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PMI数据最新解读
清华金融评论· 2025-12-31 02:24
12月份,制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为50.1%,比上月上升0.9个百分点,升至扩张区间。对此,国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽 慧进行了解读: 12月份,制造业采购经理指数、非制造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为50.1%、50.2%和50.7%,比上月上升0.9个、0.7个和1.0个百 分点,三大指数均升至扩张区间,我国经济景气水平总体回升。 一、制造业采购经理指数升至临界点以上 12月份,制造业PMI为50.1%,4月份以来首次升至扩张区间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上月回升,相关企业生产经营情况有所 改善。 (一)产需两端明显回升。生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.7%和50.8%,比上月上升1.7个和1.6个百分点,特别是新订单指数下半年以来首 次升至临界点以上,制造业产需两端均较上月明显扩张。从行业看,农副食品加工、纺织服装服饰、计算机通信电子设备等行业生产指数和 新订单指数均高于53.0%,产需两端加快释放;非金属矿物制品、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工等行业两个指数均低于临界点,相关行业仍面临一 定压力。在制造业产需回升的带动下,企业采购活动加快,采购量指数升至扩张区间,为 ...
12月份中国采购经理指数均升至扩张区间 
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-12-31 02:21
一、制造业采购经理指数升至临界点以上 12月份,制造业PMI为50.1%,4月份以来首次升至扩张区间。在调查的21个行业中有16个行业PMI较上 月回升,相关企业生产经营情况有所改善。 (一)产需两端明显回升。生产指数和新订单指数分别为51.7%和50.8%,比上月上升1.7个和1.6个百 分点,特别是新订单指数下半年以来首次升至临界点以上,制造业产需两端均较上月明显扩张。从行业 看,农副食品加工、纺织服装服饰、计算机通信电子设备等行业生产指数和新订单指数均高于53.0%, 产需两端加快释放;非金属矿物制品、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工等行业两个指数均低于临界点,相关行 业仍面临一定压力。在制造业产需回升的带动下,企业采购活动加快,采购量指数升至扩张区间,为 51.1%。 (二)大型企业PMI重返扩张区间。大型企业PMI为50.8%,比上月上升1.5个百分点,升至临界点以 上;中型企业PMI为49.8%,比上月上升0.9个百分点,景气水平回升;小型企业PMI为48.6%,比上月下 降0.5个百分点,景气水平有所回落。 2025年12月31日国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。对此, ...
国家统计局:16个行业PMI较上月回升,相关企业生产经营情况有所改善
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-12-31 01:40
12月份中国采购经理指数均升至扩张区间 (三)重点行业PMI均高于上月。高技术制造业PMI为52.5%,比上月上升2.4个百分点,行业增长态势 向好。装备制造业和消费品行业PMI均为50.4%,分别比上月上升0.6个和1.0个百分点,双双升至扩张区 间。高耗能行业PMI为48.9%,比上月上升0.5个百分点,景气水平继续回升。 (四)预期指数升至较高景气区间。生产经营活动预期指数为55.5%,比上月上升2.4个百分点,制造业 企业对市场发展信心继续增强。从行业看,受节前备货等因素带动,农副食品加工、食品及酒饮料精制 茶等行业生产经营活动预期指数均升至60.0%以上高位景气区间,相关企业对近期行业发展更为乐观。 二、非制造业商务活动指数重回扩张区间 12月份,非制造业商务活动指数为50.2%,比上月上升0.7个百分点,非制造业景气水平改善。 ——国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年12月中国采购经理指数 2025年12月31日国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。对此, 国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧进行了解读。 12月份,制造业采购经理指数、非制造业 ...
国泰海通晨报-20251217
Haitong Securities· 2025-12-17 01:50
Group 1: Company Overview - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the company, predicting revenues of 4.132 billion, 4.685 billion, and 5.354 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with growth rates of 26%, 13%, and 14% respectively [1] - The adjusted net profits are forecasted to be 556 million, 624 million, and 712 million RMB for the same period, with growth rates of 33%, 12%, and 14% respectively [1] - The company operates multiple brands, including "沪上阿姨" (Hushang Aunt), "茶瀑布" (Tea Waterfall), and "沪咖" (Hushang Coffee), targeting different consumer segments and price points [2] Group 2: Market Potential - The ready-to-drink beverage market in China has significant growth potential, with increasing consumption rates and a rising chain store penetration [2] - The company has a projected store opening potential of 18,000 for its main brand and over 5,000 for "茶瀑布" (Tea Waterfall), with international expansion into Malaysia and the USA [2] - The coffee segment is expected to enhance store efficiency as it integrates into the main brand [2] Group 3: Industry Trends - The report highlights the increasing chain store advantage over independent tea shops, suggesting a trend towards consolidation in the tea beverage industry [2] - The report notes that the ready-to-drink beverage market is experiencing a surge in demand due to the growth of delivery services [2] - The digital RMB is positioned as a key driver for the internationalization of the RMB, with a projected transaction volume of 52.8 to 223.6 trillion RMB by 2030 [7] Group 4: Financial Insights - The company is valued at a target market cap of 12.2 billion HKD, with a target price of 116.56 HKD based on a 20x PE ratio for adjusted net profit in 2025 [1] - The report indicates that the digital RMB will benefit upstream technology support, midstream system adaptation, and downstream terminal deployment, suggesting broad growth potential across the industry [8]
前11个月越南工业生产指数同比增长9.3%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-12-09 02:20
越南《越南经济》网站12月6日报道,据越南财政部统计局当日上午发布的数据,2025年前11个月越南 工业生产指数(IIP)同比增长9.3%。其中,加工制造业增长10.6%,对整体增长贡献8.5个百分点;供水、 废物和废水处理增长8.4%,贡献0.1个百分点;电力生产及销售增长6.5%,贡献0.6个百分点;采矿业增 长0.9%,贡献0.1个百分点。 前11个月全国各地工业生产普遍恢复起色,34个省直辖市的IIP均有所上升,增幅较高的地方包括:广 宁增长33.8%,富寿增长28.8%,宁平增长23.4%,清化增长17.5%,北宁和海防均增长16.9%。 从二级重点产业看,多个行业生产同比实现较高增幅,如:汽车生产同比增长22.0%,非金属矿物制品 生产增长16.5%,橡胶和塑料制品生产增长16.4%,金属生产增长15.5%,服装生产增长13.5%,预制金 属制品(不包括机械和设备)生产增长12.6%等。 ...
招商宏观:11月经济数据怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 05:30
Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI for November 2025 recorded at 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from October, indicating marginal improvement but still within the contraction zone, reflecting a fragile recovery in the manufacturing sector [1][6] Manufacturing Sector - The production index returned to the critical point of 50.0%, but there remains a gap with the new orders index at 49.2%, indicating a supply strong and demand weak situation [1][6] - Large enterprises maintain PMI in the expansion zone, supported by major projects and infrastructure, while small and medium-sized enterprises, particularly in the downstream construction materials and home furnishings sectors, continue to perform poorly [1][6] - The new export orders index improved from 47.3 to 48.1, suggesting a boost in inquiries due to the US-China tariff truce, although actual increases may experience a time lag [1][6] Production - The industrial added value for November is expected to remain around 5% year-on-year, reflecting the resilience of China's industrial system despite a significant adjustment in the real estate sector [2][7] - The automotive manufacturing sector is expected to maintain high growth, driven by year-end production boosts, while electronics and aerospace manufacturing will also see relatively high growth rates [2][7] - In contrast, industries such as black metal smelting and non-metal mineral products continue to face negative or zero growth, heavily impacted by a sharp decline in demand for rebar and cement due to reduced new construction in real estate [2][7] Consumption - The retail sales growth for November is anticipated to remain relatively low, with the "Double Eleven" shopping festival achieving a total online sales of 1.619 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.3% [3][8] - Essential categories like grain and personal care saw steady growth, while non-essential items like beauty and apparel relied heavily on significant discounts [3][8] - Despite strong production in the automotive sector, retail performance is disappointing, with expected year-on-year declines of 7.0% in passenger car sales due to the inability of new energy vehicle growth to offset declines in traditional fuel vehicle sales [3][8] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment growth is expected to remain weak, primarily due to the real estate sector's ongoing challenges, with major real estate companies experiencing a 36% year-on-year drop in sales in November [4][9] - Infrastructure investment is projected to maintain low growth, with local governments being cautious about new project approvals [4][9] - Manufacturing investment is expected to sustain relatively high growth, focusing on equipment upgrades and expansion in high-tech industries, although overall demand constraints may limit expansion willingness [4][9] Trade - November export growth is expected to be around 3%, influenced by a recent US-China trade truce that reduced tariffs on certain goods [12][13] - Imports are also projected to show slight positive growth, supported by increased purchases of US agricultural products following the tariff agreement [12][13] Price Trends - November CPI is expected to be around 0.7%, influenced by weather-related supply constraints on vegetables and fruits, while pork prices continue to decline due to weak demand [16][17] - November PPI is projected to remain at -2.1%, with oil prices and industrial product prices showing signs of improvement [17][18]
西部建设:公司及合并报表范围内的各级子公司尚未到期的对外担保总额为6.7亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-05 09:05
每经AI快讯,西部建设(SZ 002302,收盘价:6.4元)12月5日晚间发布公告称,截至公告日,公司及 合并报表范围内的各级子公司尚未到期的对外担保总额为6.7亿元,全部为对合并报表范围内的各级子 公司担保,占公司2024年度经审计合并报表归属于母公司净资产的7.07%。 (记者 王晓波) 截至发稿,西部建设市值为81亿元。 每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——秒光、售罄!银行大额存单成稀缺资源,2%以上产品很难抢,有的门槛高 达1000万元!专家:存款利率或长期下行 2025年1至6月份,西部建设的营业收入构成为:非金属矿物制品占比98.54%,服务收入占比1.33%,外 销涂料占比0.11%,其他行业占比0.02%。 ...
2025年11月PMI分析:出口仍在带动生产
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-11-30 06:58
Group 1: PMI and Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for November 2025 is 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in economic conditions[1] - The production index rose to 50% from 49.7%, returning to the expansion zone, while the new orders index increased to 49.2% from 48.8%[2] - The new export orders index improved significantly by 1.7 percentage points to 47.6%, suggesting a recovery in external demand[2] Group 2: Price and Inventory Trends - The purchasing price index for raw materials rose by 1.1 percentage points to 53.6%, while the factory price index increased by 0.7 percentage points to 48.2%[3] - The inventory index for finished products decreased by 0.8 percentage points to 47.3%, indicating a passive destocking trend among enterprises[4] - Raw material inventory remained stable at 47.3%, while procurement volume increased by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5%[4] Group 3: Sector Performance - The construction industry index rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, driven by year-end project completions[6] - The service industry index fell by 0.7 percentage points to 59.5%, reflecting a seasonal decline in consumer-related services[6] - Significant increases in export orders were noted in textiles, non-metallic minerals, general equipment, pharmaceutical manufacturing, and non-ferrous metals[2]
当升科技:接受中信证券等投资者调研
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-27 08:36
每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——灌水21万亿,高市早苗1.7万亿强化国防!日本负债率已远超债务危机时的 希腊,对美巨额投资致大规模资本外流,"卖出日元成国际趋势" (记者 曾健辉) 每经AI快讯,当升科技(SZ 300073,收盘价:58.74元)发布公告称,2025年11月26日10:00-11:30,当 升科技接受中信证券等投资者调研,公司副总经理、磷系产品线总经理、当升蜀道董事长陈新参与接 待,并回答了投资者提出的问题。 2025年1至6月份,当升科技的营业收入构成为:非金属矿物制品占比98.35%,专用设备制造业占比 1.65%。 截至发稿,当升科技市值为320亿元。 ...
西部建设:11月17日召开董事会会议
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-17 10:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Xibu Construction (SZ 002302) held its 25th meeting of the 8th Board of Directors on November 17, 2025, to discuss various proposals, including adjustments to the Board's specialized committee members [1] - For the first half of 2025, Xibu Construction's revenue composition was as follows: non-metallic mineral products accounted for 98.54%, service revenue for 1.33%, export coatings for 0.11%, and other industries for 0.02% [1] - As of the time of reporting, Xibu Construction's market capitalization was 8.5 billion yuan [2]