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电子布存涨价预期,非洲水泥机会巨大
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-09-21 12:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from price increases in cement and electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities in the African cement market [1][5]. - The report highlights a shift from "demand expansion" to "price elasticity" in the industry, driven by scarcity and high barriers to entry [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality companies within the sector, particularly those with strong brand recognition and operational leverage [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the construction materials industry is 874.92 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 823.62 billion yuan [2]. - Key companies in the sector include Beixin Building Materials, Conch Cement, and China Jushi, all rated as "Buy" [4]. Market Trends - National cement production from January to August 2025 was 1.105 billion tons, a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with August production at 148 million tons, down 6.2% year-on-year [5]. - The report notes a price increase in cement in various regions, with Yunnan province planning to raise prices by 100 yuan/ton and Shaanxi province by 70 yuan/ton [5]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like China National Materials and Huaxin Cement, which are expected to perform well due to their overseas growth and undervaluation [5]. - It also suggests monitoring the waterproofing industry, which is showing signs of recovery in demand and profitability [5]. Price Movements - The national cement market price increased by 0.5% week-on-week, with price hikes observed in regions such as Jiangxi, Guangxi, and Sichuan [33]. - The average cement shipment rate across key regions was approximately 48%, with a slight increase of 2 percentage points [33].
中国银河证券:季节性淡季需求走弱 建材新领域高景气持续
智通财经网· 2025-09-18 01:41
Group 1: Cement Industry - The cement market is currently experiencing weak demand, with an average price of 271.67 yuan/ton in August, showing a month-on-month decline [1] - Seasonal demand is expected to recover from September to November, potentially leading to price increases due to the "anti-involution" trend promoting capacity reduction [1] Group 2: Consumer Building Materials - Retail sales of building and decoration materials grew by 2.2% year-on-year from January to July 2025, but saw a 0.5% year-on-year decline in July, indicating a seasonal slowdown [2] - Urban renewal initiatives are anticipated to boost demand for renovation and repair materials such as pipes, waterproofing, and coatings [2] Group 3: Glass Fiber - The market for glass fiber is under pressure, with small and medium enterprises experiencing slight price reductions for coarse yarn due to high inventory levels [3] - Demand for high-end electronic yarn remains strong, while traditional electronic yarn products face increased supply pressure, leading to a slight price decrease [3] Group 4: Float Glass - The float glass market continues to show weak demand, with prices reverting to levels seen before the June price increase, indicating a historical low [4] - Seasonal demand may improve slightly, but supply-side pressures are expected to limit significant price increases in the short term [4]
季节性淡季需求走弱,新领域高景气持续 | 投研报告
Group 1: Cement Industry - In August, the cement market remained in a seasonal downturn, with high temperatures and rainy weather affecting downstream construction, leading to weak demand and a decrease in operating load of cement mills [1][2] - The average price of cement in August was 271.67 yuan/ton, showing a month-on-month decline [1][2] - A seasonal demand recovery is expected from September to November, combined with the "anti-involution" trend accelerating industry capacity reduction, which may help ease supply-demand imbalances and support price increases [1][2] Group 2: Construction Materials - Retail sales of construction and decoration materials saw a slight decline, with a year-on-year growth of 2.2% from January to July 2025, while July's retail sales decreased by 0.5% year-on-year and 14.45% month-on-month [2] - The ongoing urban renewal initiatives are expected to boost demand for renovation and repair materials, such as pipes, waterproofing, and coatings [2] Group 3: Fiberglass - In August, the pricing of fiberglass roving from small and medium enterprises showed slight weakening, while demand for high-end electronic yarn products remained strong [3] - The supply of traditional electronic yarn products faced pressure, leading to a slight price reduction, but high-end products are expected to see price increases due to demand recovery [3] Group 4: Float Glass - The float glass market continued to experience weak demand, with prices returning to levels seen before previous increases by the end of August [3] - Despite the potential for slight price recovery due to seasonal demand, supply-side pressures remain, limiting significant price increases [3] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Companies with strong brand advantages and product quality in the construction materials sector, such as Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, and Dongfang Yuhong, are expected to benefit from urban development focusing on quality improvement [4] - In the cement sector, regional leaders like Shangfeng Cement are recommended, with attention to Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement due to expected profit recovery [5] - For fiberglass, companies like China Jushi are recommended, with a focus on Zhongcai Technology for potential performance recovery [5] - In the glass sector, attention is drawn to Qibin Group as the industry supply-demand dynamics improve [5]
旗滨集团20250911
2025-09-11 14:33
Summary of Qibin Group's Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call focuses on Qibin Group, a company in the photovoltaic glass industry, which has rapidly expanded its production capacity to 60%-70% of that of its competitor, Fuyao [2][6] - Qibin Group is positioned as the third-largest player in the photovoltaic glass sector, with a total production capacity of 11,800 tons across 9 production lines [3] Core Insights and Arguments - **Cost Control and Profit Margins**: Qibin Group has effectively controlled costs through large furnace technology and a high self-sufficiency rate in silica sand, narrowing the profit margin gap with Fuyao to approximately 0.4-0.5 yuan per bottle [2][3] - **Overseas Expansion Strategy**: Establishing overseas factories is a key strategy for enhancing competitiveness, allowing Qibin Group to reduce shipping costs and improve customer proximity, thereby optimizing the supply structure in Southeast Asia [2][5] - **Industry Trends**: The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a trend of "anti-involution," where companies focus on technological innovation and efficiency improvements to achieve sustainable growth [2][9] - **Supply Side Adjustments**: The photovoltaic glass industry is undergoing significant supply-side adjustments, with an expected capacity exit rate of 33.3% in the second half of 2024, indicating a mature response to market conditions [2][10] Additional Important Points - **Profitability Expectations**: Despite a reduction in single product profit margins, Qibin Group's cost control capabilities are superior to its peers, with float glass gross margins leading other listed companies by 10-15 yuan/ton [2][11] - **Raw Material Advantages**: Qibin Group has a self-owned sand mine with a self-use rate of over 70% for float glass, and it utilizes a cost-effective fuel mix to further reduce production costs [4][12] - **Market Demand Dynamics**: While the float glass market is currently facing limited demand growth, Qibin Group is more reliant on supply-side adjustments to manage market fluctuations [7][8] - **Long-term Growth Potential**: The company is expected to maintain strong growth in the photovoltaic glass sector, with ongoing capacity expansion and effective cost management strategies [6][15] - **Investment Logic**: The core investment rationale for Qibin Group centers on its growth potential in the photovoltaic sector, with a historical ability to maintain profitability even in challenging years [4][15] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting Qibin Group's competitive advantages, industry trends, and future growth prospects.
建材研究框架:回归常识,探寻本源
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The cement industry in China has experienced a significant increase in clinker production capacity, peaking at 18.3 billion tons by 2016, but has since stabilized around 18 billion tons without significant capacity reduction [11] - Cement demand reached a plateau after peaking in 2014, with a decline expected to continue, dropping from a range of 2.2-2.4 billion tons in 2022 to an estimated 1.68 billion tons by 2025 [11][32] - The price of cement has undergone fluctuations, with a notable increase following the 2008 stimulus, followed by a decline due to oversupply and weak demand in the real estate sector [15] - The profitability of cement companies is expected to be at a low point in 2024, with net profits projected at 11 billion yuan, compared to 8.3 billion yuan in 2015 [16] - The industry is facing challenges from both supply and demand sides, with short-term supply adjustments needed to match declining demand [42] Summary by Sections Supply Side - The cement industry has seen a significant increase in production capacity, with a peak in 2016, but has not undergone substantial capacity reduction since then [11] - Short-term adjustments are necessary to align supply with declining demand, particularly in the context of a rapidly changing market environment [42] Demand Side - Cement demand has entered a decline phase, primarily driven by a downturn in the real estate sector, with expectations of further decreases in 2025 [32] - The report highlights that the construction and real estate sectors are the main contributors to the decline in cement demand [32] Price Trends - Cement prices have experienced a cyclical pattern, with significant increases following government stimulus measures, followed by declines due to oversupply and weak demand [15] - The report indicates that the price fluctuations are closely tied to the balance of supply and demand in the market [15] Profitability - The profitability of cement companies is projected to be low, with net profits expected to rise slightly from 8.3 billion yuan in 2015 to 11 billion yuan in 2024 [16] - The report notes that while the industry faces profitability challenges, cash flow remains relatively stable for many companies [23]
地产仍处弱景气,供给端的变化更值得期待
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 05:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the building materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The real estate sector remains in a weak economic environment, but changes on the supply side are more promising [1]. - The cement sector is expected to benefit from demand driven by urban renewal and supply restrictions, leading to improved market conditions [4][7]. - The report highlights the potential for price increases in waterproofing products, which could enhance industry profit margins [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The building materials industry consists of 73 listed companies with a total market value of 838.733 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 789.313 billion yuan [2]. - The report notes a decline in real estate development investment, with a 12% year-on-year decrease, and a 4% drop in commercial housing sales area [7]. Key Companies - North New Building Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.2 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - China Jushi: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Weixing New Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Sankeshu: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.5 yuan, with an "Overweight" rating [5]. - Huaxin Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.2 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.4 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Qibin Group: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.1 yuan, with an "Overweight" rating [5]. - Dongfang Yuhong: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.1 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - Jianlang Hardware: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.3 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. - China National Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [5]. Market Trends - The cement market saw a 0.2% increase in prices, with specific regions experiencing price hikes of 10-30 yuan per ton [31]. - The national cement output for January to July 2025 was 958 million tons, a 4.5% year-on-year decrease [7]. - The report anticipates a steady upward trend in cement prices due to rising coal costs and improved demand conditions [31]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from supply restrictions and urban renewal projects, such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement [7][8]. - It also suggests monitoring companies in the waterproofing sector, like Dongfang Yuhong, for potential profit margin improvements [7].
纯碱供需承压,低成本的天然碱工艺或将脱颖而出 | 投研报告
Group 1: Industry Overview - The apparent consumption of soda ash in 2024 is projected to be 35.23 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.49% [1][3] - The demand for soda ash may significantly slow down in the future due to the continuous losses in photovoltaic glass, which could lead to a slowdown in production capacity growth [1][3] - The glass demand is expected to remain high due to urban renewal and state subsidies stimulating renovation needs, particularly in the second-hand housing market [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The rapid expansion of photovoltaic glass production capacity has led to a supply-demand imbalance, with the capacity increasing from 11.73 million tons in 2020 to 44.77 million tons by 2024, a growth of 281.64% [3] - The soda ash industry faces significant pressure from new production capacity, with several projects expected to come online, including 2.8 million tons from Boyuan Chemical and a 5 million ton project from Zhongyan Chemical [4] - The cost of production for different soda ash processes is as follows: 1,246 RMB/ton for the Solvay process, 1,395 RMB/ton for the ammonia-soda process, and 679 RMB/ton for the natural soda process, indicating that only the natural soda process is currently profitable [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The natural soda process is expected to emerge as a dominant method in the global soda ash market due to its lower production costs and the U.S. holding 99% of the world's natural soda resources [5] - The industry anticipates that the demand for soda ash will face further pressure as the production capacity of photovoltaic glass decreases, while the supply side still has significant new capacity coming online [4][5]
传统市场需求较弱,新领域高景气延续 | 投研报告
Group 1: Cement Industry - In July, the cement industry experienced a seasonal downturn, with high temperatures and rain affecting downstream construction, leading to a decrease in national cement demand and an increase in the clinker line shutdown rate [1][2] - Clinker inventory continued to grow, indicating a significant supply-demand imbalance, resulting in a downward trend in cement prices [1][2] - It is expected that demand will gradually recover in late August, and cement prices may stabilize and begin to rise [1][2] Group 2: Building Materials Consumption - Retail sales of building and decoration materials increased by 2.6% year-on-year from January to June 2025, with June showing a 1.0% year-on-year increase and a 14.8% month-on-month increase [2] - The expectation of policy implementation is enhancing the recovery outlook for the retail market, with potential demand from renovation and upgrading of existing properties, as well as urban village and dilapidated housing renovations [2] Group 3: Fiberglass Industry - In July, the price of fiberglass roving showed slight weakening, with traditional thermosetting products experiencing weak sales, while wind power and high-end products remained the main focus [3] - The supply of fiberglass remains high, and prices are expected to trend weakly [3] - For electronic fiberglass, prices remained stable, but there is a supply shortage for high-end products, which is expected to support prices at a high level [3] Group 4: Float Glass - In July, float glass prices stopped declining and began to rise, with inventory shifting towards downstream [3] - The demand from the middle and downstream sectors increased, leading to a recovery in spot prices [3] - The market outlook for August suggests continued speculative demand and inventory buildup, with potential for slight price increases in the fourth quarter due to urgent construction needs [3] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - For building materials, companies with strong channel layouts, product quality, and brand advantages such as Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, and Dongfang Yuhong are recommended, along with attention to Sanke Tree and Rabbit Baby [4] - In the cement sector, stricter supply controls are expected to ease supply-demand imbalances, with price increases anticipated for regional leaders like Shangfeng Cement, while Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement are also worth monitoring [4] - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi are recommended due to expected demand recovery and price increases for mid-to-high-end products [4] - For the glass industry, attention is drawn to Qibin Group as the supply-demand balance is expected to improve with increased cold repair production lines [4]
重视强景气和稀缺性的电子布,“反内卷”大背景下易涨难跌的水泥
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-10 09:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is experiencing a dual boost from urban renovation demands and supply restrictions due to the "anti-involution" trend, leading to sustained growth in the cement sector [6][35]. - The report highlights the strong demand for specialty electronic fabrics, driven by upgrades in cloud manufacturing, and recommends companies like Zhongcai Technology and Huazhong Technology [6]. - Cement prices are expected to stabilize and potentially rise due to self-regulatory measures in the industry, with recommendations for companies such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [6][35]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction materials industry consists of 73 listed companies with a total market value of 807.18 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 761.71 billion yuan [2]. Key Companies and Performance - Key companies include: - Beixin Building Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.2 yuan, with a PE ratio of 12.2, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Conch Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.5 yuan, with a PE ratio of 16.7, rated as "Buy" [4]. - China Jushi: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a PE ratio of 20.2, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Weixing New Materials: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.6 yuan, with a PE ratio of 17.9, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Sankeshu: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.5 yuan, with a PE ratio of 87.9, rated as "Overweight" [4]. - Huaxin Cement: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.2 yuan, with a PE ratio of 14.0, rated as "Buy" [4]. Market Trends - The report notes that the cement market is currently stable, with an average shipment rate of 44% across key regions, and prices have reached or fallen below cost lines in many areas [35]. - The report emphasizes the importance of self-regulatory measures to alleviate operational pressures and suggests that if effectively implemented, cement prices may begin to rise [35]. Recommendations - The report recommends increasing allocations in construction materials, particularly in cement and specialty electronic fabrics, highlighting companies that are expected to benefit from ongoing market trends and regulatory changes [6][35].
Miran获特朗普提名出任美联储理事
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-08 01:54
Investment Rating of the Report The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Gold prices are trending upward with strong performance, influenced by the risk - aversion sentiment due to the implementation of reciprocal tariffs by the US. The potential US tariff on Swiss gold imports has significantly increased the premium of COMEX gold over London gold. The short - term trend of the US dollar is weak. The US stock index futures face the need for more data to verify the intensification of economic downward pressure, and there is a risk of correction at the current level. The bond market is in a favorable period in early August, but the upward rhythm is relatively tortuous. For various commodities, their prices are affected by factors such as supply - demand relationships, policies, and international situations [14][19][23][31]. Summary by Directory 1. Financial News and Comments 1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - The US allows 401(k) investors to invest in alternative assets. Trump nominates a new Fed governor. China's gold reserves increased by 1.86 tons in July. Gold prices are trending upward, and there are arbitrage opportunities due to the widening regional price difference [12][13][14]. 1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Miran is nominated as a Fed governor by Trump. The US dollar is expected to weaken in the short term [18][19]. 1.3 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - Trump nominates Stephen Miran as a Fed governor. The risk in the job market has increased, and inflation expectations have risen in July. The possibility of a Fed rate cut within the year has increased in the short term, but the long - term independence of the Fed is affected. Attention should be paid to the risk of correction [21][22][23]. 1.4 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - China's import and export data in July exceeded expectations. It is recommended to allocate various stock indices evenly [25][27][28]. 1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations. China's import and export data in July exceeded expectations. The sustainability of strong export growth is questionable. The bond market is in a favorable period in early August, but the upward rhythm is tortuous, and the timing of going long should be carefully grasped [29][30][31]. 2. Commodity News and Comments 2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - China imported 1166.6 million tons of soybeans in July. ANEC expects Brazil to export 815 million tons of soybeans in August. US soybean exports were better than expected, and CBOT soybeans stopped falling and stabilized. The supply in China may tighten in the fourth quarter if no US soybeans are purchased. The operating center of soybean meal futures prices is expected to move up [33][35][37]. 2.2 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - China imported 53.4 million tons of edible vegetable oil in July. The oil market is expected to maintain a strong - side oscillating trend. It is not recommended to enter the market today, and existing long positions can be held [39]. 2.3 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The excavator monthly operation rate in July was 56.7%. The inventory of five major steel products increased this week, suppressing the market. Steel prices are driven by policies, but it is difficult for spot prices to rise. It is recommended to be cautious about market rallies [40][41][42]. 2.4 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The operating rate of the corn starch industry increased, and inventory accumulated again. The supply - demand situation does not support the strengthening of the rice - flour price difference, and the regional price difference may be unfavorable to the 09 contract [44][45]. 2.5 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The northern port inventory is similar to that of the same period last year. The inventory of deep - processing enterprises decreased, and consumption slightly increased. It is recommended to hold new - crop short positions and pay attention to the weather [47][48][49]. 2.6 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - The price of steam coal in the northern port market was strong on August 7. The coal price is expected to remain strong in the short term, but it is difficult to continue to rebound. Attention should be paid to the change in daily consumption in mid - August [49]. 2.7 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - China imported 10462.3 million tons of iron ore and its concentrates in July. The ore price is expected to be weakly oscillating in the short term [50][51]. 2.8 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - India's cotton planting area in the 25/26 season is 1058.7 million hectares. Vietnamese textile enterprises have weak restocking intentions. Textile and clothing exports declined in July. Zhengzhou cotton is expected to have limited room for further decline in the short term and may rebound [52][53][54]. 2.9 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - The online auction price of coking coal in Jinzhong Lingshi market increased. The coking coal market has strong speculation sentiment due to policy and inspection factors, and the impact on the fundamentals depends on further policies [58][59]. 2.10 Non - ferrous Metals (Alumina) - A large - scale alumina enterprise in Guangxi postponed the maintenance of a roasting furnace to August 16. The alumina futures price is expected to be weakly oscillating, and it is recommended to wait and see [60][61]. 2.11 Non - ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - Jingao's project is under pre - approval publicity. The spot transaction price has increased, and the polysilicon price is expected to operate between 45000 - 57000 yuan/ton in the short term. A strategy of selling out - of - the - money put options can be considered [62][63][64]. 2.12 Non - ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The social inventory of industrial silicon increased by 0.7 million tons. The supply may increase slightly in August, and the balance sheet may still show inventory reduction. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long at 8000 - 8500 yuan/ton [65][67]. 2.13 Non - ferrous Metals (Copper) - China's copper import volume increased in July. A copper mine accident in Chile affected production. The macro - sentiment is favorable to copper prices in the short term, but inventory accumulation suppresses the market. It is recommended to wait and see for single - side trading and pay attention to the internal - external reverse arbitrage strategy [68][70][71]. 2.14 Non - ferrous Metals (Nickel) - LME nickel inventory decreased by 240 tons on August 7. The nickel price is difficult to decline deeply in the short term. It is recommended to pay attention to short - term band opportunities and medium - term short - selling opportunities at high prices [73][74][75]. 2.15 Non - ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Australia will invest in a lithium project. The demand is strong in August, and the supply risk remains. It is recommended to wait and see before the risk event is resolved and take profit on the 9 - 11 reverse arbitrage [76][77]. 2.16 Non - ferrous Metals (Lead) - Pan American Silver's lead concentrate production increased in the second quarter. The lead price has cost support at the bottom. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long at low prices and wait and see for arbitrage [78][79]. 2.17 Non - ferrous Metals (Zinc) - Pan American Silver's zinc concentrate production increased in the second quarter. The zinc price may continue to rise in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see for single - side trading and pay attention to the medium - term positive arbitrage opportunity [80][81][82]. 2.18 Energy and Chemicals (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) - China's LPG weekly commodity volume increased slightly, and the inventory situation changed. The fundamentals are weak, and attention should be paid to the behavior of factory warehouses [83][84]. 2.19 Energy and Chemicals (Carbon Emission) - The CEA price is oscillating. It is recommended to buy on dips cautiously for enterprises with quota demand [85][86]. 2.20 Energy and Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - The price of liquid caustic soda in Shandong decreased, and the inventory increased. The downward space of caustic soda is limited [87][88][89]. 2.21 Energy and Chemicals (Pulp) - The price of imported wood pulp is stable. The pulp market is expected to be weakly oscillating in the short term [91]. 2.22 Energy and Chemicals (PVC) - The PVC powder market is locally weak. The PVC price is expected to oscillate in the short term due to cost support from coal [92][93]. 2.23 Energy and Chemicals (PX) - PX supply may increase, and PTA is in a loss. PX may accumulate inventory in August - September, and the market is expected to oscillate in the short term [93][94]. 2.24 Energy and Chemicals (PTA) - The operating rate in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has been adjusted locally. The downstream is still in the off - season, and the PTA market is expected to oscillate in the short term [95][96][97]. 2.25 Energy and Chemicals (Styrene) - A new styrene device of Jingbo has produced qualified products. The styrene market is expected to oscillate at the current price [99]. 2.26 Energy and Chemicals (Soda Ash) - The inventory of soda ash manufacturers increased. In the medium term, a strategy of short - selling at high prices can be considered for soda ash [100]. 2.27 Energy and Chemicals (Float Glass) - The inventory of float glass manufacturers increased. The glass price is expected to oscillate. It is recommended to be cautious in single - side trading and focus on arbitrage [101][102]. 2.28 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - China's import and export data from January to July was released. The container freight rate is expected to be weakly oscillating, and attention should be paid to the opportunity of short - selling on rebounds [103][104].