为更多上市公司的首选，不少公司以小额参股、增资 等形式获得相关标的公司股权，个别涉及控股权的收购仍以现金及发行股份相结合的方式进行。从并购 目的来看，产业协同仍是主流趋势，既有横向整合扩展市场，也有垂直整合完善产业链条。 "并购重组蕴含着方案设计、标的对接与多方博弈的独特魅力，当前众多潜在项目正处于关键推进阶 段。"民生证券投行业务部经理项捷克对记者表示，在"并购六条"引导下，上市公司通过产业整合提升 竞争力、央国企加速资源优化配置，企业发展的内生动力正成为推动并购市场持续升温的核心引擎，预 示着未来并购市场将持续保持火热态势。 现金并购频现交易便捷性受青睐 据不完全统计，5月13日，至少有15家A股公司披露了并购重组相关公告，其中有7家公司 ...

Core Viewpoint - Beijing Lier (002392.SZ) announced a cash investment of 250 million yuan in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. to seek new growth opportunities amid peak performance in its main business [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Details - The company and its chairman, Zhao Wei, will invest a total of 250 million yuan, with 200 million yuan from the company and 50 million yuan from Zhao Wei [2][3]. - After the investment, Beijing Lier will hold 11.43% and Zhao Wei will hold 2.86% of Shanghai Zhenliang's equity [2]. - The investment is based on a pre-investment valuation of 1.5 billion yuan for Shanghai Zhenliang, which is currently in the early stages of commercialization [2][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Beijing Lier's revenue for 2024 is projected at 6.327 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.66%, but net profit is expected to decline by 18.65% to 319 million yuan due to industry challenges [2][3]. - Shanghai Zhenliang reported a revenue of 24,070.49 yuan for 2024, with a net loss of 190 million yuan, and zero revenue in the first quarter of 2025 [3][4]. Group 3: Market Context - The refractory materials industry, which Beijing Lier operates in, is facing declining demand and rising raw material costs, leading to a need for new growth avenues [2][3]. - The investment in AI chips is seen as a strategic move to enter a capital and technology-intensive sector, although short-term performance improvements are unlikely [1][2]. Group 4: Corporate Governance and Management Changes - The influence of the SenseTime group on Shanghai Zhenliang appears to be waning, with key executives from SenseTime gradually leaving the management team [9][11]. - The current management team of Shanghai Zhenliang lacks direct ties to SenseTime, indicating a shift in corporate governance [9][13]. Group 5: Financial Health - As of the end of 2024, Beijing Lier reported cash reserves of 1.183 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 39.39%, indicating a stable financial position [8]. - The company is also planning a small-scale private placement of up to 300 million yuan, although the specific use of funds has not been disclosed [5][6].

Group 1 - The US and China have agreed to cancel 91% of their respective tariffs, with a mechanism established for ongoing trade negotiations [1] - The Chinese government is intensifying support for the marine industry, commercial aerospace, and unmanned industries in Nansha, Guangzhou, including the establishment of data centers for blockchain and AI [2] - The Ministry of Commerce is committed to providing support for foreign trade enterprises to help them expand markets and stabilize foreign trade [3] Group 2 - China is launching a special action to combat the smuggling and export of strategic minerals, including heavy rare earths [4][6] - In the first four months of this year, China's automobile production and sales reached 10.175 million and 10.06 million units, respectively, with significant growth in new energy vehicles [7][8] - Sichuan province is accelerating the implementation of invasive brain-computer interface surgeries, aiming for key breakthroughs in the industry by 2027 [9] Group 3 - China CNR Corporation has signed several major contracts totaling approximately 54.74 billion yuan [10] - Longsheng Technology plans to begin supplying components for electric vehicle motors in the second half of 2025 [11] - Beijing Lier intends to invest 200 million yuan in domestic AI chip company Shanghai Zhenliang [12]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market experienced a strong rebound, with major indices posting their best single-day performance in nearly a month, attributed to positive developments in international trade negotiations and reduced fears of a global economic recession [1][7]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 1,160.72 points, or 2.81%, closing at 42,410.10 points [2] - The S&P 500 index rose by 3.26%, closing at 5,844.19 points, with a cumulative rebound of over 20% since mid-April [1][2] - The Nasdaq Composite Index showed the strongest performance, increasing by 4.35% to 18,708.34 points [1][2] Sector Performance - Technology stocks led the market rally, particularly those closely linked to global manufacturing and supply chains, with electric vehicle leaders rising nearly 7% [6] - A major consumer electronics company and an AI chip giant recorded gains of 6% and 5%, respectively [6] - Retail and hardware companies, reliant on overseas procurement and sales channels, also saw significant rebounds, with a major electronics retailer and a large PC manufacturer rising nearly 8% [6] Trade Negotiations Impact - The recent trade negotiations between the U.S. and China resulted in a "temporary" reduction in tariffs, interpreted as a significant positive development for the market [5][12] - The U.S. committed to canceling 91% of tariffs on Chinese goods and modifying 34% of reciprocal tariffs, while China reciprocated with similar reductions [12] Economic Outlook - The progress in trade negotiations has significantly lowered recession expectations, prompting funds previously in risk-averse positions to flow back into risk assets [7] - U.S. Treasury yields rose as the market became less eager for short-term interest rate cuts [7] Investor Sentiment - The market's positive reaction was driven by tariff adjustments that exceeded market expectations, leading to a rapid recovery in risk appetite [6] - Defensive sectors, such as beverages, tobacco, and telecommunications, experienced declines as riskier assets gained favor [8] Future Considerations - Ongoing trade negotiations will remain a key variable influencing market dynamics in the coming weeks, with uncertainty still present regarding the durability of any agreements reached [8] - Analysts suggest that recent trade developments could provide support for mid-term market trends [8]

Group 1 - The company held its 11th meeting of the 6th board of directors on May 9, 2025, where it approved a proposal for joint investment with related parties [1][3] - The board approved a proposal to authorize the board to handle small-scale rapid financing matters, with a total financing amount not exceeding RMB 300 million, which is less than 20% of the net assets at the end of the previous year [3][26] - The proposal for joint investment involves the company investing RMB 200 million in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., acquiring 11.43% of its equity [6][8] Group 2 - The chairman of the company, Zhao Wei, will invest RMB 50 million, acquiring 2.86% of the equity in Shanghai Zhenliang [6][8] - The investment in Shanghai Zhenliang is considered a related party transaction, and it does not require approval from the shareholders' meeting [8][10] - The company aims to capitalize on the growing demand for AI chips, aligning with national policy trends and the potential market space for domestic AI chip companies [20][21] Group 3 - The company has a history of engaging in related transactions, with a total amount of RMB 12.41 million in related transactions occurring since the beginning of the year [20] - The independent directors have reviewed and approved the related party investment proposal, affirming that it aligns with the company's strategic planning and does not harm the interests of shareholders [21][22] - The company plans to use its own funds for the investment, which is expected to have no significant impact on its normal operations [20][21]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **Military Trade and Defense Industry**: The discussion revolves around the military trade sector and its market dynamics, particularly focusing on companies like 成飞集成 (Chengfei Integration) and its role in the defense supply chain [1][3]. - **Tungsten Industry**: The records highlight the tungsten market, emphasizing its strategic importance in defense and the impact of geopolitical factors on supply and demand [4]. - **AI and Edge Computing**: 瑞芯微 (Rockchip) is mentioned in the context of AI applications and edge computing, indicating its role in the technology sector [5]. Core Points and Arguments - **Market Sentiment and Trends**: The market is experiencing fluctuations with a shift in sentiment, particularly in the military trade sector, where expectations remain unclear. The focus is on whether high-profile stocks will rebound [1][3]. - **Chengfei Integration's Role**: As a key supplier for Chengfei Group, the company is crucial in the aviation parts manufacturing sector, specifically for the J-10 fighter jet, indicating its strategic importance in the defense supply chain [3]. - **Tungsten Price Surge**: The price of tungsten has reached a three-year high, driven by supply constraints and increased demand due to geopolitical tensions. The market is characterized by a "mining-led rally" affecting the entire industry chain [4]. - **Geopolitical Impact on Tungsten Supply**: Export controls and reduced mining quotas in China are tightening tungsten supply, while the EU's strategic reserve initiatives are exacerbating resource shortages [4]. - **AI Chip Demand**: The demand for specialized AI chips for edge computing is rising, with 瑞芯微 positioned to benefit from the growing market for AI applications in smart industries and cities [5]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Market Dynamics**: The records indicate a defensive posture in the market, with a focus on high-dividend stocks like banks, while technology stocks are underperforming [1]. - **Potential for Military Stocks**: There is speculation about the potential for military-related stocks to rebound, particularly in light of government commentary on enhancing military capabilities [1]. - **Tungsten's Strategic Importance**: The records emphasize tungsten's critical role in national defense, highlighting its classification as "the soul of the defense industry" and its extensive applications in weapon manufacturing [4]. - **Edge Computing Growth**: The anticipated growth in edge computing and AI applications is expected to drive significant increases in product shipments for 瑞芯微, reflecting broader trends in technology adoption [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Neutral" with an expected industry index increase of -5% to 5% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [22]. Core Insights - The market is currently in a downtrend, with a focus on when the profit effect will turn positive. The current profit effect is around -1% [2][10]. - The report suggests maintaining a neutral position until the 30-day moving average of the wind All A index is breached, considering the low valuation levels [4][10]. - The industry configuration model recommends focusing on "dilemma reversal" sectors, particularly in healthcare and consumer sectors related to export chains such as light industry and home appliances [3][10]. - The TWO BETA model continues to recommend the technology sector, emphasizing domestic substitution in the fields of information technology and AI chips [3][10]. - Despite a significant drop on Friday, the banking sector, which is still in an upward trend, remains worthy of attention [3][10]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The wind All A index is currently in a downtrend, with the 20-day moving average at 4908 and the 120-day moving average at 5092.8, indicating a distance of -3.63% [2][9]. - The market's current environment is characterized by uncertainty due to upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and the release of April import and export data [4][10]. Valuation Metrics - The overall PE ratio of the wind All A index is around the 50th percentile, indicating a medium level, while the PB ratio is around the 20th percentile, indicating a relatively low level [3][10]. Positioning Recommendations - The report advises a 50% allocation in absolute return products based on the wind All A index as the main stock allocation [3][10].

计算机行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 透过财报看算力产业落地进度 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 我们认为，从上市公司财报中，我们已经可以看出 AI 芯片与服务器行业受益于 AI 行业的 迅猛发展而呈现指标加速，此外，算力租赁服务企业订单的密集落地和预付账款的增 加，也预示着相关业务的落地指日可待，而 IDC 行业由于业务落地周期长，目前从行业 整体而言尚未看到财务数据变化但我们对前景也较为乐观。 风险提示 技术落地不及预期、政策落地不及预期、美国进一步制裁风险 国家/地区 中国 行业 计算机行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 05 日 看好（维持） | 浦俊懿 | 021-63325888*6106 | | --- | --- | | | pujunyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860514050004 | | 陈超 | 021-63325888*3144 | | | chenchao3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860521050002 | | 宋鑫宇 | songxinyu@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执 ...