Core Viewpoint - The future A-share market is expected to experience a systematic and steady upward trend characterized by oscillation and structural differentiation rather than a rapid and comprehensive surge [1] Market Outlook - The market is likely to face pressure from previous trapped positions at key points, leading to normal and healthy fluctuations and corrections [1] - Each quality correction is seen as a consolidation of the bottom, accumulating energy for the next phase of growth [1] Investment Strategy - Stock selection will be more important than market timing, with future opportunities becoming highly differentiated rather than a broad market rally [1] - Funds are expected to continue flowing towards assets that align with national strategies, trends of the times, and high-quality development requirements [1] Key Investment Themes - Two main themes to focus on: - Defensive: High dividend and "China Special Valuation" assets serve as market stabilizers, providing stable cash flow returns suitable for conservative allocation [1] - Offensive: Technology growth sectors represented by AI and new productive forces are seen as the hope for China's economic transformation and future growth, particularly in segments with technological breakthroughs and realizable applications [1]

黄仁勋出面回应竞争对手的大动作了。 面对AMD拿出公司10%股权换取OpenAI订单的操作，老黄接连用了两次"惊讶"（surprised/suprising）这个词，还称这招"挺高明的"（it's clever）。 考虑到他们对下一代产品如此兴奋，这真是富有想象力、独一无二、令人惊讶。 我很惊讶他们在产品还没建成之前就放弃了 10% 的公司股份。所以，我想，这很聪明。 黄仁勋特意强调，英伟达与OpenAI的交易性质"非常不同"：英伟达是直接向OpenAI销售产品，而不是像AMD那样通过股权交换。 但当被问及OpenAI如何支付这笔巨额订单时，黄仁勋承认："他们现在还没有这笔钱。" 他解释道，OpenAI需要通过未来呈指数级增长的收入、股权或债务融资来筹集资金。 英伟达获得了在OpenAI未来融资时跟投的机会。黄仁勋还透露"我唯一的遗憾是OpenAI成立时我们钱不够，没有投资更多。" 英伟达自己也深度参与的这场被市场称为"循环交易"的游戏，正在AI行业掀起一场前所未有的资本热潮。 作为回报，OpenAI同意建设和部署需要10吉瓦电力的英伟达系统，相当于400万到500万块GPU。 而OpenAI转身就跟英伟达的 ...

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Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of A-share indices in October over the past decade, indicating a mixed trend for the Shanghai Composite Index, while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index show higher winning rates, particularly in specific sectors like semiconductors and automotive parts [1][5]. Summary by Sections A-share Index Performance - Over the past ten years, the Shanghai Composite Index has shown a 50% win rate in October, while the Shenzhen Component Index has a 70% win rate, and the ChiNext Index has a 60% win rate [2][5]. - The performance of these indices varies significantly, with notable years of decline in 2018, 2022, and 2023 for the Shenzhen and ChiNext indices [2][5]. Sector Performance - In the last five years, the semiconductor, other electronics, and automotive parts sectors have achieved a 100% win rate in October [1][5]. - Other sectors such as commercial vehicles, internet e-commerce, automation equipment, wind power equipment, consumer electronics, and components have an 80% win rate [5]. Investment Recommendations - Multiple brokerages suggest focusing on technology and "anti-involution" themes, especially during the third-quarter report window [6]. - The market is expected to maintain a trend of gradual upward movement, with key attention on third-quarter earnings reports and policy expectations [6][7]. - Key investment themes include AI capital expenditure, the "14th Five-Year Plan" expectations, and sectors likely to benefit from potential policy reversals related to "anti-involution" [7].

Core Insights - A-shares continued to rise with all three major indices increasing, driven by strong performance in gold stocks, controllable nuclear fusion concepts, and the semiconductor industry chain [1] - The cloud computing 50 ETF (516630) rose over 2%, with top-performing holdings including Keda Xunfei, Wanjing Technology, Shiji Information, Yonyou Network, Zhongke Shuguang, and Inspur Information [1] - The computing power sector is experiencing significant catalysts, with Huawei's Ascend announcing support for Alibaba's Qwen3-VL-30B-A3B, indicating a positive outlook for domestic computing power [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the National Standardization Administration released guidelines for cloud computing standardization, aiming to establish over 30 new national and industry standards by 2027 [1] - OpenAI's recent developments, including the release of the Sora2 video generation model and a milestone partnership with AMD, signify a new phase in the AI industry characterized by collaborative evolution between content and computing power [1] Industry Trends - AI technology narratives are strengthening, with accelerated investment in AI computing infrastructure [2] - The A-share technology sector remains a clear structural focus, with expectations for high activity in the TMT sector post-holiday, particularly in storage chips, wafer fabs, domestic computing power, and energy storage [2] - The cloud computing 50 ETF (516630) tracks an index with a high AI computing power content, covering popular computing concepts such as optical modules, computing leasing, data centers, AI servers, and liquid cooling [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed the 3900-point mark for the first time in ten years, with a rise of over 1% as of the report, while the ChiNext Index increased by over 2% and the Shenzhen Component Index rose by over 1.6% [1] - Nearly 3000 stocks in the two markets experienced gains, with significant increases in sectors such as precious metals, nuclear fusion, and non-ferrous metals [1] Global Market Trends - During the recent National Day holiday, global markets saw strong performances in sectors like non-ferrous metals, semiconductors, and AI, with COMEX gold futures rising by 4.45%, leading to a surge in gold stocks [3] - AMD's stock soared over 40% due to its collaboration with OpenAI, highlighting the positive sentiment in the AI sector [3] - Consensus among brokerage reports indicates a favorable macro environment for the A-share market post-holiday, driven by positive overseas market news and a strong performance in major risk assets [3] Domestic Economic Indicators - Domestic indicators show a marginal recovery in the September PMI, record-high travel data during the holiday, and improved performance in sectors like catering, cinema, and real estate [4] - The expectation of a more favorable risk appetite post-holiday is supported by positive incremental information and calendar effects [4] Investment Strategies - Long-term strategies suggest focusing on three main lines: high-growth sectors with high elasticity, event-driven catalysts, and value-oriented sectors with improved fundamentals [4] - The current A-share market is expected to continue its structural upward trend, particularly during the upcoming earnings season and policy window [4] Sector-Specific Insights - The current upward trend in the A-share market is anticipated to unfold in three phases, starting with a structural rally in core technology sectors, particularly in AI and related fields [5] - Following this, the rally is expected to expand to broader technology growth sectors, including robotics and innovative pharmaceuticals, as macroeconomic improvements become evident [6] - The reliance on a weak dollar narrative may necessitate a shift in strategy for investors, emphasizing the importance of the "China story" in driving the domestic bull market [6]

Global AI trend tracker 25 September 2025 EQUITY: TECHNOLOGY Liquid cooling market upgrade: AI expert call takeaways Quick Note We hosted our AI Expert Call Series #51 today (25 September), with an expert from a leading global company in the liquid cooling industry. We discussed the technology trends and the liquid cooling roadmap of leading global AI companies, the supply-chain dynamics, and the competitive landscape. The expert also spoke about the frequently discussed topics related to recent development ...

华泰证券研报称，Sora2及其配套社交应用的发布，标志着AI视频生成与社交互动进入融合阶段，有望 重塑内容创作和分发生态。随着多模态AI大模型能力持续提升，视频、社交、游戏、广告、电商等产 业或迎来效率提升与商业模式变革。建议关注AI应用侧进展，产业链相关公司包括：AI视频、影视内 容及工具厂商，AI广告营销，AI电商，AI游戏相关公司。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that abundant liquidity and ongoing investments in AI are the two main drivers behind the sustained rise of Hong Kong stocks since early September [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The "wealth effect" in Hong Kong stocks is expected to continue attracting southbound capital inflows [1] - The potential election of a new Japanese Prime Minister, if successful, could lead to arbitrage trading by Japanese investors benefiting Hong Kong stocks [1] - The ongoing capital expenditure by domestic and international companies in the AI sector, along with continuous iterations and innovations in large models and applications, may lead to performance realization in Hong Kong's complete AI and technology industry chain [1] Group 2: Valuation and Future Outlook - After six months of valuation expansion, the current absolute valuation of Hong Kong stocks is considered not cheap [1] - However, with fundamentals expected to bottom out and a significant increase in earnings projected for 2026, Hong Kong stocks still hold considerable attractiveness on a global scale [1] - The report predicts that the long bull market for Hong Kong stocks since early 2024 will continue, driven by liquidity spillover effects and sustained AI narratives [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on four key long-term directions: 1) Technology sector, including AI-related sub-sectors and consumer electronics [1] 2) Healthcare sector, particularly biotechnology [1] 3) Non-ferrous metals benefiting from rising overseas inflation expectations and de-dollarization [1] 4) Consumer sector, which is expected to see valuation recovery amid further domestic economic recovery [1]

人民财讯10月9日电，中信证券研报认为，充裕的流动性叠加AI的持续投入和创新是推动9月初以来港 股持续上涨的两大动能。展望未来，在港股的"赚钱效应"下，南向资金有望持续流入；除全球进入降息 周期的因素以外，若高市早苗成功当选新一任日本首相，港股预计也将受益于日本投资者的套利交易配 置。同时，在国内外企业加大AI领域的资本支出，大模型和应用不断的迭代创新下，港股完整的AI和 科技产业链或也将迎来业绩兑现。在持续半年的估值扩张后，港股当前的绝对估值并不便宜。但在基本 面预计触底反弹，叠加2026年业绩预计高增的背景下，港股在全球维度的吸引力依旧显著。结合流动性 的外溢效应以及AI叙事的持续催化，研报判断港股2024年初以来的长牛行情将延续，建议投资者把握 四大中长期方向：1)科技行业，包括AI相关细分赛道、消费电子等；2)大医疗板块，特别是生物科技； 3)受益于海外通胀预期抬升叠加去美元化的有色；4)未来国内经济进一步复苏，相对滞涨的消费板块也 有望迎来估值修复。 ...