在全球地缘风险常态化、美元信用体系弱化和经济不确定性升温的背景下，黄金成为了衡量资产价值 的"标尺"。 浙商证券分析师廖静池、王大霁等在16日发布的研报中表示，在假设的"金本位"框架下复盘资产表现， 2018年以来能跑赢黄金的资产极为有限，仅有个别虚拟货币、微盘股指数、贵金属行业和小盘规模因子 策略录得正收益。 研报称，这反映出美元信用弱化、全球地缘风险常态化和经济不确定性升温等宏观特征，凸显了黄金作 为避险资产的长期配置价值。 分行业看，浙商证券指出，长期仅高股息相对抗跌，近期金融科技尤其是虚拟货币大幅领跑；在二级行 业中，贵金属一枝独秀，新动能优于旧动能；从风格和策略因子来看，小市值是绝对的赢家，微盘股指 数在所有时期都跑赢了黄金。 大类资产：虚拟货币脱颖而出，其余多受流动性驱动 根据浙商证券报告，2018年3月至2025年6月，以黄金标价的大类资产中，仅个别虚拟货币录得正收益， 其他类别普遍跑输。 报告指出，虚拟货币跑赢源于支付便利、技术革新溢价和供给稀缺，如比特币减半机制强化其"数字黄 金"属性，对投资者而言，这提供了一种对抗美元信用弱化的替代配置，特别是在地缘冲突频发期。 权益资产名义增长强劲，但黄 ...

国投安信期货表示，近期氧化铝现货上涨趋势缓和，国内氧化铝运行产能回升至历史高位进入过剩状 态，几内亚矿企存在复产预期，但上期所仓单库存依然仅两万余吨，期货暂难深跌，关注现货成交价格 变化。 7月17日，国内期市有色金属板块多数飘绿。其中，氧化铝期货主力合约开盘报3100.0元/吨，今日盘中 低位震荡运行；截至午间收盘，氧化铝主力最高触及3123.0元，下方探低3055.0元，跌幅达2.39%。 目前来看，氧化铝行情呈现震荡下行走势，盘面表现偏弱。对于氧化铝后市行情将如何运行，相关机构 观点汇总如下： 南华期货（603093）指出，有消息表示顺达矿业将于8月复产，矿端报价有所下调。基本面方面，随着 氧化铝利润修复，企业持续复产陆续发生，氧化铝运行产能持续增加，预计累库将继续。目前考虑到7 月将有进口氧化铝到港且当前氧化铝仍有生产利润复产与新投产还在继续，同时随着新疆发运问题解决 各地向新疆交仓增加，氧化铝挤仓风险降低。总的来说，氧化铝供应过剩预期暂时还未改变，随着期现 价差拉平，上行动力有所减弱短期或维持高位震荡，推荐逢高沽空远月合约。 铜冠金源期货分析称，暂时氧化铝基于仍较为可控的有限现货流动量和向上惯性，现 ...

北方稀土（600111）近日接受机构调研时谈到对未来稀土价格的预期，公司表示，产品价格主要是受供 需关系影响。一季度以来，受上游原料供应收紧及下游消费刺激等政策影响，稀土市场整体活跃度好于 上年同期，进入4—5月后，受国际环境影响稀土价格出现短暂回落，但随着国家政策的逐渐明朗，稀土 行业的受关注程度也随之上涨，带动了产品价格的上涨，目前公司子公司内蒙古北方稀土磁性材料有限 责任公司的订单相对饱满，公司对未来稀土价格走势持乐观看法。(人民财讯) ...

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 根据上交所、深交所等主流交易所的预告规则，如果上市公司预计全年或半年度出现 净利润为负 值、扭亏为盈、净利润同比上升或下降超过 50%以上 等情形，就需要在 7月15日前强制披露。 （上交所、深交所、创业板、科创板等各有细则，但大体原则一致） 7月15日已过，A股上市公司密集发布中报业绩预告，多家公司营业收入、净利润同比大幅增长！ 为方便投资者进行参考，本文将对业绩预增幅度居前的A股上市公司进行排名，并对其年初至今 涨跌幅进行统计。 （ 点此查看完整名单 ） 0 1 最高预增超 2300% ！营收净利润双增长个股名单出炉！ 2025年上半年，哪些A股上市公司在中报预告中披露 营业收入、净利润双双实现增长 ？笔者在 中报预告中对营业收入、净利润均实现增长的上市公司进行筛选，并按照中报预告净利润增速上 限进行排名。 经私募排排网整理，上榜的20只个股中报预告净利润增速上限均超过100%，且同期营业收入也 实现正增长。值得注意的是，上榜的20只个股年内股价涨幅整体表现亮眼，年初至今平均涨幅达 到31.25%，揭示市场对于业绩显著提升、基本面有所改善的标 ...

Group 1: Report Summary - The report provides a morning briefing on metal option strategies, covering various metal options including non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals [1][2] - It analyzes the underlying futures market conditions, option factors such as PCR, pressure and support levels, and implied volatility, and offers corresponding option strategies and suggestions [3][4][7] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of multiple metal futures contracts are presented, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc [3] Group 3: Option Factor Analysis Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR values of different metal options are given, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market [4] Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different metal options are provided, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes [6] Group 4: Option Strategies and Suggestions Non - Ferrous Metals - For copper options, a short - volatility seller option portfolio strategy is recommended to obtain time - value income [7] - For aluminum options, a bull spread strategy for call options and a short call + put option portfolio strategy are suggested [9] - For zinc options, a short neutral call + put option portfolio strategy is proposed [9] - For nickel options, a short bearish call + put option portfolio strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [10] - For tin options, a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy are suggested [10] - For lithium carbonate options, a short bullish call + put option portfolio strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy are proposed [11] Precious Metals - For gold and silver options, a short - volatility neutral option seller portfolio strategy and a spot hedging strategy are recommended [12] Black Metals - For rebar options, a short neutral call + put option portfolio strategy and a spot long - covered call strategy are suggested [13] - For iron ore options, a bull spread strategy for call options, a short bullish call + put option portfolio strategy, and a spot long - collar strategy are proposed [13] - For ferroalloy options, a short - volatility strategy is recommended for manganese silicon [14] - For industrial silicon and polysilicon options, a bull spread strategy for call options, a short bullish call + put option portfolio strategy, and a spot hedging strategy are suggested [14] - For glass options, a short - volatility short call + put option portfolio strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [15]

Group 1 - Yaxin Security plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 3%, totaling no more than 12 million shares, from August 8, 2025, to November 7, 2025 [1] - Shangwei Co. intends to issue up to 180 million shares to its controlling shareholder, raising no more than 1.144 billion yuan for digital upgrades and working capital [1][2] - Anker Innovations is exploring the possibility of overseas share issuance to enhance its global strategy and brand image, with no specific plan confirmed yet [3] Group 2 - AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group's chairman resigned due to work changes, effective immediately upon submission of the resignation [4] - Tianci Materials signed a procurement cooperation agreement to supply at least 550,000 tons of electrolyte products to Chuangneng New Energy from 2025 to 2030, enhancing market share and profitability [5][6] - Guangshentang's innovative drug GST-HG131 has been included in the list of breakthrough therapies, but this does not guarantee market approval or immediate financial impact [7][8] Group 3 - Chaozhuo Aerospace plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 3%, totaling no more than 896,000 shares, from August 7, 2025, to November 6, 2025 [9] - Taiji Group intends to repurchase shares worth between 80 million and 120 million yuan, with a maximum price of 28.03 yuan per share, to be used for cancellation [11][12] - Xibu Materials plans to invest 125 million yuan in a private placement by its subsidiary to raise 147 million yuan for working capital and loan repayment [13] Group 4 - Shantui Co. plans to issue H-shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [14] - *ST Huawang intends to acquire 55.5% of Niwei Power for 666 million yuan, entering the new energy hybrid vehicle sector [15] - Tailin Bio's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 1.5%, totaling no more than 1.8195 million shares, for personal funding needs [17] Group 5 - Huicheng Vacuum plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 3%, totaling no more than 3 million shares, from August 7, 2025, to November 6, 2025 [18][19] - Kesi Co.'s actual controller plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 3%, totaling no more than 14.27 million shares, for personal funding needs [20][21] - Zhongchong Co.'s controlling shareholder plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 1.5%, totaling no more than 4.56 million shares, for funding needs [22][23] Group 6 - Shanhigh Environmental plans to raise no more than 718 million yuan through a private placement to supplement working capital and repay bank loans [24][25] - Zhongrong Electric plans to invest 114 million yuan in the construction of the Sinok New Energy Technology Park, expected to be completed by the end of 2027 [26] - Kaisen New Materials' shareholder plans to transfer 4.75% of its shares, totaling 20 million shares, for personal funding needs [27] Group 7 - Xinxin Standard's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 3%, totaling no more than 6.7792 million shares, for personal funding needs [28] - Chuhuan Technology plans to invest 9.99 million yuan in a partnership focused on high-end manufacturing, including semiconductors and new materials [29] - Shankai Intelligent's stock will resume trading after a share transfer agreement with Changjiang Aerospace, which will become the controlling shareholder [30]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-17 锌海外库存持续增加 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-9.95 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌100元/吨至22050元/吨，SMM 上海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日持平于30元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌110元/吨至21970元/吨。 SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌10元/吨至-50元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌110元/吨至 22000元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌10元/吨至-20元/吨。 期货方面：2025-07-16沪锌主力合约开于22040元/吨，收于22045元/吨，较前一交易日下跌60元/吨，全天交易日成 交89469手，较前一交易日减少29569手，全天交易日持仓78311手，较前一交易日减少5993手，日内价格震荡，最 高点达到22065元/吨，最低点达到21965元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-07-14，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为9.31万吨，较上周同期增加0.4万吨。截止2025-07-16，LME 锌库存为121350吨，较上一交易日增加2750吨。 市场分析 现货市场 ...

有色商品日报 有色商品日报（2025 年 7 月 17 日） 一、研究观点 | 品 种 | | 点评 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 隔夜 LME 铜震荡偏弱，下跌 0.21%至 9637 美元/吨；SHFE 铜主力微跌 0.01%至 77950 | | | | | | 元/吨；国内现货进口维系亏损，亏损幅度收窄。宏观方面，美国劳工部数据显示，美 | | | | | | 国 6 月 PPI 同比 2.3%，低于预期 2.5%，这是 2024 年 9 月以来的最低同比涨幅，这表明 | | | | | | 关税影响通胀并不明显。美联储褐皮书显示，经济活动略有增加，较此前改善，就业整 | | | | | | 体"略有上升"，关税政策导致的通胀并未显现，通胀提及次数创四年新低。昨晚美金 | | | | | 铜 | 融市场经历特朗普解雇鲍威尔闹剧，美元指数快速回落，美股也经历较大动荡，铜市场 | | | | | | | 则担忧全球经济前景受阻。库存方面，LME 铜增加 10525 吨至 12.1 万吨；Comex 铜增 | | | | | 加 1062 吨至 21.7 ...

黑色商品日报 黑色商品日报（2025 年 7 月 17 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 钢材 | 螺纹钢：昨日螺纹盘面继续小幅下跌，截止日盘螺纹 2510 合约收盘价格为 3106 元/吨，较上一交易收盘 | 弱势整理 | | | 价格下跌 8 元/吨，跌幅 0.26%，持仓减少 1.68 万手。现货价格稳中有跌，成交维持低位，唐山地区迁安 | | | | 普方坯价格持平于 2950 元/吨，杭州市场中天螺纹价格下跌 10 元/吨至 3180 元/吨，全国建材成交量 8.74 | | | | 万吨。据钢谷网数据，本周全国建材产量增加 3.19 万吨至 419.2 万吨，社库增加 8.64 万吨至 538.64 万吨， | | | | 厂库增加 14.8 万吨至 330.93 万吨，建材表需下降 13.71 万吨至 395.76 万吨。建材产量小幅回升，库存累 | | | | 积幅度加大，表需继续回落，市场供需有所趋弱。1-6 月地产、基建、制造业投资数据均有所走弱，对市 | | | | 场情绪形成一定影响。预计短期螺纹盘面或将弱势整理运行。 | ...

中国6月份精炼铜产量130.2万吨，同比增长14.2%。 中国6月份铅产量66万吨，同比增长3.1%。 中国6月份锌产量62.8万吨，同比增长5.4%。 ...