Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The acceleration of unmanned sanitation bidding indicates rapid industry development and technological iteration [8] - Decrease in capital expenditure in waste incineration leads to increased dividends, while improvements in heating and IDC enhance ROE and valuation [9] - Water utility operations show steady growth and high dividends, with water price reforms reshaping growth and valuation [12] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Unmanned sanitation bidding is accelerating, with a procurement project for 100 small autonomous cleaning vehicles announced, budgeted at 28.6 million yuan [8] - The waste incineration sector is seeing a decline in capital expenditure, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends [9] - The water utility sector is experiencing stable growth, with a projected revenue of 655 billion yuan in 2024, and a net profit of 112 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [12] Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., and others for their strong dividend performance and growth potential [4] - Focus on companies like Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment for their robust cash flow and dividend commitments [12] Equipment and Technology - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of 3,570 units, a 73% year-on-year increase [21][22] - The market for bio-diesel remains challenging, with prices stable and profits under pressure due to rising raw material costs [36] Financial Performance - Companies like Junxin Co. and Green Power are expected to increase their cash dividends significantly in 2024, with Junxin's cash dividend projected at 507 million yuan, a 37% increase [9] - The water utility sector is set to benefit from recent price reforms, with Guangzhou implementing significant price increases for residential water [13][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The national green electricity direct connection policy opens up cooperation space for waste incineration power generation and IDC [9][12] - The solid waste sector is expected to increase dividends and improve ROE through heat supply and IDC expansion [1][14] - The industry is entering a mature phase, leading to reduced capital expenditures and improved free cash flow, which enhances dividend payouts [14][17] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection sector is experiencing a decline in capital expenditures, leading to a significant improvement in free cash flow and increased dividends [14] - The waste incineration sector is seeing a trend towards cost reduction and efficiency improvements, which enhances ROE [14][15] Key Recommendations - Strongly recommended companies include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., China Everbright Environment, Junxin Co., Yuehai Investment, and others [1] - Companies to watch include: Lian Tai Environmental Protection, Wangneng Environment, and Beikong Water Group [1] Policy Tracking - The green electricity direct connection policy requires new projects to have over 80% green electricity usage, which is expected to drive the integration of waste incineration power generation with data centers [12][13] - The policy aims to facilitate the supply of green electricity to high-energy-consuming industries, enhancing economic efficiency and stability [10][12] Financial Performance - The water service sector is projected to see stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [17][19] - The report highlights specific dividend payouts for companies like Junxin Co. (5.07 billion CNY), Green Power (4.18 billion CNY), and Huanlan Environment (6.52 billion CNY) for 2024 [14][17] Market Performance - The environmental protection and public utilities index rose by 3.53%, outperforming the broader market indices [50] - Notable stock performances include Yuhua Tian (up 55.7%) and Boschke (up 42.56%) [51]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the collaboration between Luzhou Aviation Development Investment Group and Xinwanda Electronics, focusing on the dual carbon strategy and resource recovery strategy [1] - The partnership aims to leverage Luzhou Aviation's core assets in incremental distribution networks and zero-carbon park scenarios, while Xinwanda will utilize its technological and market advantages in the lithium battery industry [1] - The collaboration will focus on the "lithium battery secondary and recycling utilization" sector, aiming to create a closed-loop industrial chain covering battery recycling, secondary utilization, and regeneration [1] Group 2 - Both companies will seek cooperation in areas such as "zero-carbon park construction" and "energy storage system integration production lines," promoting the implementation of the "source-network-load-storage integration" model [1] - The partnership aims to inject green new momentum into the high-quality development of the regional economy through the application of energy storage technology scenarios [1] - Xinwanda Electronics is recognized as a leading global lithium-ion battery enterprise, with a diverse business portfolio that includes consumer products, power technology, energy technology, and smart hardware [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The issuance of the "Ecological Environment Protection Supervision Work Regulations" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council aims to comprehensively promote the construction of a beautiful China [8] - The solid waste sector is expected to see improved cash flow and increased dividends due to reduced capital expenditures and enhanced operational efficiency [9][12] - The water service sector is experiencing stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [12][14] Summary by Sections Solid Waste Management - Capital expenditures are decreasing, leading to significant improvements in free cash flow and increased dividends [9] - Key companies such as Junxin Co. are projected to distribute cash dividends of 507 million yuan in 2024, a 37% increase year-on-year, with a dividend yield of 4.4% [9] - The industry is entering a mature phase, with operational efficiency being enhanced through cost reduction and collaborations in heating and IDC [9][10] Water Services - The water service sector's revenue is projected at 65.5 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 11.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [12] - Water price reforms in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to drive a new round of price adjustments, enhancing profitability and stability [13][14] - Companies such as Yuehai Investment are highlighted for their ability to frequently adjust prices, with an expected dividend yield of 6.9% in 2025 [14] Environmental Equipment - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of new energy sanitation vehicles rising by 73% [29] - The total sales of sanitation vehicles reached 24,542 units, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.2% [29] Biofuels - The prices of biodiesel and waste cooking oil have decreased, leading to negative profit margins [37][38] - The average price of biodiesel was 7,700 yuan per ton, down 5.5% week-on-week, while waste cooking oil averaged 6,018 yuan per ton, down 1.2% [37] Lithium Battery Recycling - The profitability of lithium battery recycling has slightly declined due to fluctuating metal prices and a decrease in discount coefficients [41][42] - The average unit gross profit for waste material is estimated at -0.71 million yuan per ton [41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the collaboration between Qiaoyin Co. and Guodi Center to advance humanoid robot applications in urban services, marking a significant development in the industry [9]. - It emphasizes the trend of decreasing capital expenditures in waste incineration, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends, while also noting the enhancement of ROE through efficiency improvements in heating and IDC collaborations [10][11]. - The water utility sector is experiencing stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [12][13]. Summary by Sections Humanoid Robot Development - Qiaoyin Co. has signed a cooperation agreement with Guodi Center to launch humanoid robots for urban services, with an initial order of 1,000 robots aimed at street sanitation applications [9]. Waste Incineration Sector - The report identifies two key factors for the solid waste sector: a decrease in capital expenditures leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends, and a focus on efficiency improvements during the industry's maturity phase [10]. - Specific dividend forecasts for 2024 include: - Junxin Co.: cash dividend of 507 million yuan (+37%), dividend ratio of 94.59% (+22.78 percentage points), and a dividend yield of 4.4% - Green Power: cash dividend of 418 million yuan (+100%), dividend ratio of 71.45% (+38.23 percentage points), with A-share and Hong Kong dividend yields of 4.2% and 8.2% respectively - Hanlan Environment: proposed dividend of 652 million yuan (+67%), dividend ratio of 39.20% (+11.83 percentage points), and a dividend yield of 3.5% [10]. Water Utility Sector - The water utility sector is projected to see stable growth, with 2024 revenues of 65.5 billion yuan (-2%) and a net profit of 11.2 billion yuan (+27%), excluding one-time gains [12]. - Water price reforms in Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to drive a new round of price adjustments, enhancing profitability and stability in the sector [13][14]. Environmental Equipment and Renewable Energy - The report notes a 51% increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles in early 2025, with a penetration rate of 14.36%, reflecting a growing trend towards electrification in the sanitation equipment sector [29]. - The average price of biodiesel has decreased slightly, with a narrowing price gap between biodiesel and waste oil, impacting profitability [36]. Lithium Battery Recycling - The report indicates a slight decline in profitability in lithium battery recycling due to fluctuating metal prices and a stable discount coefficient, with average unit profits showing a minor decrease [39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the collaboration between Qiaoyin Co. and Guodi Center to advance humanoid robot applications in urban services, marking a significant development in the industry [9] - It emphasizes that the solid waste sector is experiencing a decrease in capital expenditure, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends, while also enhancing return on equity (ROE) through efficiency improvements in heating and IDC [10][12] - The water services sector is noted for its stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [12][14] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robot Development - Qiaoyin Co. has signed a cooperation agreement with Guodi Center to launch humanoid robots for urban services, with an initial order of 1,000 robots aimed at street cleaning and maintenance [9] Solid Waste Management - The report identifies two key trends: a reduction in capital expenditure leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends, and a focus on efficiency improvements as the industry matures [10] - Specific dividend forecasts for 2024 include: - Junxin Co.: cash dividend of 507 million yuan (+37%), dividend ratio of 94.59% (+22.78 percentage points), and a dividend yield of 4.4% - Green Power: cash dividend of 418 million yuan (+100%), dividend ratio of 71.45% (+38.23 percentage points), with A-share and Hong Kong stock dividend yields of 4.2% and 8.2% respectively - Hanlan Environment: proposed dividend of 652 million yuan (+67%), dividend ratio of 39.20% (+11.83 percentage points), and a dividend yield of 3.5% [10] Water Services - The water services sector is projected to see stable growth, with 2024 revenues of 65.5 billion yuan (-2%) and net profits of 11.2 billion yuan (+27%), excluding one-time gains [12] - Water price reforms in Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to drive a new round of price adjustments, enhancing profitability and stability [13][14] Industry Trends - The report notes a 51% increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles in the first quarter of 2025, with penetration rates rising to 14.36% [29] - The bio-diesel market is experiencing a decline in prices for both bio-diesel and waste oil, leading to a narrowing price gap [36] - The lithium battery recycling sector is facing slight declines in profitability due to fluctuating metal prices and discount coefficients [39]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 296,028.43 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -25,509.02 million, a reduction in losses by 15,989.38 million [13] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a consolidated revenue of 62,223.24 million, with a net profit of 4,230.16 million, showing significant year-on-year improvement [13] - The smart equipment segment generated 155,475.50 million in revenue for 2024, down 4.95%, while Q1 2025 revenue was 42,929.17 million, accounting for 68.99% of total revenue, up 18.71% year-on-year [13][14] - The lithium battery recycling segment reported 58,640.95 million in revenue for 2024, down 43.08%, with Q1 2025 revenue at 8,138.51 million, representing 13.08% of total revenue, down 24% year-on-year [14] Business Segments Performance - Smart Equipment: Q1 2025 revenue was 4.29 billion with a gross margin of 18.85%, domestic revenue was 3.31 billion and international revenue was 0.97 billion [4][6] - Lithium Battery Recycling: Q1 2025 revenue was 0.81 billion with a gross margin of 3.48% [4] - Heavy Machinery: Q1 2025 revenue was 0.75 billion with a gross margin of 14.36% [4] - Circular Equipment: Q1 2025 revenue was 0.27 billion with a gross margin of 17.55% [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to achieve profitability in 2025, focusing on enhancing the smart equipment business and accelerating the application of humanoid robots in industrial settings [5] - Cost control measures include strict budget execution, procurement cost optimization, production cost reduction, and enhanced expense management [7] - The company is expanding its lithium battery recycling business by optimizing external partnerships and improving internal management to enhance production efficiency and capacity utilization [11][12] Market Opportunities - The lithium battery recycling industry is expected to grow significantly, with projected recovery volumes reaching 120,000 tons by 2025 and 600,000 tons by 2030 [17] - The company is leveraging opportunities in the smart equipment sector by partnering with well-known automotive manufacturers and expanding overseas market development [8][9] Collaboration and Innovation - The company is collaborating with partners like UBTECH and Galaxy General Robotics to develop humanoid robots for industrial applications, focusing on customized solutions and large-scale production [9][15] - The joint venture with Galaxy General Robotics aims to enhance the application of embodied intelligent robots in the automotive manufacturing sector [3]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·环保 环保行业跟踪周报 绿色动力 25Q1 业绩超预期，固废板块提分 红+提 ROE 核心逻辑验证 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 风险提示：政策推广不及预期，财政支出低于预期，行业竞争加剧。 2025 年 04 月 28 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈孜文 执业证书：S0600523070006 chenzw@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 2024/4/29 2024/8/27 2024/12/25 2025/4/24 环保 沪深300 相关研究 《政策明确碳市场扩容节奏，持续关 注稳健运营&自主可控&再生资源主 线 》 2025-04-22 《国网发布 2025 年第 1-3 批国补清 单，持续关注稳健运营&自主可控&再 生资源主线 》 2025-04-15 东吴证券研究所 1 / 33 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 重点推荐：瀚蓝环境， ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·环保 环保行业跟踪周报 行业走势 绿色动力 25Q1 业绩超预期，固废板块提分 红+提 ROE 核心逻辑验证 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 风险提示：政策推广不及预期，财政支出低于预期，行业竞争加剧。 2025 年 04 月 28 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈孜文 执业证书：S0600523070006 chenzw@dwzq.com.cn -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 2024/4/29 2024/8/27 2024/12/25 2025/4/24 环保 沪深300 相关研究 《政策明确碳市场扩容节奏，持续关 注稳健运营&自主可控&再生资源主 线 》 2025-04-22 《国网发布 2025 年第 1-3 批国补清 单，持续关注稳健运营&自主可控&再 生资源主线 》 2025-04-15 东吴证券研究所 1 / 33 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 重点推荐：瀚蓝环境， ...

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