今年度冬期间北方地区冷空气活跃度加剧，出现多轮阶段性强寒潮天气。国家能源局电力司副司长 刘明阳强调，目前，全国燃料储备充足、电力供应平稳。 央广网北京1月31日消息（记者韩萌）据中央广播电视总台中国之声《新闻和报纸摘要》报道，国 家能源局30日发布，2025年我国绿色低碳转型步伐加快，可再生能源发电量达到约4万亿千瓦时。 刘明阳：目前，全国统调电厂燃料供应基础坚实可靠，东北等重点保暖地区电厂存煤超25天；国内 成品油市场供应充足，库存稳定，国产气和进口管道气相对高位平稳运行，地下储气库和沿海LNG接 收站调节能力充足，可保障迎峰度冬天然气供应。 数据显示，2025年，我国原煤生产保持稳定，规上工业原煤产量同比增长1.2%。油、气产量双创 历史新高，规上工业原油产量同比增长1.5%，规上工业天然气产量同比增长6.2%。 国家能源局发展规划司副司长邢翼腾：全年风电光伏新增装机超过4.3亿千瓦、累计装机规模突破 18亿千瓦，可再生能源发电装机占比超过六成。可再生能源发电量达到约4万亿千瓦时，超过欧盟27国 用电量之和（约3.8万亿千瓦时）。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China's natural gas production is projected to reach 261.9 billion cubic meters by 2025, marking a 6% increase from the previous year and setting a new record [2][4]. Group 1: Natural Gas Production and Development - The development of unconventional natural gas, particularly shale gas, is accelerating in China's inland regions, contributing to a domestic self-sufficiency rate of approximately 60% despite rising consumption [2][4]. - China's domestic natural gas production has doubled over the past decade, with the 2025 output equivalent to about 19.3 million tons of LNG, which is approximately three times Japan's annual natural gas demand [4][5]. - By 2030, natural gas production is expected to increase to 300 billion cubic meters, driven by shale gas production, which is anticipated to exceed 100 billion cubic meters in 2024, accounting for nearly 50% of domestic output [5][6]. Group 2: Import Dynamics and Energy Security - China aims to diversify its energy sources to enhance energy security, combining domestic production with LNG and pipeline imports [4][8]. - In 2025, natural gas imports are projected to decrease for the first time in two years, with a 3% year-on-year reduction, and LNG imports specifically dropping by 11% to 6.843 million tons [8][11]. - The import of LNG from the U.S. has plummeted by 94%, down to 250,000 tons, largely due to trade tensions and tariffs imposed on U.S. LNG [8][11]. Group 3: Consumption Trends and Future Outlook - Despite a slight decline in natural gas consumption in early 2025, the overall demand remains robust, supported by government initiatives to reduce air pollution by transitioning from coal and heavy oil to cleaner natural gas [12]. - Long-term forecasts suggest that natural gas consumption will increase by 30% by 2030, reaching 550 billion cubic meters [12].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：001331 证券简称：胜通能源 公告编号：2026-011 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 1.业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日 2.业绩预告情况 预计的业绩：预计净利润为正值且属于扭亏为盈情形 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本次业绩预告相关财务数据是公司财务部门初步测算的结果，未经会计师事务所预审计。公司就本次业 绩预告有关事项与为公司提供年度审计服务的会计师事务所签字注册会计师进行了预沟通，双方在本次 业绩预告方面不存在分歧。 三、业绩变动原因说明 1.非经营性损益的影响 四、风险提示 1.本次业绩预告是公司财务部门初步测算结果，具体数据以公司披露的《2025年年度报告》为准。 2.公司郑重提醒广大投资者：《中国证券报》《上海证券报》《证券时报》《证券日报》和巨潮资讯网 （www.cninfo.com.cn）为公司选定的信息披露媒体，公司所有信息均以在上述指定媒体及深交所网站 刊登的信息为准。请广大投资者理性投资，注意风险。 特此公告。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a stable, diverse, and competitive resource pool for gas supply, which is primarily sourced from major domestic oil companies, its own LNG plants, and international long-term contracts and spot resources [1] Group 1 - The gas procurement contracts utilize a multi-index pricing model, providing flexibility in gas delivery methods to effectively mitigate various potential risks [1] - The impact of geopolitical factors on the company's gas supply is relatively limited, indicating a robust supply chain management strategy [1]

Core Insights - The European natural gas market is experiencing significant volatility due to a combination of severe cold weather and urgent inventory shortages, leading to the largest monthly price increase in over two years, with a cumulative rise of approximately 36% this month [1][3] - The market sentiment has fundamentally reversed in the past month, driven by a surge in gas consumption and disruptions in U.S. production due to a winter storm, prompting traders to cover previously held short positions [3][4] - Geopolitical factors, particularly tensions involving Iran and the situation in Ukraine, are adding layers of uncertainty to energy prices, making them more sensitive to traditional supply and demand data [5][6] Market Dynamics - The ongoing cold wave and rapid depletion of fuel inventories have heightened concerns over supply security, with current inventory levels falling below seasonal norms, creating a tight supply-demand balance [4][5] - Despite a rebound in U.S. LNG exports alleviating some panic, the impending cold snap in Europe is expected to increase heating demand, further straining already tight inventory buffers [4][6] - The benchmark Dutch gas futures for March delivery were trading at €38.59 per megawatt-hour, reflecting significant volatility, with prices having risen as much as 2% during early trading [6]

2026.01. 30 本文字数：1224，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财 经 郭霁莹 1月以来，全国经历多轮阶段性强寒潮天气，"冷暖转换"频繁导致用电负荷多次突破历史度冬负荷极 值。随着春节假期临近，国内迎峰度冬能源保供迎来关键时期。 国家能源局电力司副司长刘明阳1月30日介绍，入冬以来，华北、西北、东北3个区域电网，和新 疆、西藏等14个省级电网负荷累计86次创历史新高。另外，受大范围寒潮天气影响，1月19日至21 日，全国最大电力负荷连续三天创冬季新高，首次突破14亿千瓦，1月21日最高达14.33亿千瓦。 第 一 财 经 持 续 追 踪 财 经 热 点 。 若 您 掌 握 公 司 动 态 、 行 业 趋 势 、 金 融 事 件 等 有 价 值 的 线 索 ， 欢 迎 提 供 。 专 用 邮 箱 ： bianjibu@yicai.com （注：我们会对线索进行核实。您的隐私将严格保密。） 为确保迎峰度冬全国能源电力平稳有序供应，国家能源局给出四点保供方案：在责任落实上，推 行"一省一策"细化落实各项措施，优化电网方式安排并强化省间余缺互济；监测预警方面，密切跟踪 天气、负荷与供需形势变化，对线路台 ...

格隆汇1月30日丨胜通能源(001331.SZ)公布，预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润1,500万元～ 1,950万元，同比扭亏为盈，扣除非经常性损益后的净利润-2,150万元～-1,550万元。报告期内，国际天 然气市场供需基本面整体宽松，天然气价格低位震荡，需求恢复不及预期，国产气增量显著，国内市场 整体延续"供强需弱"的格局，竞争加剧导致价格和利润空间承压，同时公司受执行"进口LNG窗口一站 通"5年期长期协议影响，主营业务业绩下滑。 ...

南财智讯1月30日电，胜通能源发布2025年度业绩预告，预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的净利润 为1500万元—1950万元；预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为-2150万 元—-1550万元。归属于上市公司股东的净利润同比预减亏；原因：1.非经营性损益的影响：2025年归 属于上市公司股东的非经常性损益增加，主要系报告期内公司到期资产处置收益、收到的政府补偿款及 投资收益增加所致。2.主营业务的影响：报告期内，国际天然气市场供需基本面整体宽松，天然气价格 低位震荡，需求恢复不及预期，国产气增量显著，国内市场整体延续"供强需弱"的格局，竞争加剧导致 价格和利润空间承压，同时公司受执行"进口LNG窗口一站通"5年期长期协议影响，主营业务业绩下 滑。 ...

能源分析公司Energy Aspects的分析师James Waddell及其团队本周在一份报告中指出："鉴于库存异常低 迷，价格风险仍然偏向上行。"他们还写道，近几周来天气模型不稳定，这在一定程度上导致了天然气 价格波动加剧。 交易员们也在密切关注伊朗局势，美国总统特朗普不断升级对伊朗的威胁，令整个能源市场持续紧张。 与此同时，特朗普周四表示，他已与俄罗斯达成协议，暂停对乌克兰的空袭一周，而该国即将迎来极端 寒潮。 1月份欧洲天然气市场波动剧烈，反映出人们对欧洲脆弱的燃料平衡状况再次感到担忧。除了天然气消 费量增加外，美国冬季风暴一度中断了部分生产设施，引发美国天然气价格飙升，进而加剧了欧洲交易 员争相平仓此前的空头头寸。中东地区的紧张局势也助推了天然气价格的上涨势头。 寒潮和燃料库存迅速消耗扰乱了市场情绪，欧洲天然气价格有望创下至少两年来的最大月度涨幅。截至 发稿，3月份交割的荷兰基准天然气期货价格小幅上涨0.5%，至每兆瓦时38.77欧元。基准期货周五小幅 走高，本月累计涨幅约为38%。这是自2023年夏季以来的最大涨幅，如果日度涨幅能够保持，则可能成 为自四年前能源危机以来的最大涨幅。 虽然随着美国出 ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - International LNG: In the short - term, supply disruptions and strong heating demand support prices, but further upside is limited. Long - term supply will increase, and prices will decline after winter. In February, it maintains the view of near - term strength and long - term weakness, with Europe stronger than Asia [6][53]. - US HH: Short - term price surges are due to cold snaps. After the cold snap, supply and demand will ease. Prices are closely related to temperature. In February, it maintains the view of near - term strength and long - term weakness [6][54]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 First Part: Preface Summary 3.1.1 Market Review - International LNG: Prices rebounded sharply in January. TTF rose nearly 35% from $9.7 per MMBTU to over $13 per MMBTU, driven by cold weather and geopolitical tensions [5]. - US HH: Prices had a roller - coaster ride. In early January, they dropped to around $3 per MMBTU due to warm weather and high production. Then, they soared to $7.46 per MMBTU on January 19th due to cold snap expectations [5]. 3.1.2 Market Outlook - International LNG: Short - term supply disruptions and strong heating demand support prices, but further upside is restricted. Long - term supply growth and reduced demand after winter will lead to price declines [6]. - US HH: Cold snaps cause short - term price spikes. After the cold snap, supply and demand will improve. Prices are temperature - dependent, and in February, the market is expected to be near - strong and far - weak [6]. 3.1.3 Strategy Recommendation - Unilateral: Short HH second - quarter contracts; short TTF or JKM third - quarter contracts. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Wait and see [7]. 3.2 Second Part: Fundamental Situation 3.2.1 Market Review - International LNG: Prices rebounded in January due to cold expectations, low inventory, and geopolitical concerns. The first - line price rose from about $9.3 per MMBTU to a maximum of $15 per MMBTU [11]. - US HH: Prices had a V - shaped reversal in January. They fell in the first half due to mild weather and high production, then soared in the last two weeks due to cold snap expectations and a short - squeeze [11]. 3.2.2 US Market Fundamentals - Supply: As of January 28th, the average daily dry - gas production in January was about 110.6 billion cubic feet, down 2.6% from the previous month but up 6.6% year - on - year. After the cold snap on January's end, supply dropped to about 96 billion cubic feet per day, a nearly 16% decline from the monthly high [15][17]. - Demand: As of January 28th, the average daily domestic consumption in January was about 109.3 billion cubic feet, down 5.2% year - on - year. After the cold snap, daily demand reached about 140 billion cubic feet [15]. - Inventory: As of January 23rd, the total natural - gas inventory was 2823 billion cubic feet, up 9.8% year - on - year and 5.3% higher than the five - year average [16]. 3.2.3 International LNG Market Fundamentals - Europe: As of January 26th, the inventory level was 513.6 TWh, down 20.3% year - on - year, only 44.9%. The inventory consumption was faster in January. Local production decreased slightly, while imports reached a record high. Industrial demand did not recover, and gas - power demand growth was not obvious. The 2 - month cold expectation is strong, and there is no obvious expectation of wind - power expansion [25][27]. - China: In 2025, production increased 6.3% year - on - year, and imports decreased 2.9%. In December, production and imports increased year - on - year. As of January 23rd, LNG receiving - station and storage - reservoir inventory levels were higher than last year [31]. - Japan and South Korea: Japan's average daily imports in January were expected to be about 204,300 tons, up 2.3% month - on - month but down 4.7% year - on - year. As of January 23rd, the utility LNG inventory was 2.26 million tons. South Korea's average daily imports in January were expected to be about 142,100 tons, down 5.6% month - on - month and flat year - on - year. As of December, the LNG inventory was about 3.3 million tons, close to last year's level [32]. 3.2.4 Weather Forecast - China: North China will warm up slightly and then cool down, with overall temperatures lower than average in the next month. East China will be warm in early February and slightly cooler than normal in late February. South China's temperatures will be slightly higher than average in February [41]. - Japan and South Korea: They will warm up in early February and then cool down again, with overall temperatures slightly colder than average in the next month [41]. - US: It will remain cold in early February, and temperatures will be significantly lower than average after the cold snap. The cold expectation is strong in February [41]. - Europe: Northwest Europe will be slightly colder than average in the next two weeks and extremely cold in mid - February. Central Europe will cool down sharply in early February, warm up briefly but still be colder than normal. Italy's wind power will be strong in the short - term, and Germany's will be weak in February [41]. 3.2.5 Market Outlook - International LNG Market: In the short - term, supply disruptions and strong demand support prices, but further upside is limited. Long - term supply will increase, and prices will decline after winter. In February, it maintains the view of near - term strength and long - term weakness, with Europe stronger than Asia [53]. - US Market: Short - term price spikes are due to cold snaps. After the cold snap, supply and demand will ease. Prices are temperature - dependent. In the second quarter, the market situation depends on post - winter inventory levels [54].